Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: May 15, 2026 2:07 PM EDT
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Arizona Diamondbacks
home
Odds
3.00
Prob
41.8%
EV/u
0.229
Stake
0.31u
Lost
-0.31u
First 5 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Chicago Cubs
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
41.8%
EV/u
0.137
Stake
0.17u
Won
+0.26u
First 5 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
41.8%
EV/u
0.158
Stake
0.21u
Won
+0.34u
First 5 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Oakland Athletics
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
41.8%
EV/u
0.241
Stake
0.37u
Lost
-0.37u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Texas Rangers
away
Odds
3.05
Prob
42.2%
EV/u
0.349
Stake
0.47u
Lost
-0.47u
First 5 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
2.95
Prob
41.6%
EV/u
0.205
Stake
0.27u
Won
+0.53u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Arizona Diamondbacks
home
Odds
2.65
Prob
41.8%
EV/u
0.092
Stake
0.33u
Lost
-0.33u
First 5 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Los Angeles Angels
home
Odds
2.90
Prob
41.5%
EV/u
0.183
Stake
0.14u
Lost
-0.14u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
42.1%
EV/u
0.365
Stake
0.37u
Won
+0.78u
First 5 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
New York Mets
home
Odds
3.40
Prob
41.9%
EV/u
0.393
Stake
0.35u
Won
+0.84u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
3.05
Prob
41.8%
EV/u
0.351
Stake
0.35u
Lost
-0.35u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
3.25
Prob
41.5%
EV/u
0.444
Stake
0.42u
Lost
-0.42u
First 5 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
41.7%
EV/u
0.204
Stake
0.17u
Won
+0.29u
First 5 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Los Angeles Angels
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
41.9%
EV/u
0.199
Stake
0.24u
Won
+0.41u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cleveland Guardians
Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
2.67
Prob
41.8%
EV/u
0.188
Stake
0.22u
Won
+0.37u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
2.90
Prob
41.8%
EV/u
0.286
Stake
0.37u
Lost
-0.37u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
3.35
Prob
41.5%
EV/u
0.487
Stake
0.50u
Lost
-0.50u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
41.7%
EV/u
0.158
Stake
0.18u
Lost
-0.18u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Francisco Giants
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
41.8%
EV/u
0.224
Stake
0.28u
Lost
-0.28u
First 5 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Los Angeles Angels
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
41.8%
EV/u
0.374
Stake
0.41u
Lost
-0.41u
First 5 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
2.90
Prob
41.9%
EV/u
0.288
Stake
0.33u
Won
+0.63u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
41.6%
EV/u
0.139
Stake
0.12u
Won
+0.19u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
3.20
Prob
41.9%
EV/u
0.413
Stake
0.43u
Lost
-0.43u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Seattle Mariners
home
Odds
3.10
Prob
41.9%
EV/u
0.274
Stake
0.28u
Won
+0.59u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Francisco Giants
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
41.7%
EV/u
0.222
Stake
0.23u
Won
+0.40u
First 5 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
2.65
Prob
41.9%
EV/u
0.180
Stake
0.34u
Won
+0.56u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cleveland Guardians
Baltimore Orioles
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
41.8%
EV/u
0.070
Stake
0.10u
Won
+0.16u
First 5 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
41.8%
EV/u
0.136
Stake
0.24u
Won
+0.37u
First 5 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
New York Mets
home
Odds
3.20
Prob
41.9%
EV/u
0.314
Stake
0.45u
Won
+0.99u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
2.40
Prob
41.8%
EV/u
0.041
Stake
0.05u
Won
+0.07u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
3.30
Prob
41.8%
EV/u
0.460
Stake
0.62u
Lost
-0.62u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Boston Red Sox
away
Odds
3.15
Prob
41.8%
EV/u
0.396
Stake
0.47u
Lost
-0.47u
