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Case Archive

Historical Audit

Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.

Last synced: May 15, 2026 2:07 PM EDT

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First 5 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
New York Mets New York Mets
away
Odds
3.86
Prob
46.1%
EV/u
0.647
Stake
0.68u
Won +1.94u
First 5 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
away
Odds
2.76
Prob
44.9%
EV/u
0.176
Stake
0.28u
Lost -0.28u
First 5 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
2.71
Prob
45.1%
EV/u
0.154
Stake
0.17u
Won +0.29u
First 5 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
3.75
Prob
45.2%
EV/u
0.626
Stake
0.40u
Lost -0.40u
First 5 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
4.65
Prob
45.3%
EV/u
0.998
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
First 5 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
away
Odds
3.08
Prob
45.5%
EV/u
0.303
Stake
0.40u
Lost -0.40u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
3.09
Prob
45.1%
EV/u
0.302
Stake
0.39u
Lost -0.39u
First 5 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
away
Odds
2.68
Prob
45.4%
EV/u
0.138
Stake
0.14u
Won +0.24u
First 5 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
2.58
Prob
45.2%
EV/u
0.095
Stake
0.07u
Lost -0.07u
First 5 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
3.35
Prob
45.7%
EV/u
0.401
Stake
0.39u
Won +0.92u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
3.13
Prob
44.9%
EV/u
0.339
Stake
0.35u
Lost -0.35u
First 5 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
away
Odds
3.62
Prob
45.3%
EV/u
0.562
Stake
0.33u
Lost -0.33u
First 5 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
home
Odds
3.45
Prob
45.2%
EV/u
0.520
Stake
0.49u
Won +1.20u
First 5 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
2.78
Prob
44.9%
EV/u
0.193
Stake
0.17u
Lost -0.17u
First 5 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
3.12
Prob
45.3%
EV/u
0.318
Stake
0.40u
Lost -0.40u
First 5 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
home
Odds
2.59
Prob
45.3%
EV/u
0.153
Stake
0.19u
Lost -0.19u
First 5 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
2.76
Prob
46.2%
EV/u
0.158
Stake
0.18u
Won +0.32u
First 5 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
2.76
Prob
45.3%
EV/u
0.169
Stake
0.20u
Won +0.35u
First 5 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
3.27
Prob
45.2%
EV/u
0.383
Stake
0.44u
Won +1.00u
First 5 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
away
Odds
3.89
Prob
45.3%
EV/u
0.678
Stake
0.39u
Won +1.13u
First 5 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
3.53
Prob
45.2%
EV/u
0.521
Stake
0.49u
Won +1.24u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
home
Odds
2.40
Prob
45.2%
EV/u
0.038
Stake
0.06u
Won +0.08u
First 5 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
3.34
Prob
45.3%
EV/u
0.408
Stake
0.63u
Won +1.47u
First 5 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
3.25
Prob
45.2%
EV/u
0.368
Stake
0.59u
Won +1.33u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
2.71
Prob
45.0%
EV/u
0.151
Stake
0.31u
Won +0.53u
First 5 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
3.15
Prob
45.7%
EV/u
0.319
Stake
0.58u
Lost -0.58u
First 5 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
home
Odds
2.87
Prob
44.9%
EV/u
0.263
Stake
0.55u
Won +1.03u
First 5 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
2.72
Prob
45.4%
EV/u
0.154
Stake
0.32u
Won +0.55u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
home
Odds
2.92
Prob
45.0%
EV/u
0.287
Stake
0.49u
Won +0.94u
First 5 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
2.62
Prob
44.9%
EV/u
0.118
Stake
0.19u
Won +0.31u
First 5 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
4.41
Prob
45.4%
EV/u
0.904
Stake
0.36u
Won +1.23u
First 5 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
New York Yankees New York Yankees
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
45.4%
EV/u
0.142
Stake
0.23u
Lost -0.23u
