Case Archive

Historical Audit

Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.

Last synced: Apr 5, 2026 4:25 PM EDT

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Date	Sport	Game	Market	Pick	Odds	Prob	EV/Unit	Units	Result	PnL
Dec 30, 2023	epl	Nottingham Forest Manchester United	Result	away	3.75	46.9%	0.196	0.22u	Lost	-0.22u
Dec 30, 2023	epl	Manchester City Sheffield United	Result	home	2.90	43.4%	0.258	0.46u	Won	+0.87u
Dec 30, 2023	epl	Crystal Palace Brentford	Result	home	3.20	42.9%	0.372	0.82u	Won	+1.80u
Dec 28, 2023	epl	Arsenal West Ham United	Result	home	2.50	50.1%	0.252	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Dec 28, 2023	epl	Brighton & Hove Albion Tottenham Hotspur	Total over	under	1.91	46.1%	0.028	0.25u	Lost	-0.25u
Dec 28, 2023	epl	Arsenal West Ham United	Total over	under	1.91	41.3%	0.121	1.07u	Won	+0.97u
Dec 27, 2023	epl	Chelsea Crystal Palace	Total over	under	1.91	39.6%	0.153	0.52u	Lost	-0.52u
Dec 27, 2023	epl	Everton Manchester City	Total over	under	1.91	37.1%	0.200	0.85u	Lost	-0.85u
Dec 27, 2023	epl	Brentford Wolverhampton Wanderers	Total over	under	1.91	44.2%	0.066	0.13u	Lost	-0.13u
Dec 27, 2023	epl	Chelsea Crystal Palace	Result	home	2.20	52.4%	0.153	0.74u	Won	+0.89u
Dec 27, 2023	epl	Everton Manchester City	Result	away	4.75	56.1%	0.356	0.76u	Won	+2.85u
Dec 26, 2023	epl	AFC Bournemouth Fulham	Result	home	5.00	38.9%	0.944	1.00u	Won	+4.00u
Dec 26, 2023	epl	Sheffield United Luton Town	Result	away	3.10	35.5%	0.433	0.35u	Won	+0.74u
Dec 26, 2023	epl	Burnley Liverpool	Result	draw	5.00	40.1%	0.343	0.15u	Lost	-0.15u
Dec 26, 2023	epl	AFC Bournemouth Fulham	Total over	under	1.91	37.9%	0.185	0.34u	Lost	-0.34u
Dec 26, 2023	epl	Burnley Liverpool	Total over	under	1.91	33.2%	0.275	0.70u	Won	+0.64u
Dec 26, 2023	epl	Manchester United Aston Villa	Total over	under	1.91	38.4%	0.177	0.31u	Lost	-0.31u
Dec 26, 2023	epl	Newcastle United Nottingham Forest	Total over	under	1.91	41.6%	0.115	0.15u	Lost	-0.15u
Dec 24, 2023	epl	Wolverhampton Wanderers Chelsea	Total over	under	1.91	40.6%	0.135	1.19u	Lost	-1.19u
Dec 23, 2023	epl	Liverpool Arsenal	Total over	under	1.91	42.7%	0.094	0.15u	Won	+0.14u
Dec 23, 2023	epl	Luton Town Newcastle United	Total over	under	1.91	39.0%	0.165	0.40u	Won	+0.36u
Dec 23, 2023	epl	Nottingham Forest AFC Bournemouth	Total over	under	1.91	35.2%	0.238	0.78u	Lost	-0.78u
Dec 23, 2023	epl	Fulham Burnley	Total over	under	1.91	42.4%	0.101	0.17u	Won	+0.15u
Dec 23, 2023	epl	Liverpool Arsenal	Result	home	2.45	44.6%	0.092	0.06u	Lost	-0.06u
Dec 23, 2023	epl	Luton Town Newcastle United	Result	away	4.33	47.5%	0.431	0.50u	Lost	-0.50u
Dec 23, 2023	epl	Nottingham Forest AFC Bournemouth	Result	home	2.90	38.4%	0.115	0.06u	Lost	-0.06u
Dec 23, 2023	epl	Fulham Burnley	Result	home	2.10	66.9%	0.404	0.88u	Lost	-0.88u
Dec 22, 2023	epl	Aston Villa Sheffield United	Total over	under	1.91	44.2%	0.064	0.57u	Won	+0.52u
Dec 21, 2023	epl	Crystal Palace Brighton & Hove Albion	Total over	over	1.91	61.1%	0.167	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Dec 21, 2023	epl	Crystal Palace Brighton & Hove Albion	Result	home	3.40	44.3%	0.505	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Dec 20, 2023	bundesliga	1. FC Heidenheim 1846 SC Freiburg	Home draw	1x	2.50	70.5%	0.762	1.20u	Won	+1.80u
Dec 20, 2023	bundesliga	VfB Stuttgart FC Augsburg	Home draw	1x	1.62	67.4%	0.089	0.30u	Won	+0.18u
