Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: May 15, 2026 2:07 PM EDT
First 5 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
3.25
Prob
39.7%
EV/u
0.463
Stake
0.78u
Lost
-0.78u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
3.05
Prob
38.6%
EV/u
0.451
Stake
0.84u
Lost
-0.84u
First 5 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
2.30
Prob
39.2%
EV/u
0.041
Stake
0.08u
Lost
-0.08u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Washington Nationals
away
Odds
2.45
Prob
42.3%
EV/u
0.050
Stake
0.10u
Lost
-0.10u
First 5 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Cleveland Guardians
away
Odds
2.20
Prob
33.7%
EV/u
0.079
Stake
0.15u
Lost
-0.15u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
3.25
Prob
43.6%
EV/u
0.415
Stake
0.50u
Lost
-0.50u
First 5 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
New York Yankees
away
Odds
3.05
Prob
35.1%
EV/u
0.553
Stake
0.72u
Lost
-0.72u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
1.90
Prob
27.0%
EV/u
0.073
Stake
0.16u
Lost
-0.16u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
San Francisco Giants
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
45.8%
EV/u
0.068
Stake
0.11u
Won
+0.16u
First 5 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Texas Rangers
away
Odds
2.45
Prob
37.4%
EV/u
0.088
Stake
0.16u
Won
+0.23u
First 5 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
2.35
Prob
35.9%
EV/u
0.115
Stake
0.16u
Lost
-0.16u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Diego Padres
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
35.4%
EV/u
0.526
Stake
0.78u
Lost
-0.78u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
San Francisco Giants
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
37.2%
EV/u
0.218
Stake
0.37u
Lost
-0.37u
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Texas Rangers
away
Odds
2.85
Prob
41.8%
EV/u
0.287
Stake
0.49u
Lost
-0.49u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
2.25
Prob
40.4%
EV/u
0.030
Stake
0.24u
Won
+0.30u
First 5 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
2.35
Prob
41.3%
EV/u
0.040
Stake
0.26u
Lost
-0.26u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cleveland Guardians
New York Yankees
away
Odds
2.35
Prob
37.9%
EV/u
0.084
Stake
0.42u
Won
+0.57u
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Texas Rangers
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
35.9%
EV/u
0.224
Stake
0.78u
Lost
-0.78u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
2.40
Prob
41.3%
EV/u
0.063
Stake
0.11u
Won
+0.15u
First 5 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
2.65
Prob
36.4%
EV/u
0.344
Stake
0.71u
Lost
-0.71u
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Texas Rangers
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
28.0%
EV/u
0.727
Stake
0.94u
Won
+1.97u
First 5 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
2.50
Prob
42.7%
EV/u
0.101
Stake
0.40u
Lost
-0.40u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Oakland Athletics
away
Odds
2.65
Prob
43.0%
EV/u
0.174
Stake
0.59u
Won
+0.97u
First 5 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
42.7%
EV/u
0.223
Stake
0.35u
Lost
-0.35u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cleveland Guardians
Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
3.05
Prob
40.8%
EV/u
0.398
Stake
0.65u
Won
+1.33u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Houston Astros
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
44.2%
EV/u
0.091
Stake
0.11u
Lost
-0.11u
First 5 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
2.65
Prob
36.4%
EV/u
0.333
Stake
0.69u
Won
+1.14u
First 5 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
42.2%
EV/u
0.380
Stake
0.50u
Won
+1.05u
First 5 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
33.0%
EV/u
0.423
Stake
0.67u
Won
+1.17u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
42.1%
EV/u
0.132
Stake
0.17u
Lost
-0.17u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Oakland Athletics
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
45.6%
EV/u
0.114
Stake
0.14u
Lost
-0.14u
First 5 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
39.1%
EV/u
0.206
Stake
0.32u
