Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Jul 15, 2026 9:17 AM EDT
First 5 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Houston Astros
home
Odds
3.40
Prob
50.5%
EV/u
0.670
Stake
0.88u
Lost
-0.88u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
2.40
Prob
46.8%
EV/u
0.071
Stake
0.35u
Lost
-0.35u
First 5 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Oakland Athletics
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
48.1%
EV/u
0.050
Stake
0.15u
Lost
-0.15u
First 5 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
St. Louis Cardinals
home
Odds
2.35
Prob
57.3%
EV/u
0.261
Stake
1.03u
Lost
-1.03u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Tampa Bay Rays
home
Odds
2.40
Prob
45.8%
EV/u
0.054
Stake
0.27u
Lost
-0.27u
First 5 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Baltimore Orioles
home
Odds
2.15
Prob
49.6%
EV/u
0.023
Stake
0.23u
Won
+0.26u
First 5 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
3.20
Prob
50.2%
EV/u
0.138
Stake
0.36u
Lost
-0.36u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
New York Yankees
home
Odds
1.95
Prob
56.3%
EV/u
0.049
Stake
0.31u
Lost
-0.31u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Pittsburgh Pirates
home
Odds
2.05
Prob
53.0%
EV/u
0.039
Stake
0.33u
Lost
-0.33u
First 5 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Chicago Cubs
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
57.6%
EV/u
0.050
Stake
0.33u
Won
+0.30u
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Cleveland Indians
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
45.2%
EV/u
0.064
Stake
0.22u
Lost
-0.22u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
44.2%
EV/u
0.074
Stake
0.26u
Won
+0.44u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
3.15
Prob
48.6%
EV/u
0.030
Stake
0.10u
Won
+0.22u
First 5 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
3.05
Prob
46.8%
EV/u
0.106
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
New York Yankees
home
Odds
2.44
Prob
46.3%
EV/u
0.078
Stake
0.36u
Won
+0.52u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Philadelphia Phillies
home
Odds
2.07
Prob
53.5%
EV/u
0.058
Stake
0.40u
Lost
-0.40u
First 5 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Washington Nationals
home
Odds
2.27
Prob
47.0%
EV/u
0.025
Stake
0.21u
Won
+0.27u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
49.5%
EV/u
0.035
Stake
0.07u
Lost
-0.07u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
3.03
Prob
44.8%
EV/u
0.216
Stake
0.41u
Lost
-0.41u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cleveland Indians
Miami Marlins
away
Odds
2.61
Prob
39.0%
EV/u
0.223
Stake
0.53u
Won
+0.85u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Philadelphia Phillies
home
Odds
2.44
Prob
45.6%
EV/u
0.062
Stake
0.15u
Won
+0.22u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Seattle Mariners
home
Odds
2.06
Prob
52.1%
EV/u
0.030
Stake
0.08u
Won
+0.08u
First 5 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
2.93
Prob
40.7%
EV/u
0.291
Stake
0.56u
Lost
-0.56u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
2.57
Prob
36.3%
EV/u
0.253
Stake
0.88u
Won
+1.38u
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
2.57
Prob
42.7%
EV/u
0.086
Stake
0.33u
Won
+0.52u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
2.74
Prob
46.1%
EV/u
0.037
Stake
0.14u
Won
+0.24u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
2.46
Prob
45.3%
EV/u
0.065
Stake
0.26u
Won
+0.38u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
2.35
Prob
41.1%
EV/u
0.091
Stake
0.41u
Lost
-0.41u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
2.82
Prob
48.3%
EV/u
0.082
Stake
0.27u
Lost
-0.27u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Minnesota Twins
home
Odds
2.70
Prob
44.3%
EV/u
0.176
Stake
0.58u
Lost
-0.58u
First 5 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Philadelphia Phillies
home
Odds
2.35
Prob
47.6%
EV/u
0.066
Stake
0.28u
Won
+0.38u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
3.20
Prob
48.7%
EV/u
0.276
Stake
0.28u
Won
+0.62u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
2.78
Prob
48.2%
EV/u
0.311
Stake
0.38u
Lost
