Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Jul 15, 2026 9:17 PM EDT
Result
primeiraliga
Boavista
Sporting CP
draw
Odds
4.50
Prob
29.7%
EV/u
0.335
Stake
0.23u
Lost
-0.23u
Result
primeiraliga
Portimonense
GD Chaves
away
Odds
3.30
Prob
34.8%
EV/u
0.094
Stake
0.22u
Lost
-0.22u
Result
primeiraliga
Casa Pia
Arouca
away
Odds
2.88
Prob
35.4%
EV/u
0.068
Stake
0.20u
Lost
-0.20u
Result
primeiraliga
Braga
Vitória de Guimaraes
draw
Odds
4.75
Prob
38.8%
EV/u
0.249
Stake
0.16u
Lost
-0.16u
Result
primeiraliga
Estoril
Sporting CP
draw
Odds
4.75
Prob
28.4%
EV/u
0.339
Stake
0.22u
Lost
-0.22u
Result
primeiraliga
Sporting CP
GD Chaves
draw
Odds
5.00
Prob
31.8%
EV/u
0.163
Stake
0.10u
Lost
-0.10u
Result
primeiraliga
Paços de Ferreira
Estoril
away
Odds
3.00
Prob
33.2%
EV/u
0.093
Stake
0.25u
Won
+0.50u
Result
primeiraliga
Vitória de Guimaraes
Estoril
draw
Odds
3.30
Prob
33.3%
EV/u
0.571
Stake
1.31u
Lost
-1.31u
Result
primeiraliga
FC Famalicao
Braga
home
Odds
4.20
Prob
35.9%
EV/u
0.506
Stake
0.38u
Lost
-0.38u
Result
primeiraliga
Braga
Sporting CP
draw
Odds
3.20
Prob
32.9%
EV/u
0.609
Stake
1.33u
Won
+2.93u
Result
primeiraliga
Santa Clara
Casa Pia
draw
Odds
3.20
Prob
37.7%
EV/u
0.191
Stake
0.17u
Won
+0.37u
Result
primeiraliga
Sporting CP
Santa Clara
draw
Odds
3.40
Prob
30.8%
EV/u
0.180
Stake
0.40u
Lost
-0.40u
Result
primeiraliga
Tondela
Boavista
draw
Odds
3.50
Prob
31.4%
EV/u
0.282
Stake
0.41u
Won
+1.03u
Result
primeiraliga
Arouca
Belenenses
home
Odds
4.75
Prob
30.0%
EV/u
0.423
Stake
0.27u
Lost
-0.27u
Result
primeiraliga
Paços de Ferreira
Benfica
draw
Odds
3.60
Prob
30.4%
EV/u
0.204
Stake
0.28u
Lost
-0.28u
Result
primeiraliga
Moreirense
Boavista
draw
Odds
3.20
Prob
34.1%
EV/u
0.098
Stake
0.24u
Lost
-0.24u
Result
primeiraliga
Arouca
Portimonense
away
Odds
4.33
Prob
34.7%
EV/u
0.302
Stake
0.22u
Lost
-0.22u
Result
primeiraliga
Maritimo
Benfica
draw
Odds
4.20
Prob
34.5%
EV/u
0.431
Stake
0.32u
Lost
-0.32u
Result
primeiraliga
FC Porto
Vizela
home
Odds
4.33
Prob
34.4%
EV/u
0.489
Stake
0.35u
Won
+1.17u
Result
primeiraliga
Boavista
Sporting CP
draw
Odds
4.20
Prob
34.0%
EV/u
0.401
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Result
primeiraliga
Braga
FC Porto
home
Odds
4.50
Prob
34.7%
EV/u
0.563
Stake
0.39u
Won
+1.37u
Result
primeiraliga
Tondela
Vitória de Guimaraes
draw
Odds
3.30
Prob
34.5%
EV/u
0.139
Stake
0.33u
Won
+0.76u
Result
primeiraliga
Estoril
Belenenses
away
Odds
4.00
Prob
35.2%
EV/u
0.201
Stake
0.16u
Lost
-0.16u
Result
primeiraliga
Gil Vicente
Paços de Ferreira
draw
Odds
3.20
Prob
35.4%
EV/u
0.130
Stake
0.32u
Won
+0.70u
Result
primeiraliga
Estoril
Braga
home
Odds
3.25
Prob
34.8%
EV/u
0.120
