Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: May 15, 2026 2:07 PM EDT
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
4.76
Prob
44.6%
EV/u
0.795
Stake
0.51u
Won
+1.92u
First 5 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Washington Nationals
away
Odds
3.34
Prob
41.6%
EV/u
0.330
Stake
0.77u
Lost
-0.77u
First 5 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Pittsburgh Pirates
home
Odds
2.47
Prob
48.4%
EV/u
0.133
Stake
0.52u
Lost
-0.52u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cleveland Indians
Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
3.01
Prob
40.5%
EV/u
0.296
Stake
0.42u
Lost
-0.42u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Detroit Tigers
home
Odds
2.96
Prob
44.0%
EV/u
0.277
Stake
0.40u
Won
+0.78u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
3.01
Prob
38.6%
EV/u
0.410
Stake
0.57u
Won
+1.15u
First 5 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
3.34
Prob
50.2%
EV/u
0.157
Stake
0.16u
Lost
-0.16u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
3.41
Prob
49.0%
EV/u
0.149
Stake
0.15u
Lost
-0.15u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
2.29
Prob
34.6%
EV/u
0.084
Stake
0.10u
Lost
-0.10u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Toronto Blue Jays
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
32.1%
EV/u
0.486
Stake
0.57u
Won
+1.60u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Chicago White Sox
home
Odds
2.53
Prob
51.8%
EV/u
0.283
Stake
0.92u
Won
+1.41u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
New York Mets
home
Odds
2.19
Prob
53.3%
EV/u
0.109
Stake
0.31u
Won
+0.37u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
away
Odds
3.04
Prob
47.7%
EV/u
0.080
Stake
0.06u
Won
+0.12u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Pittsburgh Pirates
home
Odds
3.41
Prob
47.2%
EV/u
0.567
Stake
0.63u
Won
+1.52u
First 5 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
St. Louis Cardinals
home
Odds
3.05
Prob
43.2%
EV/u
0.290
Stake
0.34u
Lost
-0.34u
First 5 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Seattle Mariners
home
Odds
2.64
Prob
56.9%
EV/u
0.465
Stake
0.75u
Won
+1.23u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Pittsburgh Pirates
home
Odds
3.60
Prob
39.2%
EV/u
0.412
Stake
0.19u
Lost
-0.19u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Washington Nationals
away
Odds
4.21
Prob
53.7%
EV/u
0.369
Stake
0.09u
Lost
-0.09u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Texas Rangers
home
Odds
3.28
Prob
49.9%
EV/u
0.594
Stake
0.47u
Won
+1.07u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
2.79
Prob
51.4%
EV/u
0.400
Stake
0.35u
Lost
-0.35u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
home
Odds
2.48
Prob
57.0%
EV/u
0.319
Stake
0.27u
Lost
-0.27u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
home
Odds
2.68
Prob
55.2%
EV/u
0.443
Stake
0.43u
Lost
-0.43u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Houston Astros
home
Odds
2.83
Prob
37.5%
EV/u
0.047
Stake
0.08u
Lost
-0.08u
First 5 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Oakland Athletics
home
Odds
2.66
Prob
43.1%
EV/u
0.128
Stake
0.28u
Lost
-0.28u
First 5 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Philadelphia Phillies
home
Odds
2.72
Prob
58.7%
EV/u
0.555
Stake
1.08u
Won
+1.86u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Diego Padres
home
Odds
2.15
Prob
55.4%
EV/u
0.130
Stake
0.36u
Won
+0.41u
First 5 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Oakland Athletics
home
Odds
2.66
Prob
50.2%
EV/u
0.307
Stake
0.78u
Won
+1.29u
First 5 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
2.83
Prob
46.1%
EV/u
0.108
Stake
0.18u
Lost
-0.18u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Mets
San Francisco Giants
home
Odds
2.58
Prob
46.3%
EV/u
0.174
Stake
0.38u
Lost
-0.38u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
2.84
Prob
42.9%
EV/u
0.206
Stake
0.45u
Won
+0.83u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
2.78
Prob
44.2%
EV/u
0.151
Stake
0.21u
Lost
-0.21u
First 5 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Chicago Cubs
away
Odds
3.22
Prob
44.5%
EV/u
0.296
Stake
0.44u
Won
+0.98u
First 5 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Houston Astros
