Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Jul 15, 2026 11:44 AM EDT
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Boston Red Sox
away
Odds
3.98
Prob
43.3%
EV/u
0.588
Stake
0.39u
Lost
-0.39u
First 5 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
2.85
Prob
43.8%
EV/u
0.101
Stake
0.10u
Lost
-0.10u
First 5 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
3.90
Prob
43.0%
EV/u
0.509
Stake
0.34u
Lost
-0.34u
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Chicago White Sox
home
Odds
2.86
Prob
44.1%
EV/u
0.238
Stake
0.34u
Won
+0.63u
First 5 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
Miami Marlins
away
Odds
3.21
Prob
42.2%
EV/u
0.270
Stake
0.36u
Lost
-0.36u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
St. Louis Cardinals
home
Odds
2.69
Prob
45.2%
EV/u
0.193
Stake
0.26u
Lost
-0.26u
First 5 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Colorado Rockies
home
Odds
2.39
Prob
46.6%
EV/u
0.064
Stake
0.15u
Lost
-0.15u
First 5 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
New York Yankees
away
Odds
2.82
Prob
44.2%
EV/u
0.079
Stake
0.17u
Lost
-0.17u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Cincinnati Reds
home
Odds
4.10
Prob
44.9%
EV/u
0.840
Stake
0.52u
Lost
-0.52u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
3.45
Prob
43.3%
EV/u
0.342
Stake
0.66u
Won
+1.62u
First 5 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
away
Odds
3.02
Prob
45.2%
EV/u
0.126
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.61u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
2.78
Prob
45.6%
EV/u
0.038
Stake
0.15u
Lost
-0.15u
First 5 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
3.81
Prob
45.5%
EV/u
0.440
Stake
0.56u
Lost
-0.56u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Cleveland Indians
away
Odds
2.89
Prob
45.6%
EV/u
0.080
Stake
0.13u
Won
+0.25u
First 5 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
New York Mets
away
Odds
2.86
Prob
45.2%
EV/u
0.067
Stake
0.10u
Won
+0.19u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
3.05
Prob
45.9%
EV/u
0.151
Stake
0.29u
Lost
-0.29u
First 5 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
Boston Red Sox
away
Odds
3.04
Prob
44.5%
EV/u
0.160
Stake
0.31u
Lost
-0.31u
First 5 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Baltimore Orioles
home
Odds
3.28
Prob
47.1%
EV/u
0.506
Stake
0.86u
Won
+1.96u
First 5 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
home
Odds
2.59
Prob
41.7%
EV/u
0.065
Stake
0.11u
Lost
-0.11u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Cleveland Indians
home
Odds
2.57
Prob
45.4%
EV/u
0.147
Stake
0.41u
Won
+0.64u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
2.79
Prob
45.8%
EV/u
0.062
Stake
0.12u
Lost
-0.12u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
3.25
Prob
45.5%
EV/u
0.228
Stake
0.50u
Lost
-0.50u
First 5 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
away
Odds
3.05
Prob
45.4%
EV/u
0.158
Stake
0.38u
Lost
-0.38u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
Tampa Bay Rays
home
Odds
2.55
Prob
45.4%
EV/u
0.140
Stake
0.39u
Lost
-0.39u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
2.98
Prob
45.6%
EV/u
0.129
Stake
0.36u
Won
+0.71u
First 5 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
Boston Red Sox
away
Odds
2.82
Prob
45.5%
EV/u
0.067
Stake
0.16u
Won
+0.29u
First 5 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
45.7%
EV/u
0.059
Stake
0.14u
Won
+0.25u
First 5 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
St. Louis Cardinals
home
Odds
3.38
Prob
45.5%
EV/u
0.500
Stake
1.13u
Lost
-1.13u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Los Angeles Angels
away
Odds
2.78
Prob
45.7%
EV/u
0.056
Stake
0.14u
Lost
-0.14u
First 5 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
2.98
Prob
45.4%
EV/u
0.127
Stake
0.36u
Won
+0.71u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
3.23
Prob
45.4%
EV/u
0.233
Stake
0.56u
Lost
-0.56u
First 5 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Washington Nationals
away
Odds
3.44
Prob
45.3%
EV/u
0.311
Stake
0.67u
Lost
-0.67u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Houston Astros
home
Odds
2.33
Prob
46.1%
EV/u
0.029
Stake
0.07u
Lost
-0.07u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Los Angeles Angels
away
Odds
2.88
Prob
45.3%