Stake
0.29u
Lost
-0.29u
Result
primeiraliga
Vizela
Braga
draw
Odds
4.50
Prob
35.7%
EV/u
0.257
Stake
0.18u
Lost
-0.18u
Result
primeiraliga
Boavista
Arouca
draw
Odds
4.75
Prob
36.0%
EV/u
0.337
Stake
0.22u
Lost
-0.22u
Result
primeiraliga
Tondela
Sporting CP
away
Odds
3.60
Prob
35.7%
EV/u
0.278
Stake
0.38u
Won
+0.99u
Result
primeiraliga
Benfica
Belenenses
draw
Odds
4.50
Prob
35.8%
EV/u
0.272
Stake
0.19u
Lost
-0.19u
Result
primeiraliga
Maritimo
Tondela
home
Odds
3.10
Prob
36.0%
EV/u
0.106
Stake
0.27u
Lost
-0.27u
Result
primeiraliga
Moreirense
Vitória de Guimaraes
away
Odds
3.40
Prob
35.5%
EV/u
0.199
Stake
0.44u
Won
+1.06u
Result
primeiraliga
FC Famalicao
Boavista
home
Odds
3.00
Prob
36.1%
EV/u
0.075
Stake
0.20u
Lost
-0.20u
Result
primeiraliga
Portimonense
Braga
draw
Odds
3.20
Prob
28.8%
EV/u
0.233
Stake
0.54u
Lost
-0.54u
Result
primeiraliga
Gil Vicente
Maritimo
draw
Odds
4.75
Prob
31.8%
EV/u
0.766
Stake
0.49u
Won
+1.84u
Result
primeiraliga
Boavista
FC Porto
draw
Odds
3.30
Prob
28.9%
EV/u
0.223
Stake
0.47u
Lost
-0.47u
Result
primeiraliga
Vitória de Guimaraes
Sporting CP
draw
Odds
2.90
Prob
26.2%
EV/u
0.129
Stake
0.37u
Lost
-0.37u
Result
primeiraliga
Santa Clara
Belenenses
draw
Odds
3.50
Prob
28.7%
EV/u
0.331
Stake
0.48u
Won
+1.20u
Result
primeiraliga
Moreirense
Sporting CP
draw
Odds
4.50
Prob
27.4%
EV/u
0.736
Stake
0.50u
Lost
-0.50u
Result
primeiraliga
Braga
Gil Vicente
draw
Odds
4.75
Prob
31.7%
EV/u
0.799
Stake
0.51u
Lost
-0.51u
Result
primeiraliga
Maritimo
Vitória de Guimaraes
draw
Odds
3.10
Prob
28.1%
EV/u
0.192
Stake
0.49u
Lost
-0.49u
Result
primeiraliga
Arouca
Paços de Ferreira
draw
Odds
3.10
Prob
28.1%
EV/u
0.209
Stake
0.40u
Lost
-0.40u
Result
primeiraliga
Belenenses
Boavista
draw
Odds
3.25
Prob
27.6%
EV/u
0.290
Stake
0.67u
Won
+1.51u
Result
primeiraliga
Estoril
Portimonense
draw
Odds
3.25
Prob
28.6%
EV/u
0.223
Stake
0.43u
Lost
-0.43u
Result
primeiraliga
Tondela
Belenenses
away
Odds
4.33
Prob
29.2%
EV/u
0.394
Stake
0.28u
Lost
-0.28u
Result
primeiraliga
Estoril
Boavista
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
28.3%
EV/u
0.126
Stake
0.32u
Won
+0.67u
Result
primeiraliga
Vizela
Portimonense
draw
Odds
3.10
Prob
29.9%
EV/u
0.089
Stake
0.23u
Won
+0.48u
Result
primeiraliga
Maritimo
Sporting CP
draw
Odds
4.00
Prob
27.2%
EV/u
0.356
Stake
0.28u
Won
+0.84u
Result
primeiraliga
Arouca
Moreirense
draw
Odds
2.90
Prob
21.1%
EV/u
0.321
Stake
0.90u
Won
+1.71u
Result
primeiraliga
Moreirense
FC Porto
draw
Odds
4.75
Prob
39.2%
EV/u
0.388
Stake
0.25u
Lost
-0.25u
Result
primeiraliga
Tondela
Braga
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
23.4%
EV/u
0.328
Stake
0.42u
Lost
-0.42u
