Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 5, 2026 4:25 PM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2024 | epl |
Tottenham Hotspur
Aston Villa
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 42.6% | 0.096 | 0.85u | Lost | -0.85u |
| Nov 3, 2024 | epl |
Manchester United
Chelsea
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 44.4% | 0.061 | 0.54u | Won | +0.49u |
| Nov 2, 2024 | epl |
AFC Bournemouth
Manchester City
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 41.3% | 0.121 | 0.31u | Won | +0.28u |
| Nov 2, 2024 | epl |
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Crystal Palace
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 40.9% | 0.129 | 0.34u | Lost | -0.34u |
| Nov 2, 2024 | epl |
Ipswich Town
Leicester City
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 41.3% | 0.121 | 0.31u | Won | +0.28u |
| Nov 2, 2024 | epl |
Southampton
Everton
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 38.9% | 0.167 | 0.54u | Won | +0.49u |
| Nov 2, 2024 | epl |
Liverpool
Brighton & Hove Albion
|
Result | home | 2.65 | 44.3% | 0.174 | 0.13u | Won | +0.21u |
| Nov 2, 2024 | epl |
Nottingham Forest
West Ham United
|
Result | home | 3.90 | 49.4% | 0.927 | 1.20u | Won | +3.48u |
| Nov 2, 2024 | epl |
Southampton
Everton
|
Result | away | 3.70 | 43.4% | 0.218 | 0.14u | Lost | -0.14u |
| Oct 27, 2024 | epl |
Crystal Palace
Tottenham Hotspur
|
Result | home | 3.50 | 44.3% | 0.552 | 0.91u | Won | +2.28u |
| Oct 27, 2024 | epl |
Arsenal
Liverpool
|
Result | home | 3.25 | 43.7% | 0.421 | 0.59u | Lost | -0.59u |
| Oct 27, 2024 | bundesliga |
VfL Bochum
Bayern Munich
|
Home draw | 1x | 5.00 | 67.2% | 2.358 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Oct 27, 2024 | epl |
Chelsea
Newcastle United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 38.6% | 0.171 | 0.52u | Won | +0.47u |
| Oct 27, 2024 | epl |
Crystal Palace
Tottenham Hotspur
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 40.7% | 0.131 | 0.32u | Won | +0.29u |
| Oct 27, 2024 | epl |
West Ham United
Manchester United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 39.8% | 0.150 | 0.41u | Won | +0.37u |
| Oct 27, 2024 | epl |
Arsenal
Liverpool
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 41.7% | 0.113 | 0.25u | Lost | -0.25u |
| Oct 26, 2024 | epl |
Brentford
Ipswich Town
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 42.2% | 0.103 | 0.24u | Lost | -0.24u |
| Oct 26, 2024 | epl |
Brighton & Hove Albion
Wolverhampton Wanderers
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 42.5% | 0.097 | 0.21u | Lost | -0.21u |
| Oct 26, 2024 | epl |
Manchester City
Southampton
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 41.6% | 0.116 | 0.29u | Won | +0.26u |
| Oct 26, 2024 | epl |
Everton
Fulham
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 37.2% | 0.199 | 0.76u | Won | +0.69u |
| Oct 26, 2024 | bundesliga |
VfB Stuttgart
Holstein Kiel
|
Home draw | 1x | 1.95 | 67.5% | 0.317 | 0.30u | Won | +0.29u |
| Oct 26, 2024 | bundesliga |
RB Leipzig
SC Freiburg
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.63 | 67.5% | 0.773 | 1.20u | Won | +1.95u |
| Oct 26, 2024 | epl |
Aston Villa
AFC Bournemouth
|
Result | away | 4.10 | 43.8% | 0.441 | 0.48u | Lost | -0.48u |
| Oct 26, 2024 | epl |
Brighton & Hove Albion
Wolverhampton Wanderers
|
Result | away | 4.10 | 49.0% | 0.243 | 0.17u | Lost | -0.17u |