away
Odds
3.41
Prob
50.1%
EV/u
0.164
Stake
0.19u
Won
+0.46u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
3.36
Prob
52.4%
EV/u
0.090
Stake
0.09u
Lost
-0.09u
First 5 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
San Diego Padres
away
Odds
2.85
Prob
42.3%
EV/u
0.203
Stake
0.33u
Lost
-0.33u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
New York Yankees
home
Odds
2.96
Prob
45.6%
EV/u
0.322
Stake
0.54u
Lost
-0.54u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
4.06
Prob
47.8%
EV/u
0.516
Stake
0.26u
Won
+0.80u
First 5 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
2.96
Prob
48.0%
EV/u
0.131
Stake
0.21u
Lost
-0.21u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
2.79
Prob
43.0%
EV/u
0.179
Stake
0.35u
Lost
-0.35u
First 5 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Los Angeles Angels
home
Odds
2.19
Prob
50.4%
EV/u
0.056
Stake
0.09u
Won
+0.11u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Kansas City Royals
home
Odds
2.93
Prob
51.5%
EV/u
0.473
Stake
0.84u
Won
+1.62u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
2.76
Prob
43.1%
EV/u
0.104
Stake
0.13u
Won
+0.23u
First 5 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Texas Rangers
away
Odds
3.16
Prob
44.2%
EV/u
0.249
Stake
0.38u
Lost
-0.38u
First 5 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Houston Astros
away
Odds
2.99
Prob
45.2%
EV/u
0.065
Stake
0.07u
Won
+0.14u
First 5 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Baltimore Orioles
home
Odds
2.54
Prob
55.0%
EV/u
0.367
Stake
0.79u
Won
+1.22u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
3.51
Prob
55.6%
EV/u
0.115
Stake
0.10u
Won
+0.25u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
2.76
Prob
43.1%
EV/u
0.197
Stake
0.33u
Lost
-0.33u
First 5 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
2.72
Prob
44.6%
EV/u
0.038
Stake
0.05u
Won
+0.09u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
San Francisco Giants
away
Odds
3.26
Prob
44.3%
EV/u
0.228
Stake
0.44u
Lost
-0.44u
First 5 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
Miami Marlins
home
Odds
2.79
Prob
42.5%
EV/u
0.164
Stake
0.35u
Lost
-0.35u
First 5 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
3.01
Prob
42.9%
EV/u
0.291
Stake
0.62u
Won
+1.25u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Arizona Diamondbacks
home
Odds
2.71
Prob
43.4%
EV/u
0.157
Stake
0.34u
Lost
-0.34u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Toronto Blue Jays
home
Odds
2.52
Prob
51.6%
EV/u
0.274
Stake
0.50u
Won
+0.76u
First 5 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
2.44
Prob
51.5%
EV/u
0.185
Stake
0.33u
Won
+0.48u
First 5 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
2.72
Prob
37.5%
EV/u
0.233
Stake
0.38u
Lost
-0.38u
First 5 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
Miami Marlins
home
Odds
2.36
Prob
49.2%
EV/u
0.104
Stake
0.15u
Lost
-0.15u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Chicago Cubs
home
Odds
2.18
Prob
59.0%
EV/u
0.210
Stake
0.44u
Won
+0.52u
First 5 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
4.09
Prob
39.9%
EV/u
0.700
Stake
0.50u
Lost
-0.50u
First 5 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
2.66
Prob
38.8%
EV/u
0.244
Stake
0.75u
Won
+1.25u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Chicago Cubs
away
Odds
4.06
Prob
44.3%
EV/u
0.610
Stake
0.44u
Won
+1.35u
First 5 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Milwaukee Brewers
home
Odds
2.20
Prob
49.9%
EV/u
0.050
Stake
0.11u
Won
+0.13u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
3.49
Prob
35.1%
EV/u
0.635
Stake
0.84u
Won
+2.09u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Cleveland Indians
away
Odds
2.61
Prob
42.8%
EV/u
0.105
Stake
0.09u
Lost
-0.09u
First 5 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
2.55
Prob
58.7%
EV/u
0.462
Stake
0.87u
Lost
-0.87u
First 5 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Chicago White Sox
home
Odds
2.87
Prob
50.7%
EV/u
0.421
Stake
0.63u
Lost
-0.63u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
3.52
Prob
44.8%
EV/u
0.433
Stake
0.32u
Lost
-0.32u
First 5 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Seattle Mariners
home
Odds
2.44
Prob
44.9%
EV/u
0.050
