Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 5, 2026 4:25 PM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 1, 2024 | epl |
Chelsea
Crystal Palace
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 44.3% | 0.064 | 0.12u | Won | +0.11u |
| Sep 1, 2024 | epl |
Manchester United
Liverpool
|
Result | away | 4.50 | 52.4% | 0.467 | 0.54u | Won | +1.89u |
| Sep 1, 2024 | epl |
Newcastle United
Tottenham Hotspur
|
Result | home | 2.40 | 51.1% | 0.227 | 0.27u | Won | +0.38u |
| Sep 1, 2024 | epl |
Chelsea
Crystal Palace
|
Result | home | 3.50 | 41.9% | 0.465 | 0.69u | Lost | -0.69u |
| Aug 31, 2024 | epl |
West Ham United
Manchester City
|
Result | away | 4.10 | 34.5% | 0.708 | 0.44u | Won | +1.36u |
| Aug 31, 2024 | epl |
Nottingham Forest
Wolverhampton Wanderers
|
Result | draw | 5.00 | 27.6% | 1.151 | 0.91u | Won | +3.64u |
| Aug 31, 2024 | epl |
Brentford
Southampton
|
Result | home | 3.90 | 35.5% | 0.386 | 0.15u | Won | +0.44u |
| Aug 31, 2024 | bundesliga |
Werder Bremen
Borussia Dortmund
|
Home draw | 1x | 1.83 | 58.1% | 0.065 | 0.62u | Won | +0.52u |
| Aug 31, 2024 | bundesliga |
VfB Stuttgart
Mainz
|
Home away | draw | 4.40 | 46.6% | 1.348 | 1.20u | Won | +4.08u |
| Aug 31, 2024 | epl |
West Ham United
Manchester City
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 39.8% | 0.150 | 0.40u | Lost | -0.40u |
| Aug 31, 2024 | epl |
Nottingham Forest
Wolverhampton Wanderers
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 37.5% | 0.193 | 0.63u | Won | +0.57u |
| Aug 31, 2024 | epl |
Brentford
Southampton
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 42.1% | 0.106 | 0.22u | Lost | -0.22u |
| Aug 31, 2024 | epl |
Arsenal
Brighton & Hove Albion
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 41.6% | 0.115 | 0.25u | Won | +0.23u |
| Aug 25, 2024 | epl |
AFC Bournemouth
Newcastle United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 40.8% | 0.131 | 0.42u | Won | +0.38u |
| Aug 25, 2024 | epl |
Liverpool
Brentford
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 39.6% | 0.154 | 0.55u | Won | +0.50u |
| Aug 25, 2024 | epl |
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Chelsea
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 39.8% | 0.149 | 0.53u | Lost | -0.53u |
| Aug 25, 2024 | bundesliga |
VfL Wolfsburg
Bayern Munich
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.63 | 60.3% | 0.582 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 25, 2024 | bundesliga |
St. Pauli
1. FC Heidenheim 1846
|
Home away | 12 | 1.29 | 89.9% | 0.156 | 1.20u | Won | +0.34u |
| Aug 25, 2024 | epl |
Liverpool
Brentford
|
Result | home | 3.70 | 44.3% | 0.637 | 1.20u | Won | +3.24u |
| Aug 25, 2024 | epl |
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Chelsea
|
Result | home | 2.45 | 46.4% | 0.137 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Aug 24, 2024 | epl |
Southampton
Nottingham Forest
|
Result | home | 4.60 | 40.8% | 0.875 | 1.18u | Lost | -1.18u |
| Aug 24, 2024 | epl |
Fulham
Leicester City
|
Result | away | 4.10 | 43.3% | 0.314 | 0.19u | Lost | -0.19u |
| Aug 24, 2024 | epl |
Crystal Palace
West Ham United
|
Result | away | 3.70 | 43.2% | 0.194 | 0.09u | Won | +0.24u |
| Aug 24, 2024 | bundesliga |
Mainz
1. FC Union Berlin
|
Home draw | 1x | 1.83 | 60.3% | 0.105 | 1.01u | Won | +0.84u |
| Aug 24, 2024 | epl |
Tottenham Hotspur
Everton
