Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 5, 2026 4:25 PM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2025 | epl |
Brentford
Chelsea
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 38.4% | 0.177 | 0.55u | Won | +0.50u |
| Apr 6, 2025 | epl |
Manchester United
Manchester City
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 41.3% | 0.121 | 0.28u | Won | +0.25u |
| Apr 6, 2025 | epl |
Fulham
Liverpool
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 40.8% | 0.130 | 0.32u | Lost | -0.32u |
| Apr 6, 2025 | epl |
Tottenham Hotspur
Southampton
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 40.5% | 0.137 | 0.35u | Lost | -0.35u |
| Apr 5, 2025 | epl |
Everton
Arsenal
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 40.1% | 0.143 | 0.40u | Won | +0.36u |
| Apr 5, 2025 | epl |
Crystal Palace
Brighton & Hove Albion
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 40.3% | 0.140 | 0.39u | Lost | -0.39u |
| Apr 5, 2025 | epl |
Ipswich Town
Wolverhampton Wanderers
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 39.9% | 0.148 | 0.43u | Lost | -0.43u |
| Apr 5, 2025 | epl |
West Ham United
AFC Bournemouth
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 41.5% | 0.118 | 0.28u | Lost | -0.28u |
| Apr 5, 2025 | epl |
Everton
Arsenal
|
Result | away | 3.50 | 41.6% | 0.250 | 0.19u | Lost | -0.19u |
| Apr 5, 2025 | epl |
Ipswich Town
Wolverhampton Wanderers
|
Result | home | 2.75 | 46.9% | 0.291 | 0.34u | Lost | -0.34u |
| Apr 5, 2025 | epl |
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
|
Result | home | 3.90 | 38.7% | 0.510 | 0.68u | Won | +1.97u |
| Apr 5, 2025 | epl |
West Ham United
AFC Bournemouth
|
Result | home | 2.75 | 46.0% | 0.265 | 0.29u | Lost | -0.29u |
| Apr 5, 2025 | bundesliga |
RB Leipzig
TSG Hoffenheim
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.38 | 50.2% | 0.192 | 1.12u | Won | +1.54u |
| Apr 3, 2025 | epl |
Chelsea
Tottenham Hotspur
|
Result | away | 4.50 | 41.6% | 0.582 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Apr 3, 2025 | epl |
Chelsea
Tottenham Hotspur
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 42.9% | 0.090 | 0.79u | Won | +0.72u |
| Apr 2, 2025 | epl |
Brighton & Hove Albion
Aston Villa
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 40.6% | 0.133 | 0.39u | Lost | -0.39u |
| Apr 2, 2025 | epl |
Manchester City
Leicester City
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 41.3% | 0.121 | 0.33u | Won | +0.30u |
| Apr 2, 2025 | epl |
Liverpool
Everton
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 39.7% | 0.151 | 0.49u | Won | +0.45u |
| Apr 2, 2025 | epl |
Newcastle United
Brentford
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 41.7% | 0.113 | 0.29u | Won | +0.26u |
| Apr 2, 2025 | epl |
Newcastle United
Brentford
|
Result | away | 4.40 | 49.1% | 0.360 | 0.85u | Lost | -0.85u |
| Apr 1, 2025 | epl |
Arsenal
Fulham
|
Result | away | 3.20 | 42.8% | 0.230 | 0.84u | Lost | -0.84u |
| Apr 1, 2025 | epl |
Wolverhampton Wanderers
West Ham United
|
Result | home | 2.30 | 49.2% | 0.132 | 0.66u | Won | +0.86u |
| Apr 1, 2025 | epl |
Arsenal
Fulham
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 41.5% | 0.118 | 0.36u | Lost | -0.36u |
| Apr 1, 2025 | epl |
Wolverhampton Wanderers
West Ham United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 41.5% | 0.118 | 0.35u | Won | +0.32u |
| Apr 1, 2025 | epl |
Nottingham Forest
