Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 5, 2026 4:25 PM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 25, 2025 | epl |
Newcastle United
Everton
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 40.1% | 0.143 | 0.38u | Won | +0.35u |
| May 25, 2025 | epl |
Southampton
Arsenal
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 40.1% | 0.143 | 0.38u | Won | +0.35u |
| May 25, 2025 | epl |
Tottenham Hotspur
Brighton & Hove Albion
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 39.7% | 0.151 | 0.41u | Lost | -0.41u |
| May 20, 2025 | epl |
Crystal Palace
Wolverhampton Wanderers
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 34.5% | 0.251 | 0.95u | Lost | -0.95u |
| May 20, 2025 | epl |
Manchester City
AFC Bournemouth
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 38.0% | 0.185 | 0.55u | Lost | -0.55u |
| May 20, 2025 | epl |
Crystal Palace
Wolverhampton Wanderers
|
Result | away | 3.40 | 44.6% | 0.116 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| May 20, 2025 | epl |
Manchester City
AFC Bournemouth
|
Result | home | 3.10 | 45.7% | 0.417 | 1.20u | Won | +2.52u |
| May 18, 2025 | epl |
Brentford
Fulham
|
Result | home | 2.95 | 44.9% | 0.326 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| May 18, 2025 | epl |
Leicester City
Ipswich Town
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 31.5% | 0.308 | 0.21u | Won | +0.19u |
| May 18, 2025 | epl |
Arsenal
Newcastle United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 31.4% | 0.311 | 0.21u | Won | +0.19u |
| May 18, 2025 | epl |
Brentford
Fulham
|
Total over | over | 1.91 | 66.7% | 0.273 | 0.16u | Won | +0.15u |
| May 18, 2025 | epl |
Everton
Southampton
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 12.4% | 0.673 | 0.92u | Won | +0.84u |
| May 17, 2025 | bundesliga |
FC Augsburg
1. FC Union Berlin
|
Home draw | away | 3.40 | 39.8% | 1.046 | 1.20u | Won | +2.88u |
| May 16, 2025 | epl |
Aston Villa
Tottenham Hotspur
|
Result | away | 5.00 | 44.1% | 0.662 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| May 16, 2025 | epl |
Chelsea
Manchester United
|
Result | away | 3.80 | 44.4% | 0.241 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| May 16, 2025 | epl |
Aston Villa
Tottenham Hotspur
|
Total over | over | 1.91 | 64.2% | 0.226 | 0.53u | Lost | -0.53u |
| May 16, 2025 | epl |
Chelsea
Manchester United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 31.4% | 0.311 | 0.97u | Won | +0.88u |
| May 11, 2025 | epl |
Liverpool
Arsenal
|
Total over | over | 1.91 | 68.7% | 0.311 | 0.78u | Won | +0.71u |
| May 11, 2025 | epl |
Manchester United
West Ham United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 39.7% | 0.151 | 0.21u | Won | +0.19u |
| May 11, 2025 | epl |
Nottingham Forest
Leicester City
|
Total over | over | 1.91 | 61.8% | 0.179 | 0.28u | Won | +0.25u |
| May 11, 2025 | epl |
Tottenham Hotspur
Crystal Palace
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 39.2% | 0.161 | 0.23u | Won | +0.21u |
| May 11, 2025 | epl |
Newcastle United
Chelsea
|
Result | home | 2.50 | 44.5% | 0.113 | 0.30u | Won | +0.45u |
| May 11, 2025 | epl |
Nottingham Forest
Leicester City
|
Result | home | 3.05 | 43.7% | 0.332 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| May 11, 2025 | bundesliga |
Bayer Leverkusen
Borussia Dortmund
|
Home draw | away | 2.55 | 49.8% | 0.279 | 1.20u | Won | +1.86u |
| May 10, 2025 | bundesliga |
Holstein Kiel
SC Freiburg
