Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Jul 15, 2026 10:17 PM EDT
First 5 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
New York Mets
home
Odds
2.51
Prob
45.1%
EV/u
0.115
Stake
0.36u
Won
+0.54u
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
2.71
Prob
45.5%
EV/u
0.039
Stake
0.15u
Lost
-0.15u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Miami Marlins
away
Odds
3.17
Prob
46.3%
EV/u
0.184
Stake
0.47u
Lost
-0.47u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
2.75
Prob
46.0%
EV/u
0.241
Stake
0.76u
Lost
-0.76u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
3.40
Prob
45.5%
EV/u
0.287
Stake
0.65u
Lost
-0.65u
First 5 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
New York Mets
away
Odds
3.47
Prob
46.3%
EV/u
0.277
Stake
0.61u
Won
+1.51u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Miami Marlins
home
Odds
3.19
Prob
46.6%
EV/u
0.452
Stake
1.11u
Won
+2.43u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
3.12
Prob
46.0%
EV/u
0.169
Stake
0.45u
Won
+0.95u
First 5 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
New York Mets
home
Odds
2.34
Prob
46.5%
EV/u
0.042
Stake
0.24u
Won
+0.32u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Miami Marlins
home
Odds
3.20
Prob
46.1%
EV/u
0.439
Stake
0.64u
Lost
-0.64u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
3.49
Prob
46.1%
EV/u
0.267
Stake
0.24u
Won
+0.60u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
3.84
Prob
45.9%
EV/u
0.466
Stake
0.36u
Lost
-0.36u
First 5 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
San Diego Padres
home
Odds
3.09
Prob
46.2%
EV/u
0.396
Stake
0.56u
Won
+1.17u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cleveland Indians
Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
3.22
Prob
46.0%
EV/u
0.214
Stake
0.53u
Won
+1.18u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Houston Astros
home
Odds
3.01
Prob
46.1%
EV/u
0.358
Stake
0.97u
Won
+1.95u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
2.93
Prob
46.2%
EV/u
0.091
Stake
0.19u
Lost
-0.19u
First 5 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Los Angeles Angels
away
Odds
2.86
Prob
46.6%
EV/u
0.055
Stake
0.11u
Won
+0.20u
First 5 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
New York Mets
home
Odds
2.78
Prob
46.0%
EV/u
0.252
Stake
0.78u
Won
+1.39u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
3.51
Prob
46.4%
EV/u
0.630
Stake
0.59u
Lost
-0.59u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Cleveland Indians
home
Odds
2.84
Prob
46.0%
EV/u
0.279
Stake
0.62u
Won
+1.14u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Texas Rangers
home
Odds
2.68
Prob
46.0%
EV/u
0.210
Stake
0.50u
Lost
-0.50u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
San Francisco Giants
home
Odds
2.34
Prob
46.0%
EV/u
0.032
Stake
0.05u
Lost
-0.05u
First 5 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Houston Astros
home
Odds
2.53
Prob
46.5%
EV/u
0.156
Stake
0.57u
Lost
-0.57u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Cleveland Indians
home
Odds
2.54
Prob
46.4%
EV/u
0.159
Stake
0.58u
Lost
-0.58u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
San Francisco Giants
home
Odds
3.09
Prob
46.0%
EV/u
0.390
Stake
1.01u
Lost
-1.01u
First 5 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Cleveland Indians
away
Odds
2.96
Prob
45.8%
EV/u
0.116
Stake
0.08u
Won
+0.16u
First 5 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Los Angeles Angels
home
Odds
2.48
Prob
45.7%
EV/u
0.080
Stake
0.05u
Won
+0.07u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Houston Astros
home
Odds
3.22
Prob
46.6%
EV/u
0.465
Stake
0.48u
Lost
-0.48u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
3.07
Prob
46.6%
EV/u
0.398
Stake
0.44u
Won
+0.91u
First 5 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
San Francisco Giants
away
Odds
3.49
Prob
46.3%
EV/u
0.303
Stake
0.26u
Won
+0.65u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
San Diego Padres
home
Odds
3.38
Prob
45.9%
EV/u
0.512
Stake
0.49u
Lost
-0.49u
First 5 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Cleveland Indians
home
Odds
2.44
Prob
46.1%
EV/u
0.073
Stake
0.35u
Lost
-0.35u
First 5 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
2.90
Prob
46.2%
EV/u
