Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: May 15, 2026 2:07 PM EDT
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
2.35
Prob
36.0%
EV/u
0.059
Stake
0.33u
Lost
-0.33u
First 5 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
2.36
Prob
47.3%
EV/u
0.064
Stake
0.34u
Won
+0.46u
First 5 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
San Diego Padres
away
Odds
3.44
Prob
46.2%
EV/u
0.217
Stake
0.49u
Won
+1.20u
First 5 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Washington Nationals
away
Odds
2.24
Prob
35.0%
EV/u
0.075
Stake
0.42u
Won
+0.52u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Texas Rangers
home
Odds
3.03
Prob
40.8%
EV/u
0.212
Stake
0.58u
Won
+1.18u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
3.21
Prob
45.4%
EV/u
0.250
Stake
0.62u
Lost
-0.62u
First 5 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
San Diego Padres
home
Odds
2.84
Prob
45.1%
EV/u
0.255
Stake
0.76u
Won
+1.40u
First 5 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Los Angeles Angels
away
Odds
3.11
Prob
42.0%
EV/u
0.175
Stake
0.47u
Won
+0.99u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
New York Mets
home
Odds
3.21
Prob
43.5%
EV/u
0.364
Stake
0.89u
Lost
-0.89u
First 5 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Pittsburgh Pirates
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
44.9%
EV/u
0.148
Stake
0.44u
Lost
-0.44u
First 5 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
2.46
Prob
46.1%
EV/u
0.079
Stake
0.29u
Lost
-0.29u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
3.14
Prob
47.0%
EV/u
0.109
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
First 5 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
Tampa Bay Rays
home
Odds
2.30
Prob
46.9%
EV/u
0.032
Stake
0.11u
Won
+0.14u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
3.33
Prob
46.2%
EV/u
0.222
Stake
0.53u
Won
+1.23u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Arizona Diamondbacks
home
Odds
2.64
Prob
45.0%
EV/u
0.167
Stake
0.57u
Won
+0.93u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Chicago Cubs
home
Odds
2.49
Prob
44.1%
EV/u
0.048
Stake
0.12u
Won
+0.18u
First 5 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Los Angeles Angels
home
Odds
2.56
Prob
45.4%
EV/u
0.143
Stake
0.52u
Lost
-0.52u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
3.03
Prob
46.8%
EV/u
0.048
Stake
0.16u
Lost
-0.16u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
2.84
Prob
42.6%
EV/u
0.150
Stake
0.46u
Won
+0.85u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
San Francisco Giants
away
Odds
2.73
Prob
43.1%
EV/u
0.090
Stake
0.31u
Lost
-0.31u
First 5 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
3.20
Prob
45.8%
EV/u
0.183
Stake
0.47u
Lost
-0.47u
First 5 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Cleveland Guardians
home
Odds
2.53
Prob
43.1%
EV/u
0.074
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.46u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
2.62
Prob
42.8%
EV/u
0.073
Stake
0.28u
Won
+0.45u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Arizona Diamondbacks
home
Odds
3.10
Prob
43.6%
EV/u
0.323
Stake
0.82u
Won
+1.72u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
3.20
Prob
45.3%
EV/u
0.171
Stake
0.43u
Lost
-0.43u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
San Francisco Giants
home
Odds
2.38
Prob
47.7%
EV/u
0.080
Stake
0.22u
Lost
-0.22u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
2.91
Prob
43.6%
EV/u
0.126
Stake
0.33u
Lost
-0.33u
First 5 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
2.54
Prob
42.5%
EV/u
0.036
Stake
0.05u
Lost
-0.05u
First 5 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Cleveland Guardians
home
Odds
2.44
Prob
44.3%
EV/u
0.034
Stake
0.06u
Lost
-0.06u
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
2.65
Prob
43.2%
EV/u
0.082
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.50u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
2.65
Prob
42.8%
EV/u
0.087
Stake
0.31u
Won
+0.51u
First 5 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
2.92
Prob
42.8%
EV/u
0.109
Stake
0.33u
Won
+0.63u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Philadelphia Phillies
home
Odds
3.13
Prob
43.4%
EV/u
0.329
Stake
0.84u
Won
+1.79u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
San Francisco Giants
home
Odds
2.79
Prob
41.7%
EV/u
0.143
Stake
0.45u
Won
