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Case Archive

Historical Audit

Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.

Last synced: May 15, 2026 2:07 PM EDT

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First 5 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
away
Odds
1.74
Prob
22.4%
EV/u
0.113
Stake
0.32u
Won +0.24u
First 5 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
42.2%
EV/u
0.446
Stake
0.43u
Lost -0.43u
First 5 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
New York Mets New York Mets
home
Odds
2.25
Prob
59.4%
EV/u
0.251
Stake
0.37u
Won +0.46u
First 5 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
2.10
Prob
36.0%
EV/u
0.068
Stake
0.07u
Won +0.08u
First 5 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Houston Astros Houston Astros
away
Odds
2.20
Prob
34.8%
EV/u
0.202
Stake
0.28u
Won +0.34u
First 5 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
home
Odds
2.55
Prob
49.3%
EV/u
0.232
Stake
0.29u
Won +0.45u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
Athletics Athletics
away
Odds
3.40
Prob
48.8%
EV/u
0.434
Stake
0.36u
Won +0.86u
First 5 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
home
Odds
2.20
Prob
50.1%
EV/u
0.051
Stake
0.09u
Lost -0.09u
First 5 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
New York Mets New York Mets
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
44.2%
EV/u
0.035
Stake
0.05u
Lost -0.05u
First 5 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
home
Odds
2.80
Prob
42.4%
EV/u
0.166
Stake
0.27u
Won +0.49u
First 5 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Houston Astros Houston Astros
home
Odds
3.00
Prob
54.3%
EV/u
0.586
Stake
0.78u
Won +1.56u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
45.6%
EV/u
0.145
Stake
0.26u
Lost -0.26u
First 5 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
home
Odds
2.15
Prob
56.5%
EV/u
0.148
Stake
0.35u
Won +0.40u
First 5 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
home
Odds
1.95
Prob
66.8%
EV/u
0.223
Stake
0.80u
Won +0.76u
First 5 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
New York Yankees New York Yankees
home
Odds
1.87
Prob
59.0%
EV/u
0.052
Stake
0.36u
Lost -0.36u
First 5 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
2.10
Prob
53.1%
EV/u
0.063
Stake
0.15u
Won +0.17u
First 5 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
51.3%
EV/u
0.306
Stake
0.55u
Won +0.88u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
2.40
Prob
45.3%
EV/u
0.040
Stake
0.07u
Won +0.10u
First 5 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
New York Yankees New York Yankees
away
Odds
1.65
Prob
21.9%
EV/u
0.112
Stake
0.40u
Won +0.26u
First 5 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
home
Odds
2.30
Prob
48.7%
EV/u
0.068
Stake
0.15u
Won +0.20u
First 5 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
home
Odds
2.25
Prob
57.1%
EV/u
0.207
Stake
0.48u
Won +0.60u
First 5 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
New York Mets New York Mets
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
48.3%
EV/u
0.120
Stake
0.50u
Lost -0.50u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
2.95
Prob
48.2%
EV/u
0.388
Stake
1.08u
Won +2.11u
First 5 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
home
Odds
2.25
Prob
50.4%
EV/u
0.078
Stake
0.43u
Lost -0.43u
First 5 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
50.1%
EV/u
0.157
Stake
0.39u
Won +0.57u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
home
Odds
2.25
Prob
48.0%
EV/u
0.034
Stake
0.06u
Lost -0.06u
First 5 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
49.7%
EV/u
0.149
Stake
0.36u
Won +0.52u
First 5 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
home
Odds
2.20
Prob
50.4%
EV/u
0.057
Stake
0.12u
Won +0.14u
First 5 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
home
Odds
3.15
Prob
51.0%
EV/u
0.565
Stake
0.87u
Won +1.87u
First 5 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
home
Odds
2.65
Prob
49.7%
EV/u
0.289
Stake
0.80u
Lost -0.80u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
New York Yankees New York Yankees
home
Odds
2.35
Prob
49.8%
EV/u
0.110
Stake
0.35u
