Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 2, 2026 2:00 AM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 16, 2017 | mlb |
Rockies
Padres
|
First5 result | away | 2.95 | 42.0% | 0.112 | 0.18u | Lost | -0.18u |
| Sep 16, 2017 | mlb |
Giants
Diamondbacks
|
First5 result | away | 2.84 | 49.0% | 0.322 | 0.92u | Won | +1.69u |
| Sep 16, 2017 | mlb |
Phillies
Athletics
|
First5 result | away | 2.77 | 43.2% | 0.067 | 0.10u | Lost | -0.10u |
| Sep 15, 2017 | mlb |
Cubs
Cardinals
|
First5 result | home | 2.86 | 46.5% | 0.329 | 0.55u | Lost | -0.55u |
| Sep 15, 2017 | mlb |
Yankees
Orioles
|
First5 result | away | 2.79 | 41.6% | 0.074 | 0.06u | Lost | -0.06u |
| Sep 15, 2017 | mlb |
Indians
Royals
|
First5 result | away | 2.88 | 40.9% | 0.086 | 0.08u | Lost | -0.08u |
| Sep 15, 2017 | mlb |
Nationals
Dodgers
|
First5 result | away | 3.81 | 45.2% | 0.559 | 1.02u | Won | +2.87u |
| Sep 15, 2017 | mlb |
Rockies
Padres
|
First5 result | home | 2.35 | 45.9% | 0.079 | 0.09u | Won | +0.12u |
| Sep 14, 2017 | mlb |
Phillies
Marlins
|
First5 result | away | 2.84 | 45.2% | 0.129 | 0.36u | Lost | -0.36u |
| Sep 14, 2017 | mlb |
Cubs
Mets
|
First5 result | away | 2.96 | 41.7% | 0.139 | 0.38u | Lost | -0.38u |
| Sep 14, 2017 | mlb |
Twins
Blue Jays
|
First5 result | away | 2.97 | 44.5% | 0.187 | 0.59u | Lost | -0.59u |
| Sep 14, 2017 | mlb |
Tigers
White Sox
|
First5 result | away | 2.75 | 44.2% | 0.052 | 0.11u | Won | +0.19u |
| Sep 14, 2017 | mlb |
Indians
Royals
|
First5 result | away | 2.62 | 46.6% | 0.086 | 0.22u | Lost | -0.22u |
| Sep 14, 2017 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Rockies
|
First5 result | home | 2.24 | 46.9% | 0.051 | 0.14u | Won | +0.17u |
| Sep 13, 2017 | mlb |
Giants
Dodgers
|
First5 result | away | 2.70 | 47.0% | 0.101 | 0.05u | Won | +0.09u |
| Sep 13, 2017 | mlb |
Cardinals
Reds
|
First5 result | away | 3.71 | 47.0% | 0.529 | 0.45u | Won | +1.22u |
| Sep 13, 2017 | mlb |
Nationals
Braves
|
First5 result | home | 3.03 | 45.4% | 0.376 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Sep 13, 2017 | mlb |
Cubs
Mets
|
First5 result | away | 3.67 | 49.8% | 0.620 | 0.59u | Lost | -0.59u |
| Sep 13, 2017 | mlb |
Angels
Astros
|
First5 result | away | 3.55 | 46.0% | 0.494 | 0.41u | Lost | -0.41u |
| Sep 12, 2017 | mlb |
Nationals
Braves
|
First5 result | away | 3.65 | 44.1% | 0.474 | 0.48u | Won | +1.27u |
| Sep 12, 2017 | mlb |
Royals
White Sox
|
First5 result | away | 4.70 | 44.6% | 0.775 | 0.88u | Lost | -0.88u |
| Sep 12, 2017 | mlb |
Angels
Astros
|
First5 result | home | 3.15 | 41.6% | 0.309 | 0.28u | Lost | -0.28u |
| Sep 12, 2017 | mlb |
Red Sox
Athletics
|
First5 result | away | 2.71 | 43.4% | 0.196 | 0.15u | Lost | -0.15u |
| Sep 11, 2017 | mlb |
Rays
Yankees
|
First5 result | away | 4.28 | 48.3% | 0.657 | 1.20u | Won | +3.94u |
| Sep 11, 2017 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Rockies
|
First5 result | away | 2.36 | 46.1% | 0.081 | 0.11u | Lost | -0.11u |
| Sep 11, 2017 | mlb |
Rangers
Mariners
|
First5 result | home | 2.61 | 45.0% | 0.174 | 0.31u | Won | +0.50u |
| Sep 11, 2017 | mlb |
Giants
Dodgers
|
First5 result | away | 2.59 | 50.9% | 0.123 | 0.18u | Lost | -0.18u |
| Sep 10, 2017 | mlb |
Indians
Orioles
|
First5 result | home | 2.48 | 52.0% | 0.289 | 0.49u | Won | +0.73u |
| Sep 10, 2017 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Padres
|
First5 result | draw | 4.60 | 40.0% | 0.258 | 0.22u | Lost | -0.22u |
| Sep 10, 2017 | mlb |
Mets
Reds
|
First5 result | away | 2.81 | 42.0% | 0.166 | 0.19u | Lost | -0.19u |
