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Case Archive

Historical Audit

Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.

Last synced: May 15, 2026 2:07 PM EDT

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First 5 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
home
Odds
1.77
Prob
62.7%
EV/u
0.058
Stake
0.07u
Won +0.05u
First 5 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
home
Odds
2.70
Prob
58.5%
EV/u
0.538
Stake
0.86u
Won +1.46u
First 5 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
43.1%
EV/u
0.104
Stake
0.16u
Lost -0.16u
First 5 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
53.0%
EV/u
0.297
Stake
0.62u
Lost -0.62u
First 5 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
home
Odds
2.35
Prob
48.4%
EV/u
0.082
Stake
0.13u
Won +0.18u
First 5 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
2.10
Prob
55.4%
EV/u
0.103
Stake
0.26u
Won +0.29u
First 5 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
home
Odds
2.15
Prob
60.2%
EV/u
0.215
Stake
0.59u
Won +0.68u
First 5 innings mlb
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
home
Odds
1.87
Prob
60.6%
EV/u
0.078
Stake
0.21u
Won +0.18u
First 5 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
New York Mets New York Mets
home
Odds
2.65
Prob
41.2%
EV/u
0.075
Stake
0.14u
Won +0.23u
First 5 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
45.9%
EV/u
0.130
Stake
0.29u
Won +0.44u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
home
Odds
2.25
Prob
52.7%
EV/u
0.124
Stake
0.31u
Lost -0.31u
First 5 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
50.4%
EV/u
0.118
Stake
0.30u
Won +0.54u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
home
Odds
2.35
Prob
46.7%
EV/u
0.048
Stake
0.11u
Won +0.15u
First 5 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
New York Mets New York Mets
home
Odds
1.87
Prob
63.0%
EV/u
0.116
Stake
0.45u
Lost -0.45u
First 5 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
57.8%
EV/u
0.320
Stake
0.94u
Lost -0.94u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
home
Odds
2.25
Prob
52.0%
EV/u
0.110
Stake
0.54u
Won +0.68u
First 5 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
3.20
Prob
54.3%
EV/u
0.102
Stake
0.27u
Won +0.59u
First 5 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
home
Odds
2.25
Prob
56.7%
EV/u
0.199
Stake
0.88u
Won +1.10u
First 5 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
home
Odds
2.55
Prob
60.7%
EV/u
0.508
Stake
1.10u
Won +1.71u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
2.45
Prob
42.3%
EV/u
0.101
Stake
0.19u
Lost -0.19u
First 5 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
New York Yankees New York Yankees
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
49.3%
EV/u
0.210
Stake
0.51u
Won +0.77u
First 5 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
home
Odds
2.35
Prob
55.9%
EV/u
0.232
Stake
0.93u
Lost -0.93u
First 5 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
3.20
Prob
50.2%
EV/u
0.219
Stake
0.52u
Won +1.14u
First 5 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
50.6%
EV/u
0.168
Stake
0.63u
Won +0.91u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
home
Odds
1.83
Prob
61.5%
EV/u
0.073
Stake
0.31u
Lost -0.31u
First 5 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
home
Odds
1.95
Prob
58.4%
EV/u
0.084
Stake
0.34u
Lost -0.34u
First 5 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
home
Odds
2.15
Prob
56.9%
EV/u
0.155
Stake
0.77u
Lost -0.77u
First 5 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
52.3%
EV/u
0.205
Stake
0.78u
Won +1.13u
First 5 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
2.35
Prob
39.3%
EV/u
0.031
Stake
0.23u
Won +0.31u
First 5 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
away
Odds
2.45
Prob
41.9%
EV/u
0.020
Stake
0.18u
Won +0.26u
First 5 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
Houston Astros Houston Astros
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
37.1%
EV/u
0.105
Stake
0.40u
Won +0.62u
First 5 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
41.9%
EV/u
0.174
Stake
0.56u
