Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: May 15, 2026 2:07 PM EDT
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Colorado Rockies
home
Odds
2.80
Prob
44.4%
EV/u
0.220
Stake
0.68u
Won
+1.22u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
3.35
Prob
48.8%
EV/u
0.116
Stake
0.28u
Won
+0.66u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
3.65
Prob
39.4%
EV/u
0.441
Stake
0.60u
Lost
-0.60u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Chicago White Sox
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
47.2%
EV/u
0.160
Stake
0.60u
Lost
-0.60u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cleveland Guardians
Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
43.9%
EV/u
0.082
Stake
0.28u
Lost
-0.28u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
3.30
Prob
46.0%
EV/u
0.174
Stake
0.42u
Lost
-0.42u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
3.70
Prob
42.9%
EV/u
0.323
Stake
0.43u
Won
+1.16u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Miami Marlins
home
Odds
2.40
Prob
44.5%
EV/u
0.022
Stake
0.07u
Lost
-0.07u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Chicago Cubs
home
Odds
3.30
Prob
42.3%
EV/u
0.365
Stake
0.72u
Won
+1.66u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
2.65
Prob
49.8%
EV/u
0.293
Stake
0.64u
Won
+1.06u
First 5 innings
mlb
Athletics
Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
3.50
Prob
43.3%
EV/u
0.351
Stake
0.44u
Lost
-0.44u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
3.65
Prob
37.5%
EV/u
0.369
Stake
0.50u
Won
+1.33u
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
44.7%
EV/u
0.052
Stake
0.19u
Lost
-0.19u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Chicago Cubs
home
Odds
2.70
Prob
44.8%
EV/u
0.188
Stake
0.57u
Won
+0.97u
First 5 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Kansas City Royals
home
Odds
3.15
Prob
43.5%
EV/u
0.339
Stake
0.86u
Lost
-0.86u
First 5 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
New York Yankees
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
44.4%
EV/u
0.136
Stake
0.37u
Won
+0.59u
First 5 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
San Diego Padres
home
Odds
3.05
Prob
36.2%
EV/u
0.087
Stake
0.25u
Won
+0.51u
First 5 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
New York Mets
home
Odds
2.20
Prob
49.0%
EV/u
0.030
Stake
0.26u
Lost
-0.26u
First 5 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
49.5%
EV/u
0.213
Stake
0.49u
Won
+0.74u
First 5 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
New York Mets
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
38.0%
EV/u
0.175
Stake
0.32u
Lost
-0.32u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Baltimore Orioles
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
44.9%
EV/u
0.105
Stake
0.18u
Won
+0.27u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Seattle Mariners
home
Odds
3.25
Prob
44.0%
EV/u
0.397
Stake
0.63u
Won
+1.42u
First 5 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
2.95
Prob
43.9%
EV/u
0.118
Stake
0.18u
Won
+0.35u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Cincinnati Reds
home
Odds
2.40
Prob
44.7%
EV/u
0.027
Stake
0.21u
Lost
-0.21u
First 5 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Detroit Tigers
home
Odds
2.65
Prob
43.4%
EV/u
0.131
Stake
0.45u
Won
+0.74u
First 5 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
3.15
Prob
45.1%
EV/u
0.112
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
First 5 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
3.00
Prob
42.8%
EV/u
0.153
Stake
0.43u
Lost
-0.43u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Minnesota Twins
home
Odds
2.35
Prob
46.1%
EV/u
0.034
Stake
0.25u
Won
+0.34u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Los Angeles Angels
away
Odds
3.40
Prob
46.5%
EV/u
0.148
Stake
0.35u
Won
+0.84u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Cleveland Guardians
away
Odds
3.00
Prob
45.2%
EV/u
0.073
Stake
0.22u
Lost
-0.22u
First 5 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
3.95
Prob
47.6%
EV/u
0.316
Stake
0.39u
Lost
-0.39u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
3.40
Prob
42.7%
EV/u
0.257
Stake
0.59u
Lost
-0.59u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Houston Astros
away
Odds
3.65
Prob
46.6%
EV/u
0.287
Stake
0.39u
Lost
-0.39u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
4.00
Prob
50.4%
EV/u
0.219
Stake
0.18u
Won
+0.54u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
3.55
Prob
42.6%
EV/u
0.425
Stake
0.60u
Won
+1.53u
First 5 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
2.95
Prob
43.3%
EV/u
0.113
Stake
0.34u
Lost
-0.34u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Athletics
away
Odds
2.95
Prob
42.4%
EV/u
0.130
Stake
0.38u
Lost
-0.38u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
3.05
Prob
42.9%
EV/u
0.166
Stake
0.46u
Lost
-0.46u
First 5 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Boston Red Sox
away
Odds
3.00
Prob
46.8%
EV/u
0.050
Stake
0.16u
Lost
-0.16u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cleveland Guardians
Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
3.30
Prob
44.9%
EV/u
0.219
Stake
0.53u
Lost
-0.53u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
3.25
Prob
46.5%
EV/u
0.129
Stake
0.33u
Lost
-0.33u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
3.15
Prob
41.9%
EV/u
0.194
Stake
0.50u
Won
+1.08u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cleveland Guardians
Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
3.05
Prob
42.0%
EV/u
0.143
Stake
0.40u
Lost
-0.40u
First 5 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
42.2%
EV/u
0.053
Stake
0.17u
Won
+0.31u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Miami Marlins
away
Odds
2.85
Prob
42.0%
EV/u
0.068
Stake
0.23u
Lost
-0.23u
First 5 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
New York Yankees
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
42.4%
EV/u
0.044
Stake
0.14u
Lost
-0.14u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Athletics
away
Odds
3.00
Prob
42.5%
EV/u
0.125
Stake
0.36u
Won
+0.72u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cleveland Guardians
Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
3.05
Prob
42.2%
EV/u
0.155
Stake
0.43u
Lost
-0.43u
First 5 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
42.2%
EV/u
0.158
Stake
0.43u
Lost
-0.43u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Baltimore Orioles
home
Odds
2.90
Prob
42.5%
EV/u
0.208
Stake
0.61u
Lost
-0.61u
First 5 innings
mlb
Athletics
New York Yankees
home
Odds
3.50
Prob
40.5%
EV/u
0.417
Stake
0.60u
Lost
-0.60u
First 5 innings
mlb
Athletics
New York Yankees
home
Odds
3.05
Prob
40.5%
EV/u
0.212
Stake
0.57u
Won
+1.17u
First 5 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
St. Louis Cardinals
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
41.6%
EV/u
0.066
Stake
0.25u
Lost
-0.25u
First 5 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
3.35
Prob
42.8%
EV/u
0.227
Stake
0.53u
Lost
-0.53u
First 5 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Texas Rangers
home
Odds
2.75
Prob
41.2%
EV/u
0.114
Stake
0.38u
Won
+0.67u
First 5 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
42.7%
EV/u
0.060
Stake
0.21u
Won
+0.38u
First 5 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
42.6%
EV/u
0.162
Stake
0.44u
Won
+0.92u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
2.85
Prob
43.4%
EV/u
0.071
Stake
0.23u
Lost
-0.23u
First 5 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Pittsburgh Pirates
home
Odds
2.85
Prob
40.3%
EV/u
0.131
Stake
0.41u
Won
+0.76u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Philadelphia Phillies
home
Odds
3.05
Prob
41.4%
EV/u
0.237
Stake
0.64u
Lost
-0.64u
First 5 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Texas Rangers
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
42.2%
EV/u
0.065
Stake
0.22u
Won
+0.40u
First 5 innings
mlb
Athletics
Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
43.4%
EV/u
0.144
Stake
0.39u
Lost
-0.39u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
San Diego Padres
home
Odds
2.85
Prob
40.2%
EV/u
0.128
Stake
0.40u
Won
+0.74u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
Athletics
home
Odds
2.55
Prob
42.7%
EV/u
0.072
Stake
0.29u
Lost
-0.29u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
4.15
Prob
42.3%
EV/u
0.593
Stake
0.45u
Lost
-0.45u
First 5 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Cleveland Guardians
home
Odds
2.95
Prob
41.7%
EV/u
0.208
Stake
0.59u
Won
+1.15u
First 5 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
2.65
Prob
41.3%
EV/u
0.079
Stake
0.29u
Lost
-0.29u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
Athletics
away
Odds
3.25
Prob
41.5%
EV/u
0.254
Stake
0.62u
Lost
-0.62u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
2.85
Prob
42.1%
EV/u
0.092
Stake
0.29u
Lost
-0.29u
First 5 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Arizona Diamondbacks
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
41.9%
EV/u
0.073
Stake
0.16u
Lost
-0.16u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
3.35
Prob
42.5%
EV/u
0.269
Stake
0.63u
Lost
-0.63u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Washington Nationals
away
Odds
3.05
Prob
42.0%
EV/u
0.160
Stake
0.39u
Lost
-0.39u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Seattle Mariners
home
Odds
3.00
Prob
41.5%
EV/u
0.222
Stake
0.62u
Lost
-0.62u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
3.15
Prob
41.8%
EV/u
0.177
Stake
0.46u
Lost
-0.46u
First 5 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
3.20
Prob
41.7%
EV/u
0.306
Stake
0.76u
Lost
-0.76u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Chicago Cubs
away
Odds
3.05
Prob
42.5%
EV/u
0.159
Stake
0.44u
Won
+0.90u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
3.50
Prob
42.3%
EV/u
0.354
Stake
0.51u
Won
+1.28u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
home
Odds
2.25
Prob
48.2%
EV/u
0.037
Stake
0.09u
Lost
-0.09u
First 5 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Washington Nationals
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
47.5%
EV/u
0.105
Stake
0.28u
Won
+0.41u
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Detroit Tigers
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
44.9%
EV/u
0.147
Stake
0.42u
Lost
-0.42u
First 5 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Los Angeles Angels
home
Odds
3.10
Prob
49.3%
EV/u
0.490
Stake
1.01u
Won
+2.12u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cleveland Guardians
Minnesota Twins
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
49.9%
EV/u
0.224
Stake
0.76u
Lost
-0.76u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
3.35
Prob
49.4%
EV/u
0.111
Stake
0.21u
Lost
-0.21u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Miami Marlins
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
53.7%
EV/u
0.233
Stake
0.83u
Won
+1.20u
First 5 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Baltimore Orioles
home
Odds
2.30
Prob
48.9%
EV/u
0.071
Stake
0.38u
Won
+0.49u
First 5 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
2.30
Prob
50.5%
EV/u
0.102
Stake
0.50u
Won
+0.65u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cleveland Guardians
Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
2.30
Prob
54.6%
EV/u
0.182
Stake
0.64u
Lost
-0.64u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
49.5%
EV/u
0.086
Stake
0.17u
Won
+0.36u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Pittsburgh Pirates
home
Odds
2.75
Prob
42.7%
EV/u
0.155
Stake
0.42u
Lost
-0.42u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Tampa Bay Rays
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
45.8%
EV/u
0.170
Stake
0.51u
Lost
-0.51u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Texas Rangers
away
Odds
2.95
Prob
48.3%
EV/u
0.031
Stake
0.05u
Lost
-0.05u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Toronto Blue Jays
home
Odds
2.55
Prob
46.2%
EV/u
0.157
Stake
0.57u
Lost
-0.57u
First 5 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Cincinnati Reds
home
Odds
2.05
Prob
53.1%
EV/u
0.040
Stake
0.34u
Lost
-0.34u
First 5 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
3.50
Prob
49.7%
EV/u
0.220
Stake
0.32u
Won
+0.80u
First 5 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Miami Marlins
away
Odds
3.00
Prob
49.0%
EV/u
0.054
Stake
0.17u
Won
+0.34u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Pittsburgh Pirates
home
Odds
2.20
Prob
53.6%
EV/u
0.116
Stake
0.59u
Lost
-0.59u
First 5 innings
mlb
Athletics
Texas Rangers
away
Odds
3.40
Prob
51.3%
EV/u
0.083
Stake
0.21u
Won
+0.50u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Philadelphia Phillies
home
Odds
2.40
Prob
50.8%
EV/u
0.152
Stake
0.63u
Lost
-0.63u
First 5 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
San Diego Padres
home
Odds
2.20
Prob
49.2%
EV/u
0.035
Stake
0.28u
Won
+0.34u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cleveland Guardians
New York Yankees
away
Odds
3.05
Prob
50.5%
EV/u
0.024
Stake
0.09u
Won
+0.18u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.