Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Jul 15, 2026 11:44 AM EDT
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
3.71
Prob
45.4%
EV/u
0.511
Stake
0.42u
Won
+1.14u
First 5 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
3.67
Prob
45.9%
EV/u
0.489
Stake
0.41u
Lost
-0.41u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
New York Yankees
away
Odds
3.55
Prob
47.8%
EV/u
0.393
Stake
0.34u
Won
+0.87u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
4.70
Prob
47.0%
EV/u
0.775
Stake
0.45u
Lost
-0.45u
First 5 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
3.65
Prob
46.2%
EV/u
0.431
Stake
0.53u
Lost
-0.53u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
3.15
Prob
45.0%
EV/u
0.383
Stake
0.79u
Lost
-0.79u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cleveland Indians
Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
4.28
Prob
50.3%
EV/u
0.466
Stake
0.34u
Lost
-0.34u
First 5 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Baltimore Orioles
home
Odds
2.28
Prob
47.5%
EV/u
0.036
Stake
0.14u
Won
+0.18u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
2.61
Prob
48.1%
EV/u
0.230
Stake
0.79u
Won
+1.27u
First 5 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
2.74
Prob
42.2%
EV/u
0.163
Stake
0.53u
Lost
-0.53u
First 5 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
3.07
Prob
42.8%
EV/u
0.284
Stake
0.51u
Won
+1.06u
First 5 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Houston Astros
away
Odds
3.56
Prob
45.4%
EV/u
0.411
Stake
0.39u
Lost
-0.39u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
New York Yankees
away
Odds
2.81
Prob
45.3%
EV/u
0.073
Stake
0.11u
Won
+0.20u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Milwaukee Brewers
home
Odds
2.48
Prob
48.2%
EV/u
0.133
Stake
0.28u
Lost
-0.28u
First 5 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
2.97
Prob
47.0%
EV/u
0.104
Stake
0.17u
Lost
-0.17u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Cincinnati Reds
home
Odds
2.63
Prob
44.8%
EV/u
0.159
Stake
0.34u
Lost
-0.34u
First 5 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
3.14
Prob
42.8%
EV/u
0.312
Stake
0.49u
Lost
-0.49u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Minnesota Twins
home
Odds
3.05
Prob
40.8%
EV/u
0.221
Stake
0.35u
Lost
-0.35u
First 5 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Los Angeles Angels
away
Odds
2.73
Prob
44.8%
EV/u
0.088
Stake
0.11u
Lost
-0.11u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
2.54
Prob
42.7%
EV/u
0.074
Stake
0.09u
Won
+0.14u
First 5 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Pittsburgh Pirates
home
Odds
2.76
Prob
46.0%
EV/u
0.246
Stake
0.46u
Lost
-0.46u
First 5 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Houston Astros
away
Odds
3.39
Prob
49.1%
EV/u
0.213
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
First 5 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
2.91
Prob
43.1%
EV/u
0.200
Stake
0.41u
Lost
-0.41u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
San Francisco Giants
home
Odds
2.41
Prob
47.0%
EV/u
0.080
Stake
0.17u
Lost
-0.17u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Minnesota Twins
home
Odds
2.57
Prob
43.4%
EV/u
0.099
Stake
0.21u
Lost
-0.21u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
New York Yankees
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
44.2%
EV/u
0.111
Stake
0.23u
Lost
-0.23u
First 5 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Miami Marlins
away
Odds
2.96
Prob
44.6%
EV/u
0.171
Stake
0.35u
Won
+0.69u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
4.23
Prob
42.4%
EV/u
0.833
Stake
0.43u
Lost
-0.43u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
3.63
Prob
51.5%
EV/u
0.234
Stake
0.32u
Lost
-0.32u
First 5 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Miami Marlins
home
Odds
4.05
Prob
45.5%
EV/u
0.845
Stake
0.60u
Won
+1.83u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
2.74
Prob
40.2%
EV/u
0.224
Stake
0.55u
Lost
-0.55u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
St. Louis Cardinals
home
Odds
3.29
Prob
46.9%
EV/u
0.505
Stake
0.98u
Won
+2.24u
First 5 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Texas Rangers
home
Odds
2.39
Prob
49.5%
EV/u
0.122
Stake
0.27u
Won
+0.38u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
home
Odds
3.37
Prob
41.6%
EV/u
0.371
Stake
0.53u
Lost
-0.53u
First 5 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Toronto Blue Jays
home
Odds
2.40
Prob
47.9%
EV/u
0.094
Stake
0.18u
Lost
-0.18u
First 5 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
2.79
Prob
46.4%
EV/u
0.104
Stake
0.18u
Lost
-0.18u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
2.71
Prob
44.3%
EV/u
0.096
Stake
0.16u
Lost
-0.16u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Chicago Cubs
home
Odds
2.63
Prob
46.0%
EV/u
0.188
Stake
0.40u
Lost
-0.40u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
Washington Nationals
home
Odds
2.51
Prob
47.0%
EV/u
0.159
Stake
0.35u
Lost
-0.35u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
home
Odds
4.09
Prob
44.8%
EV/u
0.831
Stake
0.46u
Lost
-0.46u
First 5 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Toronto Blue Jays
home
Odds
2.29
Prob
48.0%
EV/u
0.051
Stake
0.10u
Lost
-0.10u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Arizona Diamondbacks
home
Odds
2.58
Prob
45.2%
EV/u
0.148
Stake
0.35u
Lost
-0.35u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
3.05
Prob
46.5%
EV/u
0.173
Stake
0.35u
Lost
-0.35u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
St. Louis Cardinals
home
Odds
2.80
Prob
44.4%
EV/u
0.221
Stake
0.53u
Lost
-0.53u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
2.68
Prob
45.4%
EV/u
0.063
Stake
0.06u
Won
+0.10u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Washington Nationals
home
Odds
2.88
Prob
44.7%
EV/u
0.263
Stake
0.39u
Won
+0.73u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
2.80
Prob
46.7%
EV/u
0.280
Stake
0.44u
Lost
-0.44u
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
New York Mets
home
Odds
2.44
Prob
47.2%
EV/u
0.095
Stake
0.11u
Won
+0.16u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
3.36
Prob
42.5%
EV/u
0.415
Stake
0.50u
Lost
-0.50u
First 5 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
3.25
Prob
45.6%
EV/u
0.237
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Boston Red Sox
away
Odds
3.33
Prob
47.5%
EV/u
0.240
Stake
0.21u
Lost
-0.21u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
3.68
Prob
46.6%
EV/u
0.716
Stake
0.36u
Won
+0.96u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Cincinnati Reds
home
Odds
3.73
Prob
47.5%
EV/u
0.774
Stake
0.36u
Lost
-0.36u
First 5 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
3.33
Prob
47.5%
EV/u
0.240
Stake
0.21u
Won
+0.49u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
2.79
Prob
48.7%
EV/u
0.329
Stake
0.40u
Lost
-0.40u
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
New York Mets
away
Odds
3.24
Prob
45.1%
EV/u
0.275
Stake
0.26u
Lost
-0.26u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
2.87
Prob
46.6%
EV/u
0.115
Stake
0.12u
Lost
-0.12u
First 5 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Oakland Athletics
home
Odds
3.11
Prob
47.2%
EV/u
0.434
Stake
0.53u
Won
+1.12u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Cincinnati Reds
home
Odds
2.74
Prob
46.8%
EV/u
0.257
Stake
0.38u
Lost
-0.38u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
St. Louis Cardinals
home
Odds
3.47
Prob
44.8%
EV/u
0.516
Stake
0.53u
Won
+1.31u
First 5 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Arizona Diamondbacks
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
47.2%
EV/u
0.100
Stake
0.12u
Lost
-0.12u
First 5 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Cleveland Indians
away
Odds
2.53
Prob
41.7%
EV/u
0.103
Stake
0.12u
Won
+0.18u
First 5 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Chicago White Sox
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
44.0%
EV/u
0.083
Stake
0.33u
Lost
-0.33u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Boston Red Sox
away
Odds
2.57
Prob
43.7%
EV/u
0.050
Stake
0.20u
Lost
-0.20u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
2.47
Prob
41.4%
EV/u
0.025
Stake
0.19u
Lost
-0.19u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
New York Mets
away
Odds
2.73
Prob
45.6%
EV/u
0.054
Stake
0.20u
Lost
-0.20u
First 5 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
3.07
Prob
44.8%
EV/u
0.238
Stake
0.63u
Lost
-0.63u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
2.76
Prob
46.1%
EV/u
0.058
Stake
0.21u
Lost
-0.21u
First 5 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
3.04
Prob
47.4%
EV/u
0.122
Stake
0.35u
Lost
-0.35u
First 5 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
Miami Marlins
away
Odds
3.30
Prob
47.8%
EV/u
0.211
Stake
0.51u
Lost
-0.51u
First 5 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
2.95
Prob
46.0%
EV/u
0.124
Stake
0.37u
Won
+0.72u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
3.03
Prob
47.6%
EV/u
0.194
Stake
0.38u
Lost
-0.38u
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Texas Rangers
home
Odds
3.11
Prob
47.7%
EV/u
0.449
Stake
0.83u
Lost
-0.83u
First 5 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
Miami Marlins
away
Odds
3.09
Prob
47.3%
EV/u
0.221
Stake
0.42u
Lost
-0.42u
First 5 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
2.76
Prob
47.7%
EV/u
0.084
Stake
0.13u
Lost
-0.13u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Oakland Athletics
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
47.3%
EV/u
0.034
Stake
0.15u
Lost
-0.15u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Cleveland Indians
away
Odds
2.90
Prob
47.3%
EV/u
0.148
Stake
0.44u
Lost
-0.44u
First 5 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
Miami Marlins
away
Odds
3.00
Prob
47.1%
EV/u
0.195
Stake
0.54u
Lost
-0.54u
First 5 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
47.6%
EV/u
0.100
Stake
0.29u
Won
+0.52u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cleveland Indians
Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
3.01
Prob
47.4%
EV/u
0.167
Stake
0.47u
Lost
-0.47u
First 5 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Texas Rangers
away
Odds
3.00
Prob
47.7%
EV/u
0.180
Stake
0.50u
Lost
-0.50u
First 5 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
48.0%
EV/u
0.072
Stake
0.19u
Won
+0.33u
First 5 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Colorado Rockies
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
47.6%
EV/u
0.108
Stake
0.35u
Lost
-0.35u
First 5 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Baltimore Orioles
home
Odds
2.70
Prob
47.6%
EV/u
0.259
Stake
0.84u
Lost
-0.84u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
47.4%
EV/u
0.085
Stake
0.29u
Won
+0.51u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cleveland Indians
Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
47.3%
EV/u
0.050
Stake
0.19u
Lost
-0.19u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
San Diego Padres
away
Odds
2.65
Prob
47.5%
EV/u
0.050
Stake
0.20u
Lost
-0.20u
First 5 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
47.7%
EV/u
0.055
Stake
0.09u
Won
+0.15u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Houston Astros
away
Odds
2.65
Prob
47.5%
EV/u
0.050
Stake
0.08u
Lost
-0.08u
First 5 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
New York Mets
home
Odds
2.55
Prob
47.3%
EV/u
0.186
Stake
0.44u
Lost
-0.44u
First 5 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Tampa Bay Rays
home
Odds
2.95
Prob
47.3%
EV/u
0.364
Stake
0.70u
Lost
-0.70u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
San Diego Padres
away
Odds
2.65
Prob
47.6%
EV/u
0.039
Stake
0.05u
Lost
-0.05u
First 5 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Francisco Giants
away
Odds
3.20
Prob
47.7%
EV/u
0.250
Stake
0.44u
Lost
-0.44u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Texas Rangers
home
Odds
2.30
Prob
47.5%
EV/u
0.044
Stake
0.11u
Lost
-0.11u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Chicago Cubs
home
Odds
2.65
Prob
47.6%
EV/u
0.237
Stake
0.54u
Lost
-0.54u
First 5 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Miami Marlins
home
Odds
2.55
Prob
47.5%
EV/u
0.191
Stake
0.47u
Won
+0.73u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
47.5%
EV/u
0.105
Stake
0.29u
Lost
-0.29u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
3.00
Prob
47.5%
EV/u
0.183
Stake
0.35u
Lost
-0.35u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Oakland Athletics
home
Odds
2.55
Prob
47.8%
EV/u
0.198
Stake
0.38u
Won
+0.59u
First 5 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
47.2%
EV/u
0.074
Stake
0.10u
Won
+0.17u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.