Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Jul 15, 2026 10:17 PM EDT
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
2.69
Prob
38.5%
EV/u
0.250
Stake
0.51u
Lost
-0.51u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
2.34
Prob
34.3%
EV/u
0.131
Stake
0.23u
Won
+0.31u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
2.82
Prob
41.4%
EV/u
0.163
Stake
0.26u
Lost
-0.26u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
2.91
Prob
38.0%
EV/u
0.290
Stake
0.49u
Lost
-0.49u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
3.04
Prob
40.4%
EV/u
0.312
Stake
0.49u
Won
+1.00u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
2.50
Prob
37.7%
EV/u
0.179
Stake
0.33u
Lost
-0.33u
First 5 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Texas Rangers
away
Odds
3.16
Prob
39.5%
EV/u
0.377
Stake
0.61u
Lost
-0.61u
First 5 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
2.61
Prob
46.3%
EV/u
0.060
Stake
0.09u
Lost
-0.09u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
2.54
Prob
38.5%
EV/u
0.188
Stake
0.41u
Won
+0.63u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
New York Mets
away
Odds
2.36
Prob
36.7%
EV/u
0.084
Stake
0.15u
Won
+0.20u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
2.53
Prob
37.2%
EV/u
0.232
Stake
0.54u
Won
+0.83u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cleveland Indians
Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
2.59
Prob
39.2%
EV/u
0.186
Stake
0.38u
Won
+0.60u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
2.41
Prob
31.3%
EV/u
0.212
Stake
0.50u
Won
+0.71u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Milwaukee Brewers
home
Odds
2.82
Prob
42.7%
EV/u
0.184
Stake
0.35u
Lost
-0.35u
First 5 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
2.87
Prob
39.6%
EV/u
0.277
Stake
0.57u
Won
+1.07u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cleveland Indians
Chicago Cubs
away
Odds
4.16
Prob
38.7%
EV/u
0.951
Stake
0.43u
Lost
-0.43u
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels
away
Odds
2.59
Prob
38.5%
EV/u
0.207
Stake
0.45u
Lost
-0.45u
First 5 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
2.88
Prob
37.3%
EV/u
0.322
Stake
0.67u
Lost
-0.67u
First 5 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
San Diego Padres
away
Odds
2.51
Prob
40.7%
EV/u
0.137
Stake
0.25u
Lost
-0.25u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cleveland Indians
Chicago Cubs
away
Odds
3.33
Prob
41.7%
EV/u
0.305
Stake
0.72u
Won
+1.68u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
2.62
Prob
41.5%
EV/u
0.026
Stake
0.12u
Won
+0.19u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
3.22
Prob
41.5%
EV/u
0.260
Stake
0.64u
Lost
-0.64u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
2.67
Prob
41.3%
EV/u
0.063
Stake
0.21u
Lost
-0.21u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Oakland Athletics
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
41.4%
EV/u
0.108
Stake
0.35u
Lost
-0.35u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Washington Nationals
away
Odds
2.79
Prob
41.9%
EV/u
0.092
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
First 5 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
San Diego Padres
home
Odds
2.65
Prob
41.4%
EV/u
0.082
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.50u
First 5 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
2.79
Prob
41.5%
EV/u
0.099
Stake
0.21u
Lost
-0.21u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Miami Marlins
home
Odds
2.79
Prob
41.6%
EV/u
0.141
Stake
0.33u
Won
+0.59u
First 5 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
3.25
Prob
42.0%
EV/u
0.334
Stake
0.69u
Won
+1.55u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Washington Nationals
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
41.9%
EV/u
0.209
Stake
0.47u
Won
+0.99u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
2.67
Prob
41.5%
EV/u
0.052
Stake
0.10u
Lost
-0.10u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Cleveland Indians
away
Odds
2.91
Prob
41.5%
EV/u
0.141
Stake
0.33u
Won
+0.63u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Houston Astros
home
Odds
2.90
Prob