Lost -0.56u
First 5 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
Houston Astros Houston Astros
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
41.9%
EV/u
0.174
Stake
0.56u
Lost -0.56u
First 5 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
New York Yankees New York Yankees
away
Odds
3.00
Prob
44.4%
EV/u
0.222
Stake
0.62u
Won +1.24u
First 5 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
41.0%
EV/u
0.171
Stake
0.56u
Lost -0.56u
First 5 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
2.45
Prob
40.5%
EV/u
0.042
Stake
0.25u
Won +0.36u
First 5 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
home
Odds
2.55
Prob
41.6%
EV/u
0.046
Stake
0.19u
Lost -0.19u
First 5 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
45.4%
EV/u
0.062
Stake
0.31u
Won +0.45u
First 5 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
home
Odds
2.95
Prob
41.3%
EV/u
0.196
Stake
0.56u
Won +1.09u
First 5 innings mlb
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
41.0%
EV/u
0.202
Stake
0.64u
Won +1.12u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
2.70
Prob
41.4%
EV/u
0.099
Stake
0.34u
Lost -0.34u
First 5 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
2.50
Prob
40.8%
EV/u
0.096
Stake
0.38u
Won +0.57u
First 5 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
2.45
Prob
41.4%
EV/u
0.030
Stake
0.21u
Lost -0.21u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
away
Odds
2.90
Prob
40.8%
EV/u
0.265
Stake
0.77u
Won +1.46u
First 5 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
home
Odds
2.55
Prob
41.6%
EV/u
0.046
Stake
0.19u
Lost -0.19u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
home
Odds
2.95
Prob
41.3%
EV/u
0.197
Stake
0.56u
Won +1.09u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
2.50
Prob
40.5%
EV/u
0.096
Stake
0.38u
Won +0.57u
First 5 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
2.50
Prob
41.4%
EV/u
0.081
Stake
0.33u
Lost -0.33u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
42.1%
EV/u
0.103
Stake
0.38u
Lost -0.38u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
2.40
Prob
40.6%
EV/u
0.030
Stake
0.22u
Won +0.31u
First 5 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
3.45
Prob
41.2%
EV/u
0.486
Stake
1.07u
Won +2.62u
First 5 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
2.65
Prob
41.8%
EV/u
0.091
Stake
0.33u
Won +0.54u
First 5 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
40.8%
EV/u
0.181
Stake
0.60u
Lost -0.60u
First 5 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
New York Mets New York Mets
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
41.6%
EV/u
0.123
Stake
0.44u
Won +0.70u
First 5 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
3.80
Prob
44.0%
EV/u
0.586
Stake
0.44u
Lost -0.44u
First 5 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
New York Yankees New York Yankees
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
40.4%
EV/u
0.184
Stake
0.26u
Lost -0.26u
First 5 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
away
Odds
3.20
Prob
43.9%
EV/u
0.320
Stake
0.46u
Lost -0.46u
First 5 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
3.15
Prob
41.0%
EV/u
0.371
Stake
0.55u
Lost -0.55u
First 5 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
2.50
Prob
41.1%
EV/u
0.081
Stake
0.09u
Lost -0.09u
First 5 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
3.60
Prob
41.6%
EV/u
0.588
Stake
0.80u
Won +2.08u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
3.40
Prob
40.7%
EV/u
0.465
Stake
1.00u
Lost -1.00u
First 5 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
away
Odds
2.45
Prob
39.9%
EV/u
0.048
Stake
0.05u
Lost -0.05u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
3.00
Prob
41.4%
EV/u
0.290
Stake
0.42u
Lost -0.42u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
41.1%
EV/u
0.331
Stake
0.46u
Lost -0.46u
First 5 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
40.4%
EV/u
0.120
Stake
0.16u
Won +0.25u
First 5 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
away
Odds
3.85
Prob
40.3%
EV/u
0.751
Stake
0.42u
Lost -0.42u
First 5 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