First 5 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
home
Odds
2.71
Prob
45.4%
EV/u
0.208
Stake
0.40u
Lost -0.40u
First 5 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
45.5%
EV/u
0.085
Stake
0.13u
Won +0.20u
First 5 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
3.44
Prob
45.4%
EV/u
0.449
Stake
0.62u
Lost -0.62u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
45.2%
EV/u
0.154
Stake
0.21u
Lost -0.21u
First 5 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
2.97
Prob
45.7%
EV/u
0.328
Stake
0.57u
Lost -0.57u
First 5 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
home
Odds
2.83
Prob
45.2%
EV/u
0.254
Stake
0.40u
Won +0.73u
First 5 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
home
Odds
2.40
Prob
45.3%
EV/u
0.039
Stake
0.07u
Won +0.10u
First 5 innings mlb
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
3.34
Prob
45.4%
EV/u
0.405
Stake
0.52u
Lost -0.52u
First 5 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
3.48
Prob
45.4%
EV/u
0.466
Stake
0.56u
Lost -0.56u
First 5 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
2.40
Prob
44.8%
EV/u
0.030
Stake
0.05u
Lost -0.05u
First 5 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
3.26
Prob
45.2%
EV/u
0.386
Stake
0.52u
Lost -0.52u
First 5 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
home
Odds
2.41
Prob
45.3%
EV/u
0.043
Stake
0.08u
Won +0.11u
First 5 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
home
Odds
2.76
Prob
45.3%
EV/u
0.227
Stake
0.40u
Lost -0.40u
First 5 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
3.06
Prob
45.1%
EV/u
0.301
Stake
0.45u
Won +0.93u
First 5 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
2.94
Prob
45.4%
EV/u
0.241
Stake
0.39u
Lost -0.39u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
home
Odds
2.61
Prob
45.2%
EV/u
0.159
Stake
0.27u
Lost -0.27u
First 5 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
home
Odds
2.57
Prob
45.4%
EV/u
0.147
Stake
0.25u
Won +0.39u
First 5 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
2.49
Prob
45.3%
EV/u
0.074
Stake
0.18u
Lost -0.18u
First 5 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
home
Odds
2.66
Prob
45.2%
EV/u
0.181
Stake
0.58u
Lost -0.58u
First 5 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
New York Mets New York Mets
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
45.3%
EV/u
0.148
Stake
0.43u
Lost -0.43u
First 5 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
2.83
Prob
45.0%
EV/u
0.208
Stake
0.61u
Won +1.12u
First 5 innings mlb
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
45.3%
EV/u
0.145
Stake
0.28u
Won +0.48u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
3.31
Prob
45.3%
EV/u
0.396
Stake
0.71u
Lost -0.71u
First 5 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
home
Odds
2.75
Prob
45.1%
EV/u
0.217
Stake
0.49u
Lost -0.49u
First 5 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
away
Odds
2.74
Prob
45.3%
EV/u
0.161
Stake
0.32u
Lost -0.32u
First 5 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
home
Odds
3.48
Prob
45.1%
EV/u
0.530
Stake
0.44u
Won +1.09u
First 5 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
away
Odds
3.40
Prob
45.3%
EV/u
0.432
Stake
0.34u
Won +0.82u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
3.61
Prob
45.5%
EV/u
0.560
Stake
0.29u
Lost -0.29u
First 5 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
home
Odds
3.16
Prob
45.1%
EV/u
0.391
Stake
0.31u
Won +0.67u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
away
Odds
3.03
Prob
45.1%
EV/u
0.286
Stake
0.19u
Lost -0.19u
First 5 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
home
Odds
4.11
Prob
45.1%
EV/u
0.853
Stake
0.23u
Won +0.72u
First 5 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
2.86
Prob
38.7%
EV/u
0.089
Stake
0.16u
Won +0.30u
First 5 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
3.07
Prob
44.5%
EV/u
0.109
Stake
0.19u
Lost -0.19u
First 5 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
away
Odds
2.93
Prob
40.3%
EV/u
0.097
Stake
0.17u
Won +0.33u
First 5 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