Manchester United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 37.9% | 0.185 | 0.79u | Won | +0.72u |
| Mar 29, 2025 | bundesliga |
Bayern Munich
St. Pauli
|
Home draw | away | 2.20 | 46.4% | 0.179 | 1.19u | Lost | -1.19u |
| Mar 16, 2025 | epl |
Fulham
Tottenham Hotspur
|
Result | away | 4.00 | 53.9% | 0.293 | 0.31u | Lost | -0.31u |
| Mar 16, 2025 | epl |
Arsenal
Chelsea
|
Result | home | 1.71 | 64.1% | 0.099 | 0.10u | Won | +0.07u |
| Mar 16, 2025 | epl |
Leicester City
Manchester United
|
Result | home | 4.33 | 36.8% | 0.593 | 1.08u | Lost | -1.08u |
| Mar 16, 2025 | epl |
Fulham
Tottenham Hotspur
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 37.1% | 0.201 | 1.20u | Won | +1.09u |
| Mar 15, 2025 | epl |
Everton
West Ham United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 39.5% | 0.154 | 0.80u | Won | +0.73u |
| Mar 15, 2025 | epl |
AFC Bournemouth
Brentford
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 44.2% | 0.066 | 0.19u | Won | +0.17u |
| Mar 15, 2025 | epl |
Ipswich Town
Nottingham Forest
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 41.4% | 0.119 | 0.51u | Lost | -0.51u |
| Mar 15, 2025 | epl |
Manchester City
Brighton & Hove Albion
|
Result | home | 3.70 | 46.8% | 0.731 | 0.35u | Lost | -0.35u |
| Mar 15, 2025 | epl |
Everton
West Ham United
|
Result | away | 4.10 | 42.3% | 0.778 | 0.35u | Lost | -0.35u |
| Mar 15, 2025 | epl |
AFC Bournemouth
Brentford
|
Result | home | 3.70 | 49.5% | 0.833 | 0.44u | Lost | -0.44u |
| Mar 15, 2025 | epl |
Ipswich Town
Nottingham Forest
|
Result | away | 3.80 | 40.8% | 0.764 | 0.36u | Won | +1.01u |
| Mar 15, 2025 | bundesliga |
RB Leipzig
Borussia Dortmund
|
Home draw | 1x | 3.25 | 59.9% | 0.946 | 1.20u | Won | +2.70u |
| Mar 10, 2025 | epl |
West Ham United
Newcastle United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 40.3% | 0.140 | 1.20u | Won | +1.09u |
| Mar 9, 2025 | epl |
Tottenham Hotspur
AFC Bournemouth
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 40.9% | 0.129 | 0.42u | Lost | -0.42u |
| Mar 9, 2025 | epl |
Manchester United
Arsenal
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 40.4% | 0.137 | 0.47u | Won | +0.43u |
| Mar 9, 2025 | epl |
Chelsea
Leicester City
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 39.3% | 0.158 | 0.61u | Won | +0.55u |
| Mar 9, 2025 | epl |
Tottenham Hotspur
AFC Bournemouth
|
Result | home | 3.30 | 41.3% | 0.362 | 0.77u | Lost | -0.77u |
| Mar 9, 2025 | epl |
Manchester United
Arsenal
|
Result | home | 2.75 | 48.0% | 0.321 | 0.73u | Lost | -0.73u |
| Mar 8, 2025 | epl |
Brentford
Aston Villa
|
Result | home | 3.70 | 42.4% | 0.569 | 0.73u | Lost | -0.73u |
| Mar 8, 2025 | epl |
Liverpool
Southampton
|
Result | home | 3.70 | 42.8% | 0.584 | 0.77u | Won | +2.08u |
| Mar 8, 2025 | bundesliga |
Bayer Leverkusen
Werder Bremen
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.63 | 58.7% | 0.542 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Mar 8, 2025 | epl |
Brentford
Aston Villa
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 40.4% | 0.137 | 0.37u | Won | +0.34u |
| Mar 8, 2025 | epl |
Brighton & Hove Albion
Fulham
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 40.3% | 0.140 | 0.38u | Lost | -0.38u |
| Mar 8, 2025 | epl |
Liverpool
Southampton
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 40.3% | 0.140 | 0.38u | Lost | -0.38u |
| Mar 8, 2025 | epl |
Crystal Palace
Ipswich Town
