Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 5, 2026 4:25 PM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2024 | epl |
Sheffield United
Arsenal
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 40.7% | 0.133 | 1.17u | Lost | -1.17u |
| Mar 3, 2024 | epl |
Manchester City
Manchester United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 39.5% | 0.155 | 1.01u | Lost | -1.01u |
| Mar 3, 2024 | epl |
Burnley
AFC Bournemouth
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 42.3% | 0.102 | 0.49u | Won | +0.45u |
| Mar 3, 2024 | bundesliga |
TSG Hoffenheim
Werder Bremen
|
Home draw | 1x | 3.00 | 59.5% | 0.786 | 1.20u | Won | +2.40u |
| Mar 2, 2024 | bundesliga |
Mainz
Borussia Mönchengladbach
|
Home draw | 1x | 1.73 | 66.9% | 0.156 | 0.10u | Won | +0.07u |
| Mar 2, 2024 | bundesliga |
1. FC Heidenheim 1846
Eintracht Frankfurt
|
Home draw | 1x | 1.67 | 72.3% | 0.205 | 0.15u | Lost | -0.15u |
| Mar 2, 2024 | bundesliga |
1. FC Union Berlin
Borussia Dortmund
|
Home draw | away | 2.40 | 31.4% | 0.646 | 0.92u | Won | +1.29u |
| Mar 2, 2024 | bundesliga |
VfL Bochum
RB Leipzig
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.20 | 61.9% | 0.361 | 0.33u | Lost | -0.33u |
| Mar 2, 2024 | epl |
Newcastle United
Wolverhampton Wanderers
|
Result | away | 4.33 | 56.2% | 0.531 | 0.13u | Lost | -0.13u |
| Mar 2, 2024 | epl |
Fulham
Brighton & Hove Albion
|
Result | home | 4.33 | 49.0% | 1.122 | 0.53u | Won | +1.76u |
| Mar 2, 2024 | epl |
Everton
West Ham United
|
Result | home | 3.25 | 61.9% | 1.013 | 0.58u | Lost | -0.58u |
| Mar 2, 2024 | epl |
Tottenham Hotspur
Crystal Palace
|
Result | away | 2.80 | 31.6% | 0.619 | 0.26u | Lost | -0.26u |
| Mar 2, 2024 | epl |
Newcastle United
Wolverhampton Wanderers
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 39.7% | 0.151 | 0.66u | Won | +0.60u |
| Mar 2, 2024 | epl |
Nottingham Forest
Liverpool
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 43.5% | 0.079 | 0.22u | Won | +0.20u |
| Mar 2, 2024 | epl |
Fulham
Brighton & Hove Albion
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 42.8% | 0.091 | 0.28u | Lost | -0.28u |
| Mar 2, 2024 | epl |
Luton Town
Aston Villa
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 42.2% | 0.103 | 0.34u | Lost | -0.34u |
| Feb 26, 2024 | epl |
West Ham United
Brentford
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 39.5% | 0.155 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Feb 25, 2024 | epl |
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Sheffield United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 38.9% | 0.167 | 1.20u | Won | +1.09u |
| Feb 24, 2024 | epl |
Arsenal
Newcastle United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 39.5% | 0.155 | 0.38u | Lost | -0.38u |
| Feb 24, 2024 | epl |
Crystal Palace
Burnley
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 39.5% | 0.155 | 0.38u | Lost | -0.38u |
| Feb 24, 2024 | epl |
Brighton & Hove Albion
Everton
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 39.5% | 0.155 | 0.38u | Won | +0.35u |
| Feb 24, 2024 | epl |
AFC Bournemouth
Manchester City
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 39.5% | 0.155 | 0.36u | Won | +0.33u |
| Feb 24, 2024 | epl |
Crystal Palace
Burnley
|
Result | away | 4.00 | 48.0% | 0.265 | 0.20u | Lost | -0.20u |
| Feb 24, 2024 | epl |
Brighton & Hove Albion
Everton
|