|
Home draw | 1x | 1.80 | 68.8% | 0.239 | 0.90u | Lost | -0.90u |
| May 10, 2025 | bundesliga |
1. FC Union Berlin
1. FC Heidenheim 1846
|
Home draw | 1x | 1.67 | 71.0% | 0.184 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| May 10, 2025 | epl |
Southampton
Manchester City
|
Result | away | 4.80 | 44.7% | 0.537 | 0.88u | Lost | -0.88u |
| May 10, 2025 | epl |
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Brighton & Hove Albion
|
Result | away | 3.50 | 44.6% | 0.122 | 0.08u | Won | +0.20u |
| May 10, 2025 | epl |
Fulham
Everton
|
Result | home | 2.95 | 44.6% | 0.317 | 0.53u | Lost | -0.53u |
| May 10, 2025 | epl |
Southampton
Manchester City
|
Total over | over | 1.91 | 68.9% | 0.315 | 0.28u | Lost | -0.28u |
| May 10, 2025 | epl |
Ipswich Town
Brentford
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 19.0% | 0.547 | 0.79u | Won | +0.72u |
| May 10, 2025 | epl |
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Brighton & Hove Albion
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 33.3% | 0.274 | 0.21u | Won | +0.19u |
| May 10, 2025 | epl |
AFC Bournemouth
Aston Villa
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 33.1% | 0.277 | 0.22u | Won | +0.20u |
| May 9, 2025 | bundesliga |
VfL Wolfsburg
TSG Hoffenheim
|
Home draw | 1x | 1.57 | 74.9% | 0.177 | 1.20u | Won | +0.69u |
| May 5, 2025 | epl |
Crystal Palace
Nottingham Forest
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 41.3% | 0.120 | 1.05u | Won | +0.95u |
| May 4, 2025 | epl |
Brentford
Manchester United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 40.9% | 0.128 | 0.38u | Lost | -0.38u |
| May 4, 2025 | epl |
Brighton & Hove Albion
Newcastle United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 40.9% | 0.129 | 0.38u | Won | +0.35u |
| May 4, 2025 | epl |
Chelsea
Liverpool
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 41.9% | 0.110 | 0.29u | Lost | -0.29u |
| May 4, 2025 | epl |
West Ham United
Tottenham Hotspur
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 40.3% | 0.140 | 0.44u | Won | +0.40u |
| May 4, 2025 | bundesliga |
Mainz
Eintracht Frankfurt
|
Home draw | 1x | 1.67 | 73.9% | 0.231 | 1.20u | Won | +0.80u |
| May 4, 2025 | bundesliga |
Mainz
Eintracht Frankfurt
|
Home away | draw | 3.40 | 49.6% | 0.715 | 1.20u | Won | +2.88u |
| May 4, 2025 | epl |
Brentford
Manchester United
|
Result | away | 4.50 | 47.2% | 0.408 | 0.93u | Lost | -0.93u |
| May 4, 2025 | epl |
Brighton & Hove Albion
Newcastle United
|
Result | away | 2.85 | 37.4% | 0.169 | 0.43u | Lost | -0.43u |
| May 4, 2025 | epl |
West Ham United
Tottenham Hotspur
|
Result | home | 2.30 | 46.7% | 0.075 | 0.14u | Lost | -0.14u |
| May 3, 2025 | epl |
Leicester City
Southampton
|
Result | away | 4.00 | 42.9% | 0.393 | 0.55u | Lost | -0.55u |
| May 3, 2025 | epl |
Everton
Ipswich Town
|
Result | away | 4.00 | 45.3% | 0.236 | 0.22u | Lost | -0.22u |
| May 3, 2025 | epl |
Arsenal
AFC Bournemouth
|
Result | away | 4.50 | 46.6% | 0.479 | 0.72u | Won | +2.52u |
| May 3, 2025 | bundesliga |
St. Pauli
VfB Stuttgart
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.10 | 69.8% | 0.466 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| May 3, 2025 | bundesliga |
1. FC Union Berlin
Werder Bremen
|
Home draw | 1x | 1.53 | 75.6% | 0.159 | 0.30u | Won | +0.16u |
| May 3, 2025 | epl |
Leicester City
Southampton
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 41.3% | 0.120 | 0.36u | Won | +0.33u |
