Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 5, 2026 4:25 PM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2025 | epl |
Arsenal
Manchester City
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 30.0% | 0.337 | 0.86u | Lost | -0.86u |
| Feb 2, 2025 | epl |
Manchester United
Crystal Palace
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 32.5% | 0.288 | 0.64u | Won | +0.58u |
| Feb 2, 2025 | epl |
Brentford
Tottenham Hotspur
|
Result | away | 4.50 | 40.8% | 1.310 | 1.20u | Won | +4.20u |
| Feb 2, 2025 | epl |
Manchester United
Crystal Palace
|
Result | away | 3.20 | 35.6% | 0.279 | 0.30u | Won | +0.66u |
| Feb 1, 2025 | epl |
Newcastle United
Fulham
|
Result | away | 4.50 | 56.8% | 0.440 | 0.08u | Won | +0.28u |
| Feb 1, 2025 | epl |
Everton
Leicester City
|
Result | away | 4.40 | 37.8% | 0.804 | 0.25u | Lost | -0.25u |
| Feb 1, 2025 | epl |
AFC Bournemouth
Liverpool
|
Result | away | 3.90 | 44.3% | 0.595 | 0.16u | Won | +0.46u |
| Feb 1, 2025 | epl |
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Aston Villa
|
Result | home | 4.33 | 60.5% | 1.619 | 1.01u | Won | +3.36u |
| Feb 1, 2025 | bundesliga |
VfB Stuttgart
Borussia Mönchengladbach
|
Home draw | 1x | 1.62 | 73.5% | 0.187 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Feb 1, 2025 | bundesliga |
St. Pauli
FC Augsburg
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.15 | 71.0% | 0.527 | 1.20u | Won | +1.38u |
| Feb 1, 2025 | epl |
Newcastle United
Fulham
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 37.0% | 0.202 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Feb 1, 2025 | epl |
Ipswich Town
Southampton
|
Total over | over | 1.91 | 57.2% | 0.091 | 0.30u | Won | +0.27u |
| Jan 26, 2025 | epl |
Aston Villa
West Ham United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 26.2% | 0.410 | 0.99u | Won | +0.90u |
| Jan 26, 2025 | epl |
Tottenham Hotspur
Leicester City
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 41.0% | 0.125 | 0.11u | Won | +0.10u |
| Jan 26, 2025 | epl |
Fulham
Manchester United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 34.5% | 0.251 | 0.39u | Won | +0.35u |
| Jan 26, 2025 | bundesliga |
TSG Hoffenheim
Eintracht Frankfurt
|
Home draw | 1x | 1.70 | 73.4% | 0.247 | 1.20u | Won | +0.84u |
| Jan 26, 2025 | epl |
Fulham
Manchester United
|
Result | away | 5.00 | 44.6% | 0.636 | 1.20u | Won | +4.80u |
| Jan 26, 2025 | epl |
Crystal Palace
Brentford
|
Result | away | 3.80 | 43.2% | 0.252 | 0.30u | Won | +0.84u |
| Jan 25, 2025 | epl |
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Arsenal
|
Result | away | 3.70 | 43.2% | 0.260 | 0.77u | Won | +2.08u |
| Jan 25, 2025 | bundesliga |
Borussia Dortmund
Werder Bremen
|
Home draw | 1x | 1.67 | 70.9% | 0.182 | 0.30u | Won | +0.20u |
| Jan 25, 2025 | bundesliga |
RB Leipzig
Bayer Leverkusen
|
Home draw | 1x | 3.75 | 78.7% | 1.953 | 1.20u | Won | +3.30u |
| Jan 25, 2025 | epl |
Brighton & Hove Albion
Everton
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 23.1% | 0.468 | 0.93u | Won | +0.85u |
| Jan 25, 2025 | epl |
AFC Bournemouth
Nottingham Forest
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 34.4% | 0.252 | 0.29u | Lost | -0.29u |
| Jan 25, 2025 | epl |
Manchester City
Chelsea
|
Total over | over | 1.91 | 60.3% | 0.150 | 0.11u | Won | +0.10u |
| Jan 25, 2025 | epl |
Southampton
Newcastle United
|
Total over | over | 1.91 | 62.2% | 0.188 | 0.17u | Won | +0.15u |
