Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Jul 15, 2026 11:44 AM EDT
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
2.79
Prob
45.4%
EV/u
0.117
Stake
0.25u
Lost
-0.25u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
San Diego Padres
away
Odds
2.79
Prob
45.4%
EV/u
0.119
Stake
0.24u
Lost
-0.24u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
3.11
Prob
46.0%
EV/u
0.204
Stake
0.42u
Won
+0.89u
First 5 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Miami Marlins
away
Odds
2.66
Prob
43.3%
EV/u
0.123
Stake
0.27u
Lost
-0.27u
First 5 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Francisco Giants
away
Odds
2.68
Prob
45.1%
EV/u
0.101
Stake
0.21u
Lost
-0.21u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
2.83
Prob
48.9%
EV/u
0.089
Stake
0.28u
Lost
-0.28u
First 5 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Miami Marlins
home
Odds
2.92
Prob
44.9%
EV/u
0.287
Stake
0.81u
Lost
-0.81u
First 5 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
3.46
Prob
47.2%
EV/u
0.319
Stake
0.71u
Won
+1.75u
First 5 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Cincinnati Reds
home
Odds
2.58
Prob
44.9%
EV/u
0.139
Stake
0.50u
Won
+0.79u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
3.40
Prob
50.7%
EV/u
0.102
Stake
0.25u
Lost
-0.25u
First 5 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
2.58
Prob
48.6%
EV/u
0.025
Stake
0.05u
Won
+0.08u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
43.2%
EV/u
0.161
Stake
0.49u
Won
+0.78u
First 5 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
2.63
Prob
44.7%
EV/u
0.159
Stake
0.47u
Lost
-0.47u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Chicago Cubs
away
Odds
3.69
Prob
46.4%
EV/u
0.518
Stake
0.61u
Lost
-0.61u
First 5 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Texas Rangers
home
Odds
2.42
Prob
46.5%
EV/u
0.072
Stake
0.18u
Won
+0.26u
First 5 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Cleveland Indians
home
Odds
2.26
Prob
49.0%
EV/u
0.058
Stake
0.34u
Won
+0.43u
First 5 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
2.76
Prob
50.9%
EV/u
0.032
Stake
0.13u
Won
+0.23u
First 5 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
2.97
Prob
43.8%
EV/u
0.295
Stake
0.81u
Lost
-0.81u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Tampa Bay Rays
home
Odds
3.09
Prob
50.7%
EV/u
0.527
Stake
0.77u
Won
+1.61u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
2.89
Prob
41.5%
EV/u
0.333
Stake
0.52u
Won
+0.98u
First 5 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
away
Odds
3.81
Prob
47.1%
EV/u
0.586
Stake
0.42u
Won
+1.18u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
Washington Nationals
home
Odds
2.12
Prob
53.2%
EV/u
0.075
Stake
0.09u
Won
+0.10u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
3.64
Prob
47.5%
EV/u
0.423
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
First 5 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Cleveland Indians
home
Odds
2.41
Prob
49.7%
EV/u
0.134
Stake
0.16u
Won
+0.23u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
New York Mets
away
Odds
3.81
Prob
51.5%
EV/u
0.447
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
First 5 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
home
Odds
2.75
Prob
49.8%
EV/u
0.338
Stake
0.55u
Won
+0.96u
First 5 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Oakland Athletics
away
Odds
4.64
Prob
51.5%
EV/u
0.763
Stake
0.26u
Lost
-0.26u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
2.79
Prob
42.6%
EV/u
0.189
Stake
0.23u
Won
+0.41u
First 5 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
4.19
Prob
51.9%
EV/u
0.440
Stake
0.17u
Lost
-0.17u
First 5 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
3.14
Prob
48.9%
EV/u
0.496
Stake
0.63u
Lost
-0.63u
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Texas Rangers
home
Odds
3.16
Prob
47.5%
EV/u
0.466
Stake
0.59u
Lost
-0.59u
First 5 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
home
Odds
2.48
Prob
47.7%
EV/u
0.121
Stake
0.14u
Won
+0.21u
First 5 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Oakland Athletics
away
Odds
3.32
Prob
47.8%
EV/u
0.228
Stake
0.25u
Lost
-0.25u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Kansas City Royals
home
Odds
2.30
Prob
47.4%
EV/u