0.085
Stake
0.27u
Won
+0.51u
First 5 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Baltimore Orioles
home
Odds
2.49
Prob
46.3%
EV/u
0.096
Stake
0.41u
Won
+0.61u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
2.71
Prob
46.3%
EV/u
0.021
Stake
0.10u
Won
+0.17u
First 5 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
San Francisco Giants
home
Odds
2.66
Prob
45.8%
EV/u
0.197
Stake
0.66u
Won
+1.10u
First 5 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
3.69
Prob
45.8%
EV/u
0.415
Stake
0.55u
Lost
-0.55u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
2.79
Prob
46.3%
EV/u
0.266
Stake
0.81u
Won
+1.45u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Seattle Mariners
home
Odds
2.53
Prob
46.7%
EV/u
0.160
Stake
0.44u
Lost
-0.44u
First 5 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
2.77
Prob
46.0%
EV/u
0.029
Stake
0.12u
Lost
-0.12u
First 5 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
45.9%
EV/u
0.055
Stake
0.20u
Lost
-0.20u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
2.66
Prob
46.2%
EV/u
0.206
Stake
0.69u
Lost
-0.69u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
2.83
Prob
46.1%
EV/u
0.075
Stake
0.25u
Lost
-0.25u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cleveland Indians
Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
2.89
Prob
46.5%
EV/u
0.066
Stake
0.22u
Lost
-0.22u
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
3.13
Prob
46.0%
EV/u
0.172
Stake
0.45u
Lost
-0.45u
First 5 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Miami Marlins
away
Odds
2.87
Prob
45.5%
EV/u
0.084
Stake
0.27u
Won
+0.50u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
2.37
Prob
46.4%
EV/u
0.052
Stake
0.29u
Won
+0.40u
First 5 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
3.24
Prob
45.4%
EV/u
0.289
Stake
0.57u
Lost
-0.57u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
2.91
Prob
47.2%
EV/u
0.169
Stake
0.41u
Lost
-0.41u
First 5 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
New York Yankees
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
49.1%
EV/u
0.037
Stake
0.09u
Lost
-0.09u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
2.83
Prob
48.8%
EV/u
0.112
Stake
0.29u
Won
+0.53u
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Seattle Mariners
home
Odds
2.23
Prob
49.1%
EV/u
0.048
Stake
0.15u
Lost
-0.15u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Colorado Rockies
home
Odds
2.27
Prob
50.2%
EV/u
0.086
Stake
0.29u
Lost
-0.29u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Kansas City Royals
home
Odds
3.41
Prob
46.4%
EV/u
0.542
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Arizona Diamondbacks
home
Odds
2.79
Prob
46.1%
EV/u
0.261
Stake
0.60u
Won
+1.07u
First 5 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Toronto Blue Jays
home
Odds
2.21
Prob
49.6%
EV/u
0.047
Stake
0.32u
Lost
-0.32u
First 5 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Washington Nationals
home
Odds
2.35
Prob
47.0%
EV/u
0.054
Stake
0.31u
Lost
-0.31u
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
2.06
Prob
54.6%
EV/u
0.071
Stake
0.47u
Lost
-0.47u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Cincinnati Reds
home
Odds
2.13
Prob
52.1%
EV/u
0.059
Stake
0.39u
Won
+0.44u
First 5 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Miami Marlins
home
Odds
2.20
Prob
49.0%
EV/u
0.032
Stake
0.26u
Won
+0.31u
First 5 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Toronto Blue Jays
home
Odds
2.31
Prob
47.6%
EV/u
0.052
Stake
0.16u
Lost
-0.16u
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
2.16
Prob
50.2%
EV/u
0.038
Stake
0.12u
Won
+0.14u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Chicago Cubs
home
Odds
2.63
Prob
53.0%
EV/u
0.363
Stake
0.80u
Lost
-0.80u
First 5 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Pittsburgh Pirates
home
Odds
2.20
Prob
50.5%
EV/u
0.061
Stake
0.21u
Won
+0.25u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Cincinnati Reds
home
Odds
2.29
Prob
47.9%
EV/u
0.048
Stake
0.15u
Won
+0.19u
First 5 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
2.36
Prob
50.2%
EV/u
0.124
Stake
0.36u
Won
+0.49u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
home
Odds
2.15
Prob
50.9%
EV/u
0.047
Stake
0.19u
Lost