| Jan 19, 2025 | epl |
Everton
Tottenham Hotspur
|
Total over | over | 1.91 | 56.2% | 0.074 | 0.15u | Won | +0.14u |
| Jan 19, 2025 | epl |
Ipswich Town
Manchester City
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 32.2% | 0.294 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jan 19, 2025 | epl |
Manchester United
Brighton & Hove Albion
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 43.8% | 0.073 | 0.15u | Lost | -0.15u |
| Jan 19, 2025 | epl |
Nottingham Forest
Southampton
|
Result | draw | 5.00 | 42.8% | 0.225 | 0.45u | Lost | -0.45u |
| Jan 19, 2025 | epl |
Manchester United
Brighton & Hove Albion
|
Result | home | 2.50 | 44.0% | 0.101 | 0.54u | Lost | -0.54u |
| Jan 18, 2025 | epl |
Leicester City
Fulham
|
Result | home | 2.80 | 44.0% | 0.232 | 0.09u | Lost | -0.09u |
| Jan 18, 2025 | epl |
Brentford
Liverpool
|
Result | away | 4.60 | 40.8% | 0.578 | 0.30u | Won | +1.08u |
| Jan 18, 2025 | epl |
Newcastle United
AFC Bournemouth
|
Result | home | 4.50 | 44.3% | 0.993 | 0.88u | Lost | -0.88u |
| Jan 18, 2025 | epl |
Arsenal
Aston Villa
|
Result | away | 4.00 | 39.6% | 0.449 | 0.22u | Lost | -0.22u |
| Jan 18, 2025 | bundesliga |
VfB Stuttgart
SC Freiburg
|
Home draw | 1x | 1.53 | 68.2% | 0.045 | 0.68u | Won | +0.36u |
| Jan 18, 2025 | epl |
Brentford
Liverpool
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 39.6% | 0.153 | 0.22u | Won | +0.20u |
| Jan 18, 2025 | epl |
Newcastle United
AFC Bournemouth
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 43.4% | 0.080 | 0.07u | Lost | -0.07u |
| Jan 18, 2025 | epl |
West Ham United
Crystal Palace
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 30.4% | 0.329 | 0.88u | Won | +0.80u |
| Jan 18, 2025 | epl |
Arsenal
Aston Villa
|
Total over | over | 1.91 | 62.5% | 0.194 | 0.33u | Won | +0.30u |
| Jan 17, 2025 | bundesliga |
Eintracht Frankfurt
Borussia Dortmund
|
Home draw | 1x | 1.53 | 72.7% | 0.115 | 1.20u | Won | +0.64u |
| Jan 16, 2025 | epl |
Ipswich Town
Brighton & Hove Albion
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 40.1% | 0.143 | 0.89u | Won | +0.81u |
| Jan 16, 2025 | epl |
Manchester United
Southampton
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 41.6% | 0.115 | 0.61u | Lost | -0.61u |
| Jan 15, 2025 | epl |
Leicester City
Crystal Palace
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 42.9% | 0.090 | 0.19u | Won | +0.17u |
| Jan 15, 2025 | epl |
Everton
Aston Villa
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 41.6% | 0.114 | 0.28u | Won | +0.25u |
| Jan 15, 2025 | epl |
Arsenal
Tottenham Hotspur
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 38.6% | 0.172 | 0.58u | Won | +0.53u |
| Jan 15, 2025 | epl |
Newcastle United
Wolverhampton Wanderers
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 39.9% | 0.147 | 0.44u | Won | +0.40u |
| Jan 15, 2025 | epl |
Leicester City
Crystal Palace
|
Result | home | 3.35 | 42.3% | 0.417 | 0.45u | Lost | -0.45u |
| Jan 15, 2025 | epl |
Everton
Aston Villa
|
Result | home | 3.80 | 44.5% | 0.692 | 1.05u | Lost | -1.05u |
| Jan 14, 2025 | epl |
Brentford
Manchester City
|
Result | home | 4.60 | 43.0% | 0.978 | 0.74u | Lost | -0.74u |
| Jan 14, 2025 | epl |
Nottingham Forest
Liverpool
|
Result | home | 3.00 | 39.4% | 0.181 | 0.05u | Lost | -0.05u |
| Jan 14, 2025 | epl |
Chelsea
AFC Bournemouth
|
Result | draw | 4.33 | 29.0% | 0.930 | 0.71u | Won | +2.36u |