EV/u
0.109
Stake
0.34u
Lost
-0.34u
First 5 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Cleveland Indians
home
Odds
2.53
Prob
45.5%
EV/u
0.133
Stake
0.50u
Lost
-0.50u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Colorado Rockies
home
Odds
2.36
Prob
45.2%
EV/u
0.023
Stake
0.19u
Lost
-0.19u
First 5 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Washington Nationals
home
Odds
2.42
Prob
45.7%
EV/u
0.056
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.43u
First 5 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Francisco Giants
home
Odds
2.49
Prob
45.6%
EV/u
0.081
Stake
0.36u
Lost
-0.36u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Los Angeles Angels
home
Odds
2.38
Prob
45.5%
EV/u
0.037
Stake
0.16u
Lost
-0.16u
First 5 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Kansas City Royals
home
Odds
2.51
Prob
45.6%
EV/u
0.125
Stake
0.48u
Won
+0.72u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
45.2%
EV/u
0.079
Stake
0.26u
Won
+0.47u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Pittsburgh Pirates
home
Odds
2.66
Prob
45.4%
EV/u
0.185
Stake
0.62u
Lost
-0.62u
First 5 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Francisco Giants
away
Odds
2.86
Prob
45.7%
EV/u
0.086
Stake
0.28u
Won
+0.52u
First 5 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Oakland Athletics
home
Odds
2.55
Prob
45.7%
EV/u
0.146
Stake
0.53u
Lost
-0.53u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Chicago Cubs
home
Odds
2.42
Prob
45.6%
EV/u
0.055
Stake
0.29u
Won
+0.41u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Chicago Cubs
home
Odds
2.44
Prob
45.7%
EV/u
0.064
Stake
0.32u
Won
+0.46u
First 5 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Cleveland Indians
away
Odds
2.79
Prob
45.4%
EV/u
0.051
Stake
0.18u
Won
+0.32u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Minnesota Twins
home
Odds
2.44
Prob
45.4%
EV/u
0.057
Stake
0.10u
Lost
-0.10u
First 5 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Oakland Athletics
away
Odds
2.93
Prob
45.7%
EV/u
0.108
Stake
0.20u
Lost
-0.20u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Kansas City Royals
home
Odds
2.83
Prob
45.7%
EV/u
0.267
Stake
0.54u
Won
+0.99u
First 5 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
New York Yankees
home
Odds
2.73
Prob
45.4%
EV/u
0.216
Stake
0.46u
Lost
-0.46u
First 5 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Cleveland Indians
away
Odds
3.11
Prob
45.7%
EV/u
0.183
Stake
0.33u
Lost
-0.33u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
Arizona Diamondbacks
home
Odds
2.48
Prob
45.9%
EV/u
0.083
Stake
0.17u
Lost
-0.17u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Seattle Mariners
home
Odds
2.62
Prob
45.5%
EV/u
0.172
Stake
0.60u
Lost
-0.60u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Chicago Cubs
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
45.4%
EV/u
0.180
Stake
0.48u
Lost
-0.48u
First 5 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Seattle Mariners
home
Odds
2.62
Prob
45.7%
EV/u
0.176
Stake
0.50u
Won
+0.81u
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Kansas City Royals
home
Odds
2.54
Prob
45.5%
EV/u
0.138
Stake
0.37u
Won
+0.57u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
3.21
Prob
45.7%
EV/u
0.214
Stake
0.48u
Won
+1.06u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
San Diego Padres
away
Odds
4.04
Prob
45.4%
EV/u
0.554
Stake
0.39u
Won
+1.19u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
New York Yankees
away
Odds
2.71
Prob
45.8%
EV/u
0.035
Stake
0.06u
Lost
-0.06u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Oakland Athletics
away
Odds
3.04
Prob
45.4%
EV/u
0.156
Stake
0.32u
Lost
-0.32u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
St. Louis Cardinals
home
Odds
2.56
Prob
45.4%
EV/u
0.144
Stake
0.34u
Won
+0.53u
First 5 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
3.33
Prob
45.6%
EV/u
0.266
Stake
0.57u
Won
+1.33u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
3.91
Prob
45.6%
EV/u
0.507
Stake
0.57u
Won
+1.66u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
2.98
Prob
45.1%
EV/u
0.128
Stake
0.37u
Lost
-0.37u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cleveland Indians
Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
3.82
Prob
45.5%
EV/u
0.475
Stake
0.61u
Lost