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 39.4% | 0.156 | 0.35u | Lost | -0.35u |
| Aug 24, 2024 | epl |
Manchester City
Ipswich Town
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 39.4% | 0.156 | 0.35u | Lost | -0.35u |
| Aug 24, 2024 | epl |
Crystal Palace
West Ham United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 38.5% | 0.174 | 0.42u | Won | +0.38u |
| Aug 24, 2024 | epl |
Aston Villa
Arsenal
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 39.1% | 0.163 | 0.38u | Won | +0.35u |
| Aug 23, 2024 | bundesliga |
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Bayer Leverkusen
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.25 | 62.0% | 0.394 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 19, 2024 | epl |
Leicester City
Tottenham Hotspur
|
Result | home | 4.40 | 46.1% | 1.030 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 19, 2024 | epl |
Leicester City
Tottenham Hotspur
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 40.5% | 0.136 | 1.19u | Won | +1.08u |
| Aug 18, 2024 | epl |
Brentford
Crystal Palace
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 39.8% | 0.149 | 0.69u | Lost | -0.69u |
| Aug 18, 2024 | epl |
Chelsea
Manchester City
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 39.1% | 0.163 | 0.81u | Won | +0.74u |
| Aug 18, 2024 | epl |
Brentford
Crystal Palace
|
Result | home | 2.75 | 43.8% | 0.204 | 0.30u | Won | +0.53u |
| Aug 18, 2024 | epl |
Chelsea
Manchester City
|
Result | home | 3.60 | 42.0% | 0.510 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 17, 2024 | epl |
West Ham United
Aston Villa
|
Result | home | 3.10 | 44.5% | 0.381 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 17, 2024 | epl |
Newcastle United
Southampton
|
Result | home | 2.45 | 43.8% | 0.074 | 0.30u | Won | +0.44u |
| Aug 17, 2024 | epl |
West Ham United
Aston Villa
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 39.6% | 0.154 | 0.37u | Lost | -0.37u |
| Aug 17, 2024 | epl |
Arsenal
Wolverhampton Wanderers
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 39.5% | 0.156 | 0.38u | Won | +0.35u |
| Aug 17, 2024 | epl |
Ipswich Town
Liverpool
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 39.8% | 0.149 | 0.35u | Won | +0.32u |
| Aug 17, 2024 | epl |
Everton
Brighton & Hove Albion
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 39.3% | 0.159 | 0.39u | Lost | -0.39u |
| Aug 16, 2024 | epl |
Manchester United
Fulham
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 42.3% | 0.101 | 0.89u | Won | +0.81u |
| May 19, 2024 | epl |
Chelsea
AFC Bournemouth
|
Total over | over | 1.91 | 58.3% | 0.113 | 0.22u | Lost | -0.22u |
| May 19, 2024 | epl |
Luton Town
Fulham
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 39.2% | 0.161 | 0.42u | Lost | -0.42u |
| May 19, 2024 | epl |
Liverpool
Wolverhampton Wanderers
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 38.2% | 0.181 | 0.52u | Won | +0.47u |
| May 19, 2024 | epl |
Arsenal
Everton
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 40.2% | 0.142 | 0.34u | Won | +0.31u |
| May 19, 2024 | epl |
Chelsea
AFC Bournemouth
|
Result | away | 4.80 | 41.9% | 0.746 | 0.70u | Lost | -0.70u |
| May 19, 2024 | epl |
Luton Town
Fulham
|
Result | home | 2.60 | 49.9% | 0.297 | 0.23u | Lost | -0.23u |
| May 19, 2024 | epl |
Liverpool
Wolverhampton Wanderers
|
Result | away | 4.60 | 38.3% | 0.396 | 0.21u | Lost | -0.21u |
| May 19, 2024 | epl |
Burnley