Lost -0.35u
First 5 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
home
Odds
2.65
Prob
46.5%
EV/u
0.208
Stake
0.58u
Lost -0.58u
First 5 innings mlb
Athletics Athletics
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
home
Odds
2.30
Prob
46.8%
EV/u
0.029
Stake
0.07u
Lost -0.07u
First 5 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
home
Odds
2.85
Prob
50.4%
EV/u
0.402
Stake
0.78u
Lost -0.78u
First 5 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
home
Odds
2.35
Prob
52.7%
EV/u
0.169
Stake
0.27u
Won +0.36u
First 5 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
home
Odds
2.85
Prob
49.8%
EV/u
0.387
Stake
0.75u
Won +1.39u
First 5 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
49.5%
EV/u
0.213
Stake
0.66u
Lost -0.66u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
New York Yankees New York Yankees
away
Odds
3.15
Prob
49.9%
EV/u
0.072
Stake
0.12u
Won +0.26u
First 5 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
home
Odds
2.70
Prob
50.1%
EV/u
0.323
Stake
1.02u
Lost -1.02u
First 5 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
3.30
Prob
49.9%
EV/u
0.116
Stake
0.29u
Won +0.67u
First 5 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
2.20
Prob
50.2%
EV/u
0.053
Stake
0.35u
Lost -0.35u
First 5 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
3.35
Prob
49.4%
EV/u
0.139
Stake
0.34u
Lost -0.34u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
45.4%
EV/u
0.033
Stake
0.15u
Won +0.24u
First 5 innings mlb
Athletics Athletics
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
home
Odds
2.30
Prob
49.2%
EV/u
0.077
Stake
0.40u
Won +0.52u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
away
Odds
3.85
Prob
50.1%
EV/u
0.298
Stake
0.38u
Lost -0.38u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
home
Odds
2.30
Prob
53.4%
EV/u
0.159
Stake
0.70u
Won +0.91u
First 5 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
home
Odds
2.15
Prob
49.8%
EV/u
0.026
Stake
0.25u
Lost -0.25u
First 5 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
home
Odds
2.80
Prob
49.5%
EV/u
0.355
Stake
1.07u
Won +1.93u
First 5 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
New York Mets New York Mets
home
Odds
2.15
Prob
50.4%
EV/u
0.035
Stake
0.29u
Lost -0.29u
First 5 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
3.35
Prob
50.0%
EV/u
0.115
Stake
0.28u
Lost -0.28u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
home
Odds
2.20
Prob
50.5%
EV/u
0.059
Stake
0.37u
Won +0.44u
First 5 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
50.1%
EV/u
0.038
Stake
0.12u
Lost -0.12u
First 5 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
home
Odds
2.20
Prob
49.4%
EV/u
0.038
Stake
0.29u
Won +0.35u
First 5 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
50.1%
EV/u
0.037
Stake
0.12u
Won +0.25u
First 5 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
home
Odds
2.30
Prob
50.7%
EV/u
0.106
Stake
0.51u
Won +0.66u
First 5 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
home
Odds
2.20
Prob
49.1%
EV/u
0.033
Stake
0.27u
Won +0.32u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
2.40
Prob
50.0%
EV/u
0.135
Stake
0.57u
Lost -0.57u
First 5 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
2.95
Prob
48.8%
EV/u
0.029
Stake
0.11u
Lost -0.11u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
home
Odds
2.15
Prob
52.0%
EV/u
0.065
Stake
0.41u
Lost -0.41u
First 5 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
2.85
Prob
50.4%
EV/u
0.402
Stake
1.18u
Lost -1.18u
First 5 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
New York Mets New York Mets
home
Odds
3.40
Prob
51.8%
EV/u
0.712
Stake
1.17u
Won +2.81u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
50.4%
EV/u
0.164
Stake
0.45u
Won +0.65u
First 5 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
home
Odds
2.30
Prob
49.4%
EV/u
0.081
Stake
0.18u
Won +0.23u
First 5 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Houston Astros Houston Astros
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
44.7%
EV/u
0.117
Stake
0.39u
Lost -0.39u
First 5 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
Athletics Athletics
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