0.043
Stake
0.12u
Won
+0.16u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Arizona Diamondbacks
home
Odds
2.31
Prob
51.6%
EV/u
0.130
Stake
0.48u
Lost
-0.48u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
New York Mets
away
Odds
3.44
Prob
50.9%
EV/u
0.248
Stake
0.51u
Won
+1.24u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
Washington Nationals
away
Odds
3.59
Prob
47.3%
EV/u
0.546
Stake
0.69u
Lost
-0.69u
First 5 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
San Francisco Giants
home
Odds
2.25
Prob
50.3%
EV/u
0.078
Stake
0.35u
Won
+0.44u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
St. Louis Cardinals
home
Odds
2.27
Prob
50.2%
EV/u
0.085
Stake
0.39u
Won
+0.50u
First 5 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
2.84
Prob
45.0%
EV/u
0.256
Stake
0.76u
Lost
-0.76u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
New York Yankees
away
Odds
3.04
Prob
51.3%
EV/u
0.104
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.61u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cleveland Indians
Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
47.8%
EV/u
0.108
Stake
0.21u
Won
+0.36u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Arizona Diamondbacks
home
Odds
2.71
Prob
47.9%
EV/u
0.272
Stake
0.69u
Lost
-0.69u
First 5 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
2.37
Prob
55.6%
EV/u
0.236
Stake
0.71u
Lost
-0.71u
First 5 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Houston Astros
away
Odds
2.58
Prob
44.3%
EV/u
0.098
Stake
0.19u
Won
+0.30u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
2.72
Prob
51.3%
EV/u
0.363
Stake
0.51u
Lost
-0.51u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cleveland Indians
Pittsburgh Pirates
home
Odds
2.41
Prob
52.5%
EV/u
0.192
Stake
0.21u
Lost
-0.21u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Detroit Tigers
home
Odds
3.41
Prob
42.7%
EV/u
0.422
Stake
0.43u
Won
+1.04u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
2.97
Prob
46.6%
EV/u
0.227
Stake
0.22u
Won
+0.43u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
New York Yankees
away
Odds
3.37
Prob
48.4%
EV/u
0.411
Stake
0.42u
Lost
-0.42u
First 5 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Boston Red Sox
away
Odds
2.79
Prob
43.3%
EV/u
0.293
Stake
0.50u
Won
+0.90u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Minnesota Twins
home
Odds
2.49
Prob
47.2%
EV/u
0.117
Stake
0.18u
Lost
-0.18u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
2.83
Prob
46.3%
EV/u
0.218
Stake
0.37u
Won
+0.68u
First 5 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
2.79
Prob
48.2%
EV/u
0.128
Stake
0.18u
Lost
-0.18u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
2.81
Prob
47.7%
EV/u
0.092
Stake
0.12u
Lost
-0.12u
First 5 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
San Diego Padres
home
Odds
3.67
Prob
59.1%
EV/u
1.170
Stake
0.45u
Lost
-0.45u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Minnesota Twins
home
Odds
2.35
Prob
51.5%
EV/u
0.145
Stake
0.21u
Won
+0.28u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
2.31
Prob
50.8%
EV/u
0.113
Stake
0.15u
Lost
-0.15u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
New York Mets
away
Odds
3.94
Prob
42.5%
EV/u
0.745
Stake
0.37u
Lost
-0.37u
First 5 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Baltimore Orioles
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
47.8%
EV/u
0.220
Stake
0.35u
Won
+0.56u
First 5 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
2.79
Prob
44.0%
EV/u
0.284
Stake
0.40u
Lost
-0.40u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
St. Louis Cardinals
home
Odds
2.58
Prob
47.8%
EV/u
0.210
Stake
0.32u
Won
+0.51u
First 5 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
2.77
Prob
47.0%
EV/u
0.275
Stake
0.53u
Lost
-0.53u
First 5 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
San Francisco Giants
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
42.1%
EV/u
0.163
Stake
0.26u
Won
+0.40u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
2.76
Prob
44.0%
EV/u
0.234
Stake
0.42u
Won
+0.74u
First 5 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
2.76
Prob
47.7%
EV/u
0.290
Stake
0.56u
Lost
-0.56u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Texas Rangers
away
Odds
