Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 5, 2026 4:25 PM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2024 | epl |
Crystal Palace
Newcastle United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 43.1% | 0.086 | 0.27u | Won | +0.25u |
| Apr 24, 2024 | epl |
Manchester United
Sheffield United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 41.5% | 0.117 | 0.45u | Lost | -0.45u |
| Apr 24, 2024 | epl |
Everton
Liverpool
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 43.5% | 0.078 | 0.23u | Won | +0.21u |
| Apr 24, 2024 | epl |
Wolverhampton Wanderers
AFC Bournemouth
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 40.7% | 0.131 | 0.55u | Won | +0.50u |
| Apr 23, 2024 | epl |
Arsenal
Chelsea
|
Result | draw | 5.00 | 37.0% | 0.894 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Apr 21, 2024 | epl |
Fulham
Liverpool
|
Result | home | 4.33 | 48.6% | 1.107 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Apr 21, 2024 | epl |
Crystal Palace
West Ham United
|
Result | away | 3.25 | 46.5% | 0.118 | 0.05u | Lost | -0.05u |
| Apr 21, 2024 | epl |
Aston Villa
AFC Bournemouth
|
Result | away | 4.00 | 51.1% | 0.297 | 0.22u | Lost | -0.22u |
| Apr 21, 2024 | bundesliga |
Borussia Dortmund
Bayer Leverkusen
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.05 | 68.9% | 0.412 | 1.20u | Won | +1.26u |
| Apr 21, 2024 | epl |
Fulham
Liverpool
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 39.6% | 0.153 | 0.85u | Lost | -0.85u |
| Apr 21, 2024 | epl |
Crystal Palace
West Ham United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 44.6% | 0.058 | 0.17u | Lost | -0.17u |
| Apr 21, 2024 | epl |
Aston Villa
AFC Bournemouth
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 42.5% | 0.097 | 0.39u | Lost | -0.39u |
| Apr 21, 2024 | epl |
Everton
Nottingham Forest
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 45.5% | 0.040 | 0.09u | Won | +0.08u |
| Apr 20, 2024 | epl |
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Arsenal
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 44.0% | 0.070 | 0.61u | Won | +0.55u |
| Apr 20, 2024 | bundesliga |
1. FC Heidenheim 1846
RB Leipzig
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.15 | 61.8% | 0.328 | 0.39u | Lost | -0.39u |
| Apr 20, 2024 | bundesliga |
TSG Hoffenheim
Borussia Mönchengladbach
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.63 | 62.2% | 0.632 | 1.11u | Won | +1.80u |
| Apr 20, 2024 | epl |
Sheffield United
Burnley
|
Result | home | 3.10 | 43.7% | 0.356 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Apr 20, 2024 | epl |
Luton Town
Brentford
|
Result | away | 2.50 | 36.6% | 0.141 | 0.30u | Won | +0.45u |
| Apr 15, 2024 | epl |
Chelsea
Everton
|
Result | away | 4.80 | 58.2% | 0.229 | 0.48u | Lost | -0.48u |
| Apr 15, 2024 | epl |
Chelsea
Everton
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 44.2% | 0.066 | 0.58u | Lost | -0.58u |
| Apr 14, 2024 | epl |
Arsenal
Aston Villa
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 42.6% | 0.095 | 0.59u | Won | +0.54u |
| Apr 14, 2024 | epl |
Liverpool
Crystal Palace
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 43.1% | 0.086 | 0.50u | Won | +0.45u |
| Apr 14, 2024 | epl |
West Ham United
Fulham
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 43.6% | 0.077 | 0.41u | Won | +0.37u |
| Apr 14, 2024 | bundesliga |
SV Darmstadt 98
SC Freiburg
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.05 | 63.5% | 0.303 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Apr 13, 2024 | bundesliga |