First 5 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
3.15
Prob
41.8%
EV/u
0.395
Stake
0.46u
Lost
-0.46u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Cleveland Guardians
away
Odds
2.67
Prob
41.8%
EV/u
0.188
Stake
0.18u
Lost
-0.18u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Detroit Tigers
home
Odds
3.15
Prob
41.5%
EV/u
0.282
Stake
0.28u
Lost
-0.28u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
3.05
Prob
41.8%
EV/u
0.352
Stake
0.41u
Lost
-0.41u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Boston Red Sox
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
41.9%
EV/u
0.207
Stake
0.36u
Won
+0.65u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
2.45
Prob
35.6%
EV/u
0.100
Stake
0.15u
Won
+0.22u
First 5 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Milwaukee Brewers
home
Odds
2.90
Prob
39.8%
EV/u
0.136
Stake
0.19u
Lost
-0.19u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
3.15
Prob
49.4%
EV/u
0.167
Stake
0.23u
Won
+0.49u
First 5 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
40.2%
EV/u
0.150
Stake
0.25u
Lost
-0.25u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
3.45
Prob
41.0%
EV/u
0.501
Stake
0.62u
Won
+1.52u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
48.0%
EV/u
0.178
Stake
0.26u
Lost
-0.26u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
3.20
Prob
35.2%
EV/u
0.597
Stake
0.73u
Lost
-0.73u
First 5 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
43.1%
EV/u
0.111
Stake
0.13u
Lost
-0.13u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
New York Mets
away
Odds
2.67
Prob
36.5%
EV/u
0.278
Stake
0.46u
Lost
-0.46u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
2.65
Prob
40.5%
EV/u
0.161
Stake
0.21u
Lost
-0.21u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
3.40
Prob
49.9%
EV/u
0.237
Stake
0.46u
Lost
-0.46u
First 5 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Chicago Cubs
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
40.3%
EV/u
0.127
Stake
0.26u
Lost
-0.26u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Cincinnati Reds
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
49.9%
EV/u
0.270
Stake
0.76u
Won
+1.22u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Tampa Bay Rays
home
Odds
3.00
Prob
39.4%
EV/u
0.163
Stake
0.32u
Lost
-0.32u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Tampa Bay Rays
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
43.8%
EV/u
0.080
Stake
0.32u
Won
+0.48u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cleveland Guardians
Texas Rangers
away
Odds
3.25
Prob
47.5%
EV/u
0.250
Stake
0.61u
Won
+1.37u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
New York Yankees
home
Odds
2.30
Prob
46.5%
EV/u
0.026
Stake
0.22u
Lost
-0.22u
First 5 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
2.85
Prob
43.1%
EV/u
0.205
Stake
0.62u
Won
+1.15u
First 5 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Chicago Cubs
home
Odds
2.70
Prob
41.4%
EV/u
0.100
Stake
0.35u
Won
+0.60u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Detroit Tigers
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
42.5%
EV/u
0.047
Stake
0.21u
Lost
-0.21u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
2.65
Prob
48.2%
EV/u
0.048
Stake
0.19u
Won
+0.31u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cleveland Guardians
Texas Rangers
home
Odds
2.67
Prob
42.9%
EV/u
0.126
Stake
0.43u
Won
+0.72u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
2.35
Prob
38.2%
EV/u
0.095
Stake
0.45u
Won
+0.61u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
3.20
Prob
47.1%
EV/u
0.269
Stake
0.46u
Lost
-0.46u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Miami Marlins
away
Odds
3.35
Prob
36.7%
EV/u
0.559
Stake
0.88u
Won
+2.07u
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Oakland Athletics
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
47.3%
EV/u
0.100
Stake
0.19u
Lost
-0.19u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
St. Louis Cardinals
home
Odds
2.35
Prob
46.1%
EV/u
0.037
Stake
0.07u
Lost
-0.07u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Washington Nationals
home
Odds
2.67
Prob
42.0%
EV/u
0.104
Stake
0.20u
Won
+0.33u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Miami Marlins