41.9%
EV/u
0.196
Stake
0.29u
Lost -0.29u
First 5 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
home
Odds
2.55
Prob
40.7%
EV/u
0.024
Stake
0.12u
Lost -0.12u
First 5 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
41.4%
EV/u
0.123
Stake
0.44u
Won +0.70u
First 5 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
away
Odds
2.35
Prob
38.6%
EV/u
0.035
Stake
0.24u
Won +0.32u
First 5 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
home
Odds
2.80
Prob
43.6%
EV/u
0.199
Stake
0.58u
Won +1.04u
First 5 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
41.4%
EV/u
0.102
Stake
0.31u
Lost -0.31u
First 5 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
40.7%
EV/u
0.108
Stake
0.33u
Won +0.51u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
New York Yankees New York Yankees
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
40.8%
EV/u
0.117
Stake
0.37u
Won +0.57u
First 5 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
home
Odds
2.65
Prob
41.3%
EV/u
0.078
Stake
0.21u
Lost -0.21u
First 5 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
home
Odds
2.65
Prob
46.9%
EV/u
0.219
Stake
0.69u
Lost -0.69u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
46.9%
EV/u
0.197
Stake
0.61u
Lost -0.61u
First 5 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
home
Odds
2.15
Prob
49.7%
EV/u
0.024
Stake
0.05u
Won +0.06u
First 5 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
3.20
Prob
53.2%
EV/u
0.187
Stake
0.45u
Lost -0.45u
First 5 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
52.2%
EV/u
0.092
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
First 5 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
home
Odds
2.05
Prob
55.7%
EV/u
0.086
Stake
0.54u
Won +0.57u
First 5 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Houston Astros Houston Astros
away
Odds
2.50
Prob
47.3%
EV/u
0.057
Stake
0.24u
Lost -0.24u
First 5 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
home
Odds
2.75
Prob
40.5%
EV/u
0.095
Stake
0.32u
Won +0.56u
First 5 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
2.55
Prob
46.6%
EV/u
0.168
Stake
0.22u
Lost -0.22u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
away
Odds
2.15
Prob
35.1%
EV/u
0.099
Stake
0.13u
Lost -0.13u
First 5 innings mlb
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
Houston Astros Houston Astros
home
Odds
3.00
Prob
51.4%
EV/u
0.504
Stake
0.57u
Lost -0.57u
First 5 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
home
Odds
2.75
Prob
46.0%
EV/u
0.240
Stake
0.32u
Lost -0.32u
First 5 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
45.5%
EV/u
0.120
Stake
0.14u
Lost -0.14u
First 5 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
New York Yankees New York Yankees
home
Odds
2.80
Prob
48.6%
EV/u
0.331
Stake
0.42u
Lost -0.42u
First 5 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
3.20
Prob
51.8%
EV/u
0.614
Stake
0.88u
Won +1.94u
First 5 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
home
Odds
2.30
Prob
51.5%
EV/u
0.123
Stake
0.26u
Lost -0.26u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
home
Odds
2.40
Prob
50.9%
EV/u
0.153
Stake
0.34u
Lost -0.34u
First 5 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
home
Odds
2.35
Prob
50.7%
EV/u
0.129
Stake
0.27u
Won +0.36u
First 5 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
home
Odds
2.55
Prob
51.8%
EV/u
0.294
Stake
0.42u
Lost -0.42u
First 5 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
46.7%
EV/u
0.089
Stake
0.08u
Lost -0.08u
First 5 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
home
Odds
3.10
Prob
48.7%
EV/u
0.471
Stake
0.58u
Won +1.22u
First 5 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
home
Odds
2.80
Prob
56.6%
EV/u
0.544
Stake
0.72u
Won +1.30u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
43.1%
EV/u
0.221
Stake
0.79u
Won +1.22u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
49.7%
EV/u
0.059
Stake
0.22u
Won +0.37u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
home
Odds
3.00
Prob
41.9%
EV/u
0.232
Stake
0.64u
Won +1.28u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.