Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Jul 14, 2026 6:44 PM EDT
Home win
nfl
Houston Texans
Buffalo Bills
away
Odds
2.50
Prob
47.2%
EV/u
0.303
Stake
0.81u
Lost
-0.81u
Home win
nfl
New England Patriots
Tennessee Titans
away
Odds
2.90
Prob
44.9%
EV/u
0.567
Stake
1.19u
Won
+2.26u
Home cover
nfl
Los Angeles Rams
Arizona Cardinals
home
Odds
1.94
Prob
100.0%
EV/u
0.795
Stake
1.20u
Won
+1.13u
Home win
nfl
Los Angeles Rams
Arizona Cardinals
away
Odds
3.11
Prob
44.4%
EV/u
0.692
Stake
0.65u
Lost
-0.65u
Home win
nfl
Denver Broncos
Oakland Raiders
away
Odds
2.72
Prob
43.0%
EV/u
0.521
Stake
0.65u
Lost
-0.65u
Home win
nfl
Kansas City Chiefs
Los Angeles Chargers
away
Odds
3.75
Prob
38.9%
EV/u
1.293
Stake
0.35u
Lost
-0.35u
Home win
nfl
Buffalo Bills
New York Jets
away
Odds
1.99
Prob
37.9%
EV/u
0.195
Stake
0.34u
Won
+0.34u
Home win
nfl
Minnesota Vikings
Green Bay Packers
away
Odds
2.77
Prob
47.2%
EV/u
0.439
Stake
1.24u
Won
+2.19u
Home win
nfl
Seattle Seahawks
Arizona Cardinals
away
Odds
4.49
Prob
43.5%
EV/u
1.535
Stake
0.33u
Won
+1.15u
Home win
nfl
Miami Dolphins
Cincinnati Bengals
away
Odds
2.03
Prob
42.3%
EV/u
0.143
Stake
0.38u
Lost
-0.38u
Home win
nfl
Atlanta Falcons
Jacksonville Jaguars
away
Odds
3.65
Prob
43.0%
EV/u
1.080
Stake
0.45u
Lost
-0.45u
Home win
nfl
Los Angeles Chargers
Oakland Raiders
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
44.9%
EV/u
0.672
Stake
0.84u
Won
+1.76u
Home win
nfl
Dallas Cowboys
Los Angeles Rams
away
Odds
2.30
Prob
47.5%
EV/u
0.171
Stake
0.26u
Lost
-0.26u
Home win
nfl
Carolina Panthers
Seattle Seahawks
home
Odds
3.05
Prob
58.7%
EV/u
0.749
Stake
0.60u
Lost
-0.60u
Home win
nfl
Green Bay Packers
Chicago Bears
away
Odds
3.00
Prob
47.7%
EV/u
0.538
Stake
0.54u
Lost
-0.54u
Home win
nfl
Oakland Raiders
Jacksonville Jaguars
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
42.0%
EV/u
0.756
Stake
0.60u
Won
+1.26u
Home win
nfl
Philadelphia Eagles
New York Giants
away
Odds
4.15
Prob
47.5%
EV/u
1.178
Stake
0.60u
Lost
-0.60u
Home cover
nfl
Houston Texans
Denver Broncos
away
Odds
1.91
Prob
0.0%
EV/u
0.766
Stake
1.20u
Won
+1.09u
Home win
nfl
Buffalo Bills
Baltimore Ravens
home
Odds
3.02
Prob
56.3%
EV/u
0.663
Stake
0.53u
Lost
-0.53u
Home win
nfl
New England Patriots
Kansas City Chiefs
away
Odds
2.44
Prob
46.8%
EV/u
0.249
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.43u
Home win
nfl
New Orleans Saints
San Francisco 49ers
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
47.7%
EV/u
0.315
Stake
0.36u
Won
+0.56u
Home win
nfl
New York Jets
Miami Dolphins
away
Odds
3.14
Prob
40.9%
EV/u
0.810
Stake
0.53u
Lost
-0.53u
Home win
nfl
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Indianapolis Colts
away
Odds
2.41
Prob
47.7%
EV/u
0.217
Stake
0.27u
Lost
-0.27u
Home win
nfl
Chicago Bears
Dallas Cowboys
home
Odds
2.41
Prob
55.2%
EV/u
0.277
Stake
0.98u
Won
+1.38u
Home cover
nfl
Houston Texans
New England Patriots
home
Odds
2.01
Prob
60.1%