away
Odds
3.17
Prob
30.6%
EV/u
0.476
Stake
0.94u
Lost -0.94u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
away
Odds
3.60
Prob
43.1%
EV/u
0.313
Stake
0.34u
Lost -0.34u
First 5 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
3.19
Prob
41.5%
EV/u
0.207
Stake
0.53u
Won +1.16u
First 5 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
2.52
Prob
38.6%
EV/u
0.035
Stake
0.16u
Won +0.24u
First 5 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
home
Odds
2.78
Prob
37.6%
EV/u
0.031
Stake
0.05u
Won +0.09u
First 5 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
3.09
Prob
43.8%
EV/u
0.116
Stake
0.25u
Lost -0.25u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
3.47
Prob
44.8%
EV/u
0.232
Stake
0.48u
Won +1.19u
First 5 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
away
Odds
2.59
Prob
37.5%
EV/u
0.113
Stake
0.29u
Won +0.46u
First 5 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
home
Odds
2.59
Prob
48.4%
EV/u
0.230
Stake
0.73u
Won +1.16u
First 5 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
2.76
Prob
39.0%
EV/u
0.112
Stake
0.37u
Won +0.65u
First 5 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
away
Odds
4.12
Prob
49.0%
EV/u
0.378
Stake
0.29u
Lost -0.29u
First 5 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
New York Yankees New York Yankees
away
Odds
2.95
Prob
41.1%
EV/u
0.079
Stake
0.25u
Lost -0.25u
First 5 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
2.88
Prob
39.9%
EV/u
0.069
Stake
0.22u
Won +0.41u
First 5 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
home
Odds
2.62
Prob
40.7%
EV/u
0.052
Stake
0.21u
Won +0.34u
First 5 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
3.07
Prob
42.7%
EV/u
0.124
Stake
0.35u
Lost -0.35u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
3.27
Prob
42.4%
EV/u
0.220
Stake
0.54u
Lost -0.54u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
away
Odds
2.65
Prob
37.0%
EV/u
0.102
Stake
0.36u
Won +0.59u
First 5 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
home
Odds
2.96
Prob
38.8%
EV/u
0.130
Stake
0.38u
Won +0.74u
First 5 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
2.58
Prob
38.5%
EV/u
0.075
Stake
0.29u
Lost -0.29u
First 5 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
away
Odds
4.18
Prob
41.3%
EV/u
0.616
Stake
0.47u
Lost -0.47u
First 5 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
3.28
Prob
43.8%
EV/u
0.109
Stake
0.28u
Won +0.64u
First 5 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
away
Odds
3.64
Prob
42.6%
EV/u
0.406
Stake
0.55u
Won +1.45u
First 5 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Houston Astros Houston Astros
home
Odds
3.02
Prob
36.9%
EV/u
0.096
Stake
0.28u
Lost -0.28u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
2.51
Prob
37.5%
EV/u
0.034
Stake
0.16u
Lost -0.16u
First 5 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
2.64
Prob
42.5%
EV/u
0.105
Stake
0.38u
Won +0.62u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
3.87
Prob
53.8%
EV/u
0.138
Stake
0.17u
Won +0.49u
First 5 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
2.51
Prob
31.1%
EV/u
0.105
Stake
0.41u
Won +0.62u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
New York Yankees New York Yankees
away
Odds
3.01
Prob
43.1%
EV/u
0.097
Stake
0.29u
Lost -0.29u
First 5 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
3.79
Prob
35.6%
EV/u
0.642
Stake
0.80u
Won +2.23u
First 5 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
home
Odds
2.79
Prob
40.9%
EV/u
0.122
Stake
0.39u
Lost -0.39u
First 5 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
away
Odds
3.14
Prob
43.4%
EV/u
0.155
Stake
0.41u
Lost -0.41u
First 5 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
3.76
Prob
52.3%
EV/u
0.139
Stake
0.18u
Lost -0.18u
First 5 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
home
Odds
3.16
Prob
37.6%
EV/u
0.166
Stake
0.43u
Won +0.93u
First 5 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
3.01
Prob
41.4%
EV/u
0.120
Stake
0.34u
Won +0.68u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.