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Case Archive

Historical Audit

Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.

Last synced: May 15, 2026 2:07 PM EDT

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First 5 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
home
Odds
2.15
Prob
52.9%
EV/u
0.081
Stake
0.48u
Won +0.55u
First 5 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
3.20
Prob
47.9%
EV/u
0.140
Stake
0.36u
Won +0.79u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
45.5%
EV/u
0.051
Stake
0.19u
Lost -0.19u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
45.4%
EV/u
0.025
Stake
0.05u
Won +0.08u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
away
Odds
3.05
Prob
41.1%
EV/u
0.258
Stake
0.57u
Lost -0.57u
First 5 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
2.50
Prob
38.9%
EV/u
0.078
Stake
0.20u
Lost -0.20u
First 5 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
home
Odds
2.15
Prob
55.7%
EV/u
0.134
Stake
0.47u
Won +0.54u
First 5 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
away
Odds
2.95
Prob
38.6%
EV/u
0.217
Stake
0.51u
Lost -0.51u
First 5 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
New York Yankees New York Yankees
home
Odds
2.35
Prob
48.1%
EV/u
0.075
Stake
0.38u
Won +0.51u
First 5 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
3.00
Prob
50.9%
EV/u
0.489
Stake
1.32u
Lost -1.32u
First 5 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
2.95
Prob
48.4%
EV/u
0.057
Stake
0.11u
Won +0.21u
First 5 innings mlb
Athletics Athletics
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
home
Odds
2.55
Prob
45.2%
EV/u
0.134
Stake
0.37u
Lost -0.37u
First 5 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
36.7%
EV/u
0.118
Stake
0.43u
Won +0.69u
First 5 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
New York Yankees New York Yankees
home
Odds
2.35
Prob
54.6%
EV/u
0.206
Stake
0.84u
Lost -0.84u
First 5 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
2.10
Prob
34.3%
EV/u
0.032
Stake
0.29u
Won +0.32u
First 5 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
home
Odds
2.25
Prob
47.6%
EV/u
0.025
Stake
0.23u
Won +0.29u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
48.5%
EV/u
0.125
Stake
0.52u
Lost -0.52u
First 5 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
41.6%
EV/u
0.126
Stake
0.36u
Lost -0.36u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
37.7%
EV/u
0.082
Stake
0.23u
Lost -0.23u
First 5 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
45.3%
EV/u
0.115
Stake
0.34u
Won +0.51u
First 5 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
home
Odds
2.10
Prob
51.2%
EV/u
0.029
Stake
0.09u
Won +0.10u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
2.30
Prob
36.0%
EV/u
0.063
Stake
0.19u
Won +0.25u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
home
Odds
2.30
Prob
54.4%
EV/u
0.178
Stake
0.59u
Won +0.77u
First 5 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
home
Odds
2.25
Prob
52.6%
EV/u
0.122
Stake
0.29u
Won +0.36u
First 5 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
44.2%
EV/u
0.267
Stake
0.38u
Won +0.80u
First 5 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
home
Odds
2.00
Prob
53.9%
EV/u
0.031
Stake
0.06u
Won +0.06u
First 5 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
New York Mets New York Mets
away
Odds
2.00
Prob
29.0%
EV/u
0.118
Stake
0.32u
Lost -0.32u
First 5 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
3.30
Prob
44.1%
EV/u
0.234
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
First 5 innings mlb
Athletics Athletics
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
home
Odds
3.00
Prob
44.5%
EV/u
0.307
Stake
0.45u
Lost -0.45u
First 5 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
38.5%
EV/u
0.287
Stake
0.80u
Lost -0.80u
First 5 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
56.3%
EV/u
0.287
Stake
0.88u
Won +1.28u
First 5 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
New York Mets New York Mets
home
Odds
2.40
Prob
46.6%
EV/u
0.065
Stake
0.12u
Won +0.17u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
away
Odds
