Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: May 15, 2026 2:07 PM EDT
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Washington Nationals
away
Odds
3.40
Prob
43.8%
EV/u
0.265
Stake
0.61u
Lost
-0.61u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
New York Mets
away
Odds
3.20
Prob
43.8%
EV/u
0.192
Stake
0.49u
Lost
-0.49u
First 5 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Miami Marlins
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
43.8%
EV/u
0.049
Stake
0.18u
Lost
-0.18u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
3.35
Prob
43.8%
EV/u
0.433
Stake
1.00u
Won
+2.35u
First 5 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
home
Odds
2.75
Prob
43.8%
EV/u
0.182
Stake
0.58u
Lost
-0.58u
First 5 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
2.85
Prob
43.8%
EV/u
0.067
Stake
0.22u
Lost
-0.22u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
3.50
Prob
43.7%
EV/u
0.530
Stake
0.76u
Won
+1.90u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Texas Rangers
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
41.6%
EV/u
0.068
Stake
0.24u
Won
+0.42u
First 5 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
3.15
Prob
40.8%
EV/u
0.260
Stake
0.66u
Lost
-0.66u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Miami Marlins
away
Odds
3.65
Prob
41.6%
EV/u
0.476
Stake
0.65u
Won
+1.72u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
43.0%
EV/u
0.048
Stake
0.19u
Won
+0.32u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Houston Astros
away
Odds
2.65
Prob
40.5%
EV/u
0.063
Stake
0.24u
Lost
-0.24u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Washington Nationals
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
41.6%
EV/u
0.048
Stake
0.18u
Won
+0.31u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
41.8%
EV/u
0.047
Stake
0.19u
Lost
-0.19u
First 5 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
39.9%
EV/u
0.299
Stake
0.78u
Won
+1.64u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Houston Astros
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
41.3%
EV/u
0.058
Stake
0.23u
Won
+0.37u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
3.50
Prob
40.6%
EV/u
0.413
Stake
0.59u
Lost
-0.59u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Texas Rangers
away
Odds
2.65
Prob
42.3%
EV/u
0.024
Stake
0.11u
Won
+0.18u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Washington Nationals
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
42.1%
EV/u
0.053
Stake
0.20u
Lost
-0.20u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
3.25
Prob
42.7%
EV/u
0.261
Stake
0.52u
Lost
-0.52u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Cleveland Guardians
away
Odds
3.30
Prob
43.0%
EV/u
0.289
Stake
0.60u
Won
+1.38u
First 5 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
3.85
Prob
42.6%
EV/u
0.536
Stake
0.68u
Won
+1.94u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Los Angeles Angels
home
Odds
2.55
Prob
41.6%
EV/u
0.046
Stake
0.20u
Lost
-0.20u
First 5 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
42.0%
EV/u
0.083
Stake
0.28u
Lost
-0.28u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
42.4%
EV/u
0.023
Stake
0.12u
Won
+0.19u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
42.7%
EV/u
0.214
Stake
0.57u
Won
+1.20u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
2.65
Prob
40.9%
EV/u
0.082
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.50u
First 5 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
New York Mets
away
Odds
2.65
Prob
41.6%
EV/u
0.059
Stake
0.22u
Won
+0.36u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
41.5%
EV/u
0.036
Stake
0.16u
Won
+0.26u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Cleveland Guardians
away
Odds
2.95
Prob
42.0%
EV/u
0.135
Stake
0.40u
Lost
-0.40u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Los Angeles Angels
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
41.3%
EV/u
0.090
Stake
0.32u
Lost
-0.32u
First 5 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
2.65
Prob
41.8%
EV/u
0.055
Stake
0.21u
Won
+0.35u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
3.85
Prob
41.3%
EV/u
0.569
Stake
0.72u
Won
+2.05u
First 5 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Cleveland Guardians
