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Case Archive

Historical Audit

Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.

Last synced: May 15, 2026 2:07 PM EDT

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First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
43.5%
EV/u
0.128
Stake
0.17u
Lost -0.17u
First 5 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
home
Odds
2.90
Prob
44.4%
EV/u
0.262
Stake
0.41u
Won +0.78u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
2.55
Prob
42.9%
EV/u
0.078
Stake
0.10u
Lost -0.10u
First 5 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
away
Odds
3.35
Prob
43.4%
EV/u
0.357
Stake
0.83u
Won +1.95u
First 5 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
home
Odds
2.67
Prob
41.5%
EV/u
0.092
Stake
0.28u
Won +0.47u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
43.8%
EV/u
0.120
Stake
0.40u
Lost -0.40u
First 5 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
home
Odds
2.55
Prob
43.4%
EV/u
0.090
Stake
0.29u
Lost -0.29u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
3.00
Prob
48.1%
EV/u
0.150
Stake
0.29u
Won +0.58u
First 5 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
41.9%
EV/u
0.273
Stake
0.56u
Lost -0.56u
First 5 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
4.00
Prob
44.4%
EV/u
0.662
Stake
0.42u
Won +1.26u
First 5 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
home
Odds
2.70
Prob
43.5%
EV/u
0.155
Stake
0.34u
Won +0.58u
First 5 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
44.4%
EV/u
0.104
Stake
0.19u
Lost -0.19u
First 5 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Houston Astros Houston Astros
away
Odds
2.65
Prob
43.8%
EV/u
0.100
Stake
0.12u
Won +0.20u
First 5 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
home
Odds
3.20
Prob
42.9%
EV/u
0.343
Stake
0.46u
Won +1.01u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
New York Yankees New York Yankees
away
Odds
2.90
Prob
43.8%
EV/u
0.200
Stake
0.29u
Lost -0.29u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
away
Odds
2.90
Prob
43.5%
EV/u
0.209
Stake
0.31u
Won +0.59u
First 5 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
44.2%
EV/u
0.089
Stake
0.11u
Lost -0.11u
First 5 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
home
Odds
3.45
Prob
41.9%
EV/u
0.412
Stake
0.50u
Won +1.23u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
away
Odds
3.30
Prob
46.6%
EV/u
0.268
Stake
0.40u
Lost -0.40u
First 5 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Houston Astros Houston Astros
home
Odds
2.55
Prob
45.5%
EV/u
0.141
Stake
0.29u
Won +0.45u
First 5 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
home
Odds
2.40
Prob
45.7%
EV/u
0.048
Stake
0.08u
Lost -0.08u
First 5 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
home
Odds
3.15
Prob
46.0%
EV/u
0.416
Stake
0.65u
Lost -0.65u
First 5 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
45.7%
EV/u
0.096
Stake
0.16u
Lost -0.16u
First 5 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
away
Odds
2.65
Prob
42.0%
EV/u
0.119
Stake
0.22u
Lost -0.22u
First 5 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
home
Odds
2.85
Prob
46.0%
EV/u
0.285
Stake
0.57u
Won +1.05u
First 5 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
away
Odds
3.00
Prob
45.8%
EV/u
0.174
Stake
0.31u
Lost -0.31u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
New York Yankees New York Yankees
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
45.5%
EV/u
0.063
Stake
0.10u
Won +0.15u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
home
Odds
3.40
Prob
45.1%
EV/u
0.496
Stake
0.76u
Lost -0.76u
First 5 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
46.6%
EV/u
0.045
Stake
0.06u
Lost -0.06u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
2.70
Prob
45.6%
EV/u
0.208
Stake
0.68u
Won +1.16u
First 5 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
46.5%
EV/u
0.061
Stake
0.22u
Won +0.39u
First 5 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
away
Odds
2.65
Prob
45.7%
EV/u
0.040
Stake
0.16u
Lost -0.16u