| Oct 26, 2024 | epl |
Manchester City
Southampton
|
Result | away | 4.80 | 44.0% | 0.578 | 0.69u | Lost | -0.69u |
| Oct 26, 2024 | epl |
Everton
Fulham
|
Result | home | 2.65 | 45.0% | 0.192 | 0.16u | Lost | -0.16u |
| Oct 25, 2024 | epl |
Leicester City
Nottingham Forest
|
Result | home | 2.95 | 43.8% | 0.292 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Oct 25, 2024 | epl |
Leicester City
Nottingham Forest
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 43.2% | 0.084 | 0.74u | Lost | -0.74u |
| Oct 21, 2024 | epl |
Nottingham Forest
Crystal Palace
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 41.2% | 0.123 | 1.08u | Won | +0.98u |
| Oct 21, 2024 | epl |
Nottingham Forest
Crystal Palace
|
Result | away | 3.25 | 32.6% | 0.192 | 0.68u | Lost | -0.68u |
| Oct 20, 2024 | epl |
Liverpool
Chelsea
|
Result | home | 1.69 | 67.4% | 0.139 | 1.20u | Won | +0.83u |
| Oct 20, 2024 | bundesliga |
Holstein Kiel
1. FC Union Berlin
|
Home draw | 1x | 1.80 | 66.8% | 0.202 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Oct 20, 2024 | epl |
Liverpool
Chelsea
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 39.9% | 0.147 | 0.98u | Won | +0.89u |
| Oct 20, 2024 | epl |
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Manchester City
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 42.2% | 0.103 | 0.52u | Won | +0.47u |
| Oct 19, 2024 | epl |
Newcastle United
Brighton & Hove Albion
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 39.8% | 0.149 | 0.36u | Won | +0.33u |
| Oct 19, 2024 | epl |
Southampton
Leicester City
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 38.9% | 0.166 | 0.44u | Lost | -0.44u |
| Oct 19, 2024 | epl |
Manchester United
Brentford
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 39.9% | 0.147 | 0.35u | Won | +0.32u |
| Oct 19, 2024 | epl |
Tottenham Hotspur
West Ham United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 39.9% | 0.147 | 0.35u | Lost | -0.35u |
| Oct 19, 2024 | bundesliga |
Bayern Munich
VfB Stuttgart
|
Home draw | 1x | 1.91 | 67.5% | 0.290 | 1.20u | Won | +1.09u |
| Oct 19, 2024 | epl |
Newcastle United
Brighton & Hove Albion
|
Result | away | 4.50 | 43.2% | 0.965 | 0.73u | Won | +2.56u |
| Oct 19, 2024 | epl |
Fulham
Aston Villa
|
Result | home | 4.60 | 39.3% | 0.807 | 0.51u | Lost | -0.51u |
| Oct 19, 2024 | epl |
Ipswich Town
Everton
|
Result | away | 4.50 | 42.1% | 0.565 | 0.26u | Won | +0.91u |
| Oct 6, 2024 | epl |
Aston Villa
Manchester United
|
Result | home | 2.40 | 64.0% | 0.536 | 0.92u | Lost | -0.92u |
| Oct 6, 2024 | epl |
Brighton & Hove Albion
Tottenham Hotspur
|
Result | home | 2.25 | 54.2% | 0.221 | 0.18u | Won | +0.23u |
| Oct 6, 2024 | epl |
Chelsea
Nottingham Forest
|
Result | home | 2.85 | 48.1% | 0.371 | 0.39u | Lost | -0.39u |
| Oct 6, 2024 | epl |
Aston Villa
Manchester United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 42.3% | 0.102 | 0.87u | Won | +0.79u |
| Oct 6, 2024 | epl |
Chelsea
Nottingham Forest
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 43.2% | 0.084 | 0.63u | Won | +0.57u |
| Oct 5, 2024 | epl |
Leicester City
AFC Bournemouth
|
Total over | over | 1.91 | 56.0% | 0.069 | 0.22u | Lost | -0.22u |
| Oct 5, 2024 | epl |
Arsenal
Southampton
|
Total over | over | 1.91 | 61.3% | 0.171 | 1.01u | Won | +0.92u |
| Oct 5, 2024 | epl |
West Ham United
Ipswich Town
|
Total over | over | 1.91 | 54.9% | 0.048 | 0.11u | Won | +0.10u |