EV/u
0.171
Stake
0.85u
Won
+0.86u
Home win
nfl
New York Giants
Green Bay Packers
home
Odds
3.27
Prob
56.1%
EV/u
0.790
Stake
0.48u
Lost
-0.48u
Home win
nfl
Miami Dolphins
Philadelphia Eagles
home
Odds
3.93
Prob
59.3%
EV/u
1.331
Stake
0.26u
Won
+0.76u
Home win
nfl
Cincinnati Bengals
New York Jets
home
Odds
2.58
Prob
59.9%
EV/u
0.518
Stake
0.48u
Won
+0.76u
Home win
nfl
Arizona Cardinals
Los Angeles Rams
home
Odds
2.40
Prob
60.9%
EV/u
0.387
Stake
0.44u
Lost
-0.44u
Home win
nfl
Houston Texans
New England Patriots
home
Odds
2.48
Prob
55.7%
EV/u
0.320
Stake
0.35u
Won
+0.52u
Home cover
nfl
Atlanta Falcons
New Orleans Saints
home
Odds
2.00
Prob
55.4%
EV/u
0.085
Stake
0.43u
Lost
-0.43u
Home win
nfl
Atlanta Falcons
New Orleans Saints
home
Odds
3.48
Prob
58.3%
EV/u
0.975
Stake
1.50u
Lost
-1.50u
Home win
nfl
Los Angeles Rams
Baltimore Ravens
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
60.5%
EV/u
0.406
Stake
1.40u
Lost
-1.40u
Home win
nfl
New York Jets
Oakland Raiders
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
57.3%
EV/u
0.464
Stake
0.98u
Won
+1.57u
Home win
nfl
Cincinnati Bengals
Pittsburgh Steelers
home
Odds
3.38
Prob
58.3%
EV/u
0.920
Stake
1.02u
Lost
-1.02u
Home win
nfl
Los Angeles Chargers
Kansas City Chiefs
home
Odds
2.73
Prob
58.0%
EV/u
0.553
Stake
1.50u
Lost
-1.50u
Home win
nfl
Miami Dolphins
Buffalo Bills
home
Odds
3.29
Prob
57.2%
EV/u
0.837
Stake
0.52u
Lost
-0.52u
Home win
nfl
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
New Orleans Saints
home
Odds
2.89
Prob
55.8%
EV/u
0.580
Stake
0.52u
Lost
-0.52u
Home win
nfl
Detroit Lions
Dallas Cowboys
home
Odds
3.48
Prob
54.2%
EV/u
0.841
Stake
0.52u
Lost
-0.52u
Home win
nfl
Philadelphia Eagles
New England Patriots
home
Odds
2.58
Prob
55.1%
EV/u
0.400
Stake
0.44u
Lost
-0.44u
Home win
nfl
New York Jets
New York Giants
home
Odds
2.32
Prob
55.1%
EV/u
0.233
Stake
0.40u
Won
+0.53u
Home win
nfl
Pittsburgh Steelers
Los Angeles Rams
home
Odds
2.78
Prob
55.2%
EV/u
0.506
Stake
0.65u
Won
+1.16u
Home win
nfl
Tennessee Titans
Kansas City Chiefs
home
Odds
3.29
Prob
55.8%
EV/u
0.791
Stake
0.68u
Won
+1.56u
Home win
nfl
Cincinnati Bengals
Baltimore Ravens
home
Odds
4.64
Prob
56.9%
EV/u
1.638
Stake
0.27u
Lost
-0.27u
Home cover
nfl
Oakland Raiders
Los Angeles Chargers
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
72.4%
EV/u
0.318
Stake
1.20u
Won
+1.09u
Home win
nfl
Oakland Raiders
Los Angeles Chargers
home
Odds
1.82
Prob
79.7%
EV/u
0.379
Stake
1.20u
Won
+0.98u
Home cover
nfl
New York Giants
Dallas Cowboys
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
75.0%
EV/u
0.360
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Home win
nfl
New York Giants
Dallas Cowboys
home
Odds
3.85
Prob
74.5%
EV/u
1.870
Stake
0.80u
Lost
-0.80u
Home cover
nfl
Oakland Raiders
Detroit Lions
home
Odds
1.83
Prob
78.4%
EV/u
0.366
Stake
0.40u
Won
+0.33u
Home cover
nfl
Philadelphia Eagles
Chicago Bears
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
