Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Jul 15, 2026 11:44 AM EDT
First 5 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
New York Yankees
away
Odds
2.47
Prob
38.5%
EV/u
0.117
Stake
0.39u
Lost
-0.39u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Washington Nationals
away
Odds
2.57
Prob
39.1%
EV/u
0.207
Stake
0.68u
Won
+1.07u
First 5 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
2.33
Prob
40.0%
EV/u
0.048
Stake
0.13u
Lost
-0.13u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
New York Yankees
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
38.7%
EV/u
0.197
Stake
0.39u
Lost
-0.39u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
2.57
Prob
38.5%
EV/u
0.219
Stake
0.42u
Won
+0.66u
First 5 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
2.61
Prob
37.9%
EV/u
0.247
Stake
0.46u
Won
+0.74u
First 5 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
2.34
Prob
38.0%
EV/u
0.073
Stake
0.11u
Lost
-0.11u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Chicago Cubs
away
Odds
2.30
Prob
38.5%
EV/u
0.062
Stake
0.09u
Won
+0.12u
First 5 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Boston Red Sox
away
Odds
2.56
Prob
40.1%
EV/u
0.179
Stake
0.33u
Won
+0.51u
First 5 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
3.48
Prob
39.8%
EV/u
0.599
Stake
0.69u
Lost
-0.69u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
40.1%
EV/u
0.263
Stake
0.44u
Lost
-0.44u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cleveland Indians
Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
2.35
Prob
38.4%
EV/u
0.070
Stake
0.09u
Lost
-0.09u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
39.5%
EV/u
0.277
Stake
0.46u
Lost
-0.46u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
2.42
Prob
39.7%
EV/u
0.090
Stake
0.12u
Won
+0.17u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
New York Yankees
away
Odds
3.20
Prob
40.1%
EV/u
0.464
Stake
0.93u
Won
+2.05u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
39.2%
EV/u
0.438
Stake
0.87u
Lost
-0.87u
First 5 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
3.38
Prob
39.2%
EV/u
0.564
Stake
0.43u
Won
+1.02u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cleveland Indians
Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
39.9%
EV/u
0.270
Stake
0.23u
Lost
-0.23u
First 5 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
New York Mets
away
Odds
2.88
Prob
38.3%
EV/u
0.342
Stake
0.32u
Won
+0.60u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
39.7%
EV/u
0.435
Stake
0.38u
Lost
-0.38u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
2.69
Prob
38.5%
EV/u
0.274
Stake
0.24u
Won
+0.41u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
2.58
Prob
38.0%
EV/u
0.233
Stake
0.20u
Won
+0.32u
First 5 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
38.5%
EV/u
0.455
Stake
0.36u
Lost
-0.36u
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
40.4%
EV/u
0.258
Stake
0.16u
Lost
-0.16u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Miami Marlins
away
Odds
3.05
Prob
37.5%
EV/u
0.447
Stake
0.35u
Won
+0.72u
First 5 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
3.25
Prob
37.7%
EV/u
0.527
Stake
0.39u
Lost
-0.39u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
2.72
Prob
39.9%
EV/u
0.261
Stake
0.16u
Won
+0.28u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Oakland Athletics
away
Odds
3.20
Prob
38.1%
EV/u
0.514
Stake
0.38u
Won
+0.84u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cleveland Indians
Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
3.50
Prob
39.9%
EV/u
0.654
Stake
0.35u
Lost
-0.35u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
2.63
Prob
38.5%
EV/u
0.247
Stake
0.33u
Lost
-0.33u
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels
away
Odds
2.88
Prob
41.0%
EV/u
0.306
Stake
0.39u
Won
+0.73u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
39.7%
EV/u
0.172
Stake
0.20u
Lost
-0.20u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
2.50
Prob
39.7%
EV/u
0.162
Stake
0.19u
Won
+0.29u
First 5 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
39.2%
EV/u
0.257
Stake
0.34u
Lost
-0.34u