41.3%
EV/u
0.177
Stake
0.45u
Lost
-0.45u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Toronto Blue Jays
home
Odds
2.80
Prob
41.7%
EV/u
0.147
Stake
0.37u
Won
+0.67u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
2.99
Prob
41.5%
EV/u
0.173
Stake
0.42u
Lost
-0.42u
First 5 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Cincinnati Reds
home
Odds
2.52
Prob
41.6%
EV/u
0.034
Stake
0.07u
Won
+0.11u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
2.71
Prob
41.5%
EV/u
0.077
Stake
0.16u
Lost
-0.16u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Houston Astros
away
Odds
2.89
Prob
41.6%
EV/u
0.136
Stake
0.41u
Won
+0.77u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Washington Nationals
home
Odds
3.34
Prob
41.3%
EV/u
0.349
Stake
0.81u
Lost
-0.81u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Boston Red Sox
away
Odds
2.66
Prob
41.5%
EV/u
0.048
Stake
0.19u
Won
+0.32u
First 5 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
2.59
Prob
41.7%
EV/u
0.022
Stake
0.11u
Lost
-0.11u
First 5 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Francisco Giants
home
Odds
2.68
Prob
41.9%
EV/u
0.106
Stake
0.37u
Lost
-0.37u
First 5 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Cleveland Indians
home
Odds
2.51
Prob
41.4%
EV/u
0.027
Stake
0.13u
Lost
-0.13u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Washington Nationals
away
Odds
3.02
Prob
41.5%
EV/u
0.185
Stake
0.51u
Won
+1.03u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
2.78
Prob
41.6%
EV/u
0.092
Stake
0.31u
Won
+0.55u
First 5 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Philadelphia Phillies
home
Odds
2.71
Prob
41.5%
EV/u
0.108
Stake
0.37u
Lost
-0.37u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
2.63
Prob
41.6%
EV/u
0.030
Stake
0.09u
Won
+0.15u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Colorado Rockies
home
Odds
2.55
Prob
41.6%
EV/u
0.047
Stake
0.16u
Lost
-0.16u
First 5 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Francisco Giants
away
Odds
3.75
Prob
41.9%
EV/u
0.493
Stake
0.65u
Lost
-0.65u
First 5 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Kansas City Royals
home
Odds
2.89
Prob
41.5%
EV/u
0.178
Stake
0.53u
Won
+1.00u
First 5 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Houston Astros
away
Odds
3.81
Prob
41.5%
EV/u
0.522
Stake
0.67u
Lost
-0.67u
First 5 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
3.71
Prob
41.7%
EV/u
0.474
Stake
0.47u
Lost
-0.47u
First 5 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Oakland Athletics
away
Odds
2.91
Prob
41.2%
EV/u
0.138
Stake
0.28u
Won
+0.53u
First 5 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
Colorado Rockies
home
Odds
2.96
Prob
41.6%
EV/u
0.210
Stake
0.44u
Won
+0.86u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
2.78
Prob
41.5%
EV/u
0.097
Stake
0.18u
Lost
-0.18u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
2.88
Prob
42.0%
EV/u
0.128
Stake
0.25u
Won
+0.47u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
2.78
Prob
41.4%
EV/u
0.097
Stake
0.18u
Won
+0.32u
First 5 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Oakland Athletics
away
Odds
2.64
Prob
41.3%
EV/u
0.035
Stake
0.15u
Lost
-0.15u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
2.74
Prob
41.6%
EV/u
0.122
Stake
0.40u
Lost
-0.40u
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Texas Rangers
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
41.6%
EV/u
0.027
Stake
0.13u
Won
+0.20u
First 5 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
41.7%
EV/u
0.025
Stake
0.12u
Won
+0.19u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
2.77
Prob
41.7%
EV/u
0.089
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.53u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
2.99
Prob
41.9%
EV/u
0.164
Stake
0.46u
Lost
-0.46u
First 5 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
3.13
Prob
41.6%
EV/u
0.224
Stake
0.58u
Lost
-0.58u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
41.7%
EV/u
0.083
Stake
0.28u
Won
+0.49u
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Texas Rangers
away
Odds
3.14
Prob
41.7%
EV/u
0.232
Stake
0.60u
Lost
