Case Archive

Historical Audit

Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.

Last synced: Apr 2, 2026 2:00 AM EDT

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Date	Sport	Game	Market	Pick	Odds	Prob	EV/Unit	Units	Result	PnL
Apr 23, 2018	mlb	Orioles Indians	First5 result	away	2.67	41.3%	0.092	0.25u	Won	+0.42u
Apr 23, 2018	mlb	Rangers Athletics	First5 result	away	2.80	41.1%	0.053	0.11u	Lost	-0.11u
Apr 23, 2018	mlb	Reds Braves	First5 result	home	2.65	41.0%	0.085	0.22u	Lost	-0.22u
Apr 23, 2018	mlb	Astros Angels	First5 result	away	2.79	41.5%	0.142	0.43u	Won	+0.77u
Apr 23, 2018	mlb	Giants Nationals	First5 result	away	3.22	44.2%	0.236	0.79u	Lost	-0.79u
Apr 22, 2018	mlb	Tigers Royals	First5 result	away	3.10	40.5%	0.258	0.46u	Lost	-0.46u
Apr 22, 2018	mlb	Phillies Pirates	First5 result	away	2.67	41.2%	0.097	0.13u	Lost	-0.13u
Apr 22, 2018	mlb	Cardinals Reds	First5 result	away	2.79	39.9%	0.092	0.12u	Lost	-0.12u
Apr 22, 2018	mlb	Diamondbacks Padres	First5 result	home	2.79	42.6%	0.187	0.32u	Won	+0.57u
Apr 22, 2018	mlb	Brewers Marlins	First5 result	home	3.25	42.0%	0.365	0.77u	Won	+1.73u
Apr 21, 2018	mlb	Rays Twins	First5 result	home	2.90	40.5%	0.175	0.36u	Won	+0.68u
Apr 21, 2018	mlb	Brewers Marlins	First5 result	away	2.91	44.6%	0.139	0.26u	Won	+0.50u
Apr 21, 2018	mlb	Athletics Red Sox	First5 result	away	2.71	41.1%	0.122	0.22u	Lost	-0.22u
Apr 21, 2018	mlb	Braves Mets	First5 result	home	2.80	42.3%	0.184	0.40u	Lost	-0.40u
Apr 21, 2018	mlb	Dodgers Nationals	First5 result	away	2.99	41.0%	0.241	0.56u	Lost	-0.56u
Apr 20, 2018	mlb	Athletics Red Sox	First5 result	away	2.89	41.4%	0.124	0.52u	Lost	-0.52u
Apr 20, 2018	mlb	Rockies Cubs	First5 result	home	3.34	42.5%	0.418	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Apr 19, 2018	mlb	Angels Red Sox	First5 result	away	2.66	42.9%	0.060	0.29u	Won	+0.48u
Apr 19, 2018	mlb	Braves Mets	First5 result	home	2.68	41.6%	0.115	0.55u	Won	+0.92u
Apr 19, 2018	mlb	Cubs Cardinals	First5 result	away	2.59	40.4%	0.055	0.27u	Lost	-0.27u
Apr 18, 2018	mlb	Mariners Astros	First5 result	away	3.02	42.1%	0.195	0.77u	Lost	-0.77u
Apr 18, 2018	mlb	Twins Indians	First5 result	home	2.51	42.1%	0.056	0.29u	Lost	-0.29u
Apr 18, 2018	mlb	Brewers Reds	First5 result	away	2.78	40.7%	0.157	0.70u	Lost	-0.70u
Apr 17, 2018	mlb	Diamondbacks Giants	First5 result	home	2.71	42.0%	0.139	0.19u	Lost	-0.19u
Apr 17, 2018	mlb	Mariners Astros	First5 result	away	2.63	41.0%	0.076	0.09u	Lost	-0.09u
Apr 17, 2018	mlb	Athletics White Sox	First5 result	away	3.75	41.6%	0.538	1.18u	Lost	-1.18u
Apr 17, 2018	mlb	Brewers Reds	First5 result	home	2.89	42.1%	0.216	0.34u	Lost	-0.34u
Apr 16, 2018	mlb	Braves Phillies	First5 result	away	3.81	41.5%	0.551	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Apr 16, 2018	mlb	Brewers Reds	First5 result	away	2.51	40.7%	0.099	0.52u	Won	+0.79u
Apr 15, 2018	mlb	Red Sox Orioles	First5 result	away	2.88	40.1%	0.113	0.14u	Lost	-0.14u
Apr 15, 2018	mlb	Astros Rangers	First5 result	away	2.78	43.2%	0.077	0.09u	Won	+0.16u