First 5 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
New York Mets New York Mets
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
45.8%
EV/u
0.079
Stake
0.27u
Lost -0.27u
First 5 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
46.3%
EV/u
0.031
Stake
0.13u
Won +0.22u
First 5 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
home
Odds
2.40
Prob
45.8%
EV/u
0.050
Stake
0.28u
Lost -0.28u
First 5 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
2.95
Prob
47.2%
EV/u
0.118
Stake
0.25u
Won +0.49u
First 5 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
away
Odds
3.15
Prob
45.5%
EV/u
0.225
Stake
0.50u
Lost -0.50u
First 5 innings mlb
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
45.8%
EV/u
0.212
Stake
0.48u
Lost -0.48u
First 5 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
2.95
Prob
46.3%
EV/u
0.123
Stake
0.27u
Lost -0.27u
First 5 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
45.5%
EV/u
0.120
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
45.8%
EV/u
0.126
Stake
0.48u
Lost -0.48u
First 5 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
2.65
Prob
45.9%
EV/u
0.035
Stake
0.11u
Lost -0.11u
First 5 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
45.8%
EV/u
0.126
Stake
0.48u
Lost -0.48u
First 5 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
away
Odds
2.65
Prob
45.5%
EV/u
0.037
Stake
0.11u
Lost -0.11u
First 5 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
New York Mets New York Mets
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
45.8%
EV/u
0.023
Stake
0.07u
Lost -0.07u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
45.5%
EV/u
0.207
Stake
0.55u
Lost -0.55u
First 5 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
3.40
Prob
46.3%
EV/u
0.288
Stake
0.66u
Won +1.58u
First 5 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
3.60
Prob
47.4%
EV/u
0.388
Stake
0.54u
Won +1.40u
First 5 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
home
Odds
2.99
Prob
45.5%
EV/u
0.332
Stake
0.89u
Lost -0.89u
First 5 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
home
Odds
2.53
Prob
47.1%
EV/u
0.171
Stake
0.43u
Won +0.66u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
away
Odds
3.46
Prob
50.3%
EV/u
0.224
Stake
0.48u
Lost -0.48u
First 5 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
2.39
Prob
45.5%
EV/u
0.040
Stake
0.10u
Lost -0.10u
First 5 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
home
Odds
2.48
Prob
49.3%
EV/u
0.154
Stake
0.53u
Won +0.78u
First 5 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
away
Odds
3.52
Prob
43.7%
EV/u
0.446
Stake
0.63u
Lost -0.63u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
3.09
Prob
45.8%
EV/u
0.208
Stake
0.54u
Won +1.13u
First 5 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
home
Odds
2.75
Prob
45.5%
EV/u
0.227
Stake
0.68u
Won +1.19u
First 5 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
2.83
Prob
42.3%
EV/u
0.167
Stake
0.42u
Won +0.77u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
home
Odds
2.76
Prob
45.5%
EV/u
0.232
Stake
0.70u
Lost -0.70u
First 5 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
2.90
Prob
46.1%
EV/u
0.112
Stake
0.34u
Lost -0.34u
First 5 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
2.66
Prob
46.3%
EV/u
0.025
Stake
0.12u
Won +0.20u
First 5 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
home
Odds
2.47
Prob
45.5%
EV/u
0.071
Stake
0.34u
Lost -0.34u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
2.72
Prob
46.7%
EV/u
0.045
Stake
0.17u
Lost -0.17u
First 5 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
home
Odds
2.55
Prob
43.9%
EV/u
0.103
Stake
0.39u
Won +0.60u
First 5 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
46.0%
EV/u
0.175
Stake
0.62u
Won +0.99u
First 5 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
45.8%
EV/u
0.023
Stake
0.11u
Won +0.18u
First 5 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
away
Odds
2.65
Prob
46.5%
EV/u
0.024
Stake
0.11u
Lost -0.11u
First 5 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
43.7%
EV/u
0.026
Stake
0.20u
