Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Jul 15, 2026 11:44 AM EDT
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Washington Nationals
home
Odds
3.30
Prob
47.8%
EV/u
0.537
Stake
0.71u
Won
+1.63u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
2.65
Prob
47.5%
EV/u
0.235
Stake
0.44u
Lost
-0.44u
First 5 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
San Diego Padres
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
47.2%
EV/u
0.098
Stake
0.15u
Won
+0.22u
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Washington Nationals
home
Odds
2.43
Prob
47.5%
EV/u
0.099
Stake
0.32u
Lost
-0.32u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
2.81
Prob
47.8%
EV/u
0.106
Stake
0.29u
Lost
-0.29u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Milwaukee Brewers
home
Odds
2.32
Prob
47.4%
EV/u
0.052
Stake
0.15u
Won
+0.20u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
home
Odds
2.51
Prob
47.8%
EV/u
0.179
Stake
0.57u
Won
+0.86u
First 5 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Miami Marlins
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
47.7%
EV/u
0.096
Stake
0.27u
Won
+0.49u
First 5 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Miami Marlins
away
Odds
2.71
Prob
47.3%
EV/u
0.076
Stake
0.20u
Lost
-0.20u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Oakland Athletics
away
Odds
2.67
Prob
47.7%
EV/u
0.045
Stake
0.18u
Lost
-0.18u
First 5 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
New York Yankees
home
Odds
2.55
Prob
47.3%
EV/u
0.185
Stake
0.48u
Won
+0.74u
First 5 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
3.20
Prob
47.6%
EV/u
0.252
Stake
0.46u
Lost
-0.46u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
3.15
Prob
47.3%
EV/u
0.224
Stake
0.42u
Won
+0.90u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Washington Nationals
away
Odds
2.78
Prob
47.1%
EV/u
0.098
Stake
0.20u
Won
+0.36u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Philadelphia Phillies
home
Odds
2.32
Prob
47.4%
EV/u
0.052
Stake
0.11u
Won
+0.15u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
47.4%
EV/u
0.066
Stake
0.13u
Lost
-0.13u
First 5 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
3.45
Prob
47.6%
EV/u
0.340
Stake
0.52u
Lost
-0.52u
First 5 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
3.15
Prob
47.6%
EV/u
0.233
Stake
0.42u
Won
+0.90u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Toronto Blue Jays
home
Odds
2.31
Prob
47.5%
EV/u
0.049
Stake
0.12u
Lost
-0.12u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
away
Odds
2.95
Prob
47.5%
EV/u
0.162
Stake
0.33u
Lost
-0.33u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Philadelphia Phillies
home
Odds
2.35
Prob
47.1%
EV/u
0.059
Stake
0.14u
Lost
-0.14u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Seattle Mariners
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
47.2%
EV/u
0.101
Stake
0.27u
Lost
-0.27u
First 5 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
New York Yankees
away
Odds
3.20
Prob
47.1%
EV/u
0.273
Stake
0.40u
Lost
-0.40u
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Oakland Athletics
home
Odds
2.85
Prob
47.4%
EV/u
0.322
Stake
0.55u
Won
+1.02u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
2.88
Prob
47.7%
EV/u
0.129
Stake
0.16u
Lost
-0.16u
First 5 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
2.68
Prob
47.4%
EV/u
0.059
Stake
0.06u
Lost
-0.06u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Seattle Mariners
home
Odds
2.95
Prob
47.4%
EV/u
0.367
Stake
0.59u
Lost
-0.59u
First 5 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Tampa Bay Rays
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
47.9%
EV/u
0.223
Stake
0.41u
Won
+0.66u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
3.20
Prob
47.4%
EV/u
0.257
Stake
0.38u
Lost
-0.38u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Washington Nationals
home
Odds
2.85
Prob
47.6%
EV/u
0.327
Stake
0.56u
Lost
-0.56u
First 5 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Cleveland Indians
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
47.3%
EV/u
0.207
Stake
0.37u
Won
+0.59u
First 5 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
3.05
Prob
47.3%
EV/u
0.200
Stake
0.48u
Won
+0.98u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
2.66
Prob
47.7%
EV/u
0.037
Stake
