Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Jul 15, 2026 11:44 AM EDT
First 5 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
2.30
Prob
34.8%
EV/u
0.052
Stake
0.31u
Lost
-0.31u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Boston Red Sox
away
Odds
2.46
Prob
34.0%
EV/u
0.128
Stake
0.52u
Lost
-0.52u
First 5 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Pittsburgh Pirates
home
Odds
2.84
Prob
36.9%
EV/u
0.034
Stake
0.13u
Lost
-0.13u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
2.22
Prob
33.2%
EV/u
0.031
Stake
0.25u
Lost
-0.25u
First 5 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Cleveland Indians
away
Odds
3.57
Prob
37.1%
EV/u
0.639
Stake
0.80u
Lost
-0.80u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
Chicago Cubs
home
Odds
2.86
Prob
37.9%
EV/u
0.068
Stake
0.23u
Lost
-0.23u
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
2.28
Prob
35.3%
EV/u
0.034
Stake
0.25u
Lost
-0.25u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Houston Astros
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
46.8%
EV/u
0.046
Stake
0.19u
Lost
-0.19u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Chicago Cubs
away
Odds
2.68
Prob
47.6%
EV/u
0.057
Stake
0.21u
Lost
-0.21u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Washington Nationals
away
Odds
2.67
Prob
47.3%
EV/u
0.070
Stake
0.26u
Won
+0.43u
First 5 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Houston Astros
home
Odds
1.89
Prob
57.8%
EV/u
0.043
Stake
0.31u
Won
+0.27u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Washington Nationals
home
Odds
1.96
Prob
61.1%
EV/u
0.134
Stake
0.62u
Lost
-0.62u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cleveland Indians
New York Yankees
away
Odds
2.85
Prob
48.6%
EV/u
0.049
Stake
0.17u
Won
+0.31u
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Boston Red Sox
away
Odds
3.32
Prob
52.1%
EV/u
0.139
Stake
0.34u
Lost
-0.34u
First 5 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
2.37
Prob
40.8%
EV/u
0.033
Stake
0.23u
Lost
-0.23u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Seattle Mariners
home
Odds
2.54
Prob
67.9%
EV/u
0.678
Stake
0.68u
Lost
-0.68u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Cincinnati Reds
home
Odds
2.13
Prob
60.0%
EV/u
0.202
Stake
0.44u
Lost
-0.44u
First 5 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
New York Mets
home
Odds
1.79
Prob
62.7%
EV/u
0.069
Stake
0.12u
Won
+0.09u
First 5 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
2.18
Prob
52.8%
EV/u
0.095
Stake
0.15u
Lost
-0.15u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
2.12
Prob
59.8%
EV/u
0.194
Stake
0.41u
Won
+0.46u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cleveland Indians
Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
3.34
Prob
51.8%
EV/u
0.194
Stake
0.25u
Lost
-0.25u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Oakland Athletics
home
Odds
1.83
Prob
66.7%
EV/u
0.151
Stake
0.35u
Won
+0.29u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Cincinnati Reds
home
Odds
2.91
Prob
52.7%
EV/u
0.495
Stake
0.75u
Won
+1.43u
First 5 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
Pittsburgh Pirates
home
Odds
1.78
Prob
64.1%
EV/u
0.086
Stake
0.17u
Won
+0.13u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
4.13
Prob
48.6%
EV/u
0.670
Stake
0.28u
Lost
-0.28u
First 5 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Houston Astros
away
Odds
3.11
Prob
43.0%
EV/u
0.332
Stake
0.67u
Won
+1.41u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Arizona Diamondbacks
home
Odds
2.38
Prob
57.2%
EV/u
0.273
Stake
0.63u
Won
+0.87u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
3.56
Prob
47.3%
EV/u
0.448
Stake
0.50u
Won
+1.28u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
2.17
Prob
34.7%
EV/u
0.125
Stake
0.64u
Won
+0.75u
First 5 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
Pittsburgh Pirates
home
Odds
2.12
Prob
52.0%
EV/u
0.053
Stake
0.37u
Lost
-0.37u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
2.04
Prob
57.5%
EV/u
0.113
Stake
0.66u
Won
+0.69u
First 5 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Toronto Blue Jays
home
Odds
2.89
Prob
52.1%
EV/u
0.468
Stake
0.59u
Won
+1.12u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Cincinnati Reds
home
Odds
2.37
Prob
60.2%
EV/u
0.329
Stake
0.48u
Lost
-0.48u
First 5 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Seattle Mariners
home
Odds
1.69
Prob
66.0%
EV/u
0.064
Stake
0.07u
Won
+0.05u
First 5 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
home
Odds
2.96
Prob
60.3%
EV/u
0.735
Stake
0.66u
Won
+1.29u
First 5 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
3.05
Prob
45.7%
EV/u
0.209
Stake
0.37u
Won
+0.76u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Detroit Tigers
home
Odds
2.69
Prob
45.6%
EV/u
0.205
Stake
0.41u
Won
+0.69u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Cincinnati Reds
home
Odds
2.59
Prob
45.0%
EV/u
0.146
Stake
0.26u
Won
+0.41u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Diego Padres
away
Odds
3.11
Prob
46.3%
EV/u
0.220
Stake
0.38u
Lost
-0.38u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
2.90
Prob
45.3%
EV/u
0.170
Stake
0.29u
Lost
-0.29u
First 5 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Francisco Giants
away
Odds
2.64
Prob
45.4%
EV/u
0.063
Stake
0.09u
Lost
-0.09u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Los Angeles Angels
home
Odds
2.95
Prob
46.0%
EV/u
0.327
Stake
0.66u
Won
+1.29u
First 5 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
46.4%
EV/u
0.106
Stake
0.18u
Won
+0.32u
First 5 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Washington Nationals
away
Odds
3.38
Prob
46.6%
EV/u
0.350
Stake
0.58u
Won
+1.38u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
2.71
Prob
45.9%
EV/u
0.096
Stake
0.16u
Lost
-0.16u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
2.84
Prob
46.4%
EV/u
0.123
Stake
0.22u
Won
+0.40u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
2.77
Prob
46.2%
EV/u
0.115
Stake
0.14u
Lost
-0.14u
First 5 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Minnesota Twins
home
Odds
2.74
Prob
46.5%
EV/u
0.249
Stake
0.44u
Lost
-0.44u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Chicago Cubs
away
Odds
3.94
Prob
46.3%
EV/u
0.626
Stake
0.45u
Won
+1.32u
First 5 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
New York Yankees
home
Odds
2.80
Prob
45.0%
EV/u
0.237
Stake
0.40u
Won
+0.72u
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels
home
Odds
2.68
Prob
46.2%
EV/u
0.216
Stake
0.35u
Lost
-0.35u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Tampa Bay Rays
home
Odds
2.64
Prob
46.0%
EV/u
0.193
Stake
0.59u
Lost
-0.59u
First 5 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Texas Rangers
home
Odds
2.74
Prob
46.8%
EV/u
0.257
Stake
0.73u
Won
+1.27u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Francisco Giants
home
Odds
2.46
Prob
45.8%
EV/u
0.073
Stake
0.20u
Lost
-0.20u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Colorado Rockies
home
Odds
2.46
Prob
46.7%
EV/u
0.094
Stake
0.28u
Won
+0.41u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Tampa Bay Rays
home
Odds
2.39
Prob
46.8%
EV/u
0.068
Stake
0.20u
Lost
-0.20u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Chicago Cubs
home
Odds
2.61
Prob
46.0%
EV/u
0.179
Stake
0.53u
Lost
-0.53u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
2.39
Prob
45.5%
EV/u
0.041
Stake
0.11u
Lost
-0.11u
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels
away
Odds
2.97
Prob
46.3%
EV/u
0.195
Stake
0.47u
Lost
-0.47u
First 5 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Miami Marlins
away
Odds
3.05
Prob
45.8%
EV/u
0.210
Stake
0.49u
Won
+1.00u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Tampa Bay Rays
home
Odds
2.90
Prob
46.9%
EV/u
0.330
Stake
0.73u
Won
+1.39u
First 5 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Texas Rangers
home
Odds
2.71
Prob
46.0%
EV/u
0.222
Stake
0.48u
Lost
-0.48u
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
3.70
Prob
45.1%
EV/u
0.542
Stake
0.56u
Won
+1.51u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Minnesota Twins
home
Odds
3.10
Prob
46.3%
EV/u
0.402
Stake
0.46u
Won
+0.97u
First 5 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Texas Rangers
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
45.6%
EV/u
0.122
Stake
0.10u
Lost
-0.10u
First 5 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Washington Nationals
home
Odds
2.71
Prob
45.2%
EV/u
0.202
Stake
0.19u