RB Leipzig
VfL Wolfsburg
|
Home draw | 1x | 1.73 | 88.2% | 0.523 | 1.20u | Won | +0.87u |
| Apr 13, 2024 | epl |
Brentford
Sheffield United
|
Result | home | 2.75 | 54.9% | 0.509 | 1.20u | Won | +2.10u |
| Apr 13, 2024 | epl |
Brentford
Sheffield United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 42.2% | 0.103 | 0.22u | Won | +0.20u |
| Apr 13, 2024 | epl |
AFC Bournemouth
Manchester United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 38.6% | 0.173 | 0.54u | Lost | -0.54u |
| Apr 13, 2024 | epl |
Newcastle United
Tottenham Hotspur
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 39.5% | 0.155 | 0.44u | Lost | -0.44u |
| Apr 13, 2024 | epl |
Burnley
Brighton & Hove Albion
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 41.1% | 0.125 | 0.30u | Won | +0.27u |
| Apr 12, 2024 | bundesliga |
FC Augsburg
1. FC Union Berlin
|
Home draw | 1x | 1.30 | 92.5% | 0.203 | 1.20u | Won | +0.36u |
| Apr 12, 2024 | bundesliga |
FC Augsburg
1. FC Union Berlin
|
Home away | 12 | 1.30 | 89.8% | 0.167 | 1.20u | Won | +0.36u |
| Apr 7, 2024 | epl |
Tottenham Hotspur
Nottingham Forest
|
Result | away | 5.00 | 43.7% | 0.715 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Apr 7, 2024 | epl |
Sheffield United
Chelsea
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 40.5% | 0.137 | 0.46u | Lost | -0.46u |
| Apr 7, 2024 | epl |
Tottenham Hotspur
Nottingham Forest
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 40.5% | 0.137 | 0.46u | Lost | -0.46u |
| Apr 7, 2024 | epl |
Manchester United
Liverpool
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 39.4% | 0.157 | 0.58u | Lost | -0.58u |
| Apr 6, 2024 | epl |
Fulham
Newcastle United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 40.5% | 0.137 | 0.35u | Won | +0.32u |
| Apr 6, 2024 | epl |
Brighton & Hove Albion
Arsenal
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 40.5% | 0.137 | 0.34u | Won | +0.31u |
| Apr 6, 2024 | epl |
Aston Villa
Brentford
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 39.9% | 0.148 | 0.33u | Lost | -0.33u |
| Apr 6, 2024 | epl |
Wolverhampton Wanderers
West Ham United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 39.9% | 0.148 | 0.33u | Lost | -0.33u |
| Apr 6, 2024 | epl |
Crystal Palace
Manchester City
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 40.5% | 0.137 | 0.35u | Lost | -0.35u |
| Apr 6, 2024 | epl |
Luton Town
AFC Bournemouth
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 39.2% | 0.160 | 0.46u | Won | +0.42u |
| Apr 6, 2024 | epl |
Aston Villa
Brentford
|
Result | away | 4.75 | 44.8% | 0.543 | 0.46u | Lost | -0.46u |
| Apr 6, 2024 | epl |
Luton Town
AFC Bournemouth
|
Result | home | 3.80 | 44.7% | 0.697 | 0.93u | Won | +2.60u |
| Apr 6, 2024 | epl |
Everton
Burnley
|
Result | home | 2.70 | 43.9% | 0.185 | 0.11u | Won | +0.19u |
| Apr 6, 2024 | bundesliga |
Borussia Dortmund
VfB Stuttgart
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.15 | 69.8% | 0.501 | 0.32u | Lost | -0.32u |
| Apr 6, 2024 | bundesliga |
1. FC Union Berlin
Bayer Leverkusen
|
Home draw | away | 3.50 | 48.3% | 0.811 | 0.50u | Won | +1.25u |
| Apr 6, 2024 | bundesliga |
Mainz
SV Darmstadt 98
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.30 | 76.6% | 0.761 | 0.68u | Won | +0.88u |
| Apr 6, 2024 | bundesliga |
Borussia Dortmund
VfB Stuttgart
|
Home away | 12 | 1.25 | 89.3% | 0.116 | 1.20u | Won | +0.30u |
| Apr 4, 2024 | epl |
Chelsea