home
Odds
2.55
Prob
41.8%
EV/u
0.050
Stake
0.21u
Won
+0.33u
First 5 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
New York Yankees
away
Odds
3.35
Prob
41.2%
EV/u
0.294
Stake
0.68u
Lost
-0.68u
First 5 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
3.90
Prob
43.2%
EV/u
0.507
Stake
0.63u
Lost
-0.63u
First 5 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Cleveland Guardians
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
42.1%
EV/u
0.082
Stake
0.28u
Lost
-0.28u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Francisco Giants
away
Odds
4.00
Prob
40.7%
EV/u
0.631
Stake
0.50u
Won
+1.50u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Washington Nationals
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
41.2%
EV/u
0.045
Stake
0.18u
Lost
-0.18u
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
42.4%
EV/u
0.030
Stake
0.14u
Lost
-0.14u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Pittsburgh Pirates
home
Odds
2.95
Prob
38.9%
EV/u
0.129
Stake
0.38u
Won
+0.74u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
3.20
Prob
41.5%
EV/u
0.226
Stake
0.57u
Lost
-0.57u
First 5 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Texas Rangers
home
Odds
2.65
Prob
40.6%
EV/u
0.060
Stake
0.23u
Lost
-0.23u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
New York Yankees
away
Odds
3.30
Prob
42.4%
EV/u
0.303
Stake
0.72u
Won
+1.66u
First 5 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Toronto Blue Jays
home
Odds
2.55
Prob
40.9%
EV/u
0.029
Stake
0.14u
Lost
-0.14u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Athletics
home
Odds
2.65
Prob
40.7%
EV/u
0.063
Stake
0.24u
Lost
-0.24u
First 5 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
away
Odds
2.35
Prob
38.3%
EV/u
0.030
Stake
0.23u
Lost
-0.23u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
2.45
Prob
38.1%
EV/u
0.066
Stake
0.33u
Lost
-0.33u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Athletics
away
Odds
2.35
Prob
37.0%
EV/u
0.071
Stake
0.37u
Lost
-0.37u
First 5 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
2.30
Prob
38.4%
EV/u
0.031
Stake
0.24u
Lost
-0.24u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
2.45
Prob
40.2%
EV/u
0.063
Stake
0.19u
Lost
-0.19u
First 5 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
Texas Rangers
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
45.1%
EV/u
0.037
Stake
0.10u
Won
+0.16u
First 5 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
3.30
Prob
38.0%
EV/u
0.229
Stake
0.41u
Lost
-0.41u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
San Diego Padres
away
Odds
2.45
Prob
40.5%
EV/u
0.042
Stake
0.12u
Lost
-0.12u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
2.20
Prob
33.3%
EV/u
0.064
Stake
0.22u
Lost
-0.22u
First 5 innings
mlb
Athletics
Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
3.00
Prob
37.8%
EV/u
0.375
Stake
0.76u
Lost
-0.76u
First 5 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Chicago Cubs
home
Odds
3.20
Prob
37.2%
EV/u
0.169
Stake
0.43u
Lost
-0.43u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cleveland Guardians
Houston Astros
away
Odds
2.35
Prob
39.6%
EV/u
0.031
Stake
0.23u
Won
+0.31u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cleveland Guardians
Houston Astros
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
38.8%
EV/u
0.180
Stake
0.63u
Won
+1.01u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Miami Marlins
home
Odds
3.25
Prob
37.0%
EV/u
0.180
Stake
0.45u
Won
+1.01u
First 5 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
New York Mets
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
39.0%
EV/u
0.194
Stake
0.68u
Lost
-0.68u
First 5 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
Chicago Cubs
away
Odds
2.35
Prob
35.9%
EV/u
0.086
Stake
0.31u
Won
+0.42u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Texas Rangers
away
Odds
3.30
Prob
33.3%
EV/u
0.638
Stake
1.49u
Won
+3.43u
First 5 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
2.65
Prob
35.2%
EV/u
0.265
Stake
0.88u
Won
+1.45u
First 5 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
2.20
Prob
35.2%
EV/u
0.051
Stake
0.33u
Lost
-0.33u
First 5 innings
mlb
Athletics
Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
