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Case Archive

Historical Audit

Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.

Last synced: May 15, 2026 2:07 PM EDT

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First 5 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
2.65
Prob
42.9%
EV/u
0.118
Stake
0.41u
Won +0.68u
First 5 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Houston Astros Houston Astros
away
Odds
2.45
Prob
43.0%
EV/u
0.040
Stake
0.24u
Lost -0.24u
First 5 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
home
Odds
2.65
Prob
42.9%
EV/u
0.118
Stake
0.41u
Lost -0.41u
First 5 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
42.9%
EV/u
0.097
Stake
0.36u
Won +0.58u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
3.10
Prob
43.0%
EV/u
0.304
Stake
0.79u
Won +1.66u
First 5 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
home
Odds
2.65
Prob
43.0%
EV/u
0.120
Stake
0.42u
Won +0.69u
First 5 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
New York Yankees New York Yankees
home
Odds
2.65
Prob
43.0%
EV/u
0.121
Stake
0.42u
Won +0.69u
First 5 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
2.50
Prob
43.0%
EV/u
0.092
Stake
0.26u
Won +0.39u
First 5 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
42.6%
EV/u
0.050
Stake
0.12u
Lost -0.12u
First 5 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
New York Yankees New York Yankees
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
43.0%
EV/u
0.174
Stake
0.53u
Won +0.90u
First 5 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
42.8%
EV/u
0.133
Stake
0.40u
Lost -0.40u
First 5 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
home
Odds
2.75
Prob
43.0%
EV/u
0.163
Stake
0.49u
Won +0.86u
First 5 innings mlb
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
home
Odds
2.55
Prob
42.7%
EV/u
0.074
Stake
0.29u
Won +0.45u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
43.1%
EV/u
0.124
Stake
0.45u
Won +0.72u
First 5 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
2.45
Prob
42.7%
EV/u
0.042
Stake
0.16u
Lost -0.16u
First 5 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
New York Yankees New York Yankees
home
Odds
2.70
Prob
42.6%
EV/u
0.131
Stake
0.44u
Lost -0.44u
First 5 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
home
Odds
2.70
Prob
42.8%
EV/u
0.136
Stake
0.46u
Lost -0.46u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
home
Odds
2.70
Prob
43.1%
EV/u
0.144
Stake
0.22u
Won +0.37u
First 5 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
43.1%
EV/u
0.115
Stake
0.17u
Won +0.26u
First 5 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
Houston Astros Houston Astros
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
42.8%
EV/u
0.114
Stake
0.17u
Won +0.26u
First 5 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
home
Odds
2.90
Prob
42.9%
EV/u
0.222
Stake
0.36u
Lost -0.36u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
43.0%
EV/u
0.196
Stake
0.34u
Lost -0.34u
First 5 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
3.25
Prob
43.0%
EV/u
0.404
Stake
0.54u
Won +1.22u
First 5 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
42.7%
EV/u
0.131
Stake
0.18u
Won +0.29u
First 5 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
Houston Astros Houston Astros
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
42.9%
EV/u
0.346
Stake
0.46u
Won +0.97u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
home
Odds
3.30
Prob
42.8%
EV/u
0.380
Stake
0.46u
Won +1.06u
First 5 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
New York Yankees New York Yankees
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
42.9%
EV/u
0.135
Stake
0.18u
Won +0.29u
First 5 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
3.00
Prob
42.8%
EV/u
0.290
Stake
0.41u
Lost -0.41u
First 5 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
2.50
Prob
43.0%
EV/u
0.091
Stake
0.11u
Won +0.17u
First 5 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
home
Odds
2.95
Prob
43.3%
EV/u
0.251
Stake
0.32u
Won +0.62u
First 5 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
New York Yankees New York Yankees
home
Odds
2.70
Prob
42.8%
EV/u
0.137
Stake
0.15u
Lost -0.15u
First 5 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
2.95
Prob
43.2%
EV/u
0.276
Stake
0.37u
Won +0.72u
First 5 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
away
Odds
3.15
Prob
42.7%
EV/u
0.369
Stake
0.50u
Lost -0.50u
First 5 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
3.05
Prob
43.1%
EV/u
0.323
Stake
0.46u
Lost -0.46u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
42.9%
EV/u
0.346
Stake
0.49u
Lost -0.49u
First 5 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
2.95
Prob
43.0%
EV/u
0.284
Stake
0.41u
Lost -0.41u
First 5 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
3.60
Prob
42.8%
EV/u
0.593
Stake
0.43u
Won +1.12u
First 5 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
New York Yankees New York Yankees
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
42.8%
EV/u
0.197
Stake
0.25u
Won +0.44u
First 5 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
43.0%
EV/u
0.177
Stake
0.22u
Won +0.37u
First 5 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
away
Odds
3.00
Prob
42.4%
EV/u
0.309
Stake
0.41u
Lost -0.41u
First 5 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Houston Astros Houston Astros
away
Odds
3.50
Prob
42.8%
EV/u
0.558
Stake
0.39u
Won +0.98u
First 5 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
3.15
Prob
43.0%
EV/u
0.362
Stake
0.45u
Lost -0.45u
First 5 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
43.0%
EV/u
0.197
Stake
0.26u
Won +0.46u
First 5 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
New York Yankees New York Yankees
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
43.1%
EV/u
0.135
Stake
0.16u
Lost -0.16u
First 5 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
43.0%
EV/u
0.113
Stake
0.13u
Lost -0.13u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
away
Odds
2.65
Prob
43.0%
EV/u
0.156
Stake
0.33u
Won +0.54u
First 5 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
2.55
Prob
42.9%
EV/u
0.078
Stake
0.14u
Lost -0.14u
First 5 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
2.65
Prob
43.3%
EV/u
0.154
Stake
0.32u
Lost -0.32u
First 5 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
New York Yankees New York Yankees
away
Odds
2.95
Prob
42.9%
EV/u
0.284
Stake
0.53u
Won +1.03u
First 5 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
42.8%
EV/u
0.221
Stake
0.45u
Lost -0.45u
First 5 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
42.7%
EV/u
0.219
Stake
0.55u
Won +0.99u
First 5 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
3.25
Prob
42.9%
EV/u
0.409
Stake
0.81u
Won +1.82u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
away
Odds
2.50
Prob
42.9%
EV/u
0.091
Stake
0.19u
Lost -0.19u
First 5 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
home
Odds
2.65
Prob
42.9%
EV/u
0.119
Stake
0.25u
Won +0.41u
First 5 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
43.0%
EV/u
0.197
Stake
0.33u
Lost -0.33u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
3.20
Prob
43.0%
EV/u
0.386
Stake
0.65u
Won +1.43u
First 5 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
home
Odds
3.00
Prob
42.8%
EV/u
0.258
Stake
0.46u
Won +0.92u
First 5 innings mlb
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
home
Odds
2.90
Prob
42.8%
EV/u
0.216
Stake
0.36u
Lost -0.36u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
41.2%
EV/u
0.111
Stake
0.28u
Won +0.43u
First 5 innings mlb
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
home
Odds
2.75
Prob
41.6%
EV/u
0.126
Stake
0.32u
Won +0.56u
First 5 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
44.9%
EV/u
0.129
Stake
0.32u
Won +0.58u
First 5 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
away
Odds
3.25
Prob
41.1%
EV/u
0.406
Stake
0.88u
Won +1.98u
First 5 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
New York Mets New York Mets
home
Odds
2.33
Prob
50.0%
EV/u
0.106
Stake
0.50u
Lost -0.50u
First 5 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
home
Odds
2.70
Prob
43.0%
EV/u
0.142
Stake
0.48u
Lost -0.48u
First 5 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
45.7%
EV/u
0.079
Stake
0.28u
Lost -0.28u