78.2%
EV/u
0.412
Stake
0.40u
Won
+0.36u
Home cover
nfl
Buffalo Bills
Washington
home
Odds
1.90
Prob
75.5%
EV/u
0.363
Stake
0.40u
Lost
-0.40u
Home cover
nfl
Jacksonville Jaguars
Houston Texans
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
75.8%
EV/u
0.374
Stake
0.40u
Lost
-0.40u
Home cover
nfl
Seattle Seahawks
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
home
Odds
1.96
Prob
78.4%
EV/u
0.451
Stake
0.40u
Won
+0.38u
Home win
nfl
Los Angeles Chargers
Green Bay Packers
home
Odds
2.54
Prob
80.2%
EV/u
0.983
Stake
0.40u
Won
+0.62u
Home win
nfl
Miami Dolphins
New York Jets
home
Odds
2.51
Prob
80.2%
EV/u
0.960
Stake
0.40u
Won
+0.60u
Home win
nfl
Kansas City Chiefs
Minnesota Vikings
home
Odds
2.75
Prob
80.2%
EV/u
1.142
Stake
0.40u
Won
+0.70u
Home win
nfl
Baltimore Ravens
New England Patriots
home
Odds
2.67
Prob
80.2%
EV/u
1.082
Stake
0.40u
Won
+0.67u
Home win
nfl
Jacksonville Jaguars
Houston Texans
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
74.5%
EV/u
0.698
Stake
0.40u
Lost
-0.40u
Home cover
nfl
Arizona Cardinals
San Francisco 49ers
home
Odds
1.94
Prob
70.9%
EV/u
0.314
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Home win
nfl
Arizona Cardinals
San Francisco 49ers
home
Odds
3.60
Prob
65.6%
EV/u
1.361
Stake
0.80u
Lost
-0.80u
Home cover
nfl
Pittsburgh Steelers
Miami Dolphins
home
Odds
1.95
Prob
72.4%
EV/u
0.345
Stake
1.20u
Won
+1.14u
Home cover
nfl
San Francisco 49ers
Carolina Panthers
home
Odds
1.92
Prob
78.4%
EV/u
0.422
Stake
0.40u
Won
+0.37u
Home cover
nfl
New Orleans Saints
Arizona Cardinals
home
Odds
1.88
Prob
80.2%
EV/u
0.422
Stake
0.40u
Won
+0.35u
Home cover
nfl
Houston Texans
Oakland Raiders
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
78.4%
EV/u
0.416
Stake
0.40u
Won
+0.36u
Home cover
nfl
Detroit Lions
New York Giants
home
Odds
1.96
Prob
77.3%
EV/u
0.433
Stake
0.40u
Won
+0.38u
Home cover
nfl
Buffalo Bills
Philadelphia Eagles
home
Odds
1.92
Prob
78.4%
EV/u
0.422
Stake
0.40u
Lost
-0.40u
Home win
nfl
Kansas City Chiefs
Green Bay Packers
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
84.3%
EV/u
1.050
Stake
1.43u
Lost
-1.43u
Home win
nfl
Atlanta Falcons
Seattle Seahawks
home
Odds
4.03
Prob
74.7%
EV/u
2.011
Stake
0.57u
Lost
-0.57u
Home win
nfl
New York Jets
New England Patriots
home
Odds
4.70
Prob
60.0%
EV/u
1.820
Stake
0.60u
Lost
-0.60u
Home cover
nfl
Tennessee Titans
Los Angeles Chargers
away
Odds
2.03
Prob
31.6%
EV/u
0.325
Stake
0.48u
Lost
-0.48u
Home cover
nfl
Seattle Seahawks
Baltimore Ravens
away
Odds
1.86
Prob
0.0%
EV/u
0.720
Stake
0.39u
Won
+0.33u
Home cover
nfl
Green Bay Packers
Oakland Raiders
away
Odds
1.94
Prob
31.6%
EV/u
0.274
Stake
0.37u
Lost
-0.37u
Home cover
nfl
Dallas Cowboys
Philadelphia Eagles
home
Odds
1.93
Prob
100.0%
EV/u
0.781
Stake
0.39u
Won
+0.36u
Home cover
nfl
Cincinnati Bengals
Jacksonville Jaguars
away
Odds
1.94
Prob
31.6%
EV/u
0.268
Stake
0.37u
Won
+0.35u
Home win
nfl