2.50
Prob
38.7%
EV/u
0.155
Stake
0.59u
Won
+0.89u
First 5 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Los Angeles Angels
away
Odds
2.25
Prob
35.0%
EV/u
0.059
Stake
0.12u
Won
+0.15u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Cleveland Guardians
away
Odds
2.30
Prob
36.2%
EV/u
0.057
Stake
0.11u
Lost
-0.11u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
2.50
Prob
35.3%
EV/u
0.197
Stake
0.41u
Lost
-0.41u
First 5 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
2.40
Prob
39.2%
EV/u
0.072
Stake
0.14u
Won
+0.20u
First 5 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
2.40
Prob
31.5%
EV/u
0.205
Stake
0.45u
Won
+0.63u
First 5 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
35.3%
EV/u
0.325
Stake
0.56u
Won
+0.98u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
2.45
Prob
36.3%
EV/u
0.095
Stake
0.42u
Won
+0.61u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
New York Mets
away
Odds
2.65
Prob
39.7%
EV/u
0.201
Stake
0.68u
Won
+1.12u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
San Diego Padres
away
Odds
2.35
Prob
36.7%
EV/u
0.084
Stake
0.41u
Lost
-0.41u
First 5 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
38.4%
EV/u
0.175
Stake
0.23u
Lost
-0.23u
First 5 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Athletics
away
Odds
4.30
Prob
36.9%
EV/u
1.062
Stake
0.27u
Won
+0.89u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
2.40
Prob
31.5%
EV/u
0.150
Stake
0.20u
Won
+0.28u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
2.45
Prob
37.3%
EV/u
0.111
Stake
0.13u
Lost
-0.13u
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
3.05
Prob
36.1%
EV/u
0.476
Stake
0.56u
Lost
-0.56u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
New York Yankees
away
Odds
2.85
Prob
39.4%
EV/u
0.305
Stake
0.40u
Won
+0.74u
First 5 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Boston Red Sox
away
Odds
2.50
Prob
37.6%
EV/u
0.144
Stake
0.22u
Lost
-0.22u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
39.9%
EV/u
0.140
Stake
0.20u
Lost
-0.20u
First 5 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
3.85
Prob
40.2%
EV/u
0.749
Stake
0.38u
Won
+1.08u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
40.2%
EV/u
0.133
Stake
0.19u
Lost
-0.19u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
2.95
Prob
32.9%
EV/u
0.464
Stake
0.61u
Won
+1.19u
First 5 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Washington Nationals
away
Odds
2.45
Prob
34.5%
EV/u
0.135
Stake
0.20u
Won
+0.29u
First 5 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Athletics
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
32.6%
EV/u
0.254
Stake
0.35u
Lost
-0.35u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
2.85
Prob
35.7%
EV/u
0.359
Stake
0.44u
Won
+0.81u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
2.40
Prob
34.0%
EV/u
0.125
Stake
0.14u
Won
+0.20u
First 5 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
2.95
Prob
36.3%
EV/u
0.375
Stake
0.43u
Lost
-0.43u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
New York Yankees
away
Odds
2.35
Prob
35.4%
EV/u
0.106
Stake
0.11u
Won
+0.15u
First 5 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Washington Nationals
away
Odds
3.50
Prob
40.0%
EV/u
0.591
Stake
0.33u
Lost
-0.33u
First 5 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
2.45
Prob
38.6%
EV/u
0.052
Stake
0.28u
Won
+0.41u
First 5 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Athletics
away
Odds
2.35
Prob
40.3%
EV/u
0.031
Stake
0.23u
Lost
-0.23u
First 5 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
San Francisco Giants
away
Odds
2.20
Prob
30.0%
EV/u
0.102
Stake
0.17u
Lost
-0.17u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
2.85
Prob
38.2%
EV/u
0.312
Stake
0.60u
Lost
-0.60u
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Athletics
away
Odds
3.85
Prob
37.5%
EV/u
0.810
Stake
0.52u
Won
+1.48u
First 5 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Washington Nationals
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
39.5%
EV/u
0.266
Stake
0.51u
Won
+0.92u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
3.25
Prob
49.0%
EV/u
0.102
Stake
0.24u
Lost
-0.24u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.