Stake
0.05u
Won
+0.07u
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Colorado Rockies
home
Odds
2.63
Prob
48.3%
EV/u
0.246
Stake
0.37u
Won
+0.60u
First 5 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Washington Nationals
away
Odds
3.14
Prob
41.7%
EV/u
0.307
Stake
0.40u
Lost
-0.40u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
New York Mets
away
Odds
2.83
Prob
44.9%
EV/u
0.141
Stake
0.26u
Won
+0.48u
First 5 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Seattle Mariners
home
Odds
2.14
Prob
51.3%
EV/u
0.050
Stake
0.09u
Won
+0.10u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Cleveland Indians
away
Odds
3.93
Prob
44.9%
EV/u
0.612
Stake
0.46u
Lost
-0.46u
First 5 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Washington Nationals
home
Odds
2.57
Prob
43.7%
EV/u
0.106
Stake
0.19u
Lost
-0.19u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Los Angeles Angels
home
Odds
2.63
Prob
54.2%
EV/u
0.392
Stake
0.80u
Lost
-0.80u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
3.91
Prob
48.8%
EV/u
0.907
Stake
0.41u
Lost
-0.41u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Cleveland Indians
away
Odds
2.74
Prob
45.9%
EV/u
0.059
Stake
0.05u
Won
+0.09u
First 5 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Minnesota Twins
home
Odds
2.64
Prob
45.2%
EV/u
0.171
Stake
0.24u
Won
+0.39u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Texas Rangers
home
Odds
3.00
Prob
45.7%
EV/u
0.342
Stake
0.48u
Won
+0.96u
First 5 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Tampa Bay Rays
home
Odds
2.57
Prob
49.0%
EV/u
0.235
Stake
0.39u
Lost
-0.39u
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
2.97
Prob
44.9%
EV/u
0.181
Stake
0.23u
Won
+0.45u
First 5 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Minnesota Twins
home
Odds
3.37
Prob
47.9%
EV/u
0.571
Stake
0.43u
Lost
-0.43u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
2.99
Prob
46.5%
EV/u
0.170
Stake
0.11u
Won
+0.22u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Texas Rangers
home
Odds
3.01
Prob
51.8%
EV/u
0.520
Stake
0.47u
Won
+0.94u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Philadelphia Phillies
home
Odds
3.27
Prob
47.9%
EV/u
0.526
Stake
0.42u
Lost
-0.42u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
New York Mets
home
Odds
2.65
Prob
48.0%
EV/u
0.247
Stake
0.21u
Lost
-0.21u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
48.6%
EV/u
0.193
Stake
0.16u
Lost
-0.16u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Oakland Athletics
away
Odds
2.93
Prob
47.0%
EV/u
0.128
Stake
0.26u
Won
+0.50u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Philadelphia Phillies
home
Odds
2.35
Prob
49.1%
EV/u
0.096
Stake
0.22u
Won
+0.30u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Pittsburgh Pirates
home
Odds
3.41
Prob
47.1%
EV/u
0.564
Stake
0.93u
Won
+2.24u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
New York Mets
home
Odds
2.35
Prob
51.5%
EV/u
0.144
Stake
0.38u
Lost
-0.38u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
San Diego Padres
away
Odds
2.88
Prob
48.1%
EV/u
0.044
Stake
0.15u
Lost
-0.15u
First 5 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Boston Red Sox
away
Odds
3.38
Prob
47.2%
EV/u
0.258
Stake
0.59u
Lost
-0.59u
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
2.64
Prob
47.0%
EV/u
0.031
Stake
0.14u
Won
+0.23u
First 5 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
2.46
Prob
45.3%
EV/u
0.064
Stake
0.31u
Won
+0.45u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
2.99
Prob
48.0%
EV/u
0.077
Stake
0.23u
Won
+0.46u
First 5 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
3.01
Prob
46.7%
EV/u
0.373
Stake
0.45u
Won
+0.90u
First 5 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
51.6%
EV/u
0.312
Stake
0.47u
Lost
-0.47u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
2.83
Prob
45.7%
EV/u
0.076
Stake
0.07u
Lost
-0.07u
First 5 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Pittsburgh Pirates
home
Odds
2.35
Prob
48.1%
EV/u
0.078
Stake
0.09u
Lost
-0.09u
First 5 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Philadelphia Phillies
home
Odds
3.30
Prob
50.5%
EV/u
0.621
Stake
0.65u
Won
+1.50u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.