Result
primeiraliga
Sporting CP
Estoril
draw
Odds
5.00
Prob
29.5%
EV/u
0.716
Stake
0.43u
Lost
-0.43u
Result
primeiraliga
Vitória de Guimaraes
Arouca
away
Odds
4.33
Prob
26.3%
EV/u
0.619
Stake
0.45u
Won
+1.50u
Result
primeiraliga
Boavista
Benfica
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
25.8%
EV/u
0.398
Stake
0.51u
Won
+1.43u
Result
primeiraliga
Arouca
Maritimo
away
Odds
3.60
Prob
24.9%
EV/u
0.410
Stake
0.57u
Won
+1.48u
Result
primeiraliga
Gil Vicente
Santa Clara
draw
Odds
4.33
Prob
32.2%
EV/u
0.550
Stake
0.40u
Won
+1.33u
Result
primeiraliga
Paços de Ferreira
Portimonense
draw
Odds
3.60
Prob
32.0%
EV/u
0.316
Stake
0.44u
Won
+1.14u
Result
primeiraliga
Vitória de Guimaraes
Braga
draw
Odds
3.00
Prob
33.5%
EV/u
0.186
Stake
0.50u
Lost
-0.50u
Result
primeiraliga
Maritimo
Estoril
draw
Odds
3.00
Prob
31.7%
EV/u
0.152
Stake
0.41u
Won
+0.82u
Result
primeiraliga
Portimonense
Tondela
draw
Odds
3.40
Prob
33.8%
EV/u
0.262
Stake
0.58u
Lost
-0.58u
Result
primeiraliga
Vizela
Vitória de Guimaraes
draw
Odds
4.75
Prob
34.8%
EV/u
0.803
Stake
0.51u
Lost
-0.51u
Result
primeiraliga
Estoril
Arouca
draw
Odds
3.40
Prob
31.7%
EV/u
0.345
Stake
0.76u
Lost
-0.76u
Result
primeiraliga
Benfica
Moreirense
draw
Odds
5.00
Prob
34.0%
EV/u
0.676
Stake
0.41u
Won
+1.64u
Result
primeiraliga
Braga
FC Famalicao
away
Odds
4.20
Prob
30.7%
EV/u
0.373
Stake
0.28u
Lost
-0.28u
Result
primeiraliga
Estoril
FC Porto
draw
Odds
3.30
Prob
30.9%
EV/u
0.224
Stake
0.52u
Lost
-0.52u
Result
primeiraliga
Boavista
Moreirense
draw
Odds
3.00
Prob
27.4%
EV/u
0.078
Stake
0.21u
Lost
-0.21u
Result
primeiraliga
Portimonense
Arouca
draw
Odds
3.20
Prob
30.7%
EV/u
0.167
Stake
0.41u
Won
+0.90u
Result
primeiraliga
Gil Vicente
Sporting CP
draw
Odds
3.20
Prob
28.9%
EV/u
0.307
Stake
0.74u
Lost
-0.74u
Result
primeiraliga
Gil Vicente
FC Famalicao
draw
Odds
4.33
Prob
39.6%
EV/u
0.303
Stake
0.22u
Lost
-0.22u
Result
primeiraliga
Boavista
Maritimo
home
Odds
2.88
Prob
38.2%
EV/u
0.092
Stake
0.27u
Lost
-0.27u
Result
primeiraliga
Portimonense
FC Porto
draw
Odds
3.40
Prob
40.0%
EV/u
0.078
Stake
0.18u
Lost
-0.18u
Result
primeiraliga
Benfica
Sporting CP
draw
Odds
4.20
Prob
39.2%
EV/u
0.212
Stake
0.16u
Lost
-0.16u
Result
primeiraliga
Maritimo
Paços de Ferreira
draw
Odds
3.20
Prob
38.0%
EV/u
0.028
Stake
0.07u
Lost
-0.07u
Result
primeiraliga
Arouca
Boavista
away
Odds
3.75
Prob
37.8%
EV/u
0.065
Stake
0.09u
Lost
-0.09u
Result
primeiraliga
Paços de Ferreira
Sporting CP
away
Odds
5.00
Prob
43.0%
EV/u
0.601
Stake
0.36u
Won
+1.44u
Result
primeiraliga
Santa Clara
FC Porto
away
Odds
4.00
Prob
41.1%
EV/u
0.318
Stake
0.25u
Won
+0.75u
Result
primeiraliga
Benfica
Braga