Manchester United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 38.3% | 0.178 | 0.92u | Lost | -0.92u |
| Apr 4, 2024 | epl |
Liverpool
Sheffield United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 40.5% | 0.137 | 0.58u | Won | +0.53u |
| Apr 3, 2024 | epl |
Manchester City
Aston Villa
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 40.5% | 0.137 | 0.50u | Lost | -0.50u |
| Apr 3, 2024 | epl |
Brentford
Brighton & Hove Albion
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 40.5% | 0.137 | 0.50u | Won | +0.45u |
| Apr 3, 2024 | epl |
Arsenal
Luton Town
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 40.5% | 0.137 | 0.50u | Won | +0.45u |
| Apr 3, 2024 | epl |
Manchester City
Aston Villa
|
Result | away | 4.00 | 42.5% | 0.413 | 1.10u | Lost | -1.10u |
| Apr 3, 2024 | epl |
Brentford
Brighton & Hove Albion
|
Result | home | 2.45 | 45.3% | 0.110 | 0.40u | Lost | -0.40u |
| Apr 2, 2024 | epl |
AFC Bournemouth
Crystal Palace
|
Result | home | 2.70 | 44.3% | 0.197 | 0.21u | Won | +0.36u |
| Apr 2, 2024 | epl |
Burnley
Wolverhampton Wanderers
|
Result | away | 3.80 | 44.9% | 0.253 | 0.25u | Lost | -0.25u |
| Apr 2, 2024 | epl |
Newcastle United
Everton
|
Result | home | 3.40 | 44.9% | 0.527 | 1.04u | Lost | -1.04u |
| Apr 2, 2024 | epl |
AFC Bournemouth
Crystal Palace
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 39.8% | 0.149 | 0.35u | Won | +0.32u |
| Apr 2, 2024 | epl |
Burnley
Wolverhampton Wanderers
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 39.2% | 0.160 | 0.39u | Won | +0.35u |
| Apr 2, 2024 | epl |
Nottingham Forest
Fulham
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 39.2% | 0.160 | 0.39u | Lost | -0.39u |
| Apr 2, 2024 | epl |
West Ham United
Tottenham Hotspur
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 39.5% | 0.154 | 0.37u | Won | +0.34u |
| Mar 31, 2024 | epl |
Liverpool
Brighton & Hove Albion
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 41.4% | 0.118 | 0.55u | Won | +0.50u |
| Mar 31, 2024 | epl |
Manchester City
Arsenal
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 39.2% | 0.160 | 0.95u | Won | +0.86u |
| Mar 31, 2024 | epl |
Liverpool
Brighton & Hove Albion
|
Result | away | 3.75 | 45.3% | 0.214 | 0.62u | Lost | -0.62u |
| Mar 31, 2024 | epl |
Manchester City
Arsenal
|
Result | away | 3.60 | 45.9% | 0.138 | 0.42u | Lost | -0.42u |
| Mar 30, 2024 | epl |
Aston Villa
Wolverhampton Wanderers
|
Result | home | 3.25 | 45.3% | 0.472 | 0.32u | Won | +0.72u |
| Mar 30, 2024 | epl |
Brentford
Manchester United
|
Result | home | 4.75 | 44.8% | 1.128 | 1.18u | Lost | -1.18u |
| Mar 30, 2024 | epl |
AFC Bournemouth
Everton
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 38.5% | 0.174 | 0.40u | Won | +0.36u |
| Mar 30, 2024 | epl |
Sheffield United
Fulham
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 39.2% | 0.160 | 0.35u | Lost | -0.35u |
| Mar 30, 2024 | epl |
Newcastle United
West Ham United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 38.5% | 0.174 | 0.40u | Lost | -0.40u |
| Mar 30, 2024 | epl |
Brentford
Manchester United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 39.2% | 0.161 | 0.35u | Won | +0.32u |
| Mar 17, 2024 | epl |
West Ham United
Aston Villa
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 39.9% | 0.148 | 1.20u | Won | +1.09u |
| Mar 17, 2024 | epl |
West Ham United
Aston Villa
|
Result | home | 2.38 | 45.3% | 0.078 | 0.45u | Lost | -0.45u |
| Mar 17, 2024 | bundesliga |
Borussia Dortmund