Result | away | 4.00 | 44.6% | 0.518 | 0.70u | Lost | -0.70u |
| Feb 24, 2024 | epl |
AFC Bournemouth
Manchester City
|
Result | away | 5.00 | 49.0% | 0.450 | 0.42u | Won | +1.68u |
| Feb 24, 2024 | epl |
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
|
Result | draw | 4.50 | 44.1% | 0.258 | 0.17u | Lost | -0.17u |
| Feb 21, 2024 | epl |
Liverpool
Luton Town
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 39.5% | 0.155 | 1.20u | Won | +1.09u |
| Feb 20, 2024 | epl |
Manchester City
Brentford
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 39.5% | 0.155 | 1.20u | Won | +1.09u |
| Feb 20, 2024 | epl |
Manchester City
Brentford
|
Result | away | 5.00 | 48.9% | 0.441 | 0.88u | Lost | -0.88u |
| Feb 19, 2024 | epl |
Everton
Crystal Palace
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 40.5% | 0.135 | 1.19u | Won | +1.08u |
| Feb 18, 2024 | epl |
Luton Town
Manchester United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 39.5% | 0.155 | 0.75u | Won | +0.68u |
| Feb 18, 2024 | epl |
Sheffield United
Brighton & Hove Albion
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 39.5% | 0.155 | 0.75u | Won | +0.68u |
| Feb 18, 2024 | epl |
Luton Town
Manchester United
|
Result | home | 4.50 | 45.3% | 1.039 | 0.79u | Lost | -0.79u |
| Feb 18, 2024 | epl |
Sheffield United
Brighton & Hove Albion
|
Result | home | 4.20 | 46.6% | 0.957 | 0.71u | Lost | -0.71u |
| Feb 17, 2024 | epl |
Nottingham Forest
West Ham United
|
Result | home | 2.90 | 41.6% | 0.208 | 0.30u | Won | +0.57u |
| Feb 17, 2024 | epl |
Burnley
Arsenal
|
Result | home | 4.75 | 34.4% | 0.634 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Feb 17, 2024 | epl |
Fulham
Aston Villa
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 39.5% | 0.155 | 0.38u | Won | +0.35u |
| Feb 17, 2024 | epl |
Manchester City
Chelsea
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 39.5% | 0.155 | 0.38u | Won | +0.35u |
| Feb 17, 2024 | epl |
Newcastle United
AFC Bournemouth
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 39.5% | 0.155 | 0.38u | Won | +0.35u |
| Feb 17, 2024 | epl |
Nottingham Forest
West Ham United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 39.5% | 0.155 | 0.36u | Won | +0.33u |
| Feb 11, 2024 | epl |
Aston Villa
Manchester United
|
Result | home | 4.75 | 46.2% | 1.193 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Feb 10, 2024 | epl |
Fulham
AFC Bournemouth
|
Result | away | 4.75 | 45.0% | 0.531 | 0.65u | Lost | -0.65u |
| Feb 10, 2024 | epl |
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Brentford
|
Result | away | 4.00 | 45.6% | 0.299 | 0.26u | Won | +0.78u |
| Feb 10, 2024 | epl |
Luton Town
Sheffield United
|
Result | home | 3.10 | 44.6% | 0.383 | 0.53u | Lost | -0.53u |
| Feb 10, 2024 | epl |
Manchester City
Everton
|
Result | home | 2.45 | 44.8% | 0.099 | 0.06u | Won | +0.09u |
| Feb 4, 2024 | epl |
Manchester United
West Ham United
|
Result | away | 4.75 | 44.8% | 0.524 | 1.12u | Lost | -1.12u |
| Feb 3, 2024 | epl |
Burnley
Fulham
|
Result | home | 3.00 | 44.8% | 0.343 | 0.14u | Lost | -0.14u |
| Feb 3, 2024 | epl |
Brighton & Hove Albion
Crystal Palace
|
Result | home | 5.00 | 44.9% | 1.247 | 0.99u | Won | +3.96u |
| Feb 3, 2024 | epl |
Everton
Tottenham Hotspur
|
Result | home | 2.90 | 44.8% | 0.298 | 0.11u | Lost | -0.11u |
| Feb 3, 2024 | epl |
Sheffield United
Aston Villa
|
Result | away | 5.00 | 44.4% | 0.627 | 0.26u | Won | +1.04u |