Apr 15, 2018	mlb	Mariners Athletics	First5 result	home	2.96	42.8%	0.266	0.46u	Lost	-0.46u
Apr 15, 2018	mlb	Marlins Pirates	First5 result	away	2.91	40.1%	0.172	0.25u	Won	+0.48u
Apr 15, 2018	mlb	Padres Giants	First5 result	away	3.71	42.3%	0.406	0.77u	Lost	-0.77u
Apr 15, 2018	mlb	Dodgers Diamondbacks	First5 result	away	2.78	41.9%	0.081	0.09u	Lost	-0.09u
Apr 14, 2018	mlb	Cubs Braves	First5 result	away	2.99	43.4%	0.204	0.82u	Won	+1.63u
Apr 14, 2018	mlb	Dodgers Diamondbacks	First5 result	away	2.64	40.6%	0.077	0.25u	Won	+0.41u
Apr 14, 2018	mlb	Nationals Rockies	First5 result	home	2.50	42.9%	0.072	0.23u	Lost	-0.23u
Apr 14, 2018	mlb	Marlins Pirates	First5 result	home	2.74	41.4%	0.134	0.50u	Lost	-0.50u
Apr 13, 2018	mlb	Reds Cardinals	First5 result	away	3.14	41.7%	0.249	0.82u	Won	+1.75u
Apr 13, 2018	mlb	Rays Phillies	First5 result	away	3.13	42.7%	0.249	0.82u	Lost	-0.82u
Apr 13, 2018	mlb	Royals Angels	First5 result	home	2.65	40.4%	0.071	0.16u	Won	+0.26u
Apr 12, 2018	mlb	Royals Angels	First5 result	away	2.67	41.1%	0.052	0.25u	Won	+0.42u
Apr 12, 2018	mlb	Cubs Pirates	First5 result	away	2.86	39.8%	0.152	0.65u	Won	+1.21u
Apr 12, 2018	mlb	Nationals Rockies	First5 result	away	3.00	42.2%	0.226	0.90u	Won	+1.80u
Apr 11, 2018	mlb	Cubs Pirates	First5 result	away	3.46	42.9%	0.357	1.16u	Lost	-1.16u
Apr 10, 2018	mlb	Cardinals Brewers	First5 result	away	2.35	36.0%	0.077	0.07u	Won	+0.09u
Apr 10, 2018	mlb	Cubs Pirates	First5 result	away	2.38	38.1%	0.160	0.18u	Won	+0.25u
Apr 10, 2018	mlb	Nationals Braves	First5 result	away	3.01	33.3%	0.428	0.68u	Lost	-0.68u
Apr 10, 2018	mlb	Phillies Reds	First5 result	away	2.84	39.6%	0.282	0.36u	Won	+0.66u
Apr 10, 2018	mlb	Rockies Padres	First5 result	draw	4.60	31.5%	0.178	0.11u	Won	+0.40u
Apr 10, 2018	mlb	White Sox Rays	First5 result	away	2.75	35.0%	0.289	0.39u	Won	+0.68u
Apr 9, 2018	mlb	Royals Mariners	First5 result	away	2.29	39.5%	0.102	0.08u	Lost	-0.08u
Apr 9, 2018	mlb	Twins Astros	First5 result	away	3.42	40.6%	0.571	0.75u	Lost	-0.75u
Apr 9, 2018	mlb	Nationals Braves	First5 result	away	3.12	27.6%	0.488	0.63u	Lost	-0.63u
Apr 9, 2018	mlb	Rockies Padres	First5 result	away	2.63	34.9%	0.308	0.34u	Won	+0.55u
Apr 8, 2018	mlb	Angels Athletics	First5 result	away	2.68	36.7%	0.286	0.25u	Lost	-0.25u
Apr 8, 2018	mlb	Yankees Orioles	First5 result	away	3.36	43.1%	0.470	0.45u	Lost	-0.45u
Apr 8, 2018	mlb	Rangers Blue Jays	First5 result	home	3.60	39.5%	0.423	0.34u	Lost	-0.34u
Apr 8, 2018	mlb	Nationals Mets	First5 result	away	2.81	43.1%	0.236	0.17u	Won	+0.31u
Apr 8, 2018	mlb	Rockies Braves	First5 result	away	2.94	33.6%	0.457	0.49u	Won	+0.95u
Apr 8, 2018	mlb	White Sox Tigers	First5 result	draw	4.60	27.9%	0.231	0.10u	Lost	-0.10u
Apr 8, 2018	mlb	White Sox Tigers	First5 result	away	2.61	31.4%	0.187	0.14u	Won	+0.23u
Apr 7, 2018	mlb	Giants Dodgers	First5 result	away	3.10	30.4%	0.380	0.31u	Lost	-0.31u
Apr 7, 2018	mlb	Pirates Reds	First5 result	draw	4.60	26.9%	0.422	0.24u	Lost	-0.24u
Apr 7, 2018	mlb	Phillies Marlins	First5 result	away	2.45	32.4%	0.116	0.06u	Lost	-0.06u
