Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Jul 15, 2026 11:44 AM EDT
First 5 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
3.20
Prob
50.9%
EV/u
0.168
Stake
0.22u
Lost
-0.22u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Boston Red Sox
away
Odds
2.58
Prob
45.6%
EV/u
0.063
Stake
0.07u
Lost
-0.07u
First 5 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Houston Astros
away
Odds
2.73
Prob
39.3%
EV/u
0.239
Stake
0.44u
Lost
-0.44u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
2.83
Prob
42.7%
EV/u
0.210
Stake
0.35u
Won
+0.64u
First 5 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
2.52
Prob
41.5%
EV/u
0.120
Stake
0.18u
Won
+0.27u
First 5 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
3.15
Prob
42.7%
EV/u
0.373
Stake
0.54u
Lost
-0.54u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cleveland Indians
San Diego Padres
away
Odds
2.90
Prob
47.3%
EV/u
0.204
Stake
0.35u
Won
+0.67u
First 5 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Los Angeles Angels
away
Odds
2.59
Prob
46.2%
EV/u
0.135
Stake
0.21u
Lost
-0.21u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
4.00
Prob
46.1%
EV/u
0.877
Stake
0.36u
Won
+1.08u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
2.65
Prob
45.9%
EV/u
0.200
Stake
0.36u
Won
+0.59u
First 5 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
3.90
Prob
45.9%
EV/u
0.760
Stake
0.48u
Won
+1.39u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
2.68
Prob
47.9%
EV/u
0.088
Stake
0.31u
Lost
-0.31u
First 5 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
2.45
Prob
43.8%
EV/u
0.039
Stake
0.23u
Won
+0.33u
First 5 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
2.36
Prob
45.6%
EV/u
0.051
Stake
0.29u
Won
+0.39u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Tampa Bay Rays
home
Odds
2.46
Prob
50.5%
EV/u
0.174
Stake
0.28u
Won
+0.41u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Texas Rangers
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
47.4%
EV/u
0.147
Stake
0.19u
Won
+0.33u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Miami Marlins
home
Odds
2.95
Prob
48.2%
EV/u
0.390
Stake
0.57u
Lost
-0.57u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
San Francisco Giants
home
Odds
2.52
Prob
51.9%
EV/u
0.281
Stake
0.53u
Won
+0.81u
First 5 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Washington Nationals
home
Odds
2.44
Prob
49.8%
EV/u
0.150
Stake
0.23u
Lost
-0.23u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Philadelphia Phillies
home
Odds
2.68
Prob
49.9%
EV/u
0.309
Stake
0.65u
Lost
-0.65u
First 5 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Washington Nationals
away
Odds
2.68
Prob
50.0%
EV/u
0.142
Stake
0.23u
Lost
-0.23u
First 5 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Cleveland Indians
home
Odds
2.88
Prob
47.5%
EV/u
0.339
Stake
0.64u
Won
+1.20u
First 5 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Colorado Rockies
home
Odds
2.49
Prob
49.2%
EV/u
0.158
Stake
0.28u
Won
+0.42u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Tampa Bay Rays
home
Odds
2.13
Prob
53.6%
EV/u
0.087
Stake
0.18u
Lost
-0.18u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
3.48
Prob
49.8%
EV/u
0.468
Stake
0.66u
Won
+1.64u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Miami Marlins
home
Odds
2.90
Prob
43.4%
EV/u
0.234
Stake
0.44u
Lost
-0.44u
First 5 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Boston Red Sox
away
Odds
2.66
Prob
43.8%
EV/u
0.154
Stake
0.32u
Lost
-0.32u
First 5 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
2.65
Prob
45.8%
EV/u
0.109
Stake
0.20u
Won
+0.33u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
New York Yankees
away
Odds
3.00
Prob
44.6%
EV/u
0.383
Stake
0.34u
Lost
-0.34u
First 5 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
49.4%
EV/u
0.134
Stake
0.07u
Lost
-0.07u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
home
Odds
3.20
Prob
52.6%
EV/u
0.639
Stake
0.52u
Lost
-0.52u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
2.56
Prob
55.5%
EV/u
0.389
Stake
0.41u
Won
+0.64u
First 5 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
3.40
Prob
42.7%
EV/u
0.537
Stake
0.42u
Lost
-0.42u
First 5 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Minnesota Twins
home