| Jan 14, 2025 | bundesliga |
Holstein Kiel
Borussia Dortmund
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.63 | 66.3% | 0.741 | 1.20u | Won | +1.95u |
| Jan 14, 2025 | epl |
Brentford
Manchester City
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 37.8% | 0.188 | 0.51u | Lost | -0.51u |
| Jan 14, 2025 | epl |
West Ham United
Fulham
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 39.8% | 0.150 | 0.34u | Lost | -0.34u |
| Jan 14, 2025 | epl |
Nottingham Forest
Liverpool
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 40.6% | 0.134 | 0.27u | Won | +0.25u |
| Jan 14, 2025 | epl |
Chelsea
AFC Bournemouth
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 39.3% | 0.159 | 0.38u | Lost | -0.38u |
| Jan 12, 2025 | bundesliga |
RB Leipzig
Werder Bremen
|
Home draw | 1x | 1.91 | 66.3% | 0.266 | 1.20u | Won | +1.09u |
| Jan 11, 2025 | bundesliga |
SC Freiburg
Holstein Kiel
|
Home draw | 1x | 1.67 | 66.9% | 0.115 | 0.21u | Won | +0.14u |
| Jan 11, 2025 | bundesliga |
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Bayern Munich
|
Home draw | 1x | 3.25 | 66.9% | 1.176 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jan 11, 2025 | bundesliga |
1. FC Heidenheim 1846
1. FC Union Berlin
|
Home draw | 1x | 1.62 | 66.3% | 0.071 | 0.09u | Won | +0.06u |
| Jan 10, 2025 | bundesliga |
Borussia Dortmund
Bayer Leverkusen
|
Home draw | 1x | 1.83 | 66.3% | 0.216 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jan 6, 2025 | epl |
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Nottingham Forest
|
Result | home | 3.80 | 55.2% | 1.099 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jan 6, 2025 | epl |
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Nottingham Forest
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 38.2% | 0.181 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jan 5, 2025 | epl |
Liverpool
Manchester United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 38.6% | 0.172 | 0.95u | Lost | -0.95u |
| Jan 5, 2025 | epl |
Fulham
Ipswich Town
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 41.0% | 0.127 | 0.55u | Lost | -0.55u |
| Jan 5, 2025 | epl |
Liverpool
Manchester United
|
Result | home | 3.25 | 51.4% | 0.669 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jan 4, 2025 | epl |
AFC Bournemouth
Everton
|
Result | home | 4.80 | 43.2% | 1.073 | 0.93u | Won | +3.53u |
| Jan 4, 2025 | epl |
Aston Villa
Leicester City
|
Result | away | 3.90 | 43.1% | 0.222 | 0.05u | Lost | -0.05u |
| Jan 4, 2025 | epl |
Manchester City
West Ham United
|
Result | home | 3.40 | 47.0% | 0.597 | 0.43u | Won | +1.03u |
| Jan 4, 2025 | epl |
Brighton & Hove Albion
Arsenal
|
Result | away | 5.00 | 44.3% | 0.315 | 0.09u | Lost | -0.09u |
| Jan 4, 2025 | epl |
Aston Villa
Leicester City
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 39.3% | 0.158 | 0.45u | Won | +0.41u |
| Jan 4, 2025 | epl |
Tottenham Hotspur
Newcastle United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 40.7% | 0.133 | 0.33u | Won | +0.30u |
| Jan 4, 2025 | epl |
Brighton & Hove Albion
Arsenal
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 40.7% | 0.132 | 0.33u | Won | +0.30u |
| Jan 4, 2025 | epl |
Crystal Palace
Chelsea
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 40.1% | 0.144 | 0.38u | Won | +0.35u |
| Jan 1, 2025 | epl |
Brentford
Arsenal
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 40.5% | 0.136 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jan 1, 2025 | epl |