Eintracht Frankfurt
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.50 | 64.4% | 0.611 | 1.20u | Won | +1.80u |
| Mar 16, 2024 | epl |
Fulham
Tottenham Hotspur
|
Result | home | 3.10 | 44.7% | 0.387 | 0.54u | Won | +1.13u |
| Mar 16, 2024 | epl |
Burnley
Brentford
|
Result | home | 2.63 | 45.1% | 0.186 | 0.16u | Won | +0.26u |
| Mar 16, 2024 | epl |
Luton Town
Nottingham Forest
|
Result | home | 3.25 | 45.6% | 0.481 | 0.80u | Lost | -0.80u |
| Mar 16, 2024 | epl |
Fulham
Tottenham Hotspur
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 39.9% | 0.148 | 0.50u | Won | +0.45u |
| Mar 16, 2024 | epl |
Burnley
Brentford
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 39.9% | 0.148 | 0.50u | Lost | -0.50u |
| Mar 16, 2024 | epl |
Luton Town
Nottingham Forest
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 39.9% | 0.148 | 0.50u | Won | +0.45u |
| Mar 13, 2024 | epl |
AFC Bournemouth
Luton Town
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 39.2% | 0.161 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Mar 13, 2024 | epl |
AFC Bournemouth
Luton Town
|
Result | home | 2.40 | 52.3% | 0.255 | 1.20u | Won | +1.68u |
| Mar 11, 2024 | epl |
Chelsea
Newcastle United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 45.7% | 0.037 | 0.33u | Lost | -0.33u |
| Mar 10, 2024 | epl |
Liverpool
Manchester City
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 37.1% | 0.200 | 0.53u | Won | +0.48u |
| Mar 10, 2024 | epl |
Brighton & Hove Albion
Nottingham Forest
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 40.3% | 0.140 | 0.28u | Won | +0.25u |
| Mar 10, 2024 | epl |
West Ham United
Burnley
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 40.5% | 0.137 | 0.26u | Lost | -0.26u |
| Mar 10, 2024 | epl |
Aston Villa
Tottenham Hotspur
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 38.3% | 0.178 | 0.43u | Lost | -0.43u |
| Mar 10, 2024 | epl |
Brighton & Hove Albion
Nottingham Forest
|
Result | away | 4.75 | 63.9% | 0.186 | 0.07u | Lost | -0.07u |
| Mar 10, 2024 | epl |
West Ham United
Burnley
|
Result | draw | 3.75 | 37.6% | 0.663 | 0.88u | Won | +2.42u |
| Mar 10, 2024 | epl |
Aston Villa
Tottenham Hotspur
|
Result | away | 3.60 | 46.4% | 0.499 | 0.55u | Won | +1.43u |
| Mar 10, 2024 | bundesliga |
Eintracht Frankfurt
TSG Hoffenheim
|
Home draw | away | 2.75 | 42.3% | 0.588 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Mar 9, 2024 | bundesliga |
Bayern Munich
Mainz
|
Home draw | 1x | 1.95 | 65.4% | 0.275 | 1.20u | Won | +1.14u |
| Mar 9, 2024 | epl |
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Fulham
|
Result | home | 2.40 | 57.3% | 0.376 | 0.30u | Won | +0.42u |
| Mar 9, 2024 | epl |
Crystal Palace
Luton Town
|
Result | away | 5.00 | 35.6% | 1.440 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Mar 9, 2024 | epl |
AFC Bournemouth
Sheffield United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 37.6% | 0.191 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Mar 9, 2024 | epl |
Arsenal
Brentford
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 40.8% | 0.130 | 0.31u | Won | +0.28u |
| Mar 9, 2024 | epl |
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Fulham
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 42.0% | 0.107 | 0.22u | Lost | -0.22u |
| Mar 9, 2024 | epl |
Crystal Palace
Luton Town
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 40.0% | 0.146 | 0.37u | Won | +0.34u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.