Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 5, 2026 4:25 PM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2024 | bundesliga |
VfL Wolfsburg
Borussia Dortmund
|
Home draw | 1x | 1.67 | 66.3% | 0.105 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Dec 22, 2024 | epl |
Tottenham Hotspur
Liverpool
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 36.9% | 0.205 | 0.63u | Lost | -0.63u |
| Dec 22, 2024 | epl |
Manchester United
AFC Bournemouth
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 41.5% | 0.116 | 0.23u | Lost | -0.23u |
| Dec 22, 2024 | epl |
Leicester City
Wolverhampton Wanderers
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 39.9% | 0.147 | 0.34u | Lost | -0.34u |
| Dec 22, 2024 | epl |
Fulham
Southampton
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 40.5% | 0.136 | 0.30u | Won | +0.27u |
| Dec 21, 2024 | epl |
Crystal Palace
Arsenal
|
Total over | over | 1.91 | 61.9% | 0.181 | 0.43u | Won | +0.39u |
| Dec 21, 2024 | epl |
Brentford
Nottingham Forest
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 37.3% | 0.198 | 0.51u | Won | +0.46u |
| Dec 21, 2024 | epl |
West Ham United
Brighton & Hove Albion
|
Total over | over | 1.91 | 57.1% | 0.090 | 0.13u | Lost | -0.13u |
| Dec 21, 2024 | epl |
Aston Villa
Manchester City
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 38.2% | 0.181 | 0.43u | Won | +0.39u |
| Dec 21, 2024 | bundesliga |
VfB Stuttgart
St. Pauli
|
Home draw | away | 2.15 | 39.0% | 0.311 | 0.30u | Won | +0.35u |
| Dec 21, 2024 | bundesliga |
TSG Hoffenheim
Borussia Mönchengladbach
|
Home draw | away | 3.40 | 46.0% | 0.835 | 1.20u | Won | +2.88u |
| Dec 21, 2024 | epl |
West Ham United
Brighton & Hove Albion
|
Result | home | 3.70 | 45.2% | 0.673 | 0.94u | Lost | -0.94u |
| Dec 21, 2024 | epl |
Aston Villa
Manchester City
|
Result | home | 3.10 | 47.3% | 0.467 | 0.56u | Won | +1.18u |
| Dec 16, 2024 | epl |
AFC Bournemouth
West Ham United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 41.2% | 0.123 | 1.08u | Won | +0.98u |
| Dec 15, 2024 | epl |
Brighton & Hove Albion
Crystal Palace
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 36.5% | 0.213 | 0.79u | Lost | -0.79u |
| Dec 15, 2024 | epl |
Chelsea
Brentford
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 45.4% | 0.043 | 0.05u | Won | +0.05u |
| Dec 15, 2024 | epl |
Manchester City
Manchester United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 45.0% | 0.050 | 0.07u | Won | +0.06u |
| Dec 15, 2024 | epl |
Southampton
Tottenham Hotspur
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 38.1% | 0.182 | 0.59u | Lost | -0.59u |
| Dec 15, 2024 | epl |
Southampton
Tottenham Hotspur
|
Result | away | 4.33 | 44.7% | 0.384 | 0.92u | Won | +3.06u |
| Dec 15, 2024 | bundesliga |
Borussia Dortmund
TSG Hoffenheim
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.05 | 64.6% | 0.324 | 1.20u | Won | +1.26u |
| Dec 14, 2024 | bundesliga |
FC Augsburg
Bayer Leverkusen
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.38 | 57.3% | 0.360 | 0.93u | Lost | -0.93u |
| Dec 14, 2024 | bundesliga |
St. Pauli
Werder Bremen
|
Home draw | away | 1.61 | 30.4% | 0.119 | 0.19u | Won | +0.12u |
| Dec 14, 2024 | bundesliga |
1. FC Union Berlin
VfL Bochum
|
Home draw | 1x | 1.50 | 78.2% | 0.173 | 0.38u | Lost | -0.38u |
| Dec 14, 2024 | epl |
Arsenal
Everton
|
Result | home | 2.65 | 45.2% | 0.198 | 0.42u | Lost | -0.42u |