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 40.4% | 0.137 | 0.37u | Won | +0.34u |
| Mar 1, 2025 | bundesliga |
VfL Bochum
TSG Hoffenheim
|
Home draw | away | 1.91 | 38.5% | 0.174 | 0.54u | Won | +0.49u |
| Mar 1, 2025 | bundesliga |
Eintracht Frankfurt
Bayer Leverkusen
|
Home draw | 1x | 1.91 | 64.1% | 0.224 | 0.96u | Lost | -0.96u |
| Feb 27, 2025 | epl |
West Ham United
Leicester City
|
Result | away | 3.70 | 47.3% | 0.234 | 0.69u | Lost | -0.69u |
| Feb 27, 2025 | epl |
West Ham United
Leicester City
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 41.8% | 0.111 | 0.97u | Won | +0.88u |
| Feb 26, 2025 | epl |
Liverpool
Newcastle United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 36.3% | 0.215 | 1.06u | Won | +0.96u |
| Feb 26, 2025 | epl |
Manchester United
Ipswich Town
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 42.3% | 0.102 | 0.28u | Lost | -0.28u |
| Feb 26, 2025 | epl |
Tottenham Hotspur
Manchester City
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 43.9% | 0.070 | 0.15u | Won | +0.14u |
| Feb 26, 2025 | epl |
Liverpool
Newcastle United
|
Result | home | 4.00 | 47.5% | 0.901 | 1.05u | Won | +3.15u |
| Feb 26, 2025 | epl |
Manchester United
Ipswich Town
|
Result | away | 4.50 | 45.2% | 0.527 | 0.33u | Lost | -0.33u |
| Feb 26, 2025 | epl |
Tottenham Hotspur
Manchester City
|
Result | draw | 4.40 | 36.7% | 0.295 | 0.12u | Lost | -0.12u |
| Feb 25, 2025 | epl |
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Fulham
|
Result | away | 3.50 | 42.9% | 0.193 | 0.62u | Won | +1.55u |
| Feb 25, 2025 | epl |
Brighton & Hove Albion
AFC Bournemouth
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 31.2% | 0.314 | 1.17u | Won | +1.06u |
| Feb 25, 2025 | epl |
Crystal Palace
Aston Villa
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 39.7% | 0.151 | 0.31u | Lost | -0.31u |
| Feb 23, 2025 | epl |
Newcastle United
Nottingham Forest
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 40.5% | 0.136 | 0.48u | Lost | -0.48u |
| Feb 23, 2025 | epl |
Manchester City
Liverpool
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 36.9% | 0.205 | 1.02u | Won | +0.93u |
| Feb 23, 2025 | epl |
Newcastle United
Nottingham Forest
|
Result | away | 3.80 | 50.0% | 0.178 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Feb 23, 2025 | epl |
Manchester City
Liverpool
|
Result | home | 3.10 | 49.7% | 0.541 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Feb 22, 2025 | epl |
Arsenal
West Ham United
|
Result | away | 4.80 | 43.7% | 0.648 | 0.61u | Won | +2.32u |
| Feb 22, 2025 | epl |
Everton
Manchester United
|
Result | home | 2.60 | 45.7% | 0.188 | 0.12u | Lost | -0.12u |
| Feb 22, 2025 | epl |
Fulham
Crystal Palace
|
Result | away | 3.50 | 37.7% | 0.542 | 0.60u | Won | +1.50u |
| Feb 22, 2025 | epl |
Ipswich Town
Tottenham Hotspur
|
Result | home | 3.25 | 38.9% | 0.263 | 0.17u | Lost | -0.17u |
| Feb 22, 2025 | bundesliga |
Borussia Mönchengladbach
FC Augsburg
|
Home draw | 1x | 4.50 | 62.2% | 1.801 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Feb 22, 2025 | epl |
Arsenal
West Ham United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 38.2% | 0.180 | 0.19u | Won | +0.17u |
| Feb 22, 2025 | epl |
Southampton
Brighton & Hove Albion
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 36.8% | 0.207 | 0.25u | Lost | -0.25u |
| Feb 22, 2025 | epl |
AFC Bournemouth
Wolverhampton Wanderers