41.4%
EV/u
0.061
Stake
0.24u
Lost -0.24u
First 5 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
3.10
Prob
46.8%
EV/u
0.416
Stake
1.07u
Lost -1.07u
First 5 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Houston Astros Houston Astros
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
47.6%
EV/u
0.025
Stake
0.11u
Lost -0.11u
First 5 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
home
Odds
3.40
Prob
42.5%
EV/u
0.412
Stake
0.93u
Won +2.23u
First 5 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
2.80
Prob
45.7%
EV/u
0.256
Stake
0.78u
Won +1.40u
First 5 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
New York Yankees New York Yankees
home
Odds
2.30
Prob
49.3%
EV/u
0.078
Stake
0.41u
Lost -0.41u
First 5 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
42.4%
EV/u
0.029
Stake
0.14u
Lost -0.14u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
home
Odds
2.20
Prob
48.8%
EV/u
0.027
Stake
0.24u
Won +0.29u
First 5 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
45.0%
EV/u
0.029
Stake
0.13u
Lost -0.13u
First 5 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
2.85
Prob
50.1%
EV/u
0.033
Stake
0.13u
Won +0.24u
First 5 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
home
Odds
2.70
Prob
40.1%
EV/u
0.067
Stake
0.24u
Won +0.41u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
44.1%
EV/u
0.138
Stake
0.45u
Lost -0.45u
First 5 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
38.1%
EV/u
0.189
Stake
0.39u
Lost -0.39u
First 5 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
home
Odds
2.65
Prob
50.3%
EV/u
0.304
Stake
0.77u
Won +1.27u
First 5 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
home
Odds
2.70
Prob
48.2%
EV/u
0.276
Stake
0.64u
Lost -0.64u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
3.05
Prob
46.6%
EV/u
0.049
Stake
0.12u
Won +0.25u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
2.45
Prob
33.9%
EV/u
0.171
Stake
0.56u
Lost -0.56u
First 5 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
2.30
Prob
39.3%
EV/u
0.036
Stake
0.11u
Lost -0.11u
First 5 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
46.0%
EV/u
0.050
Stake
0.13u
Lost -0.13u
First 5 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
2.85
Prob
41.1%
EV/u
0.192
Stake
0.49u
Lost -0.49u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
home
Odds
2.25
Prob
51.6%
EV/u
0.102
Stake
0.39u
Lost -0.39u
First 5 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
49.2%
EV/u
0.035
Stake
0.13u
Lost -0.13u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
45.7%
EV/u
0.073
Stake
0.29u
Lost -0.29u
First 5 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
2.65
Prob
47.8%
EV/u
0.047
Stake
0.19u
Won +0.31u
First 5 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
2.40
Prob
51.7%
EV/u
0.169
Stake
0.68u
Won +0.95u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
45.2%
EV/u
0.055
Stake
0.29u
Lost -0.29u
First 5 innings mlb
Athletics Athletics
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
2.30
Prob
39.3%
EV/u
0.081
Stake
0.42u
Won +0.55u
First 5 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
away
Odds
2.85
Prob
45.8%
EV/u
0.074
Stake
0.24u
Lost -0.24u
First 5 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
2.40
Prob
41.6%
EV/u
0.028
Stake
0.21u
Lost -0.21u
First 5 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
3.30
Prob
45.2%
EV/u
0.403
Stake
0.95u
Won +2.19u
First 5 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Athletics Athletics
away
Odds
2.45
Prob
38.0%
EV/u
0.080
Stake
0.37u
Won +0.54u
First 5 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
1.83
Prob
59.7%
EV/u
0.045
Stake
0.34u
Won +0.28u
First 5 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
away
Odds
3.25
Prob
49.5%
EV/u
0.147
Stake
0.37u
Lost -0.37u
First 5 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
42.2%
EV/u
0.154
Stake
0.48u
Lost -0.48u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
home
Odds
2.05
Prob
60.4%
EV/u
0.167
Stake
0.91u
Won +0.96u
First 5 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
3.40
Prob
49.2%
EV/u
0.208
Stake
0.48u
Lost -0.48u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.