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Case Archive

Historical Audit

Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.

Last synced: May 15, 2026 2:07 PM EDT

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First 5 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
home
Odds
2.59
Prob
43.6%
EV/u
0.110
Stake
0.40u
Lost -0.40u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
away
Odds
2.62
Prob
43.8%
EV/u
0.052
Stake
0.21u
Lost -0.21u
First 5 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
away
Odds
2.64
Prob
43.9%
EV/u
0.053
Stake
0.21u
Lost -0.21u
First 5 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
2.68
Prob
43.5%
EV/u
0.068
Stake
0.25u
Lost -0.25u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
2.73
Prob
43.6%
EV/u
0.089
Stake
0.31u
Won +0.54u
First 5 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
2.64
Prob
43.6%
EV/u
0.055
Stake
0.21u
Lost -0.21u
First 5 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
43.4%
EV/u
0.037
Stake
0.16u
Won +0.26u
First 5 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
2.83
Prob
43.6%
EV/u
0.135
Stake
0.42u
Lost -0.42u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
away
Odds
3.09
Prob
43.8%
EV/u
0.229
Stake
0.60u
Won +1.25u
First 5 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
43.9%
EV/u
0.021
Stake
0.11u
Won +0.17u
First 5 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
2.57
Prob
44.0%
EV/u
0.026
Stake
0.12u
Won +0.19u
First 5 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Houston Astros Houston Astros
away
Odds
3.19
Prob
43.7%
EV/u
0.273
Stake
0.69u
Won +1.51u
First 5 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
2.90
Prob
43.7%
EV/u
0.158
Stake
0.47u
Lost -0.47u
First 5 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
home
Odds
2.42
Prob
44.6%
EV/u
0.032
Stake
0.16u
Lost -0.16u
First 5 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
2.81
Prob
44.0%
EV/u
0.113
Stake
0.36u
Lost -0.36u
First 5 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
2.48
Prob
43.8%
EV/u
0.038
Stake
0.08u
Lost -0.08u
First 5 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
home
Odds
2.56
Prob
43.6%
EV/u
0.100
Stake
0.25u
Lost -0.25u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
2.61
Prob
43.7%
EV/u
0.049
Stake
0.10u
Lost -0.10u
First 5 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
New York Mets New York Mets
home
Odds
3.05
Prob
43.2%
EV/u
0.289
Stake
0.59u
Won +1.21u
First 5 innings mlb
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
home
Odds
2.62
Prob
43.8%
EV/u
0.129
Stake
0.35u
Lost -0.35u
First 5 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
home
Odds
2.73
Prob
43.7%
EV/u
0.171
Stake
0.43u
Lost -0.43u
First 5 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
2.78
Prob
44.0%
EV/u
0.101
Stake
0.21u
Lost -0.21u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
3.18
Prob
43.7%
EV/u
0.254
Stake
0.52u
Lost -0.52u
First 5 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
home
Odds
2.65
Prob
43.2%
EV/u
0.126
Stake
0.30u
Won +0.50u
First 5 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
home
Odds
2.82
Prob
43.5%
EV/u
0.205
Stake
0.51u
Lost -0.51u
First 5 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
home
Odds
2.59
Prob
43.7%
EV/u
0.113
Stake
0.26u
Won +0.41u
First 5 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
home
Odds
2.14
Prob
53.3%
EV/u
0.085
Stake
0.20u
Lost -0.20u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
home
Odds
2.42
Prob
51.8%
EV/u
0.180
Stake
0.41u
Lost -0.41u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
home
Odds
2.44
Prob
47.0%
EV/u
0.091
Stake
0.20u
Lost -0.20u
First 5 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
home
Odds
2.31
Prob
53.2%
EV/u
0.160
Stake
0.40u
Won +0.52u
First 5 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
home
Odds
2.20
Prob
51.1%
EV/u
0.071
Stake
0.16u
Lost -0.16u
First 5 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
home
Odds
2.57
Prob
47.9%
EV/u
0.209
Stake
0.43u
Won +0.68u
First 5 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