First 5 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
New York Mets New York Mets
away
Odds
2.95
Prob
44.7%
EV/u
0.203
Stake
0.45u
Lost -0.45u
First 5 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
43.8%
EV/u
0.140
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
First 5 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
home
Odds
2.85
Prob
43.2%
EV/u
0.208
Stake
0.48u
Won +0.89u
First 5 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
43.5%
EV/u
0.149
Stake
0.32u
Won +0.56u
First 5 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
home
Odds
2.65
Prob
43.0%
EV/u
0.122
Stake
0.25u
Won +0.41u
First 5 innings mlb
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
43.8%
EV/u
0.060
Stake
0.17u
Won +0.26u
First 5 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
43.8%
EV/u
0.120
Stake
0.39u
Won +0.66u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
43.5%
EV/u
0.169
Stake
0.51u
Lost -0.51u
First 5 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
2.65
Prob
43.2%
EV/u
0.108
Stake
0.35u
Won +0.58u
First 5 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
New York Mets New York Mets
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
43.4%
EV/u
0.069
Stake
0.21u
Lost -0.21u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
43.8%
EV/u
0.060
Stake
0.17u
Won +0.26u
First 5 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
2.85
Prob
43.8%
EV/u
0.180
Stake
0.48u
Won +0.89u
First 5 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
43.5%
EV/u
0.022
Stake
0.07u
Won +0.10u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
3.05
Prob
43.8%
EV/u
0.260
Stake
0.62u
Lost -0.62u
First 5 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
home
Odds
2.25
Prob
47.8%
EV/u
0.029
Stake
0.10u
Lost -0.10u
First 5 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
home
Odds
2.80
Prob
43.5%
EV/u
0.195
Stake
0.53u
Won +0.95u
First 5 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
2.55
Prob
43.9%
EV/u
0.103
Stake
0.39u
Won +0.60u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
home
Odds
2.95
Prob
44.1%
EV/u
0.276
Stake
0.78u
Lost -0.78u
First 5 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
43.8%
EV/u
0.060
Stake
0.11u
Won +0.17u
First 5 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
away
Odds
2.95
Prob
43.8%
EV/u
0.220
Stake
0.45u
Lost -0.45u
First 5 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
Houston Astros Houston Astros
home
Odds
2.75
Prob
48.9%
EV/u
0.316
Stake
0.71u
Lost -0.71u
First 5 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
New York Yankees New York Yankees
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
43.5%
EV/u
0.088
Stake
0.17u
Lost -0.17u
First 5 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
41.3%
EV/u
0.140
Stake
0.31u
Lost -0.31u
First 5 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
46.4%
EV/u
0.088
Stake
0.29u
Lost -0.29u
First 5 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
48.0%
EV/u
0.075
Stake
0.25u
Won +0.45u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
2.65
Prob
41.5%
EV/u
0.145
Stake
0.50u
Lost -0.50u
First 5 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
41.3%
EV/u
0.160
Stake
0.50u
Won +0.90u
First 5 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
home
Odds
2.80
Prob
42.3%
EV/u
0.163
Stake
0.35u
Won +0.63u
First 5 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
44.2%
EV/u
0.130
Stake
0.27u
Lost -0.27u
First 5 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
2.90
Prob
32.8%
EV/u
0.486
Stake
1.18u
Won +2.24u
First 5 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
44.2%
EV/u
0.045
Stake
0.19u
Won +0.29u
First 5 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
away
Odds
3.75
Prob
37.4%
EV/u
0.783
Stake
0.80u
Lost -0.80u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
39.9%
EV/u
0.133
Stake
0.19u
Won +0.29u
First 5 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
home
Odds
3.00
Prob
44.4%
EV/u
0.305
Stake
0.45u
Lost -0.45u
First 5 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
away
Odds
3.40
Prob
42.9%
EV/u
0.396
Stake
0.48u
Lost -0.48u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.