First 5 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Los Angeles Angels
away
Odds
2.30
Prob
37.4%
EV/u
0.078
Stake
0.16u
Won
+0.21u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
San Francisco Giants
away
Odds
2.45
Prob
40.7%
EV/u
0.077
Stake
0.15u
Lost
-0.15u
First 5 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
40.0%
EV/u
0.290
Stake
0.51u
Won
+0.92u
First 5 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
2.25
Prob
38.5%
EV/u
0.043
Stake
0.08u
Lost
-0.08u
First 5 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
40.1%
EV/u
0.285
Stake
0.50u
Lost
-0.50u
First 5 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
40.2%
EV/u
0.197
Stake
0.40u
Lost
-0.40u
First 5 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Los Angeles Angels
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
39.7%
EV/u
0.188
Stake
0.29u
Lost
-0.29u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Houston Astros
away
Odds
2.40
Prob
40.2%
EV/u
0.074
Stake
0.09u
Lost
-0.09u
First 5 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
37.6%
EV/u
0.293
Stake
0.45u
Won
+0.77u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
New York Mets
away
Odds
2.82
Prob
41.3%
EV/u
0.273
Stake
0.39u
Won
+0.71u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Washington Nationals
away
Odds
2.90
Prob
38.5%
EV/u
0.372
Stake
0.51u
Won
+0.97u
First 5 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Cleveland Indians
away
Odds
2.33
Prob
38.9%
EV/u
0.064
Stake
0.07u
Lost
-0.07u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Pittsburgh Pirates
home
Odds
2.25
Prob
53.0%
EV/u
0.130
Stake
0.61u
Lost
-0.61u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Houston Astros
home
Odds
2.23
Prob
52.2%
EV/u
0.106
Stake
0.53u
Lost
-0.53u
First 5 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
52.1%
EV/u
0.056
Stake
0.19u
Lost
-0.19u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Miami Marlins
home
Odds
2.09
Prob
52.4%
EV/u
0.048
Stake
0.34u
Won
+0.37u
First 5 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
away
Odds
2.88
Prob
53.9%
EV/u
0.036
Stake
0.13u
Lost
-0.13u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
San Francisco Giants
home
Odds
2.18
Prob
49.7%
EV/u
0.038
Stake
0.28u
Lost
-0.28u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
St. Louis Cardinals
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
51.7%
EV/u
0.194
Stake
0.74u
Lost
-0.74u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
2.21
Prob
53.4%
EV/u
0.121
Stake
0.34u
Won
+0.41u
First 5 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Tampa Bay Rays
home
Odds
2.75
Prob
44.3%
EV/u
0.197
Stake
0.39u
Won
+0.68u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Houston Astros
away
Odds
3.25
Prob
50.0%
EV/u
0.273
Stake
0.41u
Won
+0.92u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
St. Louis Cardinals
home
Odds
2.32
Prob
48.2%
EV/u
0.067
Stake
0.15u
Won
+0.20u
First 5 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
San Francisco Giants
home
Odds
2.33
Prob
51.6%
EV/u
0.138
Stake
0.37u
Won
+0.49u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
Arizona Diamondbacks
home
Odds
2.28
Prob
48.9%
EV/u
0.065
Stake
0.14u
Lost
-0.14u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Cleveland Indians
home
Odds
2.48
Prob
48.9%
EV/u
0.148
Stake
0.27u
Won
+0.40u
First 5 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
New York Yankees
home
Odds
2.59
Prob
50.5%
EV/u
0.282
Stake
0.60u
Lost
-0.60u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
St. Louis Cardinals
home
Odds
2.29
Prob
53.9%
EV/u
0.167
Stake
0.34u
Lost
-0.34u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Pittsburgh Pirates
home
Odds
2.70
Prob
48.9%
EV/u
0.293
Stake
0.59u
Won
+1.00u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Boston Red Sox
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
45.4%
EV/u
0.207
Stake
0.38u
Lost
-0.38u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
2.67
Prob
43.6%
EV/u
0.191
Stake
0.37u
Won
+0.62u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
2.11
Prob
53.0%
EV/u
0.067
Stake
0.18u
Lost
-0.18u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Houston Astros