| Feb 1, 2024 | epl |
West Ham United
AFC Bournemouth
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 40.3% | 0.140 | 0.54u | Won | +0.49u |
| Feb 1, 2024 | epl |
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Manchester United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 29.0% | 0.356 | 1.20u | Won | +1.09u |
| Jan 31, 2024 | epl |
Tottenham Hotspur
Brentford
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 44.8% | 0.054 | 0.47u | Lost | -0.47u |
| Jan 31, 2024 | epl |
Liverpool
Chelsea
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 46.3% | 0.025 | 0.22u | Lost | -0.22u |
| Jan 31, 2024 | epl |
Manchester City
Burnley
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 36.3% | 0.217 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jan 31, 2024 | epl |
Tottenham Hotspur
Brentford
|
Result | away | 5.00 | 57.8% | 0.250 | 0.15u | Lost | -0.15u |
| Jan 31, 2024 | epl |
Liverpool
Chelsea
|
Result | away | 4.75 | 47.8% | 0.526 | 0.45u | Lost | -0.45u |
| Jan 31, 2024 | epl |
Manchester City
Burnley
|
Result | home | 2.80 | 71.0% | 0.989 | 1.20u | Won | +2.16u |
| Jan 31, 2024 | epl |
Liverpool
Chelsea
|
Result | home | 1.61 | 69.7% | 0.124 | 0.15u | Won | +0.09u |
| Jan 30, 2024 | epl |
Fulham
Everton
|
Result | home | 4.00 | 46.3% | 0.853 | 0.88u | Lost | -0.88u |
| Jan 30, 2024 | epl |
Luton Town
Brighton & Hove Albion
|
Result | away | 3.50 | 38.9% | 0.173 | 0.05u | Lost | -0.05u |
| Jan 30, 2024 | epl |
Nottingham Forest
Arsenal
|
Result | draw | 4.00 | 42.0% | 0.679 | 0.57u | Lost | -0.57u |
| Jan 30, 2024 | epl |
Nottingham Forest
Arsenal
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 44.8% | 0.053 | 0.47u | Lost | -0.47u |
| Jan 30, 2024 | epl |
Luton Town
Brighton & Hove Albion
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 41.4% | 0.119 | 1.05u | Lost | -1.05u |
| Jan 30, 2024 | epl |
Aston Villa
Newcastle United
|
Total over | over | 1.91 | 53.6% | 0.024 | 0.21u | Won | +0.19u |
| Jan 30, 2024 | epl |
Fulham
Everton
|
Total over | over | 1.91 | 53.8% | 0.028 | 0.25u | Lost | -0.25u |
| Jan 30, 2024 | epl |
Crystal Palace
Sheffield United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 45.1% | 0.048 | 0.42u | Lost | -0.42u |
| Jan 27, 2024 | bundesliga |
VfL Wolfsburg
FC Cologne
|
Home draw | 1x | 3.40 | 63.7% | 1.165 | 1.20u | Won | +2.88u |
| Jan 22, 2024 | epl |
Brighton & Hove Albion
Wolverhampton Wanderers
|
Result | away | 5.00 | 54.7% | 0.366 | 0.73u | Lost | -0.73u |
| Jan 22, 2024 | epl |
Brighton & Hove Albion
Wolverhampton Wanderers
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 38.0% | 0.183 | 1.20u | Won | +1.09u |
| Jan 21, 2024 | epl |
Sheffield United
West Ham United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 39.4% | 0.157 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jan 21, 2024 | epl |
AFC Bournemouth
Liverpool
|
Total over | over | 1.91 | 55.3% | 0.056 | 0.30u | Won | +0.27u |
| Jan 21, 2024 | epl |
AFC Bournemouth
Liverpool
|
Result | home | 2.75 | 44.3% | 0.217 | 0.37u | Lost | -0.37u |
| Jan 21, 2024 | epl |
Sheffield United
West Ham United
|
Result | away | 4.75 | 41.7% | 0.675 | 0.68u | Lost | -0.68u |
| Jan 21, 2024 | epl |
AFC Bournemouth
Liverpool
|
Result | away | 2.60 | 33.8% | 0.546 | 0.82u | Won | +1.31u |
| Jan 20, 2024 | epl |
Arsenal
Crystal Palace
|
Result | home | 4.33 | 49.4% | 1.137 | 0.78u | Won | +2.60u |