Lost
-0.32u
First 5 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
44.1%
EV/u
0.203
Stake
0.64u
Won
+1.12u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Houston Astros
away
Odds
2.25
Prob
40.4%
EV/u
0.029
Stake
0.07u
Won
+0.09u
First 5 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
2.85
Prob
47.5%
EV/u
0.165
Stake
0.47u
Lost
-0.47u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Miami Marlins
away
Odds
3.00
Prob
47.2%
EV/u
0.228
Stake
0.62u
Lost
-0.62u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Boston Red Sox
away
Odds
2.65
Prob
42.7%
EV/u
0.182
Stake
0.43u
Won
+0.71u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Houston Astros
away
Odds
2.40
Prob
43.9%
EV/u
0.029
Stake
0.07u
Won
+0.10u
First 5 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Oakland Athletics
away
Odds
2.40
Prob
42.6%
EV/u
0.041
Stake
0.10u
Won
+0.14u
First 5 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
2.25
Prob
38.2%
EV/u
0.080
Stake
0.25u
Lost
-0.25u
First 5 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
3.00
Prob
34.8%
EV/u
0.502
Stake
0.94u
Won
+1.88u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
2.25
Prob
34.9%
EV/u
0.098
Stake
0.28u
Lost
-0.28u
First 5 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Miami Marlins
home
Odds
2.65
Prob
40.3%
EV/u
0.053
Stake
0.11u
Won
+0.18u
First 5 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Oakland Athletics
away
Odds
2.95
Prob
39.7%
EV/u
0.373
Stake
0.72u
Won
+1.40u
First 5 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
2.25
Prob
39.5%
EV/u
0.031
Stake
0.07u
Won
+0.09u
First 5 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
2.65
Prob
39.1%
EV/u
0.263
Stake
0.61u
Lost
-0.61u
First 5 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
3.05
Prob
42.7%
EV/u
0.342
Stake
0.51u
Won
+1.05u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Houston Astros
away
Odds
2.15
Prob
30.2%
EV/u
0.096
Stake
0.25u
Lost
-0.25u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
New York Mets
away
Odds
2.35
Prob
39.5%
EV/u
0.053
Stake
0.11u
Lost
-0.11u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
San Diego Padres
away
Odds
2.10
Prob
34.1%
EV/u
0.043
Stake
0.09u
Won
+0.10u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
40.3%
EV/u
0.191
Stake
0.39u
Lost
-0.39u
First 5 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
3.55
Prob
35.3%
EV/u
0.897
Stake
0.45u
Won
+1.15u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
2.45
Prob
38.2%
EV/u
0.127
Stake
0.53u
Lost
-0.53u
First 5 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Cleveland Guardians
away
Odds
2.25
Prob
38.5%
EV/u
0.023
Stake
0.22u
Won
+0.28u
First 5 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
39.9%
EV/u
0.208
Stake
0.72u
Won
+1.15u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
2.20
Prob
37.8%
EV/u
0.036
Stake
0.28u
Lost
-0.28u
First 5 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Boston Red Sox
away
Odds
2.95
Prob
45.4%
EV/u
0.238
Stake
0.41u
Won
+0.80u
First 5 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
2.35
Prob
41.2%
EV/u
0.034
Stake
0.07u
Won
+0.09u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
2.85
Prob
44.5%
EV/u
0.254
Stake
0.47u
Won
+0.87u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
2.30
Prob
36.0%
EV/u
0.085
Stake
0.22u
Lost
-0.22u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Francisco Giants
away
Odds
2.50
Prob
36.4%
EV/u
0.227
Stake
0.52u
Lost
-0.52u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
2.45
Prob
44.4%
EV/u
0.052
Stake
0.11u
Lost
-0.11u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Francisco Giants
home
Odds
2.55
Prob
44.1%
EV/u
0.107
Stake
0.40u
Won
+0.62u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
3.05
Prob
42.8%
EV/u
0.254
Stake
0.62u
Lost
-0.62u
First 5 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
New York Yankees
home
Odds
2.35
Prob
52.8%
EV/u
0.170
Stake
0.45u
Lost
-0.45u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Texas Rangers
home
Odds
3.65
Prob
44.9%
EV/u
0.640
Stake
0.73u
Lost
-0.73u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Milwaukee Brewers
home
Odds
2.25
Prob
47.9%
EV/u
0.031
Stake
