Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Jul 15, 2026 9:17 PM EDT
Result
primeiraliga
Vitória de Guimaraes
Arouca
away
Odds
3.60
Prob
34.5%
EV/u
0.328
Stake
0.45u
Lost
-0.45u
Result
primeiraliga
Gil Vicente
Estrela
away
Odds
4.20
Prob
31.8%
EV/u
0.552
Stake
0.41u
Lost
-0.41u
Result
primeiraliga
Benfica
Rio Ave
away
Odds
4.33
Prob
29.8%
EV/u
0.829
Stake
0.60u
Lost
-0.60u
Result
primeiraliga
Casa Pia
FC Famalicao
away
Odds
3.20
Prob
27.3%
EV/u
0.214
Stake
0.52u
Won
+1.14u
Result
primeiraliga
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
29.5%
EV/u
0.065
Stake
0.21u
Lost
-0.21u
Result
primeiraliga
Moreirense
Casa Pia
away
Odds
5.00
Prob
35.1%
EV/u
0.811
Stake
0.49u
Won
+1.96u
Result
primeiraliga
Estoril
draw
Odds
4.00
Prob
33.4%
EV/u
0.509
Stake
0.41u
Lost
-0.41u
Result
primeiraliga
Sporting CP
draw
Odds
3.30
Prob
34.8%
EV/u
0.232
Stake
0.54u
Lost
-0.54u
Result
primeiraliga
Moreirense
home
Odds
3.00
Prob
34.9%
EV/u
0.041
Stake
0.12u
Lost
-0.12u
Result
primeiraliga
Vitória de Guimaraes
Rio Ave
away
Odds
5.00
Prob
42.9%
EV/u
0.306
Stake
0.18u
Lost
-0.18u
Result
primeiraliga
Sporting CP
FC Porto
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
31.3%
EV/u
0.267
Stake
0.68u
Lost
-0.68u
Result
primeiraliga
Arouca
Rio Ave
away
Odds
3.75
Prob
41.5%
EV/u
0.141
Stake
0.18u
Lost
-0.18u
Result
primeiraliga
Estoril
away
Odds
4.00
Prob
42.1%
EV/u
0.291
Stake
0.23u
Lost
-0.23u
Result
primeiraliga
Braga
home
Odds
5.00
Prob
42.3%
EV/u
1.116
Stake
0.60u
Lost
-0.60u
Result
primeiraliga
Moreirense
Benfica
draw
Odds
4.33
Prob
41.0%
EV/u
0.149
Stake
0.11u
Won
+0.37u
Result
primeiraliga
Vitória de Guimaraes
away
Odds
3.30
Prob
42.4%
EV/u
0.045
Stake
0.11u
Won
+0.25u
Result
primeiraliga
Rio Ave
Estrela
draw
Odds
4.20
Prob
40.6%
EV/u
0.123
Stake
0.09u
Won
+0.29u
Result
primeiraliga
FC Famalicao
FC Porto
away
Odds
3.60
Prob
42.2%
EV/u
0.150
Stake
0.21u
Won
+0.55u
Result
primeiraliga
home
Odds
2.75
Prob
41.7%
EV/u
0.135
Stake
0.42u
Won
+0.74u
Result
primeiraliga
Arouca
Braga
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
34.7%
EV/u
0.345
Stake
0.44u
Lost
-0.44u
Result
primeiraliga
Gil Vicente
Rio Ave
draw
Odds
3.50
Prob
35.1%
EV/u
0.168
Stake
0.24u
Won
+0.60u
Result
primeiraliga
Benfica
Sporting CP
home
Odds
4.75
Prob
29.3%
EV/u
0.390
Stake
0.25u
Won
+0.94u
Result
primeiraliga
Vitória de Guimaraes
FC Porto
home
Odds
5.00
Prob
31.3%
EV/u
0.566
Stake
0.34u
Lost
-0.34u
Result
primeiraliga
draw
Odds
3.40
Prob
37.3%
EV/u
0.063
Stake
0.14u
Lost