| May 3, 2025 | epl |
Everton
Ipswich Town
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 41.3% | 0.121 | 0.36u | Lost | -0.36u |
| May 3, 2025 | epl |
Aston Villa
Fulham
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 40.9% | 0.129 | 0.40u | Won | +0.36u |
| May 3, 2025 | epl |
Arsenal
AFC Bournemouth
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 41.1% | 0.124 | 0.38u | Lost | -0.38u |
| May 2, 2025 | epl |
Manchester City
Wolverhampton Wanderers
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 40.9% | 0.129 | 1.13u | Won | +1.03u |
| May 1, 2025 | epl |
Nottingham Forest
Brentford
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 41.3% | 0.120 | 1.05u | Won | +0.95u |
| Apr 27, 2025 | epl |
Liverpool
Tottenham Hotspur
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 40.7% | 0.132 | 1.03u | Lost | -1.03u |
| Apr 27, 2025 | epl |
AFC Bournemouth
Manchester United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 43.3% | 0.083 | 0.47u | Won | +0.43u |
| Apr 26, 2025 | epl |
Brighton & Hove Albion
West Ham United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 41.9% | 0.110 | 0.29u | Lost | -0.29u |
| Apr 26, 2025 | epl |
Chelsea
Everton
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 40.9% | 0.129 | 0.38u | Won | +0.35u |
| Apr 26, 2025 | epl |
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Leicester City
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 40.3% | 0.140 | 0.44u | Lost | -0.44u |
| Apr 26, 2025 | epl |
Newcastle United
Ipswich Town
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 40.9% | 0.129 | 0.38u | Won | +0.35u |
| Apr 26, 2025 | bundesliga |
TSG Hoffenheim
Borussia Dortmund
|
Home draw | 1x | 1.91 | 67.7% | 0.292 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Apr 26, 2025 | epl |
Chelsea
Everton
|
Result | home | 5.00 | 41.0% | 1.050 | 1.17u | Won | +4.68u |
| Apr 26, 2025 | epl |
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Leicester City
|
Result | away | 4.33 | 42.1% | 0.438 | 0.25u | Lost | -0.25u |
| Apr 26, 2025 | epl |
Newcastle United
Ipswich Town
|
Result | away | 3.60 | 45.8% | 0.199 | 0.07u | Lost | -0.07u |
| Apr 23, 2025 | epl |
Arsenal
Crystal Palace
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 41.1% | 0.125 | 1.10u | Lost | -1.10u |
| Apr 22, 2025 | epl |
Manchester City
Aston Villa
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 45.9% | 0.033 | 0.29u | Won | +0.26u |
| Apr 22, 2025 | epl |
Manchester City
Aston Villa
|
Result | away | 3.70 | 40.6% | 0.458 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Apr 21, 2025 | epl |
Tottenham Hotspur
Nottingham Forest
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 44.5% | 0.060 | 0.53u | Lost | -0.53u |
| Apr 20, 2025 | epl |
Ipswich Town
Arsenal
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 44.4% | 0.062 | 0.42u | Lost | -0.42u |
| Apr 20, 2025 | epl |
Fulham
Chelsea
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 45.7% | 0.037 | 0.19u | Lost | -0.19u |
| Apr 20, 2025 | epl |
Manchester United
Wolverhampton Wanderers
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 45.5% | 0.041 | 0.22u | Won | +0.20u |
| Apr 20, 2025 | epl |
Leicester City
Liverpool
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 43.3% | 0.083 | 0.67u | Won | +0.61u |
| Apr 20, 2025 | epl |
Fulham
Chelsea
|
Result | away | 2.95 | 38.5% | 0.233 | 0.52u | Won | +1.01u |
| Apr 20, 2025 | epl |
Leicester City
Liverpool
|