+0.81u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
2.82
Prob
42.1%
EV/u
0.155
Stake
0.34u
Lost
-0.34u
First 5 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Houston Astros
home
Odds
2.31
Prob
46.7%
EV/u
0.032
Stake
0.24u
Lost
-0.24u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cleveland Guardians
New York Yankees
home
Odds
2.38
Prob
45.8%
EV/u
0.041
Stake
0.26u
Lost
-0.26u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Cleveland Guardians
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
46.7%
EV/u
0.021
Stake
0.10u
Lost
-0.10u
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
2.98
Prob
45.7%
EV/u
0.171
Stake
0.49u
Won
+0.97u
First 5 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
2.73
Prob
45.3%
EV/u
0.075
Stake
0.26u
Won
+0.45u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Diego Padres
away
Odds
2.94
Prob
46.7%
EV/u
0.116
Stake
0.35u
Lost
-0.35u
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Philadelphia Phillies
home
Odds
2.88
Prob
45.3%
EV/u
0.279
Stake
0.81u
Won
+1.52u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Washington Nationals
away
Odds
2.74
Prob
47.3%
EV/u
0.024
Stake
0.11u
Lost
-0.11u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
New York Yankees
away
Odds
3.61
Prob
46.3%
EV/u
0.393
Stake
0.54u
Lost
-0.54u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cleveland Guardians
Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
3.97
Prob
52.9%
EV/u
0.148
Stake
0.16u
Lost
-0.16u
First 5 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Detroit Tigers
home
Odds
2.73
Prob
51.3%
EV/u
0.368
Stake
1.04u
Lost
-1.04u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
2.46
Prob
50.1%
EV/u
0.163
Stake
0.44u
Lost
-0.44u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Washington Nationals
away
Odds
3.26
Prob
49.2%
EV/u
0.096
Stake
0.16u
Lost
-0.16u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Arizona Diamondbacks
home
Odds
2.31
Prob
47.4%
EV/u
0.046
Stake
0.29u
Lost
-0.29u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
2.36
Prob
47.4%
EV/u
0.065
Stake
0.35u
Won
+0.48u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
San Francisco Giants
away
Odds
3.86
Prob
49.5%
EV/u
0.262
Stake
0.33u
Lost
-0.33u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
New York Yankees
home
Odds
2.37
Prob
46.9%
EV/u
0.059
Stake
0.32u
Lost
-0.32u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Chicago White Sox
home
Odds
3.14
Prob
50.0%
EV/u
0.530
Stake
1.33u
Lost
-1.33u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cleveland Guardians
Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
3.27
Prob
49.8%
EV/u
0.099
Stake
0.26u
Lost
-0.26u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Arizona Diamondbacks
home
Odds
2.69
Prob
49.8%
EV/u
0.310
Stake
0.81u
Lost
-0.81u
First 5 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
3.19
Prob
46.6%
EV/u
0.126
Stake
0.18u
Lost
-0.18u
First 5 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Pittsburgh Pirates
home
Odds
2.70
Prob
49.5%
EV/u
0.309
Stake
0.81u
Won
+1.38u
First 5 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Boston Red Sox
away
Odds
4.24
Prob
48.7%
EV/u
0.536
Stake
0.40u
Lost
-0.40u
First 5 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
New York Mets
home
Odds
2.35
Prob
47.8%
EV/u
0.070
Stake
0.36u
Won
+0.49u
First 5 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
Philadelphia Phillies
home
Odds
2.87
Prob
47.1%
EV/u
0.322
Stake
0.94u
Lost
-0.94u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Colorado Rockies
home
Odds
2.61
Prob
50.7%
EV/u
0.294
Stake
1.00u
Won
+1.61u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
3.25
Prob
47.7%
EV/u
0.165
Stake
0.41u
Lost
-0.41u
First 5 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
2.62
Prob
49.1%
EV/u
0.259
Stake
0.73u
Won
+1.18u
First 5 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Kansas City Royals
home
Odds
2.79
Prob
49.0%
EV/u
0.338
Stake
0.86u
Won
+1.54u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
St. Louis Cardinals
home
Odds
2.29
Prob
50.4%
EV/u
0.096
Stake
0.21u
Won
+0.27u
First 5 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
New York Yankees
home
Odds
2.80
Prob
48.1%
EV/u
0.318
Stake
0.96u
Lost
-0.96u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Cincinnati Reds
home
Odds
3.10
Prob
47.6%
EV/u
0.439
Stake
1.13u
Lost