| Sep 10, 2017 | mlb |
Nationals
Phillies
|
First5 result | away | 3.07 | 44.4% | 0.166 | 0.17u | Lost | -0.17u |
| Sep 10, 2017 | mlb |
Athletics
Astros
|
First5 result | away | 3.56 | 42.6% | 0.281 | 0.32u | Lost | -0.32u |
| Sep 10, 2017 | mlb |
Cardinals
Pirates
|
First5 result | away | 2.97 | 45.8% | 0.287 | 0.41u | Lost | -0.41u |
| Sep 9, 2017 | mlb |
Red Sox
Rays
|
First5 result | away | 3.39 | 39.8% | 0.307 | 0.45u | Lost | -0.45u |
| Sep 9, 2017 | mlb |
Indians
Orioles
|
First5 result | home | 2.76 | 43.6% | 0.205 | 0.29u | Won | +0.51u |
| Sep 9, 2017 | mlb |
Rangers
Yankees
|
First5 result | away | 2.54 | 47.3% | 0.143 | 0.19u | Lost | -0.19u |
| Sep 9, 2017 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Padres
|
First5 result | away | 3.14 | 44.8% | 0.235 | 0.32u | Lost | -0.32u |
| Sep 9, 2017 | mlb |
Cubs
Brewers
|
First5 result | home | 3.05 | 40.3% | 0.230 | 0.32u | Lost | -0.32u |
| Sep 9, 2017 | mlb |
Athletics
Astros
|
First5 result | home | 2.25 | 51.0% | 0.148 | 0.22u | Lost | -0.22u |
| Sep 8, 2017 | mlb |
Nationals
Phillies
|
First5 result | home | 2.57 | 43.7% | 0.123 | 0.10u | Won | +0.16u |
| Sep 8, 2017 | mlb |
Dodgers
Rockies
|
First5 result | away | 2.96 | 43.9% | 0.169 | 0.14u | Won | +0.27u |
| Sep 8, 2017 | mlb |
Cubs
Brewers
|
First5 result | away | 2.89 | 45.9% | 0.290 | 0.33u | Won | +0.62u |
| Sep 8, 2017 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Tigers
|
First5 result | away | 2.91 | 41.2% | 0.076 | 0.05u | Won | +0.10u |
| Sep 8, 2017 | mlb |
Red Sox
Rays
|
First5 result | away | 4.23 | 48.6% | 0.742 | 1.13u | Lost | -1.13u |
| Sep 7, 2017 | mlb |
Dodgers
Rockies
|
First5 result | away | 3.63 | 38.9% | 0.343 | 0.43u | Won | +1.13u |
| Sep 7, 2017 | mlb |
Mets
Reds
|
First5 result | home | 2.22 | 49.3% | 0.095 | 0.10u | Won | +0.12u |
| Sep 7, 2017 | mlb |
Orioles
Yankees
|
First5 result | home | 4.05 | 41.3% | 0.673 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 7, 2017 | mlb |
Padres
Cardinals
|
First5 result | home | 2.19 | 48.6% | 0.065 | 0.06u | Won | +0.07u |
| Sep 6, 2017 | mlb |
Braves
Rangers
|
First5 result | home | 3.29 | 43.0% | 0.415 | 1.05u | Lost | -1.05u |
| Sep 6, 2017 | mlb |
Mets
Phillies
|
First5 result | away | 2.61 | 44.9% | 0.212 | 0.45u | Lost | -0.45u |
| Sep 6, 2017 | mlb |
Tigers
Royals
|
First5 result | home | 2.39 | 48.1% | 0.150 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Sep 5, 2017 | mlb |
Rays
Twins
|
First5 result | home | 3.37 | 42.7% | 0.438 | 1.10u | Won | +2.61u |
| Sep 5, 2017 | mlb |
Marlins
Nationals
|
First5 result | away | 2.79 | 43.8% | 0.062 | 0.08u | Won | +0.14u |
| Sep 5, 2017 | mlb |
Dodgers
Diamondbacks
|
First5 result | away | 2.73 | 48.8% | 0.111 | 0.17u | Lost | -0.17u |
| Sep 5, 2017 | mlb |
Tigers
Royals
|
First5 result | home | 2.51 | 42.0% | 0.055 | 0.06u | Won | +0.09u |
| Sep 5, 2017 | mlb |
Mariners
Astros
|
First5 result | home | 2.33 | 49.5% | 0.152 | 0.31u | Lost | -0.31u |
| Sep 5, 2017 | mlb |
Red Sox
Blue Jays
|
First5 result | home | 2.63 | 40.4% | 0.062 | 0.08u | Lost | -0.08u |
| Sep 4, 2017 | mlb |
Marlins
Nationals
|
First5 result | draw | 4.60 | 38.9% | 0.414 | 0.29u | Lost | -0.29u |
| Sep 4, 2017 | mlb |
Braves
Rangers
|
First5 result | home | 2.80 | 40.5% | 0.135 | 0.08u | Lost | -0.08u |
| Sep 4, 2017 | mlb |
Athletics
Angels
|
First5 result | home | 4.09 | 50.4% | 1.061 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 4, 2017 | mlb |
Red Sox
Blue Jays
|
First5 result | home | 2.58 | 44.8% | 0.156 | 0.11u | Lost | -0.11u |
| Sep 4, 2017 | