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Case Archive

Historical Audit

Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.

Last synced: May 15, 2026 2:07 PM EDT

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First 5 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
home
Odds
2.10
Prob
53.5%
EV/u
0.070
Stake
0.45u
Won +0.50u
First 5 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
46.6%
EV/u
0.122
Stake
0.34u
Won +0.71u
First 5 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
New York Yankees New York Yankees
away
Odds
3.40
Prob
49.2%
EV/u
0.158
Stake
0.37u
Lost -0.37u
First 5 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
3.55
Prob
48.4%
EV/u
0.274
Stake
0.39u
Lost -0.39u
First 5 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
home
Odds
2.20
Prob
50.6%
EV/u
0.061
Stake
0.38u
Won +0.46u
First 5 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
New York Yankees New York Yankees
away
Odds
3.30
Prob
44.5%
EV/u
0.120
Stake
0.30u
Won +0.69u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
48.6%
EV/u
0.127
Stake
0.53u
Lost -0.53u
First 5 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
3.70
Prob
53.9%
EV/u
0.044
Stake
0.06u
Lost -0.06u
First 5 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
home
Odds
2.20
Prob
49.3%
EV/u
0.036
Stake
0.28u
Lost -0.28u
First 5 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
2.25
Prob
48.2%
EV/u
0.036
Stake
0.27u
Lost -0.27u
First 5 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
home
Odds
2.25
Prob
48.3%
EV/u
0.039
Stake
0.28u
Won +0.35u
First 5 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
home
Odds
2.25
Prob
49.9%
EV/u
0.069
Stake
0.39u
Lost -0.39u
First 5 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
away
Odds
3.60
Prob
45.4%
EV/u
0.367
Stake
0.51u
Won +1.33u
First 5 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
home
Odds
2.35
Prob
48.2%
EV/u
0.078
Stake
0.39u
Lost -0.39u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Athletics Athletics
home
Odds
2.05
Prob
53.0%
EV/u
0.038
Stake
0.33u
Won +0.35u
First 5 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
home
Odds
2.35
Prob
52.0%
EV/u
0.153
Stake
0.54u
Lost -0.54u
First 5 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
home
Odds
2.20
Prob
52.8%
EV/u
0.102
Stake
0.39u
Lost -0.39u
First 5 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
home
Odds
2.20
Prob
51.1%
EV/u
0.069
Stake
0.24u
Lost -0.24u
First 5 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
home
Odds
2.40
Prob
52.8%
EV/u
0.192
Stake
0.63u
Lost -0.63u
First 5 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
home
Odds
2.35
Prob
54.3%
EV/u
0.197
Stake
0.82u
Lost -0.82u
First 5 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
Houston Astros Houston Astros
away
Odds
3.85
Prob
52.8%
EV/u
0.154
Stake
0.19u
Lost -0.19u
First 5 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
home
Odds
2.25
Prob
52.6%
EV/u
0.120
Stake
0.18u
Lost -0.18u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
home
Odds
2.40
Prob
51.9%
EV/u
0.173
Stake
0.28u
Won +0.39u
First 5 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
home
Odds
3.05
Prob
51.4%
EV/u
0.528
Stake
0.59u
Won +1.21u
First 5 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
home
Odds
2.25
Prob
52.8%
EV/u
0.124
Stake
0.19u
Lost -0.19u
First 5 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
home
Odds
2.30
Prob
52.0%
EV/u
0.132
Stake
0.20u
Won +0.26u
First 5 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
home
Odds
2.40
Prob
53.8%
EV/u
0.213
Stake
0.35u
Lost -0.35u
First 5 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
home
Odds
2.15
Prob
53.5%
EV/u
0.094
Stake
0.25u
Won +0.29u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
home
Odds
2.55
Prob
54.6%
EV/u
0.361
Stake
1.00u
Won +1.55u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
2.35
Prob
53.2%
EV/u
0.178
Stake
0.55u
Lost -0.55u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
home
Odds
2.35
Prob
50.1%
EV/u
0.115
Stake
0.52u
Lost -0.52u
First 5 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
home
Odds
2.00
Prob
53.9%
EV/u
0.031
Stake
0.31u
Won +0.31u
First 5 innings mlb
Athletics Athletics
New York Mets New York Mets
home
Odds
2.05
Prob
52.7%
EV/u
0.032
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
First 5 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
2.55
Prob
50.8%
EV/u
0.269
Stake
0.71u
Won +1.10u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
home
Odds
2.25
Prob
52.0%
EV/u
0.110
Stake
0.33u
Lost -0.33u
First 5 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
home
Odds
2.20
Prob
53.5%
EV/u
0.115
Stake
0.36u
Lost -0.36u
First 5 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Houston Astros Houston Astros
home
Odds
2.30
Prob
51.9%
EV/u
0.130
Stake
0.40u
Lost -0.40u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
home
Odds
2.55
Prob
51.2%
EV/u
0.278
Stake
0.98u
Won +1.52u
First 5 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
home
Odds
2.40
Prob
51.4%
EV/u
0.163
Stake
0.58u
Lost -0.58u
First 5 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
away
Odds
3.35
Prob
51.9%
EV/u
0.108
Stake
0.24u
Won +0.56u
First 5 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
2.30
Prob
51.2%
EV/u
0.117
Stake
0.39u
Won +0.51u
First 5 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
home
Odds
2.25
Prob
51.3%
EV/u
0.095
Stake
0.30u
Won +0.38u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
away
Odds
3.30
Prob
52.3%
EV/u
0.118
Stake
0.26u
Lost -0.26u
First 5 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
51.8%
EV/u
0.269
Stake
0.85u
Lost -0.85u
First 5 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
2.40
Prob
48.7%
EV/u
0.109
Stake
0.48u
Won +0.67u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
home
Odds
2.05
Prob
53.3%
EV/u
0.044
Stake
0.31u
Won +0.33u
First 5 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
52.1%
EV/u
0.277
Stake
1.01u
Won +1.52u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
home
Odds
2.15
Prob
51.4%
EV/u
0.054
Stake
0.36u
Lost -0.36u
First 5 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
3.15
Prob
50.9%
EV/u
0.118
Stake
0.32u
Won +0.69u
First 5 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
Athletics Athletics
home
Odds
2.30
Prob
49.6%
EV/u
0.085
Stake
0.43u
Won +0.56u
First 5 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
home
Odds
2.40
Prob
49.0%
EV/u
0.116
Stake
0.51u
Won +0.71u
First 5 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
2.95
Prob
49.7%
EV/u
0.039
Stake
0.13u
Lost -0.13u
First 5 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
home
Odds
2.35
Prob
50.2%
EV/u
0.117
Stake
0.53u
Won +0.72u
First 5 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
home
Odds
2.15
Prob
52.5%
EV/u
0.074
Stake
0.37u
Won +0.43u
First 5 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
Athletics Athletics
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
49.2%
EV/u
0.207
Stake
0.77u
Lost -0.77u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
home
Odds
2.10
Prob
52.3%
EV/u
0.048
Stake
0.12u
Lost -0.12u
First 5 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
3.60
Prob
51.4%
EV/u
0.196
Stake
0.16u
Lost -0.16u
First 5 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
52.1%
EV/u
0.326
Stake
0.66u
Won +1.06u
First 5 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
home
Odds
2.80
Prob
51.8%
EV/u
0.416
Stake
0.75u
Lost -0.75u
First 5 innings mlb
Athletics Athletics
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
home
Odds
2.00
Prob
54.5%
EV/u
0.041
Stake
0.11u
Lost -0.11u
First 5 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
home
Odds
2.40
Prob
52.4%
EV/u
0.184
Stake
0.74u
Lost -0.74u
First 5 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
home
Odds
2.30
Prob
47.2%
EV/u
0.037
Stake
0.26u
Won +0.34u
First 5 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
home
Odds
2.35
Prob
49.1%
EV/u
0.095
Stake
0.45u
Lost -0.45u
First 5 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
47.2%
EV/u
0.040
Stake
0.07u
Lost -0.07u
First 5 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
New York Mets New York Mets
away
Odds
3.40
Prob
47.0%
EV/u
0.369
Stake
0.53u
Won +1.27u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
47.8%
EV/u