2.35
Prob
34.7%
EV/u
0.113
Stake
0.20u
Lost -0.20u
First 5 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
home
Odds
2.55
Prob
51.1%
EV/u
0.277
Stake
0.50u
Lost -0.50u
First 5 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
away
Odds
2.20
Prob
30.0%
EV/u
0.149
Stake
0.32u
Won +0.38u
First 5 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
New York Mets New York Mets
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
40.9%
EV/u
0.281
Stake
0.37u
Lost -0.37u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
2.45
Prob
40.1%
EV/u
0.050
Stake
0.07u
Lost -0.07u
First 5 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
41.2%
EV/u
0.257
Stake
0.34u
Lost -0.34u
First 5 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
home
Odds
2.10
Prob
52.1%
EV/u
0.045
Stake
0.34u
Lost -0.34u
First 5 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
43.6%
EV/u
0.058
Stake
0.20u
Lost -0.20u
First 5 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
home
Odds
2.55
Prob
44.8%
EV/u
0.125
Stake
0.46u
Lost -0.46u
First 5 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
41.4%
EV/u
0.101
Stake
0.37u
Lost -0.37u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
2.30
Prob
34.6%
EV/u
0.080
Stake
0.42u
Won +0.55u
First 5 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
New York Yankees New York Yankees
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
44.4%
EV/u
0.039
Stake
0.24u
Won +0.35u
First 5 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
2.85
Prob
49.9%
EV/u
0.040
Stake
0.15u
Lost -0.15u
First 5 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
away
Odds
2.95
Prob
49.9%
EV/u
0.077
Stake
0.24u
Won +0.47u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
home
Odds
2.15
Prob
49.9%
EV/u
0.027
Stake
0.25u
Won +0.29u
First 5 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Athletics Athletics
home
Odds
2.40
Prob
49.5%
EV/u
0.125
Stake
0.54u
Lost -0.54u
First 5 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
3.00
Prob
50.0%
EV/u
0.096
Stake
0.28u
Lost -0.28u
First 5 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
49.9%
EV/u
0.027
Stake
0.11u
Lost -0.11u
First 5 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
49.9%
EV/u
0.155
Stake
0.62u
Won +0.90u
First 5 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
away
Odds
3.00
Prob
49.9%
EV/u
0.094
Stake
0.28u
Lost -0.28u
First 5 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
50.0%
EV/u
0.225
Stake
0.68u
Lost -0.68u
First 5 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
home
Odds
3.00
Prob
49.9%
EV/u
0.460
Stake
1.07u
Lost -1.07u
First 5 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
home
Odds
2.15
Prob
49.9%
EV/u
0.026
Stake
0.05u
Lost -0.05u
First 5 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
New York Yankees New York Yankees
home
Odds
2.15
Prob
49.9%
EV/u
0.028
Stake
0.26u
Won +0.30u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
2.65
Prob
49.8%
EV/u
0.292
Stake
0.97u
Won +1.60u
First 5 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
home
Odds
2.15
Prob
49.8%
EV/u
0.025
Stake
0.25u
Won +0.29u
First 5 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
New York Yankees New York Yankees
home
Odds
2.25
Prob
49.9%
EV/u
0.070
Stake
0.40u
Won +0.50u
First 5 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
49.9%
EV/u
0.224
Stake
0.83u
Lost -0.83u
First 5 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
home
Odds
2.20
Prob
49.9%
EV/u
0.048
Stake
0.33u
Lost -0.33u
First 5 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
3.05
Prob
50.0%
EV/u
0.113
Stake
0.32u
Lost -0.32u
First 5 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
home
Odds
2.15
Prob
49.9%
EV/u
0.027
Stake
0.25u
Lost -0.25u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
3.05
Prob
49.9%
EV/u
0.109
Stake
0.31u
Won +0.64u
First 5 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
49.9%
EV/u
0.154
Stake
0.45u
Lost -0.45u
First 5 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
home
Odds
2.25
Prob
49.9%
EV/u
0.070
Stake
0.20u
Lost -0.20u
First 5 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