0.09u
Won
+0.15u
First 5 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
3.75
Prob
47.8%
EV/u
0.488
Stake
0.57u
Lost
-0.57u
First 5 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
2.67
Prob
47.6%
EV/u
0.056
Stake
0.14u
Lost
-0.14u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
47.9%
EV/u
0.077
Stake
0.20u
Lost
-0.20u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
San Francisco Giants
home
Odds
2.43
Prob
47.6%
EV/u
0.100
Stake
0.32u
Won
+0.46u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
New York Mets
home
Odds
2.52
Prob
43.4%
EV/u
0.078
Stake
0.19u
Won
+0.29u
First 5 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
2.73
Prob
43.2%
EV/u
0.226
Stake
0.54u
Lost
-0.54u
First 5 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
2.46
Prob
42.3%
EV/u
0.075
Stake
0.19u
Lost
-0.19u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
2.37
Prob
43.8%
EV/u
0.026
Stake
0.06u
Lost
-0.06u
First 5 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
Los Angeles Angels
away
Odds
4.30
Prob
42.8%
EV/u
0.959
Stake
0.45u
Lost
-0.45u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
San Francisco Giants
away
Odds
2.56
Prob
43.0%
EV/u
0.137
Stake
0.37u
Lost
-0.37u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
New York Mets
away
Odds
2.51
Prob
43.3%
EV/u
0.131
Stake
0.34u
Won
+0.51u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
2.44
Prob
43.8%
EV/u
0.067
Stake
0.15u
Lost
-0.15u
First 5 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
2.65
Prob
42.8%
EV/u
0.196
Stake
0.55u
Lost
-0.55u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
San Francisco Giants
away
Odds
2.95
Prob
43.3%
EV/u
0.327
Stake
0.76u
Lost
-0.76u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
3.45
Prob
44.0%
EV/u
0.538
Stake
0.69u
Lost
-0.69u
First 5 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
2.78
Prob
43.1%
EV/u
0.251
Stake
0.44u
Lost
-0.44u
First 5 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
2.46
Prob
43.7%
EV/u
0.076
Stake
0.10u
Lost
-0.10u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Diego Padres
away
Odds
3.60
Prob
43.5%
EV/u
0.651
Stake
0.47u
Lost
-0.47u
First 5 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
San Francisco Giants
home
Odds
2.55
Prob
43.0%
EV/u
0.081
Stake
0.10u
Lost
-0.10u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
2.53
Prob
43.0%
EV/u
0.135
Stake
0.23u
Won
+0.35u
First 5 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Los Angeles Angels
away
Odds
2.45
Prob
43.6%
EV/u
0.070
Stake
0.10u
Lost
-0.10u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Houston Astros
away
Odds
2.38
Prob
43.6%
EV/u
0.044
Stake
0.06u
Lost
-0.06u
First 5 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
New York Mets
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
42.8%
EV/u
0.392
Stake
0.54u
Lost
-0.54u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
2.57
Prob
43.1%
EV/u
0.169
Stake
0.31u
Lost
-0.31u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Cleveland Indians
away
Odds
3.20
Prob
43.4%
EV/u
0.425
Stake
0.56u
Won
+1.23u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
2.48
Prob
43.0%
EV/u
0.084
Stake
0.29u
Won
+0.43u
First 5 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Los Angeles Angels
away
Odds
3.50
Prob
42.5%
EV/u
0.611
Stake
0.80u
Lost
-0.80u
First 5 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Chicago Cubs
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
43.7%
EV/u
0.224
Stake
0.71u
Won
+1.24u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Minnesota Twins
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
43.6%
EV/u
0.074
Stake
0.25u
Lost
-0.25u
First 5 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
New York Yankees
away
Odds
2.40
Prob
43.3%
EV/u
0.060
Stake
0.20u
Lost
-0.20u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
San Diego Padres
home
Odds
2.54
Prob
43.3%
EV/u
0.084
Stake
0.28u
Lost
-0.28u
First 5 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
Miami Marlins
away
Odds
2.40
Prob
43.3%
EV/u
0.058
Stake
0.20u
Won
+0.28u
First 5 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
43.4%
EV/u
0.241
Stake
0.65u
Won
+1.14u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Cleveland Indians
away
Odds
2.43
Prob
43.1%
EV/u
0.065
Stake
0.22u
Lost
-0.22u
