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Case Archive

Historical Audit

Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.

Last synced: May 15, 2026 2:07 PM EDT

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First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
home
Odds
2.75
Prob
44.6%
EV/u
0.202
Stake
0.64u
Lost -0.64u
First 5 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
44.0%
EV/u
0.125
Stake
0.45u
Lost -0.45u
First 5 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
3.20
Prob
44.9%
EV/u
0.351
Stake
0.87u
Won +1.91u
First 5 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
home
Odds
2.20
Prob
50.8%
EV/u
0.065
Stake
0.39u
Lost -0.39u
First 5 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
2.35
Prob
31.0%
EV/u
0.104
Stake
0.48u
Lost -0.48u
First 5 innings mlb
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
Houston Astros Houston Astros
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
46.2%
EV/u
0.078
Stake
0.37u
Won +0.54u
First 5 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
2.35
Prob
36.8%
EV/u
0.067
Stake
0.35u
Won +0.47u
First 5 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
46.2%
EV/u
0.078
Stake
0.37u
Lost -0.37u
First 5 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
42.4%
EV/u
0.257
Stake
0.67u
Lost -0.67u
First 5 innings mlb
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
home
Odds
2.40
Prob
50.3%
EV/u
0.142
Stake
0.59u
Won +0.83u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
away
Odds
2.95
Prob
46.7%
EV/u
0.117
Stake
0.35u
Won +0.68u
First 5 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
home
Odds
2.40
Prob
44.8%
EV/u
0.030
Stake
0.22u
Won +0.31u
First 5 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
2.95
Prob
47.5%
EV/u
0.089
Stake
0.27u
Lost -0.27u
First 5 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
New York Mets New York Mets
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
44.5%
EV/u
0.042
Stake
0.25u
Won +0.36u
First 5 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
2.40
Prob
34.5%
EV/u
0.092
Stake
0.43u
Won +0.60u
First 5 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
44.9%
EV/u
0.113
Stake
0.38u
Lost -0.38u
First 5 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
36.4%
EV/u
0.296
Stake
0.77u
Lost -0.77u
First 5 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
away
Odds
2.65
Prob
42.0%
EV/u
0.052
Stake
0.20u
Won +0.33u
First 5 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
45.6%
EV/u
0.177
Stake
0.34u
Lost -0.34u
First 5 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees New York Yankees
away
Odds
3.35
Prob
46.7%
EV/u
0.248
Stake
0.50u
Won +1.18u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
3.25
Prob
43.4%
EV/u
0.360
Stake
0.75u
Lost -0.75u
First 5 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
42.1%
EV/u
0.116
Stake
0.21u
Won +0.36u
First 5 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
away
Odds
2.90
Prob
44.9%
EV/u
0.130
Stake
0.39u
Won +0.74u
First 5 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
away
Odds
2.65
Prob
40.4%
EV/u
0.132
Stake
0.46u
Lost -0.46u
First 5 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
2.40
Prob
34.1%
EV/u
0.138
Stake
0.51u
Won +0.71u
First 5 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
38.6%
EV/u
0.149
Stake
0.53u
Lost -0.53u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
home
Odds
2.80
Prob
45.5%
EV/u
0.250
Stake
0.76u
Won +1.37u
First 5 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
44.8%
EV/u
0.139
Stake
0.37u
Won +0.65u
First 5 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
44.8%
EV/u
0.057
Stake
0.13u
Lost -0.13u
First 5 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
home
Odds
2.65
Prob
44.8%
EV/u
0.166
Stake
0.50u
Lost -0.50u
First 5 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
2.95
Prob
44.8%
EV/u
0.217
Stake
0.56u
Lost -0.56u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
away
Odds
2.65
Prob
44.8%
EV/u
0.098
Stake
0.24u
Lost -0.24u
First 5 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
home
Odds
2.80
Prob
44.8%
EV/u
0.230
Stake
0.70u
Lost -0.70u
First 5 innings mlb
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
44.8%
EV/u
0.103
Stake
0.40u
Lost -0.40u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
away
Odds
2.50
Prob
44.7%
EV/u
0.038
Stake
0.17u
Lost -0.17u
First 5 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
44.7%
EV/u
0.046
Stake
0.26u
Lost -0.26u
First 5 innings mlb
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
2.50
Prob
44.9%
EV/u
0.037
Stake
0.17u
Lost -0.17u
First 5 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
44.7%
EV/u
0.138
Stake
0.45u
Won +0.79u
First 5 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
Houston Astros Houston Astros
away
Odds
2.65
Prob
44.8%
EV/u
0.098
Stake
0.35u
Lost -0.35u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
44.7%
EV/u
0.077
Stake
0.29u
Won +0.46u
First 5 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
44.8%
EV/u
0.048
Stake
0.27u
Lost -0.27u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
2.85
Prob
44.9%
EV/u
0.180
Stake
0.54u
Won +1.00u
First 5 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
44.8%
EV/u
0.079
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
44.7%
EV/u
0.057
Stake
0.23u
Lost -0.23u
First 5 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
45.0%
EV/u
0.136
Stake
0.44u
Won +0.77u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
44.8%
EV/u
0.158
Stake
0.50u
Won +0.90u
First 5 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Houston Astros Houston Astros
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
44.8%
EV/u
0.048
Stake
0.19u
Lost -0.19u
First 5 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
44.8%
EV/u
0.138
Stake
0.45u
Lost -0.45u
First 5 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
44.7%
EV/u
0.057
Stake
0.22u
Lost -0.22u
First 5 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
New York Mets New York Mets