| Oct 5, 2024 | epl |
Brentford
Wolverhampton Wanderers
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 44.7% | 0.056 | 0.16u | Lost | -0.16u |
| Oct 5, 2024 | epl |
Everton
Newcastle United
|
Result | home | 3.70 | 38.1% | 0.410 | 0.11u | Lost | -0.11u |
| Oct 5, 2024 | epl |
Brentford
Wolverhampton Wanderers
|
Result | home | 3.50 | 57.4% | 1.008 | 0.67u | Won | +1.68u |
| Oct 5, 2024 | epl |
Manchester City
Fulham
|
Result | home | 4.60 | 47.7% | 1.193 | 0.70u | Won | +2.52u |
| Oct 5, 2024 | bundesliga |
Werder Bremen
SC Freiburg
|
Home draw | away | 2.55 | 45.1% | 0.400 | 0.75u | Won | +1.16u |
| Oct 5, 2024 | bundesliga |
St. Pauli
Mainz
|
Home draw | away | 2.20 | 38.6% | 0.351 | 0.68u | Won | +0.82u |
| Oct 5, 2024 | bundesliga |
Bayer Leverkusen
Holstein Kiel
|
Home draw | away | 2.00 | 45.3% | 0.093 | 0.07u | Lost | -0.07u |
| Sep 30, 2024 | epl |
AFC Bournemouth
Southampton
|
Result | draw | 4.50 | 31.0% | 0.744 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 30, 2024 | epl |
AFC Bournemouth
Southampton
|
Total over | over | 1.91 | 56.6% | 0.080 | 0.70u | Won | +0.64u |
| Sep 29, 2024 | epl |
Manchester United
Tottenham Hotspur
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 40.3% | 0.140 | 1.10u | Won | +1.00u |
| Sep 29, 2024 | epl |
Ipswich Town
Aston Villa
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 43.6% | 0.077 | 0.40u | Lost | -0.40u |
| Sep 29, 2024 | epl |
Manchester United
Tottenham Hotspur
|
Result | home | 2.05 | 55.2% | 0.131 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Sep 29, 2024 | epl |
Ipswich Town
Aston Villa
|
Result | home | 3.50 | 41.5% | 0.451 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 29, 2024 | bundesliga |
Holstein Kiel
Eintracht Frankfurt
|
Home draw | away | 1.91 | 36.8% | 0.206 | 1.20u | Won | +1.09u |
| Sep 28, 2024 | bundesliga |
RB Leipzig
FC Augsburg
|
Home draw | 1x | 1.80 | 68.6% | 0.236 | 1.20u | Won | +0.96u |
| Sep 28, 2024 | epl |
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Liverpool
|
Result | home | 3.50 | 38.0% | 0.331 | 0.59u | Lost | -0.59u |
| Sep 28, 2024 | epl |
Brentford
West Ham United
|
Result | draw | 4.33 | 38.7% | 0.170 | 0.15u | Won | +0.50u |
| Sep 28, 2024 | epl |
Newcastle United
Manchester City
|
Result | draw | 4.10 | 30.4% | 0.403 | 0.76u | Won | +2.36u |
| Sep 28, 2024 | epl |
Brentford
West Ham United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 41.5% | 0.118 | 0.34u | Won | +0.31u |
| Sep 28, 2024 | epl |
Nottingham Forest
Fulham
|
Total over | over | 1.91 | 57.9% | 0.105 | 0.28u | Lost | -0.28u |
| Sep 28, 2024 | epl |
Newcastle United
Manchester City
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 37.0% | 0.203 | 0.88u | Won | +0.80u |
| Sep 22, 2024 | epl |
Brighton & Hove Albion
Nottingham Forest
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 39.0% | 0.165 | 1.03u | Lost | -1.03u |
| Sep 22, 2024 | epl |
Manchester City
Arsenal
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 42.0% | 0.106 | 0.47u | Lost | -0.47u |
| Sep 22, 2024 | epl |
Brighton & Hove Albion
Nottingham Forest
|
Result | away | 4.10 | 45.3% | 0.328 | 0.45u | Lost | -0.45u |
| Sep 22, 2024 | epl |
Manchester City
Arsenal
|
Result | away | 4.80 | 44.8% | 0.563 | 1.05u | Lost | -1.05u |
| Sep 22, 2024 | bundesliga |
VfB Stuttgart
Borussia Dortmund