First 5 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Pittsburgh Pirates
home
Odds
2.95
Prob
42.6%
EV/u
0.233
Stake
0.45u
Won
+0.88u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Minnesota Twins
home
Odds
2.75
Prob
43.4%
EV/u
0.173
Stake
0.37u
Lost
-0.37u
First 5 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
2.38
Prob
43.3%
EV/u
0.044
Stake
0.08u
Won
+0.11u
First 5 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
2.40
Prob
43.5%
EV/u
0.052
Stake
0.10u
Won
+0.14u
First 5 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
Miami Marlins
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
44.1%
EV/u
0.138
Stake
0.33u
Lost
-0.33u
First 5 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
43.2%
EV/u
0.213
Stake
0.47u
Won
+0.80u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Houston Astros
away
Odds
2.57
Prob
43.6%
EV/u
0.158
Stake
0.17u
Lost
-0.17u
First 5 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Seattle Mariners
home
Odds
3.30
Prob
42.5%
EV/u
0.371
Stake
0.38u
Won
+0.87u
First 5 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
New York Yankees
home
Odds
2.90
Prob
43.3%
EV/u
0.232
Stake
0.28u
Won
+0.53u
First 5 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
43.0%
EV/u
0.168
Stake
0.19u
Won
+0.30u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
San Diego Padres
home
Odds
2.85
Prob
43.8%
EV/u
0.225
Stake
0.27u
Lost
-0.27u
First 5 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
Miami Marlins
away
Odds
3.40
Prob
43.0%
EV/u
0.520
Stake
0.51u
Won
+1.22u
First 5 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
3.70
Prob
43.4%
EV/u
0.705
Stake
0.80u
Won
+2.16u
First 5 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
Miami Marlins
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
43.4%
EV/u
0.147
Stake
0.49u
Lost
-0.49u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Chicago Cubs
home
Odds
2.70
Prob
43.6%
EV/u
0.158
Stake
0.51u
Lost
-0.51u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
2.42
Prob
43.4%
EV/u
0.057
Stake
0.07u
Lost
-0.07u
First 5 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Miami Marlins
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
42.7%
EV/u
0.054
Stake
0.06u
Lost
-0.06u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Washington Nationals
away
Odds
2.65
Prob
43.1%
EV/u
0.183
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
2.90
Prob
43.4%
EV/u
0.304
Stake
0.49u
Won
+0.93u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
San Diego Padres
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
42.9%
EV/u
0.236
Stake
0.41u
Lost
-0.41u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
2.83
Prob
43.6%
EV/u
0.275
Stake
0.46u
Lost
-0.46u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cleveland Indians
New York Yankees
away
Odds
2.45
Prob
43.1%
EV/u
0.076
Stake
0.10u
Lost
-0.10u
First 5 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Texas Rangers
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
43.6%
EV/u
0.251
Stake
0.42u
Won
+0.76u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Washington Nationals
away
Odds
2.52
Prob
43.4%
EV/u
0.145
Stake
0.25u
Lost
-0.25u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
3.80
Prob
43.4%
EV/u
0.745
Stake
0.44u
Lost
-0.44u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
San Diego Padres
home
Odds
2.95
Prob
43.2%
EV/u
0.250
Stake
0.38u
Lost
-0.38u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
2.52
Prob
43.2%
EV/u
0.126
Stake
0.21u
Won
+0.32u
First 5 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
2.45
Prob
43.0%
EV/u
0.071
Stake
0.15u
Won
+0.22u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cleveland Indians
New York Yankees
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
42.7%
EV/u
0.155
Stake
0.35u
Lost
-0.35u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Washington Nationals
away
Odds
2.73
Prob
42.9%
EV/u
0.234
Stake
0.47u
Won
+0.81u
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
2.90
Prob
43.3%
EV/u
0.307
Stake
0.55u
Lost
-0.55u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
2.44
Prob
43.3%
EV/u
0.062
Stake
0.13u
Won
+0.19u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
San Diego Padres
away
Odds
2.45
Prob
43.3%
EV/u
0.072
Stake
0.15u
Won
+0.22u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.