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
32.2%
EV/u
0.131
Stake
0.17u
Lost
-0.17u
Result
primeiraliga
Vitória de Guimaraes
Moreirense
away
Odds
5.00
Prob
41.5%
EV/u
0.668
Stake
0.40u
Lost
-0.40u
Result
primeiraliga
Portimonense
Belenenses
draw
Odds
4.00
Prob
40.3%
EV/u
0.150
Stake
0.12u
Lost
-0.12u
Result
primeiraliga
Moreirense
Paços de Ferreira
draw
Odds
4.20
Prob
40.2%
EV/u
0.272
Stake
0.20u
Won
+0.64u
Result
primeiraliga
FC Porto
Boavista
draw
Odds
4.33
Prob
42.1%
EV/u
0.116
Stake
0.08u
Lost
-0.08u
Result
primeiraliga
Sporting CP
Vitória de Guimaraes
draw
Odds
4.50
Prob
41.3%
EV/u
0.185
Stake
0.13u
Lost
-0.13u
Result
primeiraliga
Gil Vicente
Braga
away
Odds
4.00
Prob
41.4%
EV/u
0.358
Stake
0.29u
Won
+0.87u
Result
primeiraliga
Portimonense
Estoril
away
Odds
3.80
Prob
39.3%
EV/u
0.294
Stake
0.38u
Won
+1.06u
Result
primeiraliga
Belenenses
Tondela
draw
Odds
3.20
Prob
15.3%
EV/u
0.671
Stake
0.93u
Lost
-0.93u
Result
primeiraliga
Estoril
Gil Vicente
draw
Odds
4.75
Prob
19.8%
EV/u
1.838
Stake
0.57u
Won
+2.14u
Result
primeiraliga
Arouca
Sporting CP
draw
Odds
4.75
Prob
12.2%
EV/u
0.900
Stake
0.58u
Lost
-0.58u
Result
primeiraliga
Maritimo
Moreirense
draw
Odds
3.10
Prob
11.3%
EV/u
1.236
Stake
1.50u
Won
+3.15u
Result
primeiraliga
Paços de Ferreira
Belenenses
draw
Odds
3.40
Prob
11.8%
EV/u
1.286
Stake
1.00u
Won
+2.40u
Result
primeiraliga
Boavista
Estoril
draw
Odds
3.00
Prob
11.0%
EV/u
0.688
Stake
0.50u
Won
+1.00u
Result
primeiraliga
Paços de Ferreira
Belenenses
away
Odds
5.00
Prob
22.2%
EV/u
0.582
Stake
0.35u
Lost
-0.35u
Result
primeiraliga
Vitória de Guimaraes
Benfica
draw
Odds
3.25
Prob
19.6%
EV/u
0.876
Stake
0.90u
Lost
-0.90u
Result
primeiraliga
Moreirense
Arouca
draw
Odds
3.75
Prob
9.2%
EV/u
0.747
Stake
0.60u
Lost
-0.60u
Result
primeiraliga
Sporting CP
Maritimo
draw
Odds
5.00
Prob
42.2%
EV/u
1.403
Stake
0.60u
Lost
-0.60u
Result
primeiraliga
Estoril
Sporting CP
draw
Odds
4.00
Prob
9.3%
EV/u
0.790
Stake
0.60u
Lost
-0.60u
Result
primeiraliga
Arouca
Vitória de Guimaraes
draw
Odds
3.30
Prob
32.8%
EV/u
0.359
Stake
0.83u
Won
+1.91u
Result
primeiraliga
Tondela
Estoril
draw
Odds
3.20
Prob
7.3%
EV/u
1.551
Stake
1.13u
Lost
-1.13u
Result
primeiraliga
Maritimo
Arouca
draw
Odds
3.25
Prob
21.3%
EV/u
0.489
Stake
0.37u
Won
+0.83u
Result
primeiraliga
Vitória de Guimaraes
Belenenses
draw
Odds
4.20
Prob
9.2%
EV/u
2.017
Stake
0.57u
Won
+1.82u
Result
primeiraliga
Gil Vicente
Vizela
draw
Odds
3.10
Prob
18.8%
EV/u
0.852
Stake
0.93u
Won
+1.95u
Result
primeiraliga
Paços de Ferreira
Braga
draw
Odds
3.50
Prob
9.7%
EV/u
0.502
Stake
0.72u
Won
+1.80u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.