Nottingham Forest
|
Result | home | 2.90 | 48.4% | 0.405 | 0.36u | Lost | -0.36u |
| May 18, 2024 | bundesliga |
Werder Bremen
VfL Bochum
|
Home draw | 1x | 1.91 | 68.3% | 0.304 | 1.20u | Won | +1.09u |
| May 18, 2024 | bundesliga |
VfB Stuttgart
Borussia Mönchengladbach
|
Home draw | 1x | 1.62 | 68.0% | 0.098 | 0.30u | Won | +0.18u |
| May 15, 2024 | epl |
Manchester United
Newcastle United
|
Result | home | 3.20 | 49.9% | 0.597 | 0.86u | Won | +1.89u |
| May 15, 2024 | epl |
Brighton & Hove Albion
Chelsea
|
Result | home | 2.65 | 55.5% | 0.470 | 0.64u | Lost | -0.64u |
| May 15, 2024 | epl |
Manchester United
Newcastle United
|
Total over | over | 1.91 | 57.0% | 0.087 | 0.77u | Won | +0.70u |
| May 14, 2024 | epl |
Tottenham Hotspur
Manchester City
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 45.1% | 0.048 | 0.43u | Won | +0.39u |
| May 14, 2024 | epl |
Tottenham Hotspur
Manchester City
|
Result | away | 4.60 | 47.5% | 0.625 | 1.20u | Won | +4.32u |
| May 13, 2024 | epl |
Aston Villa
Liverpool
|
Total over | over | 1.91 | 56.1% | 0.072 | 0.63u | Won | +0.57u |
| May 12, 2024 | epl |
Manchester United
Arsenal
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 36.4% | 0.214 | 1.20u | Won | +1.09u |
| May 12, 2024 | bundesliga |
Bayern Munich
VfL Wolfsburg
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.05 | 69.6% | 0.427 | 0.58u | Won | +0.61u |
| May 12, 2024 | bundesliga |
VfL Bochum
Bayer Leverkusen
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.38 | 66.9% | 0.589 | 0.92u | Lost | -0.92u |
| May 11, 2024 | bundesliga |
RB Leipzig
Werder Bremen
|
Home draw | 1x | 1.53 | 68.1% | 0.044 | 0.66u | Won | +0.35u |
| May 11, 2024 | epl |
Tottenham Hotspur
Burnley
|
Result | home | 2.15 | 53.6% | 0.153 | 0.10u | Won | +0.12u |
| May 11, 2024 | epl |
Fulham
Manchester City
|
Result | away | 3.60 | 40.2% | 0.279 | 0.18u | Won | +0.47u |
| May 11, 2024 | epl |
Everton
Sheffield United
|
Result | home | 3.10 | 52.1% | 0.615 | 0.90u | Won | +1.89u |
| May 11, 2024 | epl |
AFC Bournemouth
Brentford
|
Result | draw | 3.80 | 33.5% | 0.399 | 0.32u | Lost | -0.32u |
| May 11, 2024 | epl |
Newcastle United
Brighton & Hove Albion
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 30.1% | 0.334 | 0.90u | Won | +0.82u |
| May 11, 2024 | epl |
Fulham
Manchester City
|
Total over | over | 1.91 | 56.2% | 0.073 | 0.06u | Won | +0.05u |
| May 11, 2024 | epl |
AFC Bournemouth
Brentford
|
Total over | over | 1.91 | 65.6% | 0.253 | 0.54u | Lost | -0.54u |
| May 10, 2024 | bundesliga |
FC Augsburg
VfB Stuttgart
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.00 | 69.8% | 0.395 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| May 6, 2024 | epl |
Crystal Palace
Manchester United
|
Result | away | 3.40 | 47.2% | 0.127 | 0.42u | Lost | -0.42u |
| May 6, 2024 | epl |
Crystal Palace
Manchester United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 41.6% | 0.115 | 1.01u | Lost | -1.01u |
| May 5, 2024 | epl |
Brighton & Hove Albion
Aston Villa
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 41.3% | 0.121 | 0.62u | Won | +0.56u |
| May 5, 2024 | epl |
Chelsea
West Ham United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 40.5% | 0.136 | 0.75u | Lost | -0.75u |
| May 5, 2024 | epl |
Liverpool
Tottenham Hotspur
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 45.2% | 0.047 | 0.13u | Lost | -0.13u |
| May 5, 2024 | epl |