0.063
Stake
0.10u
Lost -0.10u
First 5 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
50.2%
EV/u
0.278
Stake
0.61u
Lost -0.61u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
2.25
Prob
48.3%
EV/u
0.038
Stake
0.07u
Won +0.09u
First 5 innings mlb
Athletics Athletics
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
46.6%
EV/u
0.188
Stake
0.42u
Lost -0.42u
First 5 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
46.1%
EV/u
0.025
Stake
0.13u
Won +0.20u
First 5 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
home
Odds
2.30
Prob
47.2%
EV/u
0.038
Stake
0.26u
Lost -0.26u
First 5 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
away
Odds
2.65
Prob
47.2%
EV/u
0.088
Stake
0.32u
Lost -0.32u
First 5 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
home
Odds
2.30
Prob
47.5%
EV/u
0.044
Stake
0.28u
Lost -0.28u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
2.65
Prob
46.9%
EV/u
0.085
Stake
0.31u
Lost -0.31u
First 5 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Athletics Athletics
home
Odds
2.35
Prob
46.8%
EV/u
0.050
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
First 5 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
49.6%
EV/u
0.056
Stake
0.20u
Won +0.35u
First 5 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Athletics Athletics
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
46.5%
EV/u
0.027
Stake
0.13u
Won +0.21u
First 5 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
home
Odds
2.30
Prob
51.0%
EV/u
0.112
Stake
0.53u
Won +0.69u
First 5 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Athletics Athletics
home
Odds
2.40
Prob
44.7%
EV/u
0.027
Stake
0.21u
Lost -0.21u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
2.25
Prob
47.4%
EV/u
0.021
Stake
0.21u
Lost -0.21u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
2.15
Prob
51.0%
EV/u
0.047
Stake
0.34u
Lost -0.34u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
45.1%
EV/u
0.078
Stake
0.28u
Lost -0.28u
First 5 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
New York Mets New York Mets
away
Odds
2.20
Prob
30.2%
EV/u
0.066
Stake
0.40u
Won +0.48u
First 5 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
2.65
Prob
43.8%
EV/u
0.066
Stake
0.25u
Lost -0.25u
First 5 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
2.20
Prob
33.6%
EV/u
0.027
Stake
0.24u
Won +0.29u
First 5 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
2.25
Prob
32.0%
EV/u
0.039
Stake
0.28u
Lost -0.28u
First 5 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
New York Mets New York Mets
away
Odds
3.40
Prob
39.9%
EV/u
0.440
Stake
0.99u
Lost -0.99u
First 5 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
34.1%
EV/u
0.275
Stake
0.57u
Won +1.00u
First 5 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
2.50
Prob
31.0%
EV/u
0.214
Stake
0.44u
Won +0.66u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
36.1%
EV/u
0.206
Stake
0.38u
Lost -0.38u
First 5 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
3.00
Prob
43.1%
EV/u
0.219
Stake
0.38u
Lost -0.38u
First 5 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
home
Odds
2.70
Prob
40.2%
EV/u
0.069
Stake
0.08u
Lost -0.08u
First 5 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
36.7%
EV/u
0.216
Stake
0.35u
Lost -0.35u
First 5 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
New York Mets New York Mets
away
Odds
2.95
Prob
38.0%
EV/u
0.294
Stake
0.49u
Lost -0.49u
First 5 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
2.35
Prob
26.9%
EV/u
0.217
Stake
0.43u
Lost -0.43u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
2.85
Prob
35.6%
EV/u
0.260
Stake
0.45u
Won +0.83u
First 5 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
41.9%
EV/u
0.061
Stake
0.17u
Won +0.26u
First 5 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
home
Odds
2.55
Prob
43.7%
EV/u
0.097
Stake
0.31u
Won +0.48u
First 5 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
2.10
Prob
23.6%
EV/u
0.065
Stake
0.23u
Won +0.25u
First 5 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
away
Odds
2.10
Prob
18.5%
EV/u
0.186
Stake
0.79u
Won +0.87u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.