Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Jul 14, 2026 5:16 PM EDT
Draw away
world-cup
Japan
Croatia
home
Odds
3.80
Prob
45.7%
EV/u
1.063
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
world-cup
Japan
Croatia
home
Odds
3.80
Prob
39.6%
EV/u
0.504
Stake
1.08u
Lost
-1.08u
Draw away
world-cup
France
Poland
x2
Odds
3.00
Prob
55.9%
EV/u
0.640
Stake
1.00u
Lost
-1.00u
Draw away
world-cup
England
Senegal
x2
Odds
2.30
Prob
55.9%
EV/u
0.234
Stake
0.50u
Lost
-0.50u
Draw away
world-cup
Argentina
Australia
x2
Odds
3.50
Prob
55.9%
EV/u
0.956
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Home away
world-cup
Netherlands
United States
draw
Odds
3.30
Prob
38.9%
EV/u
0.963
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
world-cup
Netherlands
United States
away
Odds
4.33
Prob
37.1%
EV/u
0.741
Stake
0.89u
Lost
-0.89u
Draw away
world-cup
Ghana
Uruguay
home
Odds
4.50
Prob
38.5%
EV/u
1.769
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Draw away
world-cup
Serbia
Switzerland
home
Odds
2.55
Prob
45.7%
EV/u
0.363
Stake
0.50u
Lost
-0.50u
Draw away
world-cup
South Korea
Portugal
home
Odds
4.00
Prob
45.7%
EV/u
1.172
Stake
1.00u
Won
+3.00u
Home away
world-cup
South Korea
Portugal
draw
Odds
3.75
Prob
43.4%
EV/u
1.124
Stake
0.93u
Lost
-0.93u
Home away
world-cup
Serbia
Switzerland
draw
Odds
3.30
Prob
43.4%
EV/u
0.823
Stake
0.57u
Lost
-0.57u
Home draw
world-cup
Cameroon
Brazil
1x
Odds
3.40
Prob
57.1%
EV/u
0.892
Stake
1.15u
Won
+2.76u
Home draw
world-cup
Ghana
Uruguay
1x
Odds
2.00
Prob
57.1%
EV/u
0.111
Stake
0.35u
Lost
-0.35u
Result
world-cup
South Korea
Portugal
home
Odds
4.00
Prob
45.7%
EV/u
0.829
Stake
0.73u
Won
+2.19u
Result
world-cup
Serbia
Switzerland
home
Odds
2.55
Prob
49.2%
EV/u
0.240
Stake
0.28u
Lost
-0.28u
Result
world-cup
Ghana
Uruguay
home
Odds
4.50
Prob
36.7%
EV/u
0.650
Stake
0.49u
Lost
-0.49u
Draw away
world-cup
Canada
Morocco
home
Odds
4.75
Prob
45.7%
EV/u
1.579
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Home draw
world-cup
Japan
Spain
1x
Odds
2.50
Prob
57.1%
EV/u
0.403
Stake
1.20u
Won
+1.80u
Result
world-cup
Canada
Morocco
home
Odds
4.75
Prob
57.8%
EV/u
1.744
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Draw away
world-cup
Saudi Arabia
Mexico
home
Odds
5.00
Prob
45.7%
EV/u
1.715
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Home away
world-cup
Australia
Denmark
draw
Odds
5.00
Prob
48.1%
EV/u
1.596
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Home draw
world-cup
Australia
Denmark
1x
Odds
2.75
Prob
57.1%
EV/u
0.538
Stake
0.50u
Won
+0.88u
Home draw
world-cup
Tunisia
France
1x
Odds
2.25
Prob
57.1%
EV/u
0.233
Stake
0.24u
Won
+0.30u
Home draw
world-cup
Saudi Arabia
Mexico
1x
Odds
2.30
Prob
57.1%
EV/u
0.261
Stake
0.26u