-0.38u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Cincinnati Reds
home
Odds
3.28
Prob
42.7%
EV/u
0.368
Stake
0.37u
Lost
-0.37u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
Washington Nationals
away
Odds
2.46
Prob
38.4%
EV/u
0.130
Stake
0.12u
Lost
-0.12u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
San Francisco Giants
home
Odds
3.13
Prob
52.7%
EV/u
0.606
Stake
0.62u
Won
+1.32u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
2.20
Prob
42.0%
EV/u
0.023
Stake
0.22u
Lost
-0.22u
First 5 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Chicago White Sox
home
Odds
2.97
Prob
47.0%
EV/u
0.366
Stake
1.01u
Lost
-1.01u
First 5 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
New York Mets
away
Odds
2.52
Prob
42.7%
EV/u
0.151
Stake
0.56u
Won
+0.85u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
2.52
Prob
38.7%
EV/u
0.142
Stake
0.53u
Won
+0.81u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
3.21
Prob
52.3%
EV/u
0.220
Stake
0.55u
Won
+1.22u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
2.59
Prob
47.6%
EV/u
0.038
Stake
0.15u
Won
+0.24u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
2.76
Prob
48.2%
EV/u
0.040
Stake
0.15u
Lost
-0.15u
First 5 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
46.1%
EV/u
0.134
Stake
0.42u
Won
+0.76u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Los Angeles Angels
away
Odds
2.79
Prob
41.2%
EV/u
0.236
Stake
0.58u
Lost
-0.58u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
3.17
Prob
44.1%
EV/u
0.343
Stake
0.70u
Won
+1.52u
First 5 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Arizona Diamondbacks
home
Odds
2.48
Prob
50.2%
EV/u
0.175
Stake
0.45u
Won
+0.67u
First 5 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
2.46
Prob
41.4%
EV/u
0.038
Stake
0.07u
Lost
-0.07u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Los Angeles Angels
away
Odds
3.15
Prob
45.2%
EV/u
0.265
Stake
0.68u
Lost
-0.68u
First 5 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
2.67
Prob
46.6%
EV/u
0.030
Stake
0.13u
Won
+0.22u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
2.49
Prob
38.8%
EV/u
0.049
Stake
0.26u
Lost
-0.26u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
Chicago Cubs
away
Odds
3.24
Prob
51.3%
EV/u
0.171
Stake
0.43u
Won
+0.96u
First 5 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
3.98
Prob
40.8%
EV/u
0.630
Stake
0.50u
Lost
-0.50u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
2.61
Prob
41.2%
EV/u
0.076
Stake
0.13u
Won
+0.21u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
3.25
Prob
50.7%
EV/u
0.212
Stake
0.34u
Won
+0.77u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
2.77
Prob
46.6%
EV/u
0.050
Stake
0.08u
Lost
-0.08u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Oakland Athletics
home
Odds
2.33
Prob
47.0%
EV/u
0.047
Stake
0.08u
Lost
-0.08u
First 5 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Tampa Bay Rays
home
Odds
2.69
Prob
50.0%
EV/u
0.317
Stake
0.67u
Lost
-0.67u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Los Angeles Angels
away
Odds
3.29
Prob
54.2%
EV/u
0.130
Stake
0.12u
Won
+0.27u
First 5 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Baltimore Orioles
home
Odds
2.73
Prob
45.7%
EV/u
0.225
Stake
0.32u
Lost
-0.32u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Colorado Rockies
home
Odds
2.80
Prob
52.5%
EV/u
0.435
Stake
0.65u
Won
+1.17u
First 5 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
2.81
Prob
45.1%
EV/u
0.174
Stake
0.22u
Lost
-0.22u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
2.79
Prob
44.0%
EV/u
0.310
Stake
0.47u
Won
+0.84u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Colorado Rockies
home
Odds
2.24
Prob
50.6%
EV/u
0.079
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
2.64
Prob
36.5%
EV/u
0.183
Stake
0.60u
Won
+0.98u
First 5 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
2.65
Prob
44.4%
EV/u
0.107
Stake
0.35u
Lost
-0.35u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
3.25
Prob
50.0%
EV/u
0.138
Stake
0.34u
Won
+0.77u
First 5 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
New York Mets
home
Odds
2.46
Prob
45.3%
EV/u
0.064
Stake
0.21u
Lost
-0.21u
First 5 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