Brentford
Arsenal
|
Result | home | 3.70 | 44.6% | 0.649 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Dec 30, 2024 | epl |
Manchester United
Newcastle United
|
Result | home | 2.75 | 52.8% | 0.452 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Dec 30, 2024 | epl |
Ipswich Town
Chelsea
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 39.7% | 0.151 | 0.29u | Won | +0.26u |
| Dec 30, 2024 | epl |
Manchester United
Newcastle United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 39.5% | 0.156 | 0.31u | Won | +0.28u |
| Dec 30, 2024 | epl |
Aston Villa
Brighton & Hove Albion
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 33.0% | 0.280 | 0.90u | Lost | -0.90u |
| Dec 29, 2024 | epl |
Everton
Nottingham Forest
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 39.8% | 0.149 | 0.32u | Won | +0.29u |
| Dec 29, 2024 | epl |
Leicester City
Manchester City
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 36.5% | 0.213 | 0.62u | Won | +0.56u |
| Dec 29, 2024 | epl |
Fulham
AFC Bournemouth
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 37.1% | 0.201 | 0.56u | Lost | -0.56u |
| Dec 29, 2024 | epl |
West Ham United
Liverpool
|
Result | away | 4.40 | 45.9% | 0.358 | 0.84u | Won | +2.86u |
| Dec 29, 2024 | epl |
Crystal Palace
Southampton
|
Result | away | 2.95 | 37.0% | 0.194 | 0.66u | Lost | -0.66u |
| Dec 27, 2024 | epl |
Brighton & Hove Albion
Brentford
|
Result | away | 4.50 | 50.7% | 0.321 | 0.73u | Lost | -0.73u |
| Dec 27, 2024 | epl |
Brighton & Hove Albion
Brentford
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 35.3% | 0.235 | 0.59u | Won | +0.54u |
| Dec 27, 2024 | epl |
Arsenal
Ipswich Town
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 32.1% | 0.297 | 0.91u | Won | +0.83u |
| Dec 26, 2024 | epl |
AFC Bournemouth
Crystal Palace
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 36.2% | 0.217 | 0.45u | Won | +0.41u |
| Dec 26, 2024 | epl |
Liverpool
Leicester City
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 36.2% | 0.218 | 0.45u | Won | +0.41u |
| Dec 26, 2024 | epl |
Newcastle United
Aston Villa
|
Total over | over | 1.91 | 60.9% | 0.163 | 0.27u | Lost | -0.27u |
| Dec 26, 2024 | epl |
Chelsea
Fulham
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 38.2% | 0.179 | 0.32u | Won | +0.29u |
| Dec 26, 2024 | epl |
Southampton
West Ham United
|
Result | away | 3.70 | 39.2% | 0.423 | 0.19u | Won | +0.51u |
| Dec 26, 2024 | epl |
AFC Bournemouth
Crystal Palace
|
Result | home | 3.00 | 43.3% | 0.300 | 0.12u | Lost | -0.12u |
| Dec 26, 2024 | epl |
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Manchester United
|
Result | draw | 3.80 | 42.9% | 0.234 | 0.06u | Lost | -0.06u |
| Dec 26, 2024 | epl |
Nottingham Forest
Tottenham Hotspur
|
Result | home | 4.33 | 49.9% | 1.161 | 1.12u | Won | +3.73u |
| Dec 22, 2024 | epl |
Tottenham Hotspur
Liverpool
|
Result | home | 4.40 | 42.8% | 0.883 | 0.54u | Lost | -0.54u |
| Dec 22, 2024 | epl |
Manchester United
AFC Bournemouth
|
Result | home | 2.95 | 40.6% | 0.198 | 0.05u | Lost | -0.05u |
| Dec 22, 2024 | epl |
Leicester City
Wolverhampton Wanderers
|
Result | away | 4.00 | 38.0% | 0.392 | 0.13u | Won | +0.39u |
| Dec 22, 2024 | epl |
Fulham
Southampton
|
Result | home | 4.33 | 47.6% | 1.061 | 0.78u | Lost | -0.78u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.