| Dec 14, 2024 | epl |
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Ipswich Town
|
Result | away | 4.00 | 44.9% | 0.282 | 0.55u | Won | +1.65u |
| Dec 14, 2024 | epl |
Liverpool
Fulham
|
Result | away | 3.80 | 44.0% | 0.271 | 0.53u | Lost | -0.53u |
| Dec 14, 2024 | epl |
Arsenal
Everton
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 43.2% | 0.085 | 0.75u | Won | +0.68u |
| Dec 14, 2024 | epl |
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Ipswich Town
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 45.9% | 0.033 | 0.19u | Lost | -0.19u |
| Dec 14, 2024 | epl |
Newcastle United
Leicester City
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 45.8% | 0.036 | 0.22u | Lost | -0.22u |
| Dec 14, 2024 | epl |
Liverpool
Fulham
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 45.1% | 0.048 | 0.34u | Lost | -0.34u |
| Dec 9, 2024 | epl |
West Ham United
Wolverhampton Wanderers
|
Result | away | 3.70 | 45.8% | 0.132 | 0.39u | Lost | -0.39u |
| Dec 8, 2024 | epl |
Ipswich Town
AFC Bournemouth
|
Result | home | 2.80 | 44.2% | 0.237 | 0.07u | Lost | -0.07u |
| Dec 8, 2024 | epl |
Leicester City
Brighton & Hove Albion
|
Result | home | 5.00 | 45.2% | 1.259 | 1.05u | Lost | -1.05u |
| Dec 8, 2024 | epl |
Tottenham Hotspur
Chelsea
|
Result | home | 3.60 | 45.0% | 0.621 | 0.38u | Lost | -0.38u |
| Dec 8, 2024 | epl |
Ipswich Town
AFC Bournemouth
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 41.2% | 0.123 | 0.33u | Lost | -0.33u |
| Dec 8, 2024 | epl |
Leicester City
Brighton & Hove Albion
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 38.1% | 0.181 | 0.65u | Lost | -0.65u |
| Dec 8, 2024 | epl |
Tottenham Hotspur
Chelsea
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 44.5% | 0.059 | 0.09u | Lost | -0.09u |
| Dec 8, 2024 | epl |
Fulham
Arsenal
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 40.1% | 0.143 | 0.43u | Won | +0.39u |
| Dec 7, 2024 | epl |
Manchester United
Nottingham Forest
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 40.7% | 0.133 | 0.36u | Lost | -0.36u |
| Dec 7, 2024 | epl |
Crystal Palace
Manchester City
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 34.6% | 0.248 | 1.10u | Lost | -1.10u |
| Dec 7, 2024 | epl |
Manchester United
Nottingham Forest
|
Result | home | 2.95 | 46.8% | 0.381 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Dec 7, 2024 | bundesliga |
VfL Bochum
Werder Bremen
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.63 | 66.2% | 0.737 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Dec 7, 2024 | bundesliga |
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Borussia Dortmund
|
Home draw | away | 2.00 | 45.5% | 0.090 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Dec 5, 2024 | epl |
Fulham
Brighton & Hove Albion
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 46.3% | 0.025 | 0.22u | Lost | -0.22u |
| Dec 5, 2024 | epl |
AFC Bournemouth
Tottenham Hotspur
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 41.1% | 0.124 | 1.09u | Won | +0.99u |
| Dec 4, 2024 | epl |
Newcastle United
Liverpool
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 45.7% | 0.036 | 0.32u | Lost | -0.32u |
| Dec 4, 2024 | epl |
Manchester City
Nottingham Forest
|
Total over | over | 1.91 | 53.6% | 0.023 | 0.20u | Lost | -0.20u |
| Dec 4, 2024 | epl |
Southampton
Chelsea
|