-0.60u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
Pittsburgh Pirates
home
Odds
2.65
Prob
41.1%
EV/u
0.074
Stake
0.27u
Won
+0.45u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cleveland Indians
Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
2.64
Prob
41.6%
EV/u
0.043
Stake
0.17u
Lost
-0.17u
First 5 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
3.00
Prob
41.5%
EV/u
0.181
Stake
0.51u
Lost
-0.51u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
2.86
Prob
41.6%
EV/u
0.124
Stake
0.38u
Lost
-0.38u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
San Francisco Giants
away
Odds
2.67
Prob
41.4%
EV/u
0.051
Stake
0.20u
Won
+0.33u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
2.63
Prob
41.7%
EV/u
0.037
Stake
0.16u
Won
+0.26u
First 5 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
San Diego Padres
away
Odds
3.46
Prob
41.1%
EV/u
0.361
Stake
0.80u
Lost
-0.80u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
3.01
Prob
35.4%
EV/u
0.403
Stake
0.65u
Won
+1.31u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
2.38
Prob
36.9%
EV/u
0.058
Stake
0.08u
Won
+0.11u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
New York Mets
away
Odds
2.35
Prob
34.6%
EV/u
0.058
Stake
0.09u
Lost
-0.09u
First 5 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
36.3%
EV/u
0.249
Stake
0.46u
Won
+0.81u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
2.84
Prob
36.1%
EV/u
0.292
Stake
0.52u
Won
+0.96u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
3.12
Prob
34.7%
EV/u
0.466
Stake
0.67u
Won
+1.42u
First 5 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Houston Astros
away
Odds
2.63
Prob
38.2%
EV/u
0.168
Stake
0.28u
Lost
-0.28u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Los Angeles Angels
home
Odds
2.98
Prob
36.7%
EV/u
0.077
Stake
0.09u
Lost
-0.09u
First 5 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
3.42
Prob
35.5%
EV/u
0.558
Stake
0.70u
Lost
-0.70u
First 5 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
2.29
Prob
33.7%
EV/u
0.051
Stake
0.06u
Won
+0.08u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
2.94
Prob
39.0%
EV/u
0.277
Stake
0.26u
Lost
-0.26u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
2.81
Prob
35.1%
EV/u
0.316
Stake
0.34u
Won
+0.62u
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
San Diego Padres
away
Odds
3.36
Prob
35.1%
EV/u
0.568
Stake
0.50u
Lost
-0.50u
First 5 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
New York Mets
home
Odds
3.60
Prob
35.5%
EV/u
0.278
Stake
0.15u
Lost
-0.15u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
2.61
Prob
31.8%
EV/u
0.254
Stake
0.26u
Lost
-0.26u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
2.68
Prob
33.8%
EV/u
0.279
Stake
0.29u
Won
+0.49u
First 5 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
2.69
Prob
37.0%
EV/u
0.240
Stake
0.23u
Won
+0.39u
First 5 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
3.04
Prob
37.6%
EV/u
0.360
Stake
0.42u
Lost
-0.42u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cleveland Indians
Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
35.7%
EV/u
0.417
Stake
0.47u
Lost
-0.47u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
3.53
Prob
38.1%
EV/u
0.607
Stake
0.35u
Lost
-0.35u
First 5 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Miami Marlins
away
Odds
2.51
Prob
34.6%
EV/u
0.183
Stake
0.25u
Lost
-0.25u
First 5 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
2.54
Prob
36.6%
EV/u
0.152
Stake
0.19u
Lost
-0.19u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
2.45
Prob
35.4%
EV/u
0.104
Stake
0.12u
Lost
-0.12u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
2.45
Prob
36.8%
EV/u
0.100
Stake
0.10u
Lost
-0.10u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cleveland Indians
Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
3.01
Prob
36.8%
EV/u
0.360
Stake
0.54u
Lost
-0.54u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Chicago Cubs
away
Odds
3.44
Prob
34.0%
EV/u
0.619
Stake
0.76u
Lost
-0.76u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
36.4%
EV/u
0.183
Stake
0.34u
Won
+0.54u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.