Won
+0.32u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
3.69
Prob
45.9%
EV/u
0.486
Stake
0.29u
Lost
-0.29u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Arizona Diamondbacks
home
Odds
3.30
Prob
46.9%
EV/u
0.508
Stake
0.53u
Won
+1.22u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
New York Mets
away
Odds
4.02
Prob
45.6%
EV/u
0.646
Stake
0.23u
Lost
-0.23u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
2.53
Prob
45.3%
EV/u
0.128
Stake
0.31u
Lost
-0.31u
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Chicago White Sox
home
Odds
2.85
Prob
46.1%
EV/u
0.286
Stake
0.63u
Won
+1.17u
First 5 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
2.48
Prob
46.5%
EV/u
0.096
Stake
0.21u
Lost
-0.21u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
2.57
Prob
46.0%
EV/u
0.032
Stake
0.05u
Lost
-0.05u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Chicago Cubs
away
Odds
3.31
Prob
46.4%
EV/u
0.338
Stake
0.59u
Won
+1.36u
First 5 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Oakland Athletics
home
Odds
3.92
Prob
46.4%
EV/u
0.818
Stake
0.80u
Lost
-0.80u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Texas Rangers
home
Odds
2.36
Prob
46.2%
EV/u
0.044
Stake
0.07u
Lost
-0.07u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cleveland Indians
Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
2.73
Prob
46.0%
EV/u
0.091
Stake
0.15u
Lost
-0.15u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
2.97
Prob
45.7%
EV/u
0.176
Stake
0.35u
Won
+0.69u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
2.98
Prob
46.5%
EV/u
0.177
Stake
0.35u
Lost
-0.35u
First 5 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Oakland Athletics
away
Odds
3.98
Prob
46.7%
EV/u
0.616
Stake
0.52u
Lost
-0.52u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
3.04
Prob
46.1%
EV/u
0.187
Stake
0.36u
Won
+0.73u
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
2.67
Prob
46.0%
EV/u
0.056
Stake
0.21u
Lost
-0.21u
First 5 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
2.84
Prob
46.4%
EV/u
0.115
Stake
0.36u
Won
+0.66u
First 5 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Oakland Athletics
away
Odds
2.95
Prob
46.3%
EV/u
0.172
Stake
0.49u
Lost
-0.49u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
2.77
Prob
45.6%
EV/u
0.095
Stake
0.32u
Lost
-0.32u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
2.44
Prob
46.9%
EV/u
0.089
Stake
0.40u
Lost
-0.40u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Texas Rangers
away
Odds
3.81
Prob
44.4%
EV/u
0.568
Stake
0.48u
Lost
-0.48u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
St. Louis Cardinals
home
Odds
2.35
Prob
45.7%
EV/u
0.027
Stake
0.05u
Lost
-0.05u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
2.88
Prob
45.3%
EV/u
0.180
Stake
0.36u
Lost
-0.36u
First 5 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
2.36
Prob
46.5%
EV/u
0.049
Stake
0.09u
Lost
-0.09u
First 5 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Oakland Athletics
away
Odds
2.79
Prob
45.2%
EV/u
0.144
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.54u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
Milwaukee Brewers
home
Odds
2.86
Prob
45.2%
EV/u
0.267
Stake
0.52u
Lost
-0.52u
First 5 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
2.63
Prob
45.9%
EV/u
0.053
Stake
0.13u
Won
+0.21u
First 5 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
2.96
Prob
46.6%
EV/u
0.158
Stake
0.44u
Lost
-0.44u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
2.84
Prob
46.1%
EV/u
0.130
Stake
0.38u
Lost
-0.38u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
45.6%
EV/u
0.099
Stake
0.27u
Won
+0.47u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
New York Mets
away
Odds
2.62
Prob
46.0%
EV/u
0.039
Stake
0.09u
Lost
-0.09u
First 5 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
2.97
Prob
46.3%
EV/u
0.180
Stake
0.49u
Lost
-0.49u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Pittsburgh Pirates
home
Odds
3.03
Prob
46.1%
EV/u
0.365
Stake
0.54u
Won
+1.10u
First 5 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Miami Marlins
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
45.7%
EV/u
0.103
Stake
0.09u
Lost
-0.09u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.