-0.61u
First 5 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
3.06
Prob
45.4%
EV/u
0.161
Stake
0.44u
Won
+0.91u
First 5 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Miami Marlins
home
Odds
2.44
Prob
45.3%
EV/u
0.055
Stake
0.26u
Won
+0.37u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Oakland Athletics
home
Odds
2.36
Prob
45.4%
EV/u
0.027
Stake
0.12u
Lost
-0.12u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
3.43
Prob
45.6%
EV/u
0.302
Stake
0.68u
Lost
-0.68u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Arizona Diamondbacks
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
45.5%
EV/u
0.162
Stake
0.57u
Lost
-0.57u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
San Diego Padres
away
Odds
2.71
Prob
46.0%
EV/u
0.031
Stake
0.13u
Lost
-0.13u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Texas Rangers
away
Odds
3.78
Prob
45.5%
EV/u
0.451
Stake
0.57u
Won
+1.58u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
3.23
Prob
45.8%
EV/u
0.216
Stake
0.53u
Won
+1.18u
First 5 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
2.79
Prob
44.8%
EV/u
0.061
Stake
0.14u
Lost
-0.14u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
2.85
Prob
45.7%
EV/u
0.081
Stake
0.20u
Won
+0.37u
First 5 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
New York Mets
home
Odds
2.51
Prob
45.1%
EV/u
0.115
Stake
0.36u
Won
+0.54u
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
2.71
Prob
45.5%
EV/u
0.039
Stake
0.15u
Lost
-0.15u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Miami Marlins
away
Odds
3.17
Prob
46.3%
EV/u
0.184
Stake
0.47u
Lost
-0.47u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
2.75
Prob
46.0%
EV/u
0.241
Stake
0.76u
Lost
-0.76u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
3.40
Prob
45.5%
EV/u
0.287
Stake
0.65u
Lost
-0.65u
First 5 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
New York Mets
away
Odds
3.47
Prob
46.3%
EV/u
0.277
Stake
0.61u
Won
+1.51u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Miami Marlins
home
Odds
3.19
Prob
46.6%
EV/u
0.452
Stake
1.11u
Won
+2.43u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
3.12
Prob
46.0%
EV/u
0.169
Stake
0.45u
Won
+0.95u
First 5 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
New York Mets
home
Odds
2.34
Prob
46.5%
EV/u
0.042
Stake
0.24u
Won
+0.32u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Miami Marlins
home
Odds
3.20
Prob
46.1%
EV/u
0.439
Stake
0.64u
Lost
-0.64u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
3.49
Prob
46.1%
EV/u
0.267
Stake
0.24u
Won
+0.60u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
3.84
Prob
45.9%
EV/u
0.466
Stake
0.36u
Lost
-0.36u
First 5 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
San Diego Padres
home
Odds
3.09
Prob
46.2%
EV/u
0.396
Stake
0.56u
Won
+1.17u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cleveland Indians
Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
3.22
Prob
46.0%
EV/u
0.214
Stake
0.53u
Won
+1.18u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Houston Astros
home
Odds
3.01
Prob
46.1%
EV/u
0.358
Stake
0.97u
Won
+1.95u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
2.93
Prob
46.2%
EV/u
0.091
Stake
0.19u
Lost
-0.19u
First 5 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Los Angeles Angels
away
Odds
2.86
Prob
46.6%
EV/u
0.055
Stake
0.11u
Won
+0.20u
First 5 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
New York Mets
home
Odds
2.78
Prob
46.0%
EV/u
0.252
Stake
0.78u
Won
+1.39u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
3.51
Prob
46.4%
EV/u
0.630
Stake
0.59u
Lost
-0.59u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Cleveland Indians
home
Odds
2.84
Prob
46.0%
EV/u
0.279
Stake
0.62u
Won
+1.14u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Texas Rangers
home
Odds
2.68
Prob
46.0%
EV/u
0.210
Stake
0.50u
Lost
-0.50u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
San Francisco Giants
home
Odds
2.34
Prob
46.0%
EV/u
0.032
Stake
0.05u
Lost
-0.05u
First 5 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Houston Astros
home
Odds
2.53
Prob
46.5%
EV/u
0.156
Stake
0.57u
Lost
-0.57u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Cleveland Indians
home
Odds
2.54
Prob
46.4%
EV/u
0.159
Stake
0.58u
Lost
-0.58u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.