-1.13u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Chicago Cubs
home
Odds
2.28
Prob
50.9%
EV/u
0.102
Stake
0.25u
Lost
-0.25u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Detroit Tigers
home
Odds
2.28
Prob
50.4%
EV/u
0.093
Stake
0.23u
Won
+0.29u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Seattle Mariners
home
Odds
3.56
Prob
47.6%
EV/u
0.694
Stake
0.52u
Lost
-0.52u
First 5 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Francisco Giants
home
Odds
2.37
Prob
48.7%
EV/u
0.096
Stake
0.23u
Won
+0.32u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
St. Louis Cardinals
home
Odds
2.51
Prob
50.4%
EV/u
0.241
Stake
0.57u
Won
+0.86u
First 5 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Los Angeles Angels
home
Odds
2.64
Prob
48.0%
EV/u
0.242
Stake
0.32u
Won
+0.52u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Cleveland Guardians
home
Odds
4.10
Prob
45.0%
EV/u
0.843
Stake
0.28u
Lost
-0.28u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
home
Odds
2.84
Prob
46.1%
EV/u
0.281
Stake
0.37u
Lost
-0.37u
First 5 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
San Diego Padres
home
Odds
2.51
Prob
48.6%
EV/u
0.198
Stake
0.24u
Lost
-0.24u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Seattle Mariners
home
Odds
2.84
Prob
51.3%
EV/u
0.421
Stake
0.59u
Won
+1.09u
First 5 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Los Angeles Angels
home
Odds
2.42
Prob
49.7%
EV/u
0.138
Stake
0.27u
Lost
-0.27u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
2.21
Prob
52.6%
EV/u
0.103
Stake
0.20u
Won
+0.24u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Cleveland Guardians
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
50.7%
EV/u
0.172
Stake
0.36u
Won
+0.52u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Houston Astros
home
Odds
2.44
Prob
50.3%
EV/u
0.158
Stake
0.33u
Won
+0.48u
First 5 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
San Diego Padres
home
Odds
2.48
Prob
46.2%
EV/u
0.089
Stake
0.15u
Won
+0.22u
First 5 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Francisco Giants
home
Odds
2.87
Prob
46.8%
EV/u
0.313
Stake
0.49u
Lost
-0.49u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Los Angeles Angels
home
Odds
2.42
Prob
53.1%
EV/u
0.207
Stake
0.37u
Lost
-0.37u
First 5 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
2.67
Prob
48.0%
EV/u
0.257
Stake
0.42u
Won
+0.70u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
home
Odds
3.02
Prob
50.4%
EV/u
0.485
Stake
0.63u
Lost
-0.63u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Minnesota Twins
home
Odds
2.29
Prob
54.3%
EV/u
0.173
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.39u
First 5 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Seattle Mariners
home
Odds
2.20
Prob
50.7%
EV/u
0.064
Stake
0.08u
Won
+0.10u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
Chicago Cubs
away
Odds
3.34
Prob
48.8%
EV/u
0.131
Stake
0.29u
Lost
-0.29u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Cleveland Guardians
away
Odds
3.59
Prob
51.0%
EV/u
0.118
Stake
0.14u
Won
+0.36u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Minnesota Twins
home
Odds
2.85
Prob
48.1%
EV/u
0.341
Stake
0.90u
Won
+1.67u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
New York Mets
home
Odds
2.17
Prob
50.8%
EV/u
0.052
Stake
0.20u
Lost
-0.20u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Pittsburgh Pirates
home
Odds
2.32
Prob
48.5%
EV/u
0.072
Stake
0.27u
Won
+0.36u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Boston Red Sox
away
Odds
3.71
Prob
45.4%
EV/u
0.602
Stake
0.38u
Won
+1.03u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
Chicago Cubs
away
Odds
2.59
Prob
46.0%
EV/u
0.087
Stake
0.08u
Lost
-0.08u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Cleveland Guardians
away
Odds
2.77
Prob
45.3%
EV/u
0.174
Stake
0.18u
Won
+0.32u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Houston Astros
away
Odds
3.57
Prob
45.4%
EV/u
0.541
Stake
0.36u
Won
+0.93u
First 5 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
3.45
Prob
45.3%
EV/u
0.453
Stake
0.47u
Won
+1.15u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Arizona Diamondbacks
home
Odds
2.88
Prob
44.9%
EV/u
0.266
Stake
0.33u
Lost
-0.33u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Houston Astros
away
Odds
3.40
Prob
45.3%
EV/u
0.434
Stake
0.84u
Won
+2.02u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.