3.83
Prob
43.7%
EV/u
0.530
Stake
0.67u
Lost
-0.67u
First 5 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
4.39
Prob
47.7%
EV/u
0.584
Stake
0.41u
Lost
-0.41u
First 5 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Arizona Diamondbacks
home
Odds
2.31
Prob
47.4%
EV/u
0.047
Stake
0.29u
Won
+0.38u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Kansas City Royals
home
Odds
2.53
Prob
43.9%
EV/u
0.093
Stake
0.31u
Lost
-0.31u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Los Angeles Angels
away
Odds
3.40
Prob
45.3%
EV/u
0.266
Stake
0.58u
Lost
-0.58u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Washington Nationals
away
Odds
2.92
Prob
42.4%
EV/u
0.181
Stake
0.50u
Lost
-0.50u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Oakland Athletics
home
Odds
2.33
Prob
45.6%
EV/u
0.020
Stake
0.05u
Won
+0.07u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
Philadelphia Phillies
home
Odds
2.53
Prob
44.5%
EV/u
0.108
Stake
0.36u
Won
+0.55u
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
2.90
Prob
44.7%
EV/u
0.090
Stake
0.28u
Lost
-0.28u
First 5 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
3.27
Prob
43.5%
EV/u
0.266
Stake
0.64u
Won
+1.45u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Philadelphia Phillies
home
Odds
2.76
Prob
43.8%
EV/u
0.188
Stake
0.60u
Lost
-0.60u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cleveland Indians
New York Yankees
home
Odds
2.91
Prob
44.1%
EV/u
0.257
Stake
0.74u
Lost
-0.74u
First 5 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
2.89
Prob
43.7%
EV/u
0.126
Stake
0.38u
Lost
-0.38u
First 5 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Texas Rangers
home
Odds
2.57
Prob
45.8%
EV/u
0.156
Stake
0.49u
Won
+0.77u
First 5 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Kansas City Royals
home
Odds
2.38
Prob
44.7%
EV/u
0.022
Stake
0.05u
Won
+0.07u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Philadelphia Phillies
home
Odds
2.51
Prob
43.1%
EV/u
0.067
Stake
0.17u
Lost
-0.17u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Washington Nationals
away
Odds
2.96
Prob
42.8%
EV/u
0.141
Stake
0.36u
Lost
-0.36u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
2.77
Prob
42.4%
EV/u
0.115
Stake
0.32u
Won
+0.57u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
4.28
Prob
44.8%
EV/u
0.634
Stake
0.41u
Won
+1.34u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
away
Odds
3.01
Prob
45.4%
EV/u
0.098
Stake
0.19u
Lost
-0.19u
First 5 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Texas Rangers
home
Odds
2.36
Prob
47.6%
EV/u
0.070
Stake
0.16u
Won
+0.22u
First 5 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Toronto Blue Jays
home
Odds
2.46
Prob
45.4%
EV/u
0.066
Stake
0.13u
Lost
-0.13u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
2.67
Prob
43.2%
EV/u
0.135
Stake
0.31u
Won
+0.52u
First 5 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Arizona Diamondbacks
home
Odds
3.05
Prob
49.2%
EV/u
0.464
Stake
0.83u
Won
+1.70u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
2.96
Prob
45.4%
EV/u
0.096
Stake
0.18u
Lost
-0.18u
First 5 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Texas Rangers
away
Odds
2.98
Prob
45.1%
EV/u
0.087
Stake
0.21u
Lost
-0.21u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cleveland Indians
Cincinnati Reds
home
Odds
2.92
Prob
41.4%
EV/u
0.188
Stake
0.51u
Lost
-0.51u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
Milwaukee Brewers
home
Odds
2.61
Prob
45.8%
EV/u
0.174
Stake
0.56u
Lost
-0.56u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
away
Odds
2.87
Prob
45.4%
EV/u
0.064
Stake
0.14u
Won
+0.26u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
2.82
Prob
44.7%
EV/u
0.082
Stake
0.20u
Lost
-0.20u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
41.7%
EV/u
0.069
Stake
0.18u
Lost
-0.18u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
2.46
Prob
45.7%
EV/u
0.073
Stake
0.34u
Lost
-0.34u
First 5 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Baltimore Orioles
home
Odds
3.06
Prob
44.7%
EV/u
0.337
Stake
0.89u
Won
+1.83u
First 5 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
Miami Marlins
away
Odds
3.83
Prob
44.9%
EV/u
0.424
Stake
0.54u
Won
+1.53u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.