Dec 19, 2023	bundesliga	Werder Bremen RB Leipzig	Home draw	1x	2.38	67.4%	0.602	1.20u	Won	+1.65u
Dec 17, 2023	epl	West Ham United Wolverhampton Wanderers	Result	home	3.00	44.9%	0.348	1.00u	Won	+2.00u
Dec 17, 2023	epl	Liverpool Manchester United	Result	away	4.00	45.9%	0.287	0.50u	Lost	-0.50u
Dec 17, 2023	epl	Arsenal Brighton & Hove Albion	Total over	under	1.91	43.3%	0.082	0.21u	Won	+0.19u
Dec 17, 2023	epl	Liverpool Manchester United	Total over	under	1.91	35.9%	0.225	1.18u	Won	+1.07u
Dec 17, 2023	epl	Brentford Aston Villa	Total over	over	1.91	55.3%	0.056	0.11u	Won	+0.10u
Dec 16, 2023	epl	Chelsea Sheffield United	Total over	over	1.91	69.8%	0.333	0.63u	Lost	-0.63u
Dec 16, 2023	epl	Burnley Everton	Total over	under	1.91	35.8%	0.225	0.30u	Won	+0.27u
Dec 16, 2023	epl	Manchester City Crystal Palace	Total over	over	1.91	69.0%	0.316	0.57u	Won	+0.52u
Dec 16, 2023	epl	Burnley Everton	Result	away	4.00	44.8%	0.287	0.77u	Won	+2.31u
Dec 16, 2023	epl	Manchester City Crystal Palace	Result	home	2.40	45.5%	0.093	0.53u	Lost	-0.53u
Dec 16, 2023	bundesliga	SV Darmstadt 98 VfL Wolfsburg	Home draw	1x	1.70	67.4%	0.146	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Dec 15, 2023	epl	Nottingham Forest Tottenham Hotspur	Result	home	3.20	45.8%	0.466	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Dec 15, 2023	epl	Nottingham Forest Tottenham Hotspur	Total over	under	1.91	42.7%	0.094	0.83u	Won	+0.75u
Dec 10, 2023	epl	Luton Town Manchester City	Total over	over	1.91	62.5%	0.193	0.25u	Lost	-0.25u
Dec 10, 2023	epl	Fulham West Ham United	Total over	under	1.91	29.9%	0.338	0.70u	Lost	-0.70u
Dec 10, 2023	epl	Tottenham Hotspur Newcastle United	Total over	over	1.91	59.8%	0.141	0.14u	Won	+0.13u
Dec 10, 2023	epl	Everton Chelsea	Total over	under	1.91	34.4%	0.253	0.41u	Won	+0.37u
Dec 10, 2023	epl	Everton Chelsea	Result	home	4.75	45.1%	1.142	1.20u	Won	+4.50u
Dec 9, 2023	epl	Wolverhampton Wanderers Nottingham Forest	Result	home	2.88	43.7%	0.259	0.16u	Lost	-0.16u
Dec 9, 2023	epl	Crystal Palace Liverpool	Result	away	4.00	45.5%	0.287	0.14u	Won	+0.42u
Dec 9, 2023	epl	Sheffield United Brentford	Result	home	4.33	44.6%	0.931	1.20u	Won	+4.00u
Dec 9, 2023	bundesliga	Eintracht Frankfurt Bayern Munich	Home draw	1x	3.40	63.0%	1.143	1.20u	Won	+2.88u
Dec 9, 2023	epl	Aston Villa Arsenal	Total over	under	1.91	38.4%	0.175	0.24u	Won	+0.22u
Dec 9, 2023	epl	Manchester United AFC Bournemouth	Total over	under	1.91	35.9%	0.223	0.38u	Won	+0.35u
Dec 9, 2023	epl	Brighton & Hove Albion Burnley	Total over	under	1.91	31.0%	0.317	0.72u	Won	+0.65u
Dec 9, 2023	epl	Sheffield United Brentford	Total over	under	1.91	40.3%	0.140	0.16u	Won	+0.15u
Dec 7, 2023	epl	Everton Newcastle United	Total over	under	1.91	41.9%	0.109	0.96u	Lost	-0.96u
Dec 7, 2023	epl	Tottenham Hotspur West Ham United	Total over	under	1.91	45.4%	0.042	0.37u	Won	+0.34u
Dec 7, 2023	epl	Everton Newcastle United	Result	away	4.75	45.0%	0.548	0.85u	Lost	-0.85u
Dec 7, 2023	epl	Tottenham Hotspur West Ham United	Result	home	3.10	44.3%	0.373	0.65u	Lost	-0.65u
Dec 6, 2023	epl	Brighton & Hove Albion Brentford	Result	home	2.75	44.2%	0.215	0.31u	Won	+0.54u
Dec 6, 2023	epl	Fulham Nottingham Forest	Result	away	3.75	44.2%	0.234	0.26u	Lost	-0.26u
Dec 6, 2023	epl	Crystal Palace AFC Bournemouth	Result	away	4.50	43.9%	0.511	0.93u	Won	+3.26u
Dec 6, 2023	epl	Sheffield United Liverpool	Total over	under	1.91	39.0%	0.165	0.73u	Won	+0.66u