away
Odds
3.40
Prob
47.3%
EV/u
0.289
Stake
0.66u
Lost
-0.66u
First 5 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Texas Rangers
away
Odds
2.35
Prob
39.5%
EV/u
0.067
Stake
0.32u
Won
+0.43u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Washington Nationals
home
Odds
2.55
Prob
42.4%
EV/u
0.065
Stake
0.26u
Won
+0.40u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
42.0%
EV/u
0.174
Stake
0.56u
Won
+0.98u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Diego Padres
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
51.4%
EV/u
0.260
Stake
0.50u
Won
+0.75u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
2.50
Prob
42.2%
EV/u
0.141
Stake
0.20u
Lost
-0.20u
First 5 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
3.40
Prob
42.5%
EV/u
0.419
Stake
0.55u
Won
+1.32u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Washington Nationals
away
Odds
2.95
Prob
41.8%
EV/u
0.317
Stake
0.52u
Won
+1.01u
First 5 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
40.4%
EV/u
0.136
Stake
0.37u
Lost
-0.37u
First 5 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
3.15
Prob
46.5%
EV/u
0.248
Stake
0.53u
Lost
-0.53u
First 5 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
2.40
Prob
48.1%
EV/u
0.097
Stake
0.27u
Lost
-0.27u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
3.05
Prob
49.6%
EV/u
0.120
Stake
0.28u
Lost
-0.28u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Oakland Athletics
home
Odds
2.80
Prob
40.1%
EV/u
0.104
Stake
0.26u
Won
+0.47u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
46.5%
EV/u
0.046
Stake
0.09u
Lost
-0.09u
First 5 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
3.00
Prob
41.1%
EV/u
0.234
Stake
0.35u
Won
+0.70u
First 5 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
3.25
Prob
44.8%
EV/u
0.343
Stake
0.50u
Lost
-0.50u
First 5 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
3.60
Prob
43.1%
EV/u
0.564
Stake
0.47u
Lost
-0.47u
First 5 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Miami Marlins
away
Odds
2.85
Prob
44.4%
EV/u
0.177
Stake
0.24u
Lost
-0.24u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Seattle Mariners
home
Odds
2.85
Prob
41.9%
EV/u
0.173
Stake
0.24u
Lost
-0.24u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
2.85
Prob
45.6%
EV/u
0.154
Stake
0.32u
Lost
-0.32u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
42.0%
EV/u
0.313
Stake
0.70u
Won
+1.47u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
44.6%
EV/u
0.118
Stake
0.23u
Lost
-0.23u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
3.20
Prob
47.1%
EV/u
0.257
Stake
0.55u
Won
+1.21u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
3.70
Prob
43.5%
EV/u
0.612
Stake
0.80u
Won
+2.16u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
2.45
Prob
41.7%
EV/u
0.026
Stake
0.20u
Won
+0.29u
First 5 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Colorado Rockies
home
Odds
2.05
Prob
52.0%
EV/u
0.021
Stake
0.05u
Won
+0.05u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Houston Astros
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
45.5%
EV/u
0.129
Stake
0.35u
Won
+0.61u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
2.65
Prob
47.1%
EV/u
0.224
Stake
0.68u
Won
+1.12u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
San Francisco Giants
away
Odds
3.75
Prob
44.2%
EV/u
0.634
Stake
0.72u
Lost
-0.72u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
3.15
Prob
42.9%
EV/u
0.367
Stake
0.57u
Won
+1.23u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Chicago White Sox
home
Odds
2.65
Prob
43.0%
EV/u
0.120
Stake
0.20u
Lost
-0.20u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
43.0%
EV/u
0.217
Stake
0.41u
Lost
-0.41u
First 5 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
New York Mets
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
43.0%
EV/u
0.178
Stake
0.34u
Won
+0.58u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Seattle Mariners
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
42.8%
EV/u
0.097
Stake
0.15u
Lost
-0.15u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
San Francisco Giants
home
Odds
2.55
Prob
43.1%
EV/u
0.083
Stake
0.13u
Won
+0.20u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.