0.25u
Lost
-0.25u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
St. Louis Cardinals
home
Odds
2.25
Prob
50.8%
EV/u
0.087
Stake
0.46u
Lost
-0.46u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Los Angeles Angels
away
Odds
2.85
Prob
45.8%
EV/u
0.109
Stake
0.34u
Lost
-0.34u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
3.05
Prob
50.3%
EV/u
0.045
Stake
0.14u
Won
+0.29u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
2.85
Prob
44.8%
EV/u
0.155
Stake
0.47u
Lost
-0.47u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Chicago Cubs
away
Odds
2.85
Prob
44.1%
EV/u
0.160
Stake
0.49u
Lost
-0.49u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
3.05
Prob
46.0%
EV/u
0.234
Stake
0.63u
Won
+1.29u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Washington Nationals
away
Odds
2.65
Prob
43.5%
EV/u
0.086
Stake
0.31u
Lost
-0.31u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Diego Padres
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
45.2%
EV/u
0.105
Stake
0.35u
Won
+0.61u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
2.75
Prob
46.8%
EV/u
0.262
Stake
0.82u
Won
+1.44u
First 5 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
2.30
Prob
46.7%
EV/u
0.029
Stake
0.23u
Won
+0.30u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Texas Rangers
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
42.8%
EV/u
0.127
Stake
0.43u
Won
+0.73u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Texas Rangers
away
Odds
2.40
Prob
41.6%
EV/u
0.043
Stake
0.26u
Won
+0.36u
First 5 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
2.50
Prob
41.7%
EV/u
0.116
Stake
0.45u
Lost
-0.45u
First 5 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Miami Marlins
away
Odds
2.40
Prob
41.7%
EV/u
0.042
Stake
0.25u
Lost
-0.25u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
New York Yankees
home
Odds
2.75
Prob
42.0%
EV/u
0.135
Stake
0.39u
Won
+0.68u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
2.45
Prob
41.7%
EV/u
0.059
Stake
0.14u
Lost
-0.14u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Miami Marlins
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
41.7%
EV/u
0.245
Stake
0.75u
Lost
-0.75u
First 5 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Minnesota Twins
home
Odds
2.85
Prob
41.8%
EV/u
0.171
Stake
0.52u
Lost
-0.52u
First 5 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Cleveland Guardians
home
Odds
2.55
Prob
41.6%
EV/u
0.047
Stake
0.20u
Won
+0.31u
First 5 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Texas Rangers
away
Odds
3.90
Prob
41.8%
EV/u
0.767
Stake
0.80u
Won
+2.32u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Chicago Cubs
home
Odds
2.65
Prob
41.6%
EV/u
0.085
Stake
0.31u
Won
+0.51u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
3.30
Prob
41.7%
EV/u
0.458
Stake
1.07u
Won
+2.46u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
41.8%
EV/u
0.072
Stake
0.06u
Won
+0.10u
First 5 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
3.20
Prob
42.1%
EV/u
0.412
Stake
0.46u
Won
+1.01u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
away
Odds
2.65
Prob
41.4%
EV/u
0.175
Stake
0.19u
Lost
-0.19u
First 5 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Oakland Athletics
away
Odds
3.20
Prob
41.7%
EV/u
0.415
Stake
0.46u
Won
+1.01u
First 5 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Pittsburgh Pirates
home
Odds
2.85
Prob
41.8%
EV/u
0.169
Stake
0.18u
Lost
-0.18u
First 5 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
3.15
Prob
42.1%
EV/u
0.390
Stake
0.45u
Lost
-0.45u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
home
Odds
2.67
Prob
41.6%
EV/u
0.094
Stake
0.11u
Lost
-0.11u
First 5 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
New York Yankees
away
Odds
3.25
Prob
41.8%
EV/u
0.437
Stake
0.60u
Won
+1.35u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Texas Rangers
away
Odds
3.15
Prob
41.8%
EV/u
0.395
Stake
0.57u
Won
+1.23u
First 5 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
41.8%
EV/u
0.223
Stake
0.36u
Won
+0.63u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
home
Odds
2.75
Prob
41.8%
EV/u
0.129
Stake
0.16u
Won
+0.28u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.