Apr 7, 2018	mlb	Brewers Cubs	First5 result	away	3.53	36.2%	0.676	0.72u	Lost	-0.72u
Apr 7, 2018	mlb	Indians Royals	First5 result	away	3.04	40.5%	0.410	0.35u	Lost	-0.35u
Apr 7, 2018	mlb	White Sox Tigers	First5 result	away	2.54	43.3%	0.174	0.11u	Won	+0.17u
Apr 7, 2018	mlb	Rockies Braves	First5 result	away	2.45	37.0%	0.119	0.06u	Lost	-0.06u
Apr 6, 2018	mlb	Pirates Reds	First5 result	away	2.60	35.2%	0.384	0.40u	Lost	-0.40u
Apr 6, 2018	mlb	Rangers Blue Jays	First5 result	away	3.01	29.2%	0.416	0.40u	Won	+0.80u
Apr 6, 2018	mlb	Angels Athletics	First5 result	away	2.34	32.0%	0.236	0.20u	Won	+0.27u
Apr 6, 2018	mlb	Rockies Braves	First5 result	away	3.44	37.4%	0.665	0.78u	Won	+1.90u
Apr 5, 2018	mlb	Cardinals Diamondbacks	First5 result	away	2.34	36.6%	0.204	0.28u	Won	+0.38u
Apr 5, 2018	mlb	Phillies Marlins	First5 result	away	3.13	41.9%	0.453	0.76u	Lost	-0.76u
Apr 5, 2018	mlb	Athletics Rangers	First5 result	away	2.38	37.0%	0.106	0.11u	Won	+0.15u
Apr 5, 2018	mlb	Brewers Cubs	First5 result	away	3.19	34.4%	0.414	0.65u	Won	+1.42u
Apr 5, 2018	mlb	Red Sox Rays	First5 result	away	2.31	36.4%	0.058	0.05u	Lost	-0.05u
Apr 4, 2018	mlb	Mets Phillies	First5 result	away	2.90	32.6%	0.587	0.73u	Lost	-0.73u
Apr 4, 2018	mlb	Blue Jays White Sox	First5 result	away	2.55	41.9%	0.185	0.13u	Won	+0.20u
Apr 4, 2018	mlb	Giants Mariners	First5 result	away	3.20	30.1%	0.603	0.70u	Lost	-0.70u
Apr 4, 2018	mlb	Angels Indians	First5 result	draw	4.60	25.2%	0.335	0.18u	Won	+0.65u
Apr 3, 2018	mlb	Marlins Red Sox	First5 result	away	2.10	41.2%	0.064	0.06u	Lost	-0.06u
Apr 3, 2018	mlb	Mets Phillies	First5 result	away	2.56	35.2%	0.180	0.20u	Lost	-0.20u
Apr 3, 2018	mlb	Yankees Rays	First5 result	away	2.18	40.4%	0.081	0.08u	Lost	-0.08u
Apr 3, 2018	mlb	Brewers Cardinals	First5 result	away	2.66	34.4%	0.363	0.58u	Won	+0.96u
Apr 3, 2018	mlb	Angels Indians	First5 result	away	3.14	36.7%	0.513	0.88u	Lost	-0.88u
Apr 2, 2018	mlb	Reds Cubs	First5 result	away	2.97	38.9%	0.328	0.95u	Lost	-0.95u
Apr 2, 2018	mlb	Athletics Rangers	First5 result	away	2.55	31.9%	0.239	0.66u	Lost	-0.66u
Apr 2, 2018	mlb	Padres Rockies	First5 result	away	2.44	31.4%	0.096	0.19u	Won	+0.27u
Apr 1, 2018	mlb	Tigers Pirates	First5 result	away	2.69	38.4%	0.209	0.99u	Won	+1.67u
Apr 1, 2018	mlb	Rays Red Sox	First5 result	away	2.02	33.1%	0.051	0.35u	Lost	-0.35u
Apr 1, 2018	mlb	Rangers Astros	First5 result	draw	4.60	30.4%	0.208	0.46u	Lost	-0.46u
Mar 31, 2018	mlb	Athletics Angels	First5 result	draw	4.60	26.7%	0.267	0.59u	Lost	-0.59u
Mar 31, 2018	mlb	Orioles Twins	First5 result	away	2.79	38.3%	0.208	0.93u	Won	+1.66u
Mar 31, 2018	mlb	Padres Brewers	First5 result	home	2.89	40.0%	0.155	0.54u	Lost	-0.54u
Mar 30, 2018	mlb	Athletics Angels	First5 result	draw	4.60	29.2%	0.174	0.36u	Lost	-0.36u
Mar 30, 2018	mlb	Blue Jays Yankees	First5 result	draw	4.60	31.1%	0.174	0.37u	Lost	-0.37u
Mar 30, 2018	mlb	Braves Phillies	First5 result	home	2.84	41.9%	0.191	0.68u	Lost	-0.68u

* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.