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.25 | 68.7% | 0.546 | 1.20u | Won | +1.50u |
| Sep 21, 2024 | bundesliga |
1. FC Union Berlin
TSG Hoffenheim
|
Home draw | 1x | 1.67 | 64.2% | 0.070 | 0.30u | Won | +0.20u |
| Sep 21, 2024 | bundesliga |
1. FC Heidenheim 1846
SC Freiburg
|
Home draw | 1x | 3.25 | 62.8% | 1.040 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 21, 2024 | epl |
West Ham United
Chelsea
|
Result | home | 2.90 | 46.3% | 0.343 | 0.29u | Lost | -0.29u |
| Sep 21, 2024 | epl |
Fulham
Newcastle United
|
Result | home | 2.75 | 45.1% | 0.240 | 0.16u | Won | +0.28u |
| Sep 21, 2024 | epl |
Crystal Palace
Manchester United
|
Result | home | 3.40 | 43.4% | 0.477 | 0.47u | Lost | -0.47u |
| Sep 21, 2024 | epl |
Aston Villa
Wolverhampton Wanderers
|
Result | away | 5.00 | 44.0% | 0.666 | 0.58u | Lost | -0.58u |
| Sep 21, 2024 | epl |
Tottenham Hotspur
Brentford
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 39.0% | 0.166 | 0.38u | Lost | -0.38u |
| Sep 21, 2024 | epl |
Liverpool
AFC Bournemouth
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 37.9% | 0.185 | 0.46u | Won | +0.42u |
| Sep 21, 2024 | epl |
Southampton
Ipswich Town
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 39.0% | 0.165 | 0.38u | Won | +0.35u |
| Sep 21, 2024 | epl |
Leicester City
Everton
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 40.3% | 0.140 | 0.28u | Won | +0.25u |
| Sep 15, 2024 | epl |
Tottenham Hotspur
Arsenal
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 40.6% | 0.134 | 0.75u | Won | +0.68u |
| Sep 15, 2024 | epl |
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Newcastle United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 40.6% | 0.134 | 0.75u | Lost | -0.75u |
| Sep 15, 2024 | epl |
Tottenham Hotspur
Arsenal
|
Result | home | 3.50 | 43.8% | 0.532 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 14, 2024 | epl |
Manchester City
Brentford
|
Result | home | 3.10 | 44.7% | 0.386 | 0.35u | Won | +0.74u |
| Sep 14, 2024 | epl |
Southampton
Manchester United
|
Result | home | 2.70 | 45.5% | 0.229 | 0.15u | Lost | -0.15u |
| Sep 14, 2024 | epl |
AFC Bournemouth
Chelsea
|
Result | home | 4.00 | 44.0% | 0.762 | 1.00u | Lost | -1.00u |
| Sep 14, 2024 | bundesliga |
Borussia Mönchengladbach
VfB Stuttgart
|
Home draw | away | 2.40 | 43.2% | 0.364 | 0.74u | Won | +1.04u |
| Sep 14, 2024 | bundesliga |
TSG Hoffenheim
Bayer Leverkusen
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.75 | 50.7% | 0.394 | 0.76u | Lost | -0.76u |
| Sep 14, 2024 | epl |
Liverpool
Nottingham Forest
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 38.9% | 0.166 | 0.28u | Won | +0.25u |
| Sep 14, 2024 | epl |
Southampton
Manchester United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 35.4% | 0.233 | 0.51u | Won | +0.46u |
| Sep 14, 2024 | epl |
Fulham
West Ham United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 39.8% | 0.149 | 0.23u | Won | +0.21u |
| Sep 14, 2024 | epl |
AFC Bournemouth
Chelsea
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 35.9% | 0.224 | 0.48u | Won | +0.44u |
| Sep 1, 2024 | epl |
Manchester United
Liverpool
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 42.0% | 0.106 | 0.28u | Won | +0.25u |
| Sep 1, 2024 | epl |
Newcastle United
Tottenham Hotspur
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 35.4% | 0.232 | 1.10u | Won | +1.00u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.