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 24.5% | 0.442 | 1.03u | Won | +0.94u |
| Feb 21, 2025 | epl |
Leicester City
Brentford
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 37.5% | 0.194 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Feb 19, 2025 | epl |
Aston Villa
Liverpool
|
Result | home | 3.70 | 45.6% | 0.687 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Feb 16, 2025 | epl |
Tottenham Hotspur
Manchester United
|
Result | home | 2.15 | 50.7% | 0.089 | 0.62u | Won | +0.71u |
| Feb 16, 2025 | epl |
Liverpool
Wolverhampton Wanderers
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 31.1% | 0.315 | 1.20u | Won | +1.09u |
| Feb 16, 2025 | epl |
Tottenham Hotspur
Manchester United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 41.6% | 0.114 | 0.30u | Won | +0.27u |
| Feb 15, 2025 | epl |
Leicester City
Arsenal
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 44.4% | 0.061 | 0.06u | Won | +0.05u |
| Feb 15, 2025 | epl |
Manchester City
Newcastle United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 37.7% | 0.189 | 0.44u | Lost | -0.44u |
| Feb 15, 2025 | epl |
West Ham United
Brentford
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 33.7% | 0.265 | 0.82u | Won | +0.75u |
| Feb 15, 2025 | epl |
Crystal Palace
Everton
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 41.8% | 0.111 | 0.17u | Lost | -0.17u |
| Feb 15, 2025 | epl |
Fulham
Nottingham Forest
|
Result | draw | 4.50 | 32.4% | 0.540 | 0.79u | Lost | -0.79u |
| Feb 15, 2025 | epl |
Leicester City
Arsenal
|
Result | away | 3.50 | 41.3% | 0.274 | 0.28u | Won | +0.70u |
| Feb 15, 2025 | epl |
Manchester City
Newcastle United
|
Result | home | 2.05 | 53.9% | 0.105 | 0.09u | Won | +0.09u |
| Feb 15, 2025 | epl |
Southampton
AFC Bournemouth
|
Result | away | 4.33 | 49.5% | 0.335 | 0.33u | Won | +1.10u |
| Feb 15, 2025 | bundesliga |
VfB Stuttgart
VfL Wolfsburg
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.38 | 69.2% | 0.643 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Feb 15, 2025 | bundesliga |
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayern Munich
|
Home draw | 1x | 1.62 | 69.2% | 0.117 | 0.30u | Won | +0.18u |
| Feb 15, 2025 | bundesliga |
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayern Munich
|
Home away | draw | 3.50 | 47.5% | 0.839 | 1.20u | Won | +3.00u |
| Feb 14, 2025 | bundesliga |
FC Augsburg
RB Leipzig
|
Home draw | 1x | 1.53 | 72.1% | 0.106 | 1.20u | Won | +0.64u |
| Feb 14, 2025 | epl |
Brighton & Hove Albion
Chelsea
|
Result | draw | 4.80 | 41.0% | 0.323 | 0.68u | Lost | -0.68u |
| Feb 14, 2025 | epl |
Brighton & Hove Albion
Chelsea
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 33.1% | 0.278 | 1.20u | Won | +1.09u |
| Feb 12, 2025 | epl |
Everton
Liverpool
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 43.8% | 0.073 | 0.64u | Lost | -0.64u |
| Feb 12, 2025 | epl |
Everton
Liverpool
|
Result | home | 2.85 | 53.5% | 0.525 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Feb 8, 2025 | bundesliga |
VfL Wolfsburg
Bayer Leverkusen
|
Home draw | 1x | 1.67 | 69.9% | 0.166 | 1.20u | Won | +0.80u |
| Feb 8, 2025 | bundesliga |
Mainz
FC Augsburg
|
Home away | draw | 3.50 | 47.5% | 0.836 | 1.20u | Won | +3.00u |
| Feb 3, 2025 | epl |
Chelsea
West Ham United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 29.6% | 0.344 | 1.20u | Won | +1.09u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.