Chicago Bears
New Orleans Saints
away
Odds
2.78
Prob
46.9%
EV/u
0.452
Stake
0.47u
Won
+0.84u
Home win
nfl
New York Giants
Arizona Cardinals
away
Odds
2.35
Prob
44.4%
EV/u
0.256
Stake
0.35u
Won
+0.47u
Home win
nfl
Cincinnati Bengals
Jacksonville Jaguars
home
Odds
2.39
Prob
55.1%
EV/u
0.266
Stake
0.35u
Lost
-0.35u
Home win
nfl
Atlanta Falcons
Los Angeles Rams
home
Odds
2.35
Prob
52.9%
EV/u
0.202
Stake
0.28u
Lost
-0.28u
Home win
nfl
Seattle Seahawks
Baltimore Ravens
away
Odds
2.78
Prob
34.0%
EV/u
0.792
Stake
0.55u
Won
+0.98u
Home win
nfl
Denver Broncos
Kansas City Chiefs
home
Odds
2.65
Prob
55.6%
EV/u
0.448
Stake
1.36u
Lost
-1.36u
Home win
nfl
Green Bay Packers
Detroit Lions
away
Odds
3.16
Prob
39.1%
EV/u
0.875
Stake
1.50u
Lost
-1.50u
Home cover
nfl
Los Angeles Rams
San Francisco 49ers
away
Odds
1.97
Prob
31.6%
EV/u
0.290
Stake
1.02u
Won
+0.99u
Home cover
nfl
Cleveland Browns
Seattle Seahawks
away
Odds
1.94
Prob
31.6%
EV/u
0.268
Stake
0.98u
Won
+0.92u
Home win
nfl
New York Jets
Dallas Cowboys
home
Odds
4.22
Prob
55.1%
EV/u
1.326
Stake
0.24u
Won
+0.77u
Home win
nfl
Denver Broncos
Tennessee Titans
away
Odds
2.26
Prob
40.4%
EV/u
0.291
Stake
0.45u
Lost
-0.45u
Home win
nfl
Minnesota Vikings
Philadelphia Eagles
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
48.9%
EV/u
0.286
Stake
0.36u
Lost
-0.36u
Home win
nfl
Kansas City Chiefs
Houston Texans
away
Odds
3.44
Prob
41.7%
EV/u
0.954
Stake
0.59u
Won
+1.44u
Home win
nfl
Jacksonville Jaguars
New Orleans Saints
home
Odds
2.12
Prob
58.9%
EV/u
0.207
Stake
0.36u
Lost
-0.36u
Home win
nfl
Tennessee Titans
Buffalo Bills
away
Odds
2.36
Prob
23.3%
EV/u
0.686
Stake
0.67u
Won
+0.91u
Home win
nfl
Cincinnati Bengals
Arizona Cardinals
away
Odds
2.84
Prob
21.3%
EV/u
1.173
Stake
0.67u
Won
+1.23u
Home win
nfl
Los Angeles Chargers
Denver Broncos
away
Odds
3.31
Prob
21.1%
EV/u
1.530
Stake
0.67u
Won
+1.55u
Home win
nfl
Seattle Seahawks
Los Angeles Rams
away
Odds
2.00
Prob
30.8%
EV/u
0.323
Stake
1.50u
Lost
-1.50u
Home cover
nfl
New York Giants
Washington
away
Odds
2.00
Prob
35.6%
EV/u
0.240
Stake
1.20u
Won
+1.20u
Home win
nfl
Los Angeles Rams
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
away
Odds
4.82
Prob
6.7%
EV/u
3.499
Stake
0.20u
Won
+0.76u
Home win
nfl
Indianapolis Colts
Oakland Raiders
away
Odds
3.57
Prob
14.7%
EV/u
2.044
Stake
0.27u
Won
+0.69u
Home win
nfl
Houston Texans
Carolina Panthers
away
Odds
3.01
Prob
12.5%
EV/u
1.551
Stake
0.51u
Won
+1.03u
Home win
nfl
Baltimore Ravens
Cleveland Browns
away
Odds
3.14
Prob
40.1%
EV/u
0.836
Stake
0.51u
Won
+1.09u
Home win
nfl
Atlanta Falcons
Tennessee Titans
away
Odds
3.01
Prob
10.1%
EV/u
1.620
Stake
0.51u
Won
+1.03u
Home win
nfl
Green Bay Packers
Philadelphia Eagles
away
Odds
2.69
Prob
43.9%
EV/u
0.483
Stake
1.43u
Won
+2.42u
Home win
nfl
Kansas City Chiefs
Baltimore Ravens
away
Odds
3.41
Prob
42.4%
EV/u
0.915
Stake
0.60u
Lost
-0.60u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.