Result | home | 2.55 | 51.0% | 0.300 | 0.98u | Lost | -0.98u |
| Apr 19, 2025 | epl |
West Ham United
Southampton
|
Result | home | 3.90 | 31.6% | 0.233 | 0.07u | Lost | -0.07u |
| Apr 19, 2025 | epl |
Everton
Manchester City
|
Result | home | 2.65 | 52.4% | 0.387 | 0.27u | Lost | -0.27u |
| Apr 19, 2025 | epl |
Crystal Palace
AFC Bournemouth
|
Result | away | 4.80 | 38.7% | 1.081 | 1.10u | Lost | -1.10u |
| Apr 19, 2025 | epl |
Brentford
Brighton & Hove Albion
|
Result | home | 2.50 | 46.2% | 0.155 | 0.06u | Won | +0.09u |
| Apr 19, 2025 | bundesliga |
1. FC Heidenheim 1846
Bayern Munich
|
Home draw | 1x | 1.62 | 73.7% | 0.191 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Apr 19, 2025 | bundesliga |
RB Leipzig
Holstein Kiel
|
Home draw | 1x | 3.75 | 75.6% | 1.837 | 1.20u | Won | +3.30u |
| Apr 19, 2025 | epl |
Everton
Manchester City
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 45.6% | 0.038 | 0.26u | Won | +0.24u |
| Apr 19, 2025 | epl |
Crystal Palace
AFC Bournemouth
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 44.5% | 0.060 | 0.51u | Won | +0.46u |
| Apr 19, 2025 | epl |
Brentford
Brighton & Hove Albion
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 43.3% | 0.083 | 0.73u | Lost | -0.73u |
| Apr 16, 2025 | epl |
Newcastle United
Crystal Palace
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 45.0% | 0.051 | 0.45u | Lost | -0.45u |
| Apr 16, 2025 | epl |
Newcastle United
Crystal Palace
|
Result | away | 4.60 | 51.9% | 0.391 | 0.87u | Lost | -0.87u |
| Apr 14, 2025 | epl |
AFC Bournemouth
Fulham
|
Result | away | 3.35 | 42.8% | 0.155 | 0.53u | Lost | -0.53u |
| Apr 14, 2025 | epl |
AFC Bournemouth
Fulham
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 41.9% | 0.109 | 0.96u | Won | +0.87u |
| Apr 13, 2025 | epl |
Chelsea
Ipswich Town
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 42.4% | 0.100 | 0.52u | Lost | -0.52u |
| Apr 13, 2025 | epl |
Liverpool
West Ham United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 45.1% | 0.049 | 0.16u | Won | +0.15u |
| Apr 13, 2025 | epl |
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Tottenham Hotspur
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 40.8% | 0.131 | 0.82u | Lost | -0.82u |
| Apr 13, 2025 | epl |
Chelsea
Ipswich Town
|
Result | home | 2.25 | 48.5% | 0.091 | 0.58u | Lost | -0.58u |
| Apr 12, 2025 | epl |
Nottingham Forest
Everton
|
Result | away | 4.80 | 47.4% | 0.656 | 1.20u | Won | +4.56u |
| Apr 12, 2025 | epl |
Nottingham Forest
Everton
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 44.4% | 0.062 | 0.10u | Won | +0.09u |
| Apr 12, 2025 | epl |
Manchester City
Crystal Palace
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 39.1% | 0.162 | 0.52u | Lost | -0.52u |
| Apr 12, 2025 | epl |
Arsenal
Brentford
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 38.5% | 0.174 | 0.59u | Won | +0.54u |
| Apr 12, 2025 | epl |
Brighton & Hove Albion
Leicester City
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 41.7% | 0.114 | 0.28u | Lost | -0.28u |
| Apr 7, 2025 | epl |
Leicester City
Newcastle United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 41.5% | 0.118 | 1.03u | Lost | -1.03u |
| Apr 7, 2025 | epl |
Leicester City
Newcastle United
|
Result | draw | 4.60 | 41.5% | 0.195 | 0.43u | Lost | -0.43u |
| Apr 6, 2025 | epl |
Manchester United
Manchester City
|
Result | home | 4.00 | 43.2% | 0.729 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.