3.20
Prob
50.2%
EV/u
0.160
Stake
0.30u
Won +0.66u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
home
Odds
2.20
Prob
49.7%
EV/u
0.045
Stake
0.12u
Won +0.14u
First 5 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
home
Odds
2.40
Prob
49.9%
EV/u
0.134
Stake
0.42u
Lost -0.42u
First 5 innings mlb
Athletics Athletics
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
3.20
Prob
49.9%
EV/u
0.165
Stake
0.31u
Lost -0.31u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
49.9%
EV/u
0.130
Stake
0.29u
Lost -0.29u
First 5 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
New York Mets New York Mets
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
49.9%
EV/u
0.222
Stake
0.76u
Lost -0.76u
First 5 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
home
Odds
2.35
Prob
49.9%
EV/u
0.113
Stake
0.31u
Won +0.42u
First 5 innings mlb
Athletics Athletics
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
3.30
Prob
49.9%
EV/u
0.200
Stake
0.44u
Won +1.01u
First 5 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
home
Odds
2.65
Prob
49.9%
EV/u
0.295
Stake
0.98u
Won +1.62u
First 5 innings mlb
Athletics Athletics
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
2.20
Prob
49.8%
EV/u
0.045
Stake
0.32u
Lost -0.32u
First 5 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
home
Odds
2.25
Prob
50.0%
EV/u
0.069
Stake
0.40u
Won +0.50u
First 5 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
home
Odds
2.20
Prob
49.9%
EV/u
0.048
Stake
0.33u
Won +0.40u
First 5 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
home
Odds
2.20
Prob
50.0%
EV/u
0.049
Stake
0.33u
Won +0.40u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
3.60
Prob
50.0%
EV/u
0.331
Stake
0.46u
Lost -0.46u
First 5 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
2.95
Prob
43.8%
EV/u
0.102
Stake
0.31u
Lost -0.31u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
away
Odds
3.20
Prob
44.0%
EV/u
0.184
Stake
0.47u
Won +1.03u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
3.00
Prob
43.9%
EV/u
0.117
Stake
0.34u
Won +0.68u
First 5 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
home
Odds
2.85
Prob
43.7%
EV/u
0.222
Stake
0.66u
Lost -0.66u
First 5 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
home
Odds
2.80
Prob
43.8%
EV/u
0.202
Stake
0.63u
Lost -0.63u
First 5 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
43.8%
EV/u
0.120
Stake
0.39u
Lost -0.39u
First 5 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
43.7%
EV/u
0.049
Stake
0.12u
Lost -0.12u
First 5 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
43.8%
EV/u
0.031
Stake
0.13u
Won +0.23u
First 5 innings mlb
Athletics Athletics
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
home
Odds
2.55
Prob
43.8%
EV/u
0.100
Stake
0.38u
Lost -0.38u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
43.9%
EV/u
0.121
Stake
0.44u
Lost -0.44u
First 5 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
43.8%
EV/u
0.160
Stake
0.43u
Lost -0.43u
First 5 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
home
Odds
3.15
Prob
43.8%
EV/u
0.350
Stake
0.89u
Won +1.91u
First 5 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
away
Odds
3.70
Prob
43.8%
EV/u
0.405
Stake
0.54u
Won +1.46u
First 5 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
Athletics Athletics
away
Odds
4.00
Prob
43.7%
EV/u
0.523
Stake
0.42u
Lost -0.42u
First 5 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
Athletics Athletics
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
43.8%
EV/u
0.160
Stake
0.43u
Lost -0.43u
First 5 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
3.20
Prob
43.9%
EV/u
0.193
Stake
0.49u
Won +1.08u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
away
Odds
2.95
Prob
43.8%
EV/u
0.104
Stake
0.31u
Won +0.60u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
43.7%
EV/u
0.049
Stake
0.18u
Won +0.32u
First 5 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
43.8%
EV/u
0.027
Stake
0.20u
Won +0.29u
First 5 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
3.35
Prob
43.7%
EV/u
0.246
Stake
0.58u
Lost -0.58u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.