Total over | over | 1.91 | 54.6% | 0.042 | 0.37u | Won | +0.34u |
| Dec 4, 2024 | epl |
Aston Villa
Brentford
|
Total over | over | 1.91 | 55.3% | 0.056 | 0.49u | Won | +0.45u |
| Dec 4, 2024 | epl |
Newcastle United
Liverpool
|
Result | home | 2.55 | 44.9% | 0.146 | 0.27u | Lost | -0.27u |
| Dec 4, 2024 | epl |
Manchester City
Nottingham Forest
|
Result | away | 4.50 | 44.5% | 0.476 | 1.09u | Lost | -1.09u |
| Dec 4, 2024 | epl |
Aston Villa
Brentford
|
Result | away | 3.50 | 44.5% | 0.121 | 0.14u | Lost | -0.14u |
| Dec 3, 2024 | epl |
Leicester City
West Ham United
|
Result | home | 3.25 | 44.3% | 0.438 | 0.91u | Won | +2.05u |
| Dec 3, 2024 | epl |
Ipswich Town
Crystal Palace
|
Result | home | 2.95 | 45.1% | 0.330 | 0.59u | Lost | -0.59u |
| Dec 3, 2024 | epl |
Leicester City
West Ham United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 40.7% | 0.131 | 0.52u | Lost | -0.52u |
| Dec 3, 2024 | epl |
Ipswich Town
Crystal Palace
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 37.8% | 0.188 | 0.98u | Won | +0.89u |
| Dec 1, 2024 | epl |
Tottenham Hotspur
Fulham
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 45.4% | 0.042 | 0.13u | Won | +0.12u |
| Dec 1, 2024 | epl |
Chelsea
Aston Villa
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 38.9% | 0.167 | 1.20u | Won | +1.09u |
| Dec 1, 2024 | epl |
Liverpool
Manchester City
|
Total over | over | 1.91 | 54.1% | 0.032 | 0.08u | Lost | -0.08u |
| Dec 1, 2024 | epl |
Manchester United
Everton
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 45.8% | 0.034 | 0.09u | Lost | -0.09u |
| Dec 1, 2024 | epl |
Tottenham Hotspur
Fulham
|
Result | away | 3.40 | 43.7% | 0.147 | 0.33u | Lost | -0.33u |
| Dec 1, 2024 | epl |
Chelsea
Aston Villa
|
Result | away | 3.40 | 44.2% | 0.121 | 0.24u | Lost | -0.24u |
| Dec 1, 2024 | epl |
Liverpool
Manchester City
|
Result | away | 4.40 | 44.8% | 0.394 | 0.93u | Lost | -0.93u |
| Nov 30, 2024 | epl |
Nottingham Forest
Ipswich Town
|
Result | away | 5.00 | 45.3% | 0.592 | 0.50u | Lost | -0.50u |
| Nov 30, 2024 | epl |
West Ham United
Arsenal
|
Result | away | 4.60 | 44.8% | 0.481 | 0.37u | Won | +1.33u |
| Nov 30, 2024 | epl |
Brentford
Leicester City
|
Result | home | 2.65 | 46.1% | 0.221 | 0.14u | Won | +0.23u |
| Nov 30, 2024 | epl |
Crystal Palace
Newcastle United
|
Result | home | 3.20 | 45.8% | 0.466 | 0.49u | Lost | -0.49u |
| Nov 30, 2024 | epl |
Nottingham Forest
Ipswich Town
|
Total over | over | 1.91 | 54.6% | 0.043 | 0.09u | Lost | -0.09u |
| Nov 30, 2024 | epl |
Brentford
Leicester City
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 41.7% | 0.113 | 0.47u | Lost | -0.47u |
| Nov 30, 2024 | epl |
Wolverhampton Wanderers
AFC Bournemouth
|
Total over | over | 1.91 | 54.7% | 0.045 | 0.11u | Won | +0.10u |
| Nov 30, 2024 | epl |
Crystal Palace
Newcastle United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 39.4% | 0.157 | 0.83u | Won | +0.75u |
| Nov 25, 2024 | epl |
Newcastle United
West Ham United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 45.5% | 0.040 | 0.35u | Won | +0.32u |
| Nov 24, 2024 | epl |
Ipswich Town
Manchester United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 44.1% | 0.068 | 0.60u | Won | +0.55u |
| Nov 24, 2024 | epl |
Southampton
Liverpool
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 43.5% | 0.078 | 0.69u | Lost | -0.69u |
| Nov 24, 2024 | epl |
Southampton
Liverpool
|