| Jan 20, 2024 | epl |
Brentford
Nottingham Forest
|
Result | home | 2.55 | 72.0% | 0.837 | 0.72u | Won | +1.12u |
| Jan 20, 2024 | bundesliga |
SV Darmstadt 98
Eintracht Frankfurt
|
Home draw | 1x | 1.50 | 89.0% | 0.334 | 0.16u | Won | +0.08u |
| Jan 20, 2024 | bundesliga |
1. FC Heidenheim 1846
VfL Wolfsburg
|
Home draw | away | 2.05 | 41.3% | 0.203 | 0.19u | Lost | -0.19u |
| Jan 20, 2024 | bundesliga |
FC Cologne
Borussia Dortmund
|
Home draw | 1x | 1.91 | 59.2% | 0.130 | 0.08u | Lost | -0.08u |
| Jan 20, 2024 | bundesliga |
SC Freiburg
TSG Hoffenheim
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.00 | 75.8% | 0.517 | 1.07u | Won | +1.07u |
| Jan 20, 2024 | epl |
Brentford
Nottingham Forest
|
Total over | over | 1.91 | 66.9% | 0.277 | 1.20u | Won | +1.09u |
| Jan 14, 2024 | epl |
Everton
Aston Villa
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 44.9% | 0.051 | 0.45u | Won | +0.41u |
| Jan 14, 2024 | epl |
Manchester United
Tottenham Hotspur
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 43.3% | 0.083 | 0.73u | Lost | -0.73u |
| Jan 14, 2024 | bundesliga |
VfL Bochum
Werder Bremen
|
Home draw | 1x | 1.83 | 88.3% | 0.619 | 1.14u | Won | +0.95u |
| Jan 14, 2024 | bundesliga |
Borussia Mönchengladbach
VfB Stuttgart
|
Home draw | 1x | 1.33 | 96.3% | 0.283 | 0.36u | Won | +0.12u |
| Jan 13, 2024 | bundesliga |
RB Leipzig
Eintracht Frankfurt
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.50 | 51.0% | 0.275 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jan 13, 2024 | epl |
Chelsea
Fulham
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 45.1% | 0.048 | 0.42u | Won | +0.38u |
| Jan 13, 2024 | epl |
Newcastle United
Manchester City
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 46.5% | 0.022 | 0.19u | Lost | -0.19u |
| Jan 12, 2024 | epl |
Burnley
Luton Town
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 42.9% | 0.090 | 0.79u | Won | +0.72u |
| Jan 2, 2024 | epl |
West Ham United
Brighton & Hove Albion
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 37.5% | 0.194 | 1.20u | Won | +1.09u |
| Jan 1, 2024 | epl |
Liverpool
Newcastle United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 45.0% | 0.049 | 0.43u | Lost | -0.43u |
| Jan 1, 2024 | epl |
Liverpool
Newcastle United
|
Result | home | 3.10 | 55.2% | 0.711 | 1.20u | Won | +2.52u |
| Dec 31, 2023 | epl |
Fulham
Arsenal
|
Result | away | 3.80 | 48.3% | 0.235 | 0.67u | Lost | -0.67u |
| Dec 31, 2023 | epl |
Fulham
Arsenal
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 38.9% | 0.167 | 0.76u | Lost | -0.76u |
| Dec 31, 2023 | epl |
Tottenham Hotspur
AFC Bournemouth
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 39.1% | 0.163 | 0.74u | Lost | -0.74u |
| Dec 30, 2023 | epl |
Aston Villa
Burnley
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 38.8% | 0.168 | 0.29u | Lost | -0.29u |
| Dec 30, 2023 | epl |
Manchester City
Sheffield United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 36.0% | 0.222 | 0.48u | Won | +0.44u |
| Dec 30, 2023 | epl |
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Everton
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 39.2% | 0.160 | 0.26u | Lost | -0.26u |
| Dec 30, 2023 | epl |
Crystal Palace
Brentford
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 36.1% | 0.220 | 0.47u | Lost | -0.47u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.