Lost
-0.26u
Home draw
world-cup
Poland
Argentina
1x
Odds
2.75
Prob
57.1%
EV/u
0.538
Stake
0.50u
Lost
-0.50u
Result
world-cup
Saudi Arabia
Mexico
home
Odds
5.00
Prob
50.4%
EV/u
1.522
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
world-cup
Australia
Denmark
draw
Odds
5.00
Prob
47.3%
EV/u
0.114
Stake
0.11u
Lost
-0.11u
Draw away
world-cup
Netherlands
Qatar
x2
Odds
4.50
Prob
55.9%
EV/u
1.515
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Draw away
world-cup
Ecuador
Senegal
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
45.7%
EV/u
0.272
Stake
0.50u
Lost
-0.50u
Draw away
world-cup
Iran
United States
home
Odds
4.20
Prob
45.7%
EV/u
1.280
Stake
1.00u
Lost
-1.00u
Home away
world-cup
Ecuador
Senegal
draw
Odds
3.00
Prob
31.6%
EV/u
0.997
Stake
0.55u
Lost
-0.55u
Home away
world-cup
Wales
England
draw
Odds
4.33
Prob
48.1%
EV/u
1.248
Stake
0.58u
Lost
-0.58u
Home away
world-cup
Iran
United States
draw
Odds
3.40
Prob
43.4%
EV/u
0.876
Stake
0.37u
Lost
-0.37u
Home draw
world-cup
Wales
England
1x
Odds
2.63
Prob
57.1%
EV/u
0.470
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
world-cup
Ecuador
Senegal
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
50.8%
EV/u
0.201
Stake
0.46u
Lost
-0.46u
Result
world-cup
Iran
United States
home
Odds
4.20
Prob
49.7%
EV/u
1.088
Stake
1.04u
Lost
-1.04u
Result
world-cup
Ecuador
Senegal
away
Odds
3.25
Prob
46.0%
EV/u
0.101
Stake
0.33u
Won
+0.74u
Home away
world-cup
Brazil
Switzerland
draw
Odds
4.20
Prob
43.4%
EV/u
1.379
Stake
1.00u
Lost
-1.00u
Home away
world-cup
Portugal
Uruguay
draw
Odds
3.30
Prob
46.4%
EV/u
0.730
Stake
0.50u
Lost
-0.50u
Home draw
world-cup
South Korea
Ghana
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
37.1%
EV/u
0.692
Stake
1.20u
Won
+2.10u
Home draw
world-cup
Portugal
Uruguay
away
Odds
4.50
Prob
49.1%
EV/u
1.289
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
world-cup
South Korea
Ghana
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
31.2%
EV/u
0.211
Stake
0.64u
Won
+1.12u
Result
world-cup
Portugal
Uruguay
away
Odds
4.50
Prob
43.5%
EV/u
0.753
Stake
0.86u
Lost
-0.86u
Result
world-cup
South Korea
Ghana
home
Odds
2.75
Prob
46.4%
EV/u
0.260
Stake
0.92u
Lost
-0.92u
Result
world-cup
Belgium
Morocco
away
Odds
4.20
Prob
59.5%
EV/u
0.131
Stake
0.16u
Won
+0.51u
Result
world-cup
Croatia
Canada
away
Odds
3.50
Prob
50.5%
EV/u
0.136
Stake
0.33u
Lost
-0.33u
Result
world-cup
Japan
Costa Rica
draw
Odds
4.33
Prob
33.0%
EV/u
0.216
Stake
0.26u
Lost
-0.26u
Draw away
world-cup
Tunisia
Australia
home
Odds
2.15
Prob
45.7%
EV/u
0.142
Stake
0.99u
Lost
-0.99u
Home away
world-cup
Tunisia
Australia
draw
Odds
3.30
Prob
46.4%
EV/u
0.730
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
world-cup
Tunisia
Australia