Dec 6, 2023	epl	Aston Villa Manchester City	Total over	under	1.91	44.8%	0.054	0.11u	Won	+0.10u
Dec 6, 2023	epl	Fulham Nottingham Forest	Total over	under	1.91	42.9%	0.090	0.25u	Lost	-0.25u
Dec 6, 2023	epl	Crystal Palace AFC Bournemouth	Total over	under	1.91	41.4%	0.119	0.41u	Won	+0.37u
Dec 5, 2023	epl	Luton Town Arsenal	Total over	under	1.91	44.6%	0.058	0.51u	Lost	-0.51u
Dec 3, 2023	epl	West Ham United Crystal Palace	Total over	under	1.91	41.1%	0.124	0.40u	Won	+0.36u
Dec 3, 2023	epl	Manchester City Tottenham Hotspur	Total over	under	1.91	45.6%	0.039	0.06u	Lost	-0.06u
Dec 3, 2023	epl	Liverpool Fulham	Total over	under	1.91	39.2%	0.161	0.63u	Lost	-0.63u
Dec 3, 2023	epl	AFC Bournemouth Aston Villa	Total over	under	1.91	41.0%	0.126	0.41u	Lost	-0.41u
Dec 3, 2023	epl	West Ham United Crystal Palace	Result	away	4.00	44.9%	0.300	0.80u	Lost	-0.80u
Dec 3, 2023	epl	Chelsea Brighton & Hove Albion	Result	away	4.00	45.6%	0.268	0.70u	Lost	-0.70u
Dec 2, 2023	epl	Newcastle United Manchester United	Result	home	2.80	45.4%	0.271	1.20u	Won	+2.16u
Dec 2, 2023	epl	Arsenal Wolverhampton Wanderers	Total over	under	1.91	40.3%	0.140	0.72u	Lost	-0.72u
Dec 2, 2023	epl	Newcastle United Manchester United	Total over	under	1.91	41.4%	0.120	0.55u	Won	+0.50u
Dec 2, 2023	epl	Brentford Luton Town	Total over	under	1.91	44.0%	0.070	0.22u	Lost	-0.22u
Nov 27, 2023	epl	Fulham Wolverhampton Wanderers	Total over	over	1.91	56.7%	0.083	0.73u	Won	+0.66u
Nov 27, 2023	epl	Fulham Wolverhampton Wanderers	Result	home	2.38	45.1%	0.073	0.42u	Won	+0.58u
Nov 26, 2023	epl	Tottenham Hotspur Aston Villa	Result	home	2.55	45.1%	0.151	0.61u	Lost	-0.61u
Nov 26, 2023	epl	Everton Manchester United	Result	home	2.63	45.4%	0.193	0.89u	Lost	-0.89u
Nov 26, 2023	epl	Tottenham Hotspur Aston Villa	Total over	under	1.91	40.0%	0.145	0.75u	Won	+0.68u
Nov 26, 2023	epl	Everton Manchester United	Total over	under	1.91	40.0%	0.146	0.75u	Lost	-0.75u
Nov 25, 2023	epl	Luton Town Crystal Palace	Total over	under	1.91	42.1%	0.105	0.38u	Lost	-0.38u
Nov 25, 2023	epl	Sheffield United AFC Bournemouth	Total over	under	1.91	45.2%	0.046	0.09u	Lost	-0.09u
Nov 25, 2023	epl	Newcastle United Chelsea	Total over	under	1.91	42.0%	0.107	0.39u	Lost	-0.39u
Nov 25, 2023	epl	Nottingham Forest Brighton & Hove Albion	Total over	under	1.91	40.2%	0.142	0.64u	Lost	-0.64u
Nov 25, 2023	epl	Sheffield United AFC Bournemouth	Result	home	4.00	44.5%	0.779	0.64u	Lost	-0.64u
Nov 25, 2023	epl	Newcastle United Chelsea	Result	home	3.40	44.9%	0.527	0.35u	Won	+0.84u
Nov 25, 2023	epl	Nottingham Forest Brighton & Hove Albion	Result	away	4.33	45.3%	0.437	0.19u	Won	+0.63u
Nov 25, 2023	epl	Manchester City Liverpool	Result	home	3.40	44.2%	0.504	0.31u	Lost	-0.31u
Nov 25, 2023	bundesliga	1. FC Union Berlin FC Augsburg	Home draw	1x	2.63	64.9%	0.703	1.20u	Won	+1.95u
Nov 25, 2023	bundesliga	Werder Bremen Bayer Leverkusen	Home draw	1x	1.83	64.3%	0.179	0.30u	Lost	-0.30u
Nov 24, 2023	bundesliga	FC Cologne Bayern Munich	Home draw	1x	3.75	66.5%	1.494	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Nov 12, 2023	epl	Brighton & Hove Albion Sheffield United	Result	away	4.50	45.8%	0.434	0.30u	Lost	-0.30u
Nov 12, 2023	epl	Chelsea Manchester City	Result	home	4.75	44.9%	1.133	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u

* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.