Odds
2.22
Prob
53.3%
EV/u
0.123
Stake
0.23u
Lost
-0.23u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
New York Yankees
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
49.3%
EV/u
0.105
Stake
0.15u
Won
+0.23u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cleveland Indians
Texas Rangers
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
45.3%
EV/u
0.181
Stake
0.32u
Lost
-0.32u
First 5 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
2.90
Prob
47.5%
EV/u
0.271
Stake
0.43u
Won
+0.82u
First 5 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
3.05
Prob
50.5%
EV/u
0.247
Stake
0.37u
Lost
-0.37u
First 5 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
46.7%
EV/u
0.169
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
New York Yankees
away
Odds
2.90
Prob
48.5%
EV/u
0.248
Stake
0.42u
Lost
-0.42u
First 5 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
2.61
Prob
42.0%
EV/u
0.198
Stake
0.39u
Lost
-0.39u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
2.42
Prob
39.7%
EV/u
0.132
Stake
0.24u
Lost
-0.24u
First 5 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
Chicago Cubs
away
Odds
2.82
Prob
49.7%
EV/u
0.129
Stake
0.20u
Lost
-0.20u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
48.4%
EV/u
0.184
Stake
0.33u
Won
+0.58u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
New York Mets
away
Odds
2.59
Prob
46.1%
EV/u
0.130
Stake
0.22u
Lost
-0.22u
First 5 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
2.40
Prob
44.2%
EV/u
0.051
Stake
0.10u
Lost
-0.10u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
New York Yankees
away
Odds
3.00
Prob
41.8%
EV/u
0.512
Stake
0.79u
Won
+1.58u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cleveland Indians
Texas Rangers
home
Odds
2.47
Prob
44.8%
EV/u
0.057
Stake
0.11u
Lost
-0.11u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Los Angeles Angels
away
Odds
2.90
Prob
50.8%
EV/u
0.181
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.57u
First 5 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
Chicago Cubs
away
Odds
2.23
Prob
43.8%
EV/u
0.050
Stake
0.10u
Won
+0.12u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
3.00
Prob
48.3%
EV/u
0.255
Stake
0.40u
Lost
-0.40u
First 5 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Houston Astros
away
Odds
2.62
Prob
48.6%
EV/u
0.065
Stake
0.15u
Won
+0.24u
First 5 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
2.42
Prob
40.8%
EV/u
0.102
Stake
0.28u
Won
+0.40u
First 5 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
47.9%
EV/u
0.100
Stake
0.26u
Won
+0.40u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
3.15
Prob
47.2%
EV/u
0.324
Stake
0.60u
Lost
-0.60u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
New York Mets
away
Odds
2.53
Prob
48.5%
EV/u
0.082
Stake
0.20u
Won
+0.31u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
Chicago Cubs
home
Odds
2.21
Prob
52.4%
EV/u
0.101
Stake
0.31u
Won
+0.38u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cleveland Indians
Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
3.50
Prob
47.1%
EV/u
0.559
Stake
0.40u
Won
+1.00u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Texas Rangers
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
47.5%
EV/u
0.107
Stake
0.14u
Lost
-0.14u
First 5 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
2.40
Prob
39.3%
EV/u
0.216
Stake
0.38u
Lost
-0.38u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
3.05
Prob
50.2%
EV/u
0.241
Stake
0.32u
Won
+0.66u
First 5 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
3.30
Prob
48.3%
EV/u
0.418
Stake
0.49u
Lost
-0.49u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Baltimore Orioles
home
Odds
2.48
Prob
45.0%
EV/u
0.067
Stake
0.07u
Lost
-0.07u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Texas Rangers
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
49.0%
EV/u
0.132
Stake
0.21u
Lost
-0.21u
First 5 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Houston Astros
away
Odds
2.50
Prob
47.1%
EV/u
0.058
Stake
0.09u
Lost
-0.09u
First 5 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
2.67
Prob
50.7%
EV/u
0.071
Stake
0.11u
Lost
-0.11u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
New York Mets
away
Odds
2.51
Prob
44.7%
EV/u
0.095