29.6%
EV/u
0.284
Stake
0.36u
Won
+1.01u
First 5 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
2.56
Prob
35.8%
EV/u
0.177
Stake
0.47u
Lost
-0.47u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Milwaukee Brewers
home
Odds
3.84
Prob
42.7%
EV/u
0.639
Stake
0.58u
Won
+1.65u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Tampa Bay Rays
home
Odds
2.56
Prob
42.6%
EV/u
0.075
Stake
0.16u
Lost
-0.16u
First 5 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Texas Rangers
home
Odds
2.55
Prob
41.3%
EV/u
0.040
Stake
0.07u
Won
+0.11u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Miami Marlins
away
Odds
2.68
Prob
40.9%
EV/u
0.199
Stake
0.48u
Won
+0.81u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Milwaukee Brewers
home
Odds
2.64
Prob
51.7%
EV/u
0.336
Stake
0.48u
Lost
-0.48u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Minnesota Twins
home
Odds
2.23
Prob
53.0%
EV/u
0.120
Stake
0.22u
Lost
-0.22u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
San Diego Padres
home
Odds
2.53
Prob
53.2%
EV/u
0.317
Stake
0.49u
Won
+0.75u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Tampa Bay Rays
home
Odds
2.16
Prob
56.0%
EV/u
0.143
Stake
0.29u
Lost
-0.29u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Miami Marlins
home
Odds
2.19
Prob
53.3%
EV/u
0.107
Stake
0.20u
Won
+0.24u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Oakland Athletics
home
Odds
2.04
Prob
55.0%
EV/u
0.069
Stake
0.12u
Lost
-0.12u
First 5 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Washington Nationals
home
Odds
2.53
Prob
52.0%
EV/u
0.289
Stake
1.01u
Lost
-1.01u
First 5 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
2.43
Prob
54.4%
EV/u
0.239
Stake
0.79u
Lost
-0.79u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Seattle Mariners
home
Odds
2.04
Prob
54.5%
EV/u
0.061
Stake
0.12u
Lost
-0.12u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Tampa Bay Rays
home
Odds
2.17
Prob
53.1%
EV/u
0.096
Stake
0.19u
Lost
-0.19u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Washington Nationals
home
Odds
2.51
Prob
55.7%
EV/u
0.366
Stake
0.72u
Lost
-0.72u
First 5 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
2.66
Prob
55.2%
EV/u
0.433
Stake
0.77u
Lost
-0.77u
First 5 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Miami Marlins
home
Odds
2.18
Prob
52.0%
EV/u
0.080
Stake
0.19u
Lost
-0.19u
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Oakland Athletics
home
Odds
2.18
Prob
54.6%
EV/u
0.128
Stake
0.36u
Won
+0.42u
First 5 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
San Diego Padres
home
Odds
3.05
Prob
53.9%
EV/u
0.601
Stake
0.84u
Won
+1.72u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Tampa Bay Rays
home
Odds
2.18
Prob
53.3%
EV/u
0.103
Stake
0.27u
Won
+0.32u
First 5 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
2.08
Prob
53.4%
EV/u
0.060
Stake
0.14u
Lost
-0.14u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Tampa Bay Rays
home
Odds
2.14
Prob
51.7%
EV/u
0.056
Stake
0.31u
Lost
-0.31u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Texas Rangers
home
Odds
2.04
Prob
53.5%
EV/u
0.043
Stake
0.23u
Lost
-0.23u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Cincinnati Reds
home
Odds
2.12
Prob
55.7%
EV/u
0.120
Stake
0.65u
Lost
-0.65u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Seattle Mariners
home
Odds
2.18
Prob
54.1%
EV/u
0.119
Stake
0.61u
Won
+0.72u
First 5 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Kansas City Royals
home
Odds
2.91
Prob
54.5%
EV/u
0.545
Stake
1.50u
Lost
-1.50u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cleveland Indians
Toronto Blue Jays
home
Odds
2.01
Prob
53.0%
EV/u
0.021
Stake
0.26u
Won
+0.26u
First 5 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
1.99
Prob
55.5%
EV/u
0.055
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.30u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Detroit Tigers
home
Odds
2.18
Prob
53.6%
EV/u
0.109
Stake
0.19u
Lost
-0.19u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Houston Astros
home
Odds
2.18
Prob
52.1%
EV/u
0.080
Stake
0.13u
Won
+0.15u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.