away
Odds
3.60
Prob
34.8%
EV/u
0.502
Stake
1.15u
Won
+2.99u
Result
world-cup
France
Denmark
away
Odds
4.50
Prob
49.9%
EV/u
0.308
Stake
0.35u
Lost
-0.35u
Draw away
world-cup
Wales
Iran
home
Odds
2.10
Prob
38.5%
EV/u
0.249
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Home draw
world-cup
Netherlands
Ecuador
away
Odds
4.75
Prob
37.1%
EV/u
1.986
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
world-cup
Netherlands
Ecuador
away
Odds
4.75
Prob
59.1%
EV/u
0.226
Stake
0.24u
Lost
-0.24u
Result
world-cup
Wales
Iran
away
Odds
3.80
Prob
49.1%
EV/u
0.247
Stake
0.53u
Won
+1.48u
Home draw
world-cup
Uruguay
South Korea
away
Odds
5.00
Prob
45.6%
EV/u
1.722
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
world-cup
Uruguay
South Korea
away
Odds
5.00
Prob
26.9%
EV/u
1.190
Stake
0.82u
Lost
-0.82u
Result
world-cup
Switzerland
Cameroon
away
Odds
5.00
Prob
35.2%
EV/u
1.079
Stake
0.68u
Lost
-0.68u
Home draw
world-cup
Morocco
Croatia
away
Odds
2.25
Prob
47.6%
EV/u
0.153
Stake
0.98u
Lost
-0.98u
Result
world-cup
Morocco
Croatia
home
Odds
3.40
Prob
31.6%
EV/u
0.067
Stake
0.22u
Lost
-0.22u
Result
world-cup
Germany
Japan
draw
Odds
5.00
Prob
43.6%
EV/u
0.106
Stake
0.11u
Lost
-0.11u
Home away
world-cup
Denmark
Tunisia
draw
Odds
4.00
Prob
31.6%
EV/u
1.737
Stake
1.00u
Won
+3.00u
Home away
world-cup
Mexico
Poland
draw
Odds
3.10
Prob
43.4%
EV/u
0.718
Stake
0.50u
Won
+1.05u
Result
world-cup
Mexico
Poland
away
Odds
3.20
Prob
37.9%
EV/u
0.324
Stake
1.18u
Lost
-1.18u
Result
world-cup
Mexico
Poland
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
46.1%
EV/u
0.104
Stake
0.57u
Lost
-0.57u
Result
world-cup
Senegal
Netherlands
draw
Odds
3.60
Prob
32.6%
EV/u
0.196
Stake
0.45u
Lost
-0.45u
Result
world-cup
England
Iran
draw
Odds
4.75
Prob
33.3%
EV/u
0.578
Stake
0.62u
Lost
-0.62u
Home draw
world-cup
Qatar
Ecuador
away
Odds
2.20
Prob
37.1%
EV/u
0.326
Stake
1.20u
Won
+1.44u
Result
world-cup
Qatar
Ecuador
home
Odds
3.75
Prob
33.5%
EV/u
0.256
Stake
0.56u
Lost
-0.56u
Result
world-cup
France
Croatia
away
Odds
3.90
Prob
33.3%
EV/u
0.304
Stake
0.63u
Lost
-0.63u
Result
world-cup
Croatia
England
home
Odds
3.40
Prob
34.1%
EV/u
0.150
Stake
0.50u
Won
+1.20u
Home win
wnba
Chicago Sky
Dallas Wings
away
Odds
1.68
Prob
14.7%
EV/u
0.406
Stake
1.15u
Won
+0.78u
Home win
wnba
Seattle Storm
Connecticut Sun
away
Odds
2.20
Prob
36.6%
EV/u
0.211
Stake
0.35u
Won
+0.42u
Home win
wnba
Phoenix Mercury
Toronto Tempo
away
Odds
3.60
Prob
20.5%
EV/u
0.941
Stake
0.80u
Won
+2.08u
Home win
wnba
Portland Fire
Connecticut Sun
away
Odds
2.42
Prob
29.3%
EV/u
0.401
Stake
1.08u
Lost
-1.08u
Home win
wnba
Dallas Wings
Washington Mystics
away
Odds
2.54
Prob
37.1%
EV/u
0.249
Stake
0.42u
Lost
-0.42u
Home win
wnba
Los Angeles Sparks