Lost -0.20u
First 5 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
away
Odds
2.63
Prob
45.8%
EV/u
0.034
Stake
0.15u
Lost -0.15u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
away
Odds
2.82
Prob
46.3%
EV/u
0.085
Stake
0.28u
Lost -0.28u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
home
Odds
2.42
Prob
46.3%
EV/u
0.067
Stake
0.34u
Won +0.48u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
away
Odds
2.81
Prob
47.4%
EV/u
0.068
Stake
0.23u
Lost -0.23u
First 5 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
home
Odds
2.40
Prob
45.8%
EV/u
0.050
Stake
0.28u
Won +0.39u
First 5 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
away
Odds
2.95
Prob
45.5%
EV/u
0.150
Stake
0.44u
Won +0.86u
First 5 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
away
Odds
2.74
Prob
43.9%
EV/u
0.073
Stake
0.26u
Won +0.45u
First 5 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
2.73
Prob
43.9%
EV/u
0.069
Stake
0.25u
Won +0.43u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
New York Mets New York Mets
away
Odds
3.30
Prob
43.8%
EV/u
0.280
Stake
0.67u
Won +1.54u
First 5 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
3.15
Prob
43.8%
EV/u
0.232
Stake
0.60u
Lost -0.60u
First 5 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
3.20
Prob
43.8%
EV/u
0.243
Stake
0.61u
Won +1.34u
First 5 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
44.0%
EV/u
0.078
Stake
0.27u
Lost -0.27u
First 5 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
home
Odds
2.83
Prob
43.9%
EV/u
0.219
Stake
0.49u
Lost -0.49u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
2.65
Prob
44.1%
EV/u
0.041
Stake
0.06u
Lost -0.06u
First 5 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
home
Odds
2.98
Prob
43.9%
EV/u
0.280
Stake
0.69u
Won +1.37u
First 5 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
away
Odds
3.22
Prob
43.9%
EV/u
0.259
Stake
0.56u
Lost -0.56u
First 5 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
home
Odds
2.65
Prob
43.9%
EV/u
0.144
Stake
0.50u
Won +0.83u
First 5 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
away
Odds
2.64
Prob
44.0%
EV/u
0.036
Stake
0.15u
Lost -0.15u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
home
Odds
2.67
Prob
43.9%
EV/u
0.151
Stake
0.51u
Lost -0.51u
First 5 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
3.15
Prob
43.9%
EV/u
0.228
Stake
0.59u
Won +1.27u
First 5 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
home
Odds
2.97
Prob
43.9%
EV/u
0.276
Stake
0.77u
Won +1.52u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
2.94
Prob
43.9%
EV/u
0.151
Stake
0.44u
Lost -0.44u
First 5 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
2.61
Prob
43.8%
EV/u
0.023
Stake
0.11u
Lost -0.11u
First 5 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
New York Mets New York Mets
away
Odds
2.69
Prob
43.9%
EV/u
0.055
Stake
0.21u
Won +0.35u
First 5 innings mlb
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
Houston Astros Houston Astros
away
Odds
2.77
Prob
43.9%
EV/u
0.085
Stake
0.29u
Lost -0.29u
First 5 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
home
Odds
2.82
Prob
43.9%
EV/u
0.214
Stake
0.65u
Won +1.18u
First 5 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
2.90
Prob
43.9%
EV/u
0.134
Stake
0.40u
Lost -0.40u
First 5 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
away
Odds
2.72
Prob
43.7%
EV/u
0.068
Stake
0.24u
Lost -0.24u
First 5 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
home
Odds
2.90
Prob
44.0%
EV/u
0.250
Stake
0.72u
Won +1.37u
First 5 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
44.1%
EV/u
0.020
Stake
0.11u
Lost -0.11u
First 5 innings mlb
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
44.0%
EV/u
0.125
Stake
0.45u
Won +0.72u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
New York Yankees New York Yankees
home
Odds
2.80
Prob
44.0%
EV/u
0.208
Stake
0.64u
Won +1.15u
First 5 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
away
Odds
2.64
Prob
43.9%
EV/u
0.036
Stake
0.15u
Won +0.25u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.