-0.19u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Texas Rangers
home
Odds
2.09
Prob
52.0%
EV/u
0.041
Stake
0.17u
Won
+0.19u
First 5 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Washington Nationals
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
52.8%
EV/u
0.344
Stake
0.92u
Lost
-0.92u
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
2.27
Prob
48.3%
EV/u
0.048
Stake
0.19u
Won
+0.24u
First 5 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
2.27
Prob
49.9%
EV/u
0.080
Stake
0.33u
Won
+0.42u
First 5 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Texas Rangers
home
Odds
2.53
Prob
49.5%
EV/u
0.228
Stake
0.69u
Won
+1.06u
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
2.13
Prob
51.5%
EV/u
0.049
Stake
0.15u
Won
+0.17u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Philadelphia Phillies
home
Odds
2.79
Prob
49.3%
EV/u
0.345
Stake
0.89u
Lost
-0.89u
First 5 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
2.76
Prob
48.6%
EV/u
0.035
Stake
0.07u
Lost
-0.07u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Washington Nationals
home
Odds
3.16
Prob
49.1%
EV/u
0.512
Stake
0.61u
Lost
-0.61u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cleveland Indians
Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
47.3%
EV/u
0.071
Stake
0.09u
Lost
-0.09u
First 5 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Los Angeles Angels
home
Odds
2.22
Prob
50.4%
EV/u
0.068
Stake
0.10u
Lost
-0.10u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
St. Louis Cardinals
home
Odds
3.01
Prob
49.4%
EV/u
0.451
Stake
0.58u
Won
+1.17u
First 5 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Tampa Bay Rays
home
Odds
2.22
Prob
54.8%
EV/u
0.151
Stake
0.28u
Lost
-0.28u
First 5 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
3.44
Prob
51.6%
EV/u
0.127
Stake
0.14u
Lost
-0.14u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Washington Nationals
home
Odds
2.17
Prob
50.2%
EV/u
0.042
Stake
0.31u
Lost
-0.31u
First 5 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
3.37
Prob
54.1%
EV/u
0.089
Stake
0.22u
Won
+0.52u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
2.65
Prob
48.3%
EV/u
0.032
Stake
0.14u
Won
+0.23u
First 5 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
home
Odds
2.27
Prob
49.2%
EV/u
0.065
Stake
0.36u
Won
+0.46u
First 5 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Los Angeles Angels
home
Odds
2.13
Prob
52.9%
EV/u
0.075
Stake
0.45u
Won
+0.51u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Miami Marlins
home
Odds
2.59
Prob
50.9%
EV/u
0.290
Stake
1.00u
Lost
-1.00u
First 5 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
home
Odds
2.18
Prob
50.7%
EV/u
0.056
Stake
0.35u
Won
+0.41u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
New York Mets
home
Odds
2.86
Prob
45.8%
EV/u
0.282
Stake
0.82u
Lost
-0.82u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Los Angeles Angels
home
Odds
2.03
Prob
54.8%
EV/u
0.063
Stake
0.33u
Won
+0.34u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
2.95
Prob
50.8%
EV/u
0.078
Stake
0.24u
Won
+0.47u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
San Francisco Giants
home
Odds
2.07
Prob
53.4%
EV/u
0.055
Stake
0.28u
Won
+0.30u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
3.19
Prob
53.0%
EV/u
0.042
Stake
0.13u
Lost
-0.13u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cleveland Indians
Houston Astros
home
Odds
2.36
Prob
49.7%
EV/u
0.113
Stake
0.51u
Won
+0.69u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Los Angeles Angels
away
Odds
3.07
Prob
52.2%
EV/u
0.041
Stake
0.13u
Won
+0.27u
First 5 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
3.12
Prob
48.9%
EV/u
0.159
Stake
0.42u
Lost
-0.42u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Diego Padres
home
Odds
3.14
Prob
47.0%
EV/u
0.442
Stake
1.11u
Won
+2.38u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Pittsburgh Pirates
home
Odds
2.15
Prob
51.3%
EV/u
0.053
Stake
0.36u
Won
+0.41u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
3.61
Prob
52.7%
EV/u
0.096
Stake
0.13u
Lost
-0.13u
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
San Francisco Giants
away
Odds
3.06
Prob
47.6%
EV/u
0.118
Stake
0.33u
Lost
-0.33u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.