home
Odds
2.07
Prob
52.1%
EV/u
0.034
Stake
0.08u
Lost
-0.08u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
2.28
Prob
49.2%
EV/u
0.070
Stake
0.18u
Lost
-0.18u
First 5 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
San Francisco Giants
home
Odds
2.89
Prob
48.2%
EV/u
0.362
Stake
0.61u
Lost
-0.61u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
2.12
Prob
50.2%
EV/u
0.022
Stake
0.23u
Won
+0.26u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
3.00
Prob
52.5%
EV/u
0.129
Stake
0.37u
Lost
-0.37u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
2.69
Prob
51.5%
EV/u
0.036
Stake
0.05u
Won
+0.08u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
2.31
Prob
53.5%
EV/u
0.168
Stake
0.44u
Won
+0.58u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Detroit Tigers
home
Odds
2.52
Prob
43.9%
EV/u
0.089
Stake
0.17u
Lost
-0.17u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
2.85
Prob
50.0%
EV/u
0.105
Stake
0.18u
Won
+0.33u
First 5 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
2.33
Prob
47.5%
EV/u
0.058
Stake
0.11u
Won
+0.15u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
Philadelphia Phillies
home
Odds
3.00
Prob
51.6%
EV/u
0.508
Stake
0.85u
Won
+1.70u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
44.3%
EV/u
0.040
Stake
0.17u
Won
+0.25u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Detroit Tigers
home
Odds
2.55
Prob
47.7%
EV/u
0.194
Stake
0.68u
Lost
-0.68u
First 5 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Cincinnati Reds
home
Odds
2.05
Prob
52.3%
EV/u
0.028
Stake
0.13u
Won
+0.14u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Chicago Cubs
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
52.5%
EV/u
0.056
Stake
0.19u
Lost
-0.19u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
Philadelphia Phillies
home
Odds
2.34
Prob
52.0%
EV/u
0.152
Stake
0.63u
Won
+0.84u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
home
Odds
2.57
Prob
44.3%
EV/u
0.121
Stake
0.16u
Won
+0.25u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cleveland Indians
Oakland Athletics
away
Odds
2.88
Prob
47.1%
EV/u
0.193
Stake
0.27u
Lost
-0.27u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
3.40
Prob
48.3%
EV/u
0.382
Stake
0.54u
Lost
-0.54u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Chicago Cubs
home
Odds
2.95
Prob
51.6%
EV/u
0.484
Stake
0.83u
Won
+1.62u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
2.85
Prob
53.0%
EV/u
0.054
Stake
0.19u
Lost
-0.19u
First 5 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Texas Rangers
away
Odds
2.95
Prob
51.6%
EV/u
0.121
Stake
0.36u
Won
+0.70u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
New York Mets
away
Odds
2.84
Prob
50.2%
EV/u
0.109
Stake
0.34u
Won
+0.63u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
2.01
Prob
54.1%
EV/u
0.042
Stake
0.35u
Won
+0.35u
First 5 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
3.30
Prob
47.7%
EV/u
0.306
Stake
0.56u
Lost
-0.56u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cleveland Indians
Kansas City Royals
home
Odds
2.20
Prob
48.5%
EV/u
0.023
Stake
0.07u
Won
+0.08u
First 5 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Texas Rangers
home
Odds
2.10
Prob
52.5%
EV/u
0.055
Stake
0.20u
Won
+0.22u
First 5 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
San Diego Padres
home
Odds
2.37
Prob
53.9%
EV/u
0.203
Stake
0.63u
Won
+0.86u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
48.2%
EV/u
0.137
Stake
0.34u
Won
+0.61u
First 5 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Seattle Mariners
home
Odds
2.20
Prob
52.6%
EV/u
0.100
Stake
0.52u
Won
+0.62u
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
44.3%
EV/u
0.109
Stake
0.41u
Lost
-0.41u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Chicago Cubs
home
Odds
2.30
Prob
46.9%
EV/u
0.035
Stake
0.25u
Won
+0.33u
First 5 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
3.20
Prob
52.1%
EV/u
0.172
Stake
0.44u
Won
+0.97u
First 5 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
2.85
Prob
48.4%
EV/u
0.158
Stake
0.48u
Lost
-0.48u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.