Toronto Tempo
away
Odds
3.60
Prob
21.6%
EV/u
0.894
Stake
0.70u
Won
+1.82u
Home win
wnba
Minnesota Lynx
Chicago Sky
away
Odds
3.00
Prob
25.2%
EV/u
0.634
Stake
0.80u
Won
+1.60u
Home win
wnba
Indiana Fever
Washington Mystics
away
Odds
4.10
Prob
22.5%
EV/u
0.956
Stake
0.41u
Won
+1.27u
Home win
wnba
Phoenix Mercury
Chicago Sky
away
Odds
2.50
Prob
17.1%
EV/u
0.734
Stake
0.57u
Lost
-0.57u
Home win
wnba
Los Angeles Sparks
Toronto Tempo
away
Odds
3.70
Prob
23.0%
EV/u
0.857
Stake
0.52u
Lost
-0.52u
Home win
wnba
Dallas Wings
Minnesota Lynx
away
Odds
2.40
Prob
17.0%
EV/u
0.701
Stake
1.50u
Won
+2.10u
Home win
wnba
Golden State Valkyries
Chicago Sky
away
Odds
3.05
Prob
20.3%
EV/u
0.809
Stake
0.83u
Won
+1.70u
Home win
wnba
Toronto Tempo
Seattle Storm
away
Odds
2.30
Prob
35.3%
EV/u
0.252
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Home win
wnba
Los Angeles Sparks
Indiana Fever
away
Odds
1.87
Prob
30.1%
EV/u
0.251
Stake
0.37u
Won
+0.32u
First inning result
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Kansas City Royals
draw
Odds
1.91
Prob
21.1%
EV/u
0.102
Stake
0.61u
Lost
-0.61u
Home win
wnba
Phoenix Mercury
Minnesota Lynx
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
20.1%
EV/u
0.714
Stake
1.50u
Won
+2.55u
First inning result
mlb
Texas Rangers
Arizona Diamondbacks
home
Odds
4.10
Prob
33.2%
EV/u
0.361
Stake
0.28u
Lost
-0.28u
First inning result
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Athletics
draw
Odds
1.91
Prob
15.7%
EV/u
0.188
Stake
1.06u
Won
+0.96u
Home win
wnba
Golden State Valkyries
Phoenix Mercury
away
Odds
2.14
Prob
31.4%
EV/u
0.297
Stake
0.70u
Lost
-0.70u
Home win
wnba
Connecticut Sun
Seattle Storm
away
Odds
2.05
Prob
29.4%
EV/u
0.312
Stake
0.80u
Won
+0.84u
First inning result
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
4.10
Prob
30.3%
EV/u
0.427
Stake
0.33u
Lost
-0.33u
First inning result
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
4.00
Prob
24.5%
EV/u
0.142
Stake
0.11u
Lost
-0.11u
Home win
wnba
Las Vegas Aces
Phoenix Mercury
away
Odds
4.50
Prob
29.7%
EV/u
0.703
Stake
0.48u
Won
+1.68u
Home win
wnba
Indiana Fever
Dallas Wings
away
Odds
3.00
Prob
28.8%
EV/u
0.525
Stake
1.02u
Won
+2.04u
Home win
wnba
Toronto Tempo
Washington Mystics
away
Odds
1.95
Prob
25.0%
EV/u
0.359
Stake
1.20u
Won
+1.14u
First inning result
mlb
Colorado Rockies
New York Mets
draw
Odds
2.05
Prob
17.6%
EV/u
0.230
Stake
1.09u
Won
+1.14u
First inning result
mlb
New York Yankees
Texas Rangers
away
Odds
3.90
Prob
32.9%
EV/u
0.334
Stake
0.33u
Lost
-0.33u
First inning result
mlb
San Diego Padres
St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
4.25
Prob
28.6%
EV/u
0.594
Stake
0.36u
Lost
-0.36u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.