-0.14u
Result
primeiraliga
FC Famalicao
home
Odds
3.25
Prob
34.6%
EV/u
0.115
Stake
0.28u
Lost
-0.28u
Result
primeiraliga
Estrela
Moreirense
draw
Odds
3.30
Prob
31.4%
EV/u
0.137
Stake
0.32u
Lost
-0.32u
Result
primeiraliga
Rio Ave
draw
Odds
3.25
Prob
33.2%
EV/u
0.031
Stake
0.08u
Lost
-0.08u
Result
primeiraliga
FC Porto
draw
Odds
4.75
Prob
33.9%
EV/u
0.409
Stake
0.26u
Lost
-0.26u
Result
primeiraliga
Estrela
FC Famalicao
draw
Odds
3.30
Prob
35.1%
EV/u
0.090
Stake
0.21u
Lost
-0.21u
Result
primeiraliga
Benfica
Casa Pia
draw
Odds
4.00
Prob
34.3%
EV/u
0.326
Stake
0.26u
Won
+0.78u
Result
primeiraliga
Vitória de Guimaraes
draw
Odds
3.75
Prob
34.7%
EV/u
0.234
Stake
0.31u
Lost
-0.31u
Result
primeiraliga
Gil Vicente
Braga
draw
Odds
4.20
Prob
29.9%
EV/u
0.310
Stake
0.23u
Won
+0.74u
Result
primeiraliga
Casa Pia
Estrela
away
Odds
3.30
Prob
36.4%
EV/u
0.188
Stake
0.44u
Won
+1.01u
Result
primeiraliga
Gil Vicente
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
34.0%
EV/u
0.045
Stake
0.12u
Lost
-0.12u
Result
primeiraliga
Estoril
Benfica
away
Odds
3.20
Prob
36.2%
EV/u
0.172
Stake
0.42u
Won
+0.92u
Result
primeiraliga
Moreirense
away
Odds
3.60
Prob
35.1%
EV/u
0.314
Stake
0.44u
Lost
-0.44u
Result
primeiraliga
Vitória de Guimaraes
Estoril
away
Odds
4.50
Prob
35.9%
EV/u
0.651
Stake
0.45u
Lost
-0.45u
Result
primeiraliga
Arouca
away
Odds
4.00
Prob
37.3%
EV/u
0.425
Stake
0.34u
Won
+1.02u
Result
primeiraliga
FC Famalicao
away
Odds
2.88
Prob
35.0%
EV/u
0.036
Stake
0.11u
Lost
-0.11u
Result
primeiraliga
draw
Odds
5.00
Prob
33.0%
EV/u
0.381
Stake
0.23u
Lost
-0.23u
Result
primeiraliga
Benfica
FC Porto
away
Odds
4.00
Prob
36.1%
EV/u
0.469
Stake
0.38u
Lost
-0.38u
Result
primeiraliga
Estrela
Braga
home
Odds
4.33
Prob
33.1%
EV/u
0.434
Stake
0.31u
Lost
-0.31u
Result
primeiraliga
Vitória de Guimaraes
draw
Odds
4.00
Prob
35.1%
EV/u
0.300
Stake
0.24u
Lost
-0.24u
Result
primeiraliga
Sporting CP
Moreirense
draw
Odds
3.50
Prob
37.2%
EV/u
0.071
Stake
0.10u
Lost
-0.10u
Result
primeiraliga
Gil Vicente
Estoril
draw
Odds
3.20
Prob
32.7%
EV/u
0.053
Stake
0.13u
Lost
-0.13u
Result
primeiraliga
Arouca
Casa Pia
draw
Odds
3.50
Prob
33.4%
EV/u
0.201
Stake
0.29u
Lost
-0.29u
Result
primeiraliga
Rio Ave
FC Famalicao
draw
Odds
3.30
Prob
33.7%
EV/u
0.110
Stake
0.26u
Won
+0.60u
Result
primeiraliga
Braga
draw
Odds
5.00
Prob
34.2%
EV/u
0.421
Stake
0.25u
Lost
-0.25u
Result
primeiraliga
Benfica
home
Odds
4.50
Prob
34.8%
EV/u
0.568
Stake
0.39u
Lost
-0.39u
Result
primeiraliga
Estrela
FC Porto
draw
Odds
4.33