Result | home | 5.00 | 43.8% | 1.190 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Nov 24, 2024 | bundesliga |
Borussia Mönchengladbach
St. Pauli
|
Home draw | 1x | 1.62 | 69.0% | 0.115 | 1.20u | Won | +0.74u |
| Nov 23, 2024 | bundesliga |
Bayer Leverkusen
1. FC Heidenheim 1846
|
Home draw | 1x | 1.67 | 67.5% | 0.126 | 1.20u | Won | +0.80u |
| Nov 23, 2024 | epl |
Leicester City
Chelsea
|
Result | home | 2.40 | 44.8% | 0.075 | 0.37u | Lost | -0.37u |
| Nov 23, 2024 | epl |
Aston Villa
Crystal Palace
|
Result | away | 4.60 | 44.7% | 0.510 | 1.13u | Lost | -1.13u |
| Nov 23, 2024 | epl |
Leicester City
Chelsea
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 42.2% | 0.104 | 0.21u | Won | +0.19u |
| Nov 23, 2024 | epl |
Arsenal
Nottingham Forest
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 38.4% | 0.176 | 0.52u | Lost | -0.52u |
| Nov 23, 2024 | epl |
AFC Bournemouth
Brighton & Hove Albion
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 36.3% | 0.216 | 0.75u | Won | +0.68u |
| Nov 10, 2024 | epl |
Nottingham Forest
Newcastle United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 39.9% | 0.148 | 0.35u | Lost | -0.35u |
| Nov 10, 2024 | epl |
Manchester United
Leicester City
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 39.8% | 0.150 | 0.36u | Won | +0.33u |
| Nov 10, 2024 | epl |
Tottenham Hotspur
Ipswich Town
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 38.9% | 0.167 | 0.43u | Won | +0.39u |
| Nov 10, 2024 | epl |
Chelsea
Arsenal
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 39.7% | 0.151 | 0.36u | Won | +0.33u |
| Nov 10, 2024 | epl |
Tottenham Hotspur
Ipswich Town
|
Result | home | 2.70 | 44.1% | 0.191 | 0.90u | Lost | -0.90u |
| Nov 9, 2024 | epl |
Crystal Palace
Fulham
|
Result | home | 3.90 | 51.7% | 1.018 | 0.79u | Lost | -0.79u |
| Nov 9, 2024 | epl |
Brentford
AFC Bournemouth
|
Result | home | 1.91 | 75.4% | 0.439 | 0.32u | Won | +0.29u |
| Nov 9, 2024 | epl |
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Southampton
|
Result | home | 2.10 | 71.7% | 0.506 | 0.38u | Won | +0.42u |
| Nov 9, 2024 | bundesliga |
VfL Bochum
Bayer Leverkusen
|
Home draw | 1x | 4.33 | 67.2% | 1.910 | 0.85u | Won | +2.83u |
| Nov 9, 2024 | bundesliga |
Werder Bremen
Holstein Kiel
|
Home draw | 1x | 3.75 | 67.2% | 1.518 | 0.62u | Won | +1.71u |
| Nov 9, 2024 | epl |
Crystal Palace
Fulham
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 39.7% | 0.151 | 0.38u | Won | +0.35u |
| Nov 9, 2024 | epl |
Brighton & Hove Albion
Manchester City
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 39.7% | 0.151 | 0.38u | Lost | -0.38u |
| Nov 9, 2024 | epl |
Brentford
AFC Bournemouth
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 39.7% | 0.151 | 0.38u | Lost | -0.38u |
| Nov 9, 2024 | epl |
West Ham United
Everton
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 39.7% | 0.151 | 0.36u | Won | +0.33u |
| Nov 4, 2024 | epl |
Fulham
Brentford
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 43.4% | 0.080 | 0.71u | Lost | -0.71u |
| Nov 4, 2024 | epl |
Fulham
Brentford
|
Result | home | 2.55 | 45.7% | 0.166 | 0.85u | Won | +1.32u |
| Nov 3, 2024 | epl |
Tottenham Hotspur
Aston Villa
|
Result | away | 3.50 | 43.6% | 0.166 | 0.53u | Lost | -0.53u |
| Nov 3, 2024 | epl |
Manchester United
Chelsea
|
Result | away | 3.50 | 43.3% | 0.187 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.