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Case Archive

Historical Audit

Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.

Last synced: May 15, 2026 2:07 PM EDT

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First 5 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
11.1%
EV/u
0.865
Stake
0.33u
Won +0.92u
First 5 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
12.3%
EV/u
0.872
Stake
0.33u
Lost -0.33u
First 5 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
17.9%
EV/u
0.802
Stake
0.30u
Won +0.84u
First 5 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
18.3%
EV/u
0.795
Stake
0.29u
Lost -0.29u
First 5 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
19.6%
EV/u
0.779
Stake
0.28u
Lost -0.28u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
22.2%
EV/u
0.776
Stake
0.26u
Won +0.73u
First 5 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
New York Yankees New York Yankees
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
14.1%
EV/u
0.932
Stake
0.80u
Lost -0.80u
First 5 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
26.8%
EV/u
0.671
Stake
0.80u
Lost -0.80u
First 5 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
19.3%
EV/u
0.793
Stake
0.80u
Lost -0.80u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
13.9%
EV/u
0.843
Stake
0.80u
Lost -0.80u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
17.5%
EV/u
0.804
Stake
0.80u
Lost -0.80u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
17.4%
EV/u
0.864
Stake
0.80u
Won +2.24u
First 5 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
21.4%
EV/u
0.742
Stake
0.80u
Won +2.24u
First 5 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
17.9%
EV/u
0.827
Stake
0.80u
Won +2.24u
First 5 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
27.9%
EV/u
0.595
Stake
0.76u
Lost -0.76u
First 5 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
18.3%
EV/u
0.763
Stake
0.80u
Lost -0.80u
First 5 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
13.0%
EV/u
0.886
Stake
0.80u
Won +2.24u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
28.8%
EV/u
0.610
Stake
0.78u
Lost -0.78u
First 5 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
16.1%
EV/u
0.834
Stake
0.80u
Lost -0.80u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
21.8%
EV/u
0.714
Stake
0.80u
Won +2.24u
First 5 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
29.0%
EV/u
0.597
Stake
0.77u
Lost -0.77u
First 5 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
New York Yankees New York Yankees
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
44.5%
EV/u
0.028
Stake
0.13u
Lost -0.13u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
away
Odds
3.25
Prob
46.3%
EV/u
0.256
Stake
0.62u
Lost -0.62u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
away
Odds
2.65
Prob
44.6%
EV/u
0.053
Stake
0.21u
Won +0.35u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
home
Odds
2.40
Prob
48.7%
EV/u
0.108
Stake
0.48u
Won +0.67u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
39.5%
EV/u
0.141
Stake
0.50u
Lost -0.50u
First 5 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
3.50
Prob
53.7%
EV/u
0.190
Stake
0.27u
Lost -0.27u
First 5 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
48.5%
EV/u
0.033
Stake
0.09u
Lost -0.09u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
home
Odds
2.30
Prob
50.6%
EV/u
0.103
Stake
0.46u
Won +0.60u
First 5 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
42.0%
EV/u
0.067
Stake
0.24u
Lost -0.24u
First 5 innings mlb
Athletics Athletics
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
3.05
Prob
43.1%
EV/u
0.278
Stake
0.74u
Won +1.52u
First 5 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
2.95
Prob
45.0%
EV/u
0.206
Stake
0.48u
Won +0.94u
First 5 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
away
Odds
2.45
Prob
33.0%
EV/u
0.180
Stake
0.56u
Lost -0.56u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
2.85
Prob
46.4%
EV/u
0.105
Stake
0.23u
Lost -0.23u
First 5 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
3.00
Prob
44.8%
EV/u
0.183
Stake
0.41u
Lost -0.41u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
Houston Astros Houston Astros
home
Odds
2.25
Prob
49.1%
EV/u
0.054
Stake
0.12u
Lost -0.12u
First 5 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
43.2%
EV/u
0.044
Stake
0.19u
Won +0.29u
First 5 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
away
Odds
3.05
Prob
44.1%
EV/u
0.232
Stake
0.63u
Won +1.29u
First 5 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
3.50
Prob
46.4%
EV/u
0.367
Stake
0.53u
Won +1.33u
First 5 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
home
Odds
2.40
Prob
49.5%
EV/u
0.125
Stake
0.54u
Won +0.76u
First 5 innings mlb
Athletics Athletics
Houston Astros Houston Astros
away
Odds
3.55
Prob
46.5%
EV/u
0.400
Stake
0.57u
Won +1.45u
First 5 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
42.7%
EV/u
0.055
Stake
0.22u
Won +0.34u
First 5 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
3.50
Prob
46.4%
EV/u
0.409
Stake
0.59u
Lost -0.59u
First 5 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
3.95
Prob
46.1%
EV/u
0.592
Stake
0.72u
Won +2.12u
First 5 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
45.1%
EV/u
0.027
Stake
0.08u
Lost -0.08u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
2.95
Prob
49.0%
EV/u
0.081
Stake
0.25u
Won +0.49u
First 5 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
2.45
Prob
41.4%
EV/u
0.051
Stake
0.19u
Won +0.28u
First 5 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
39.3%
EV/u
0.247
Stake
0.80u
Lost -0.80u
First 5 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
3.50
Prob
48.8%
EV/u
0.337
Stake
0.48u
Lost -0.48u
First 5 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
3.20
Prob
45.3%
EV/u
0.314
Stake
0.78u
Won +1.72u
First 5 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
away
Odds
3.40
Prob
50.4%
EV/u
0.223
Stake
0.51u
Lost -0.51u