Prob
32.1%
EV/u
0.415
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Result
primeiraliga
Moreirense
Braga
home
Odds
3.60
Prob
32.2%
EV/u
0.159
Stake
0.22u
Lost
-0.22u
Result
primeiraliga
Vitória de Guimaraes
draw
Odds
3.30
Prob
60.4%
EV/u
0.148
Stake
0.35u
Lost
-0.35u
Result
primeiraliga
Gil Vicente
Benfica
away
Odds
4.75
Prob
49.8%
EV/u
0.204
Stake
0.13u
Won
+0.49u
Result
primeiraliga
Arouca
draw
Odds
3.40
Prob
49.6%
EV/u
0.132
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.72u
Result
primeiraliga
Gil Vicente
Benfica
draw
Odds
3.60
Prob
55.3%
EV/u
0.091
Stake
0.13u
Lost
-0.13u
Result
primeiraliga
FC Famalicao
Moreirense
draw
Odds
3.30
Prob
48.8%
EV/u
0.132
Stake
0.31u
Won
+0.71u
Result
primeiraliga
home
Odds
3.00
Prob
40.6%
EV/u
0.202
Stake
0.54u
Lost
-0.54u
Result
primeiraliga
Benfica
Estrela
draw
Odds
4.33
Prob
47.9%
EV/u
0.116
Stake
0.08u
Lost
-0.08u
Result
primeiraliga
Moreirense
FC Porto
draw
Odds
4.75
Prob
35.1%
EV/u
0.126
Stake
0.08u
Lost
-0.08u
Result
primeiraliga
Arouca
Estoril
draw
Odds
3.30
Prob
43.9%
EV/u
0.024
Stake
0.06u
Lost
-0.06u
Result
primeiraliga
Gil Vicente
away
Odds
4.20
Prob
46.7%
EV/u
0.213
Stake
0.16u
Lost
-0.16u
Result
primeiraliga
Braga
home
Odds
3.00
Prob
51.0%
EV/u
0.500
Stake
1.32u
Won
+2.64u
Result
primeiraliga
Gil Vicente
Casa Pia
draw
Odds
3.40
Prob
39.6%
EV/u
0.091
Stake
0.18u
Lost
-0.18u
Result
primeiraliga
Braga
Santa Clara
home
Odds
3.10
Prob
47.8%
EV/u
0.454
Stake
1.15u
Won
+2.42u
Result
primeiraliga
Sporting CP
draw
Odds
3.40
Prob
48.9%
EV/u
0.183
Stake
0.41u
Lost
-0.41u
Result
primeiraliga
FC Famalicao
draw
Odds
4.75
Prob
37.1%
EV/u
0.233
Stake
0.15u
Lost
-0.15u
Result
primeiraliga
Rio Ave
away
Odds
4.20
Prob
45.8%
EV/u
0.105
Stake
0.08u
Lost
-0.08u
Result
primeiraliga
Benfica
Braga
draw
Odds
4.20
Prob
43.3%
EV/u
0.211
Stake
0.16u
Lost
-0.16u
Result
primeiraliga
Santa Clara
Gil Vicente
draw
Odds
3.20
Prob
46.4%
EV/u
0.082
Stake
0.21u
Lost
-0.21u
Result
primeiraliga
FC Porto
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
45.0%
EV/u
0.090
Stake
0.24u
Won
+0.50u
Result
primeiraliga
Rio Ave
away
Odds
3.80
Prob
45.7%
EV/u
0.190
Stake
0.24u
Lost
-0.24u
Result
primeiraliga
FC Famalicao
Vitória de Guimaraes
away
Odds
4.33
Prob
42.8%
EV/u
0.396
Stake
0.29u
Lost
-0.29u
Result
primeiraliga
Santa Clara
draw
Odds
3.30
Prob
38.0%
EV/u
0.251
Stake
0.58u
Lost
-0.58u
Result
primeiraliga
Santa Clara
Vitória de Guimaraes
draw
Odds
4.00
Prob
44.1%
EV/u
0.318
Stake
0.25u
Lost
-0.25u
Result
primeiraliga