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
44.8%
EV/u
0.118
Stake
0.40u
Lost -0.40u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
44.8%
EV/u
0.157
Stake
0.49u
Won +0.88u
First 5 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
away
Odds
2.65
Prob
44.7%
EV/u
0.097
Stake
0.35u
Lost -0.35u
First 5 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
44.7%
EV/u
0.164
Stake
0.51u
Lost -0.51u
First 5 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
44.9%
EV/u
0.060
Stake
0.11u
Lost -0.11u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
44.8%
EV/u
0.118
Stake
0.24u
Won +0.41u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
Houston Astros Houston Astros
away
Odds
2.65
Prob
44.8%
EV/u
0.098
Stake
0.19u
Won +0.31u
First 5 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
New York Yankees New York Yankees
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
44.8%
EV/u
0.157
Stake
0.35u
Won +0.63u
First 5 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
44.8%
EV/u
0.158
Stake
0.34u
Lost -0.34u
First 5 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
3.20
Prob
44.8%
EV/u
0.318
Stake
0.57u
Won +1.25u
First 5 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
away
Odds
2.65
Prob
44.7%
EV/u
0.097
Stake
0.22u
Lost -0.22u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
Houston Astros Houston Astros
away
Odds
3.25
Prob
44.8%
EV/u
0.339
Stake
0.75u
Lost -0.75u
First 5 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
2.75
Prob
44.8%
EV/u
0.209
Stake
0.61u
Lost -0.61u
First 5 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
away
Odds
2.65
Prob
44.8%
EV/u
0.098
Stake
0.22u
Lost -0.22u
First 5 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
away
Odds
2.85
Prob
44.8%
EV/u
0.178
Stake
0.54u
Lost -0.54u
First 5 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
44.8%
EV/u
0.138
Stake
0.45u
Lost -0.45u
First 5 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
45.1%
EV/u
0.055
Stake
0.23u
Won +0.36u
First 5 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
away
Odds
2.50
Prob
44.9%
EV/u
0.040
Stake
0.18u
Lost -0.18u
First 5 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
home
Odds
3.50
Prob
44.8%
EV/u
0.570
Stake
0.80u
Lost -0.80u
First 5 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
44.8%
EV/u
0.117
Stake
0.31u
Won +0.53u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
3.50
Prob
44.7%
EV/u
0.477
Stake
0.69u
Lost -0.69u
First 5 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
44.8%
EV/u
0.048
Stake
0.18u
Won +0.26u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
44.8%
EV/u
0.058
Stake
0.21u
Won +0.33u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
away
Odds
2.65
Prob
44.8%
EV/u
0.098
Stake
0.33u
Won +0.54u
First 5 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
44.7%
EV/u
0.119
Stake
0.38u
Won +0.65u
First 5 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
home
Odds
2.40
Prob
44.8%
EV/u
0.029
Stake
0.10u
Lost -0.10u
First 5 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
away
Odds
2.95
Prob
44.8%
EV/u
0.217
Stake
0.59u
Lost -0.59u
First 5 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
home
Odds
2.30
Prob
54.2%
EV/u
0.175
Stake
0.54u
Won +0.70u
First 5 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
home
Odds
2.10
Prob
51.9%
EV/u
0.042
Stake
0.10u
Won +0.11u
First 5 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
home
Odds
2.85
Prob
56.1%
EV/u
0.557
Stake
1.16u
Won +2.15u
First 5 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
home
Odds
2.15
Prob
54.0%
EV/u
0.103
Stake
0.31u
Lost -0.31u
First 5 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
home
Odds
2.55
Prob
54.0%
EV/u
0.346
Stake
0.96u
Lost -0.96u
First 5 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
2.20
Prob
34.7%
EV/u
0.157
Stake
0.53u
Lost -0.53u
First 5 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
home
Odds
2.10
Prob
57.5%
EV/u
0.141
Stake
0.75u
Won +0.83u
First 5 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
home
Odds
1.83
Prob
59.5%
EV/u
0.042
Stake
0.33u
Lost -0.33u
First 5 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
47.4%
EV/u
0.164
Stake
0.62u
Lost -0.62u
First 5 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
3.20
Prob
52.0%
EV/u
0.148
Stake
0.21u
Lost -0.21u
First 5 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
home
Odds
2.30
Prob
51.2%
EV/u
0.117
Stake
0.27u
Won +0.35u
First 5 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
46.6%
EV/u
0.086
Stake
0.16u
Won +0.23u
First 5 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
home
Odds
2.05
Prob
55.8%
EV/u
0.087
Stake
0.21u
Won +0.22u
First 5 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
home
Odds
2.55
Prob
57.9%
EV/u
0.440
Stake
0.85u
Won +1.32u
First 5 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
away
Odds
4.10
Prob
55.1%
EV/u
0.222
Stake
0.10u
Lost -0.10u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
home
Odds
2.35
Prob
49.4%
EV/u
0.102
Stake
0.29u
Won +0.39u
First 5 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
44.1%
EV/u
0.034
Stake
0.07u
Lost -0.07u
First 5 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
home
Odds
1.80
Prob
72.1%
EV/u
0.218
Stake
0.49u
Won +0.39u
First 5 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
2.10
Prob
58.8%
EV/u
0.165
Stake
0.52u
Won +0.57u
First 5 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
2.35
Prob
43.4%
EV/u
0.069
Stake
0.17u
Won +0.23u
First 5 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
home
Odds
2.05
Prob
55.6%
EV/u
0.084
Stake
0.26u
Won +0.27u
First 5 innings mlb
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
home
Odds
2.80
Prob
50.5%
EV/u
0.381
Stake
0.58u
Lost -0.58u
First 5 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
2.55
Prob
54.0%
EV/u
0.346
Stake
0.61u
Lost -0.61u
First 5 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
home
Odds
2.30
Prob
60.8%
EV/u
0.304
Stake
0.54u
Won +0.70u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.