Chelsea
West Ham United
|
Result | home | 4.60 | 43.9% | 1.019 | 1.20u | Won | +4.32u |
| May 5, 2024 | bundesliga |
1. FC Heidenheim 1846
Mainz
|
Home draw | 1x | 1.53 | 68.1% | 0.044 | 0.66u | Won | +0.35u |
| May 4, 2024 | bundesliga |
VfB Stuttgart
Bayern Munich
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.50 | 70.6% | 0.766 | 1.20u | Won | +1.80u |
| May 4, 2024 | epl |
Arsenal
AFC Bournemouth
|
Result | home | 3.35 | 45.1% | 0.510 | 1.20u | Won | +2.82u |
| May 4, 2024 | epl |
Brentford
Fulham
|
Result | away | 3.30 | 43.2% | 0.108 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| May 4, 2024 | epl |
Arsenal
AFC Bournemouth
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 40.9% | 0.128 | 0.32u | Won | +0.29u |
| May 4, 2024 | epl |
Brentford
Fulham
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 39.8% | 0.150 | 0.43u | Won | +0.39u |
| May 4, 2024 | epl |
Burnley
Newcastle United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 38.1% | 0.182 | 0.61u | Lost | -0.61u |
| May 4, 2024 | epl |
Manchester City
Wolverhampton Wanderers
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 43.6% | 0.077 | 0.14u | Lost | -0.14u |
| May 3, 2024 | epl |
Luton Town
Everton
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 42.8% | 0.093 | 0.82u | Won | +0.75u |
| May 2, 2024 | epl |
Chelsea
Tottenham Hotspur
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 46.2% | 0.028 | 0.25u | Won | +0.23u |
| May 2, 2024 | epl |
Chelsea
Tottenham Hotspur
|
Result | home | 2.40 | 46.8% | 0.124 | 0.71u | Won | +0.99u |
| Apr 28, 2024 | epl |
Nottingham Forest
Manchester City
|
Result | home | 3.80 | 42.2% | 0.602 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Apr 28, 2024 | epl |
Tottenham Hotspur
Arsenal
|
Result | away | 3.75 | 44.5% | 0.146 | 0.30u | Won | +0.83u |
| Apr 28, 2024 | epl |
Nottingham Forest
Manchester City
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 40.0% | 0.145 | 0.73u | Won | +0.66u |
| Apr 28, 2024 | epl |
Tottenham Hotspur
Arsenal
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 42.0% | 0.107 | 0.43u | Lost | -0.43u |
| Apr 28, 2024 | epl |
AFC Bournemouth
Brighton & Hove Albion
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 42.7% | 0.094 | 0.34u | Won | +0.31u |
| Apr 27, 2024 | epl |
Newcastle United
Sheffield United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 39.2% | 0.161 | 0.42u | Lost | -0.42u |
| Apr 27, 2024 | epl |
Fulham
Crystal Palace
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 40.2% | 0.142 | 0.33u | Won | +0.30u |
| Apr 27, 2024 | epl |
Everton
Brentford
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 40.8% | 0.129 | 0.28u | Won | +0.25u |
| Apr 27, 2024 | epl |
West Ham United
Liverpool
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 38.7% | 0.170 | 0.46u | Lost | -0.46u |
| Apr 27, 2024 | epl |
Newcastle United
Sheffield United
|
Result | away | 3.60 | 42.2% | 0.264 | 0.81u | Lost | -0.81u |
| Apr 27, 2024 | epl |
Aston Villa
Chelsea
|
Result | home | 2.30 | 46.2% | 0.062 | 0.38u | Lost | -0.38u |
| Apr 25, 2024 | epl |
Brighton & Hove Albion
Manchester City
|
Result | draw | 5.00 | 37.2% | 0.411 | 0.82u | Lost | -0.82u |
| Apr 25, 2024 | epl |
Brighton & Hove Albion
Manchester City
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 43.8% | 0.074 | 0.65u | Lost | -0.65u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.