Stake
0.17u
Won
+0.26u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
Chicago Cubs
away
Odds
3.03
Prob
43.0%
EV/u
0.425
Stake
0.72u
Lost
-0.72u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
3.20
Prob
45.5%
EV/u
0.320
Stake
0.50u
Lost
-0.50u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
3.55
Prob
48.3%
EV/u
0.417
Stake
0.59u
Lost
-0.59u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Los Angeles Angels
away
Odds
2.64
Prob
46.5%
EV/u
0.109
Stake
0.38u
Lost
-0.38u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
New York Mets
away
Odds
2.32
Prob
41.8%
EV/u
0.064
Stake
0.35u
Lost
-0.35u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Cleveland Indians
away
Odds
2.88
Prob
46.2%
EV/u
0.146
Stake
0.19u
Won
+0.36u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
3.00
Prob
45.4%
EV/u
0.359
Stake
0.45u
Won
+0.90u
First 5 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Chicago White Sox
home
Odds
2.22
Prob
51.0%
EV/u
0.080
Stake
0.11u
Won
+0.13u
First 5 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Detroit Tigers
home
Odds
2.67
Prob
47.5%
EV/u
0.243
Stake
0.37u
Lost
-0.37u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
San Diego Padres
away
Odds
2.85
Prob
43.6%
EV/u
0.349
Stake
0.48u
Lost
-0.48u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
New York Mets
home
Odds
2.25
Prob
52.9%
EV/u
0.129
Stake
0.20u
Won
+0.25u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Boston Red Sox
away
Odds
2.33
Prob
38.8%
EV/u
0.065
Stake
0.07u
Won
+0.09u
First 5 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Houston Astros
away
Odds
2.78
Prob
36.7%
EV/u
0.338
Stake
0.49u
Won
+0.87u
First 5 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
San Francisco Giants
away
Odds
2.95
Prob
39.8%
EV/u
0.359
Stake
0.47u
Lost
-0.47u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
New York Mets
home
Odds
2.75
Prob
40.4%
EV/u
0.095
Stake
0.09u
Won
+0.16u
First 5 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
3.65
Prob
38.2%
EV/u
0.751
Stake
0.38u
Lost
-0.38u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
39.0%
EV/u
0.218
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Boston Red Sox
away
Odds
2.29
Prob
37.1%
EV/u
0.079
Stake
0.23u
Lost
-0.23u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
3.65
Prob
40.1%
EV/u
0.710
Stake
0.64u
Won
+1.70u
First 5 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Houston Astros
away
Odds
3.00
Prob
39.9%
EV/u
0.381
Stake
0.82u
Won
+1.64u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
2.34
Prob
40.4%
EV/u
0.045
Stake
0.11u
Lost
-0.11u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
40.2%
EV/u
0.173
Stake
0.26u
Won
+0.40u
First 5 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
2.65
Prob
40.4%
EV/u
0.213
Stake
0.34u
Won
+0.56u
First 5 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Miami Marlins
away
Odds
2.95
Prob
40.2%
EV/u
0.349
Stake
0.59u
Lost
-0.59u
First 5 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
38.1%
EV/u
0.330
Stake
0.61u
Lost
-0.61u
First 5 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Chicago White Sox
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
40.4%
EV/u
0.037
Stake
0.06u
Lost
-0.06u
First 5 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Miami Marlins
away
Odds
2.74
Prob
40.1%
EV/u
0.262
Stake
0.53u
Won
+0.92u
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Boston Red Sox
away
Odds
2.30
Prob
37.6%
EV/u
0.072
Stake
0.14u
Lost
-0.14u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Chicago Cubs
away
Odds
2.47
Prob
38.6%
EV/u
0.131
Stake
0.29u
Lost
-0.29u
First 5 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Cleveland Indians
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
38.1%
EV/u
0.468
Stake
0.78u
Won
+1.64u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
San Diego Padres
away
Odds
2.85
Prob
40.1%
EV/u
0.307
Stake
0.91u
Lost
-0.91u
First 5 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
New York Yankees
away
Odds
2.45
Prob
40.1%
EV/u
0.093
Stake
0.41u
Lost
-0.41u
First 5 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Tampa Bay Rays
home
Odds
3.35
Prob
38.9%
EV/u
0.276
Stake
0.60u
Lost
-0.60u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.