Benfica
FC Famalicao
draw
Odds
3.10
Prob
34.9%
EV/u
0.099
Stake
0.25u
Lost
-0.25u
Result
primeiraliga
Sporting CP
Estoril
home
Odds
4.00
Prob
38.4%
EV/u
0.536
Stake
0.43u
Won
+1.29u
Result
primeiraliga
Santa Clara
FC Famalicao
draw
Odds
4.50
Prob
42.1%
EV/u
0.340
Stake
0.23u
Lost
-0.23u
Result
primeiraliga
Estoril
away
Odds
4.00
Prob
37.6%
EV/u
0.410
Stake
0.33u
Won
+0.99u
Result
primeiraliga
Rio Ave
Sporting CP
draw
Odds
4.33
Prob
33.5%
EV/u
0.152
Stake
0.11u
Lost
-0.11u
Result
primeiraliga
away
Odds
3.40
Prob
34.5%
EV/u
0.090
Stake
0.20u
Lost
-0.20u
Result
primeiraliga
Casa Pia
Santa Clara
draw
Odds
3.40
Prob
42.0%
EV/u
0.117
Stake
0.26u
Lost
-0.26u
Result
primeiraliga
draw
Odds
3.40
Prob
41.2%
EV/u
0.086
Stake
0.19u
Lost
-0.19u
Result
primeiraliga
FC Famalicao
Rio Ave
draw
Odds
3.20
Prob
41.8%
EV/u
0.163
Stake
0.40u
Won
+0.88u
Result
primeiraliga
Braga
draw
Odds
4.50
Prob
38.5%
EV/u
0.393
Stake
0.27u
Lost
-0.27u
Result
primeiraliga
Arouca
draw
Odds
3.30
Prob
39.7%
EV/u
0.058
Stake
0.14u
Lost
-0.14u
Result
primeiraliga
Gil Vicente
draw
Odds
4.75
Prob
37.8%
EV/u
0.377
Stake
0.24u
Lost
-0.24u
Result
primeiraliga
Casa Pia
FC Porto
away
Odds
4.00
Prob
38.8%
EV/u
0.182
Stake
0.15u
Lost
-0.15u
Result
primeiraliga
Arouca
Estoril
away
Odds
4.00
Prob
37.1%
EV/u
0.284
Stake
0.23u
Lost
-0.23u
Result
primeiraliga
Braga
Benfica
home
Odds
5.00
Prob
39.0%
EV/u
0.950
Stake
0.57u
Won
+2.28u
Result
primeiraliga
Rio Ave
away
Odds
3.75
Prob
39.1%
EV/u
0.168
Stake
0.22u
Lost
-0.22u
Result
primeiraliga
Estoril
Benfica
draw
Odds
3.10
Prob
29.4%
EV/u
0.151
Stake
0.38u
Lost
-0.38u
Result
primeiraliga
Arouca
draw
Odds
5.00
Prob
39.0%
EV/u
0.332
Stake
0.20u
Lost
-0.20u
Result
primeiraliga
Vitória de Guimaraes
FC Famalicao
away
Odds
3.00
Prob
36.2%
EV/u
0.066
Stake
0.18u
Lost
-0.18u
Result
primeiraliga
Casa Pia
Rio Ave
away
Odds
3.00
Prob
29.1%
EV/u
0.254
Stake
0.68u
Lost
-0.68u
Result
primeiraliga
away
Odds
3.20
Prob
33.4%
EV/u
0.076
Stake
0.19u
Won
+0.42u
Result
primeiraliga
Braga
draw
Odds
4.75
Prob
33.8%
EV/u
0.566
Stake
0.36u
Lost
-0.36u
Result
primeiraliga
Casa Pia
away
Odds
4.50
Prob
33.2%
EV/u
0.506
Stake
0.35u
Won
+1.23u
Result
primeiraliga
Vitória de Guimaraes
draw
Odds
5.00
Prob
33.1%
EV/u
0.675
Stake
0.41u
Lost
-0.41u
Result
primeiraliga
Benfica
Rio Ave
home
Odds
3.30
Prob
33.3%
EV/u
0.090
Stake
0.21u
Won
+0.48u
Result
primeiraliga
Estoril
FC Porto
draw
Odds
5.00
Prob
28.3%
EV/u
0.534
Stake
0.32u
Won
+1.28u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.