home
Odds
2.71
Prob
48.8%
EV/u
0.295
Stake
0.94u
Won +1.61u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
2.36
Prob
50.7%
EV/u
0.133
Stake
0.58u
Won +0.79u
First 5 innings mlb
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
home
Odds
2.52
Prob
48.2%
EV/u
0.193
Stake
0.44u
Won +0.67u
First 5 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
home
Odds
2.38
Prob
47.0%
EV/u
0.066
Stake
0.16u
Won +0.22u
First 5 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
home
Odds
2.28
Prob
49.2%
EV/u
0.068
Stake
0.18u
Won +0.23u
First 5 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
home
Odds
2.63
Prob
49.2%
EV/u
0.268
Stake
0.55u
Lost -0.55u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
home
Odds
2.30
Prob
50.8%
EV/u
0.109
Stake
0.32u
Lost -0.32u
First 5 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
home
Odds
2.03
Prob
54.5%
EV/u
0.055
Stake
0.15u
Won +0.15u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
home
Odds
2.34
Prob
50.7%
EV/u
0.124
Stake
0.56u
Won +0.75u
First 5 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
home
Odds
2.21
Prob
49.4%
EV/u
0.043
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
First 5 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
home
Odds
2.38
Prob
50.5%
EV/u
0.136
Stake
0.58u
Won +0.80u
First 5 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
home
Odds
2.08
Prob
51.3%
EV/u
0.022
Stake
0.25u
Lost -0.25u
First 5 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
home
Odds
2.54
Prob
52.8%
EV/u
0.312
Stake
0.60u
Won +0.92u
First 5 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
New York Yankees New York Yankees
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
52.2%
EV/u
0.203
Stake
0.42u
Lost -0.42u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
home
Odds
2.36
Prob
53.4%
EV/u
0.186
Stake
0.40u
Won +0.54u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
away
Odds
2.92
Prob
48.4%
EV/u
0.051
Stake
0.06u
Lost -0.06u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
home
Odds
2.32
Prob
50.5%
EV/u
0.112
Stake
0.20u
Lost -0.20u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
home
Odds
2.37
Prob
47.7%
EV/u
0.077
Stake
0.12u
Won +0.16u
First 5 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
away
Odds
3.25
Prob
48.3%
EV/u
0.194
Stake
0.48u
Won +1.08u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
home
Odds
2.23
Prob
52.8%
EV/u
0.117
Stake
0.58u
Lost -0.58u
First 5 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
away
Odds
2.73
Prob
46.7%
EV/u
0.028
Stake
0.12u
Lost -0.12u
First 5 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
home
Odds
1.96
Prob
56.9%
EV/u
0.063
Stake
0.36u
Lost -0.36u
First 5 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
3.24
Prob
49.1%
EV/u
0.129
Stake
0.33u
Won +0.74u
First 5 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
home
Odds
2.32
Prob
51.4%
EV/u
0.130
Stake
0.59u
Won +0.78u
First 5 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
home
Odds
2.22
Prob
53.3%
EV/u
0.122
Stake
0.60u
Won +0.73u
First 5 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
away
Odds
3.20
Prob
51.9%
EV/u
0.034
Stake
0.09u
Won +0.20u
First 5 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
home
Odds
2.15
Prob
54.0%
EV/u
0.102
Stake
0.52u
Won +0.60u
First 5 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
3.60
Prob
52.7%
EV/u
0.201
Stake
0.28u
Lost -0.28u
First 5 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
home
Odds
2.24
Prob
52.0%
EV/u
0.106
Stake
0.53u
Lost -0.53u
First 5 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
home
Odds
2.42
Prob
53.5%
EV/u
0.215
Stake
0.83u
Lost -0.83u
First 5 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
home
Odds
2.06
Prob
51.7%
EV/u
0.021
Stake
0.25u
Won +0.27u
First 5 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
home
Odds
2.21
Prob
53.3%
EV/u
0.116
Stake
0.59u
Won +0.71u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
home
Odds
2.07
Prob
52.8%
EV/u
0.044
Stake
0.17u
Won +0.18u
First 5 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
home
Odds
2.20
Prob
48.6%
EV/u