First 5 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
47.5%
EV/u
0.138
Stake
0.44u
Won +0.79u
First 5 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
Athletics Athletics
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
47.9%
EV/u
0.175
Stake
0.51u
Won +0.77u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
away
Odds
3.00
Prob
47.6%
EV/u
0.187
Stake
0.46u
Won +0.92u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
away
Odds
3.30
Prob
46.4%
EV/u
0.283
Stake
0.61u
Lost -0.61u
First 5 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
42.9%
EV/u
0.099
Stake
0.22u
Lost -0.22u
First 5 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
home
Odds
2.75
Prob
40.7%
EV/u
0.102
Stake
0.34u
Won +0.60u
First 5 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
away
Odds
3.00
Prob
45.1%
EV/u
0.196
Stake
0.55u
Lost -0.55u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
away
Odds
2.95
Prob
45.9%
EV/u
0.195
Stake
0.56u
Lost -0.56u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
home
Odds
2.20
Prob
51.3%
EV/u
0.075
Stake
0.43u
Lost -0.43u
First 5 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
home
Odds
2.30
Prob
51.4%
EV/u
0.120
Stake
0.56u
Lost -0.56u
First 5 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
away
Odds
2.95
Prob
48.1%
EV/u
0.101
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
First 5 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
2.05
Prob
32.6%
EV/u
0.041
Stake
0.07u
Lost -0.07u
First 5 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
away
Odds
3.25
Prob
44.3%
EV/u
0.360
Stake
0.45u
Won +1.01u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
away
Odds
2.35
Prob
42.2%
EV/u
0.071
Stake
0.13u
Lost -0.13u
First 5 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
home
Odds
2.05
Prob
62.4%
EV/u
0.202
Stake
0.55u
Won +0.58u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
50.4%
EV/u
0.164
Stake
0.34u
Lost -0.34u
First 5 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
home
Odds
1.87
Prob
62.3%
EV/u
0.104
Stake
0.26u
Won +0.23u
First 5 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
61.8%
EV/u
0.564
Stake
0.91u
Lost -0.91u
First 5 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
home
Odds
2.15
Prob
62.1%
EV/u
0.251
Stake
0.64u
Won +0.74u
First 5 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
home
Odds
1.87
Prob
63.0%
EV/u
0.115
Stake
0.25u
Won +0.22u
First 5 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
home
Odds
2.00
Prob
55.0%
EV/u
0.050
Stake
0.23u
Won +0.23u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
away
Odds
3.40
Prob
50.0%
EV/u
0.307
Stake
0.70u
Lost -0.70u
First 5 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
45.7%
EV/u
0.285
Stake
0.87u
Won +1.57u
First 5 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
Houston Astros Houston Astros
home
Odds
2.30
Prob
47.2%
EV/u
0.037
Stake
0.26u
Lost -0.26u
First 5 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
New York Yankees New York Yankees
away
Odds
3.80
Prob
46.1%
EV/u
0.662
Stake
0.80u
Won +2.24u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
52.1%
EV/u
0.243
Stake
0.64u
Lost -0.64u
First 5 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
New York Yankees New York Yankees
home
Odds
1.67
Prob
70.8%
EV/u
0.118
Stake
0.45u
Lost -0.45u
First 5 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
home
Odds
2.65
Prob
45.5%
EV/u
0.184
Stake
0.36u
Won +0.59u
First 5 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
away
Odds
3.20
Prob
47.4%
EV/u
0.347
Stake
0.51u
Lost -0.51u
First 5 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
home
Odds
2.00
Prob
54.6%
EV/u
0.043
Stake
0.11u
Lost -0.11u
First 5 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
46.4%
EV/u
0.152
Stake
0.33u
Lost -0.33u
First 5 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
3.15
Prob
46.9%
EV/u
0.411
Stake
1.03u
Won +2.21u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
50.6%
EV/u
0.066
Stake
0.23u
Won +0.41u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
2.45
Prob
46.3%
EV/u
0.044
Stake
0.26u
Lost -0.26u
First 5 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
home
Odds
2.05
Prob
52.2%
EV/u
0.024
Stake
0.20u
Won +0.21u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
3.80
Prob
45.5%
EV/u
0.607
Stake
0.78u
Lost -0.78u
First 5 innings mlb
Athletics Athletics
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
2.30
Prob
48.2%
EV/u
0.057
Stake
0.33u
Won +0.43u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
2.30
Prob
38.9%
EV/u
0.114
Stake
0.31u
Lost -0.31u
First 5 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Houston Astros Houston Astros
home
Odds
2.10
Prob
55.3%
EV/u
0.101
Stake
0.29u
Lost -0.29u
First 5 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
home
Odds
1.83
Prob
63.6%
EV/u
0.105
Stake
0.35u
Won +0.29u
First 5 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
2.05
Prob
31.9%
EV/u
0.144
Stake
0.48u
Lost -0.48u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
3.65
Prob
46.7%
EV/u
0.414
Stake
0.36u
Lost -0.36u
First 5 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
away
Odds
3.00
Prob
53.8%
EV/u
0.126
Stake
0.26u
Lost -0.26u
First 5 innings mlb
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
home
Odds
2.35
Prob
57.2%
EV/u
0.257
Stake
0.80u
Won +1.08u
First 5 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
home
Odds
2.10
Prob
54.8%
EV/u
0.093
Stake
0.25u
Won +0.28u
First 5 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
3.95
Prob
45.1%
EV/u
0.516
Stake
0.49u
Won +1.45u
First 5 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians
home
Odds
2.40
Prob
51.4%
EV/u
0.164
Stake
0.39u
Won +0.55u
First 5 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
New York Mets New York Mets
home
Odds
3.10
Prob
58.7%
EV/u
0.766
Stake
0.94u
Lost -0.94u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
44.6%
EV/u
0.085
Stake
0.15u
Lost -0.15u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.