0.024
Stake
0.08u
Won +0.10u
First 5 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
home
Odds
2.16
Prob
55.5%
EV/u
0.135
Stake
0.51u
Lost -0.51u
First 5 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
home
Odds
2.19
Prob
50.7%
EV/u
0.059
Stake
0.23u
Won +0.27u
First 5 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
home
Odds
3.23
Prob
46.0%
EV/u
0.451
Stake
0.80u
Lost -0.80u
First 5 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
2.35
Prob
32.4%
EV/u
0.062
Stake
0.33u
Won +0.45u
First 5 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
home
Odds
2.34
Prob
46.1%
EV/u
0.031
Stake
0.05u
Lost -0.05u
First 5 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
2.77
Prob
43.7%
EV/u
0.140
Stake
0.27u
Won +0.48u
First 5 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
away
Odds
3.44
Prob
31.5%
EV/u
0.730
Stake
1.12u
Lost -1.12u
First 5 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
2.94
Prob
46.8%
EV/u
0.176
Stake
0.35u
Won +0.68u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
2.61
Prob
44.7%
EV/u
0.045
Stake
0.19u
Lost -0.19u
First 5 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
2.95
Prob
42.3%
EV/u
0.195
Stake
0.56u
Lost -0.56u
First 5 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
2.53
Prob
43.5%
EV/u
0.025
Stake
0.13u
Won +0.20u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
3.02
Prob
40.8%
EV/u
0.228
Stake
0.51u
Won +1.03u
First 5 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
away
Odds
3.26
Prob
44.7%
EV/u
0.325
Stake
0.67u
Lost -0.67u
First 5 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
2.96
Prob
47.2%
EV/u
0.153
Stake
0.29u
Lost -0.29u
First 5 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
2.99
Prob
44.3%
EV/u
0.169
Stake
0.33u
Lost -0.33u
First 5 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
2.41
Prob
40.7%
EV/u
0.028
Stake
0.08u
Lost -0.08u
First 5 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
2.66
Prob
46.0%
EV/u
0.047
Stake
0.14u
Lost -0.14u
First 5 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
3.29
Prob
44.9%
EV/u
0.254
Stake
0.50u
Won +1.15u
First 5 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
3.38
Prob
41.8%
EV/u
0.386
Stake
0.73u
Lost -0.73u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
away
Odds
2.69
Prob
40.0%
EV/u
0.090
Stake
0.26u
Lost -0.26u
First 5 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
Houston Astros Houston Astros
away
Odds
2.45
Prob
40.2%
EV/u
0.029
Stake
0.09u
Won +0.13u
First 5 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
3.30
Prob
32.9%
EV/u
0.586
Stake
0.65u
Lost -0.65u
First 5 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
3.41
Prob
42.9%
EV/u
0.278
Stake
0.29u
Lost -0.29u
First 5 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
2.94
Prob
39.1%
EV/u
0.310
Stake
0.40u
Lost -0.40u
First 5 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
away
Odds
3.57
Prob
41.4%
EV/u
0.478
Stake
0.32u
Won +0.82u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
43.2%
EV/u
0.100
Stake
0.09u
Won +0.15u
First 5 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
Houston Astros Houston Astros
home
Odds
2.48
Prob
45.1%
EV/u
0.065
Stake
0.05u
Lost -0.05u
First 5 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
home
Odds
2.21
Prob
49.8%
EV/u
0.050
Stake
0.15u
Lost -0.15u
First 5 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
2.62
Prob
44.8%
EV/u
0.070
Stake
0.18u
Won +0.29u
First 5 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
away
Odds
3.28
Prob
43.4%
EV/u
0.319
Stake
0.61u
Lost -0.61u
First 5 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
2.59
Prob
42.8%
EV/u
0.024
Stake
0.05u
Lost -0.05u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
home
Odds
2.21
Prob
59.0%
EV/u
0.224
Stake
0.81u
Won +0.98u
First 5 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
2.73
Prob
47.1%
EV/u
0.062
Stake
0.22u
Lost -0.22u
First 5 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees New York Yankees
away
Odds
3.49
Prob
54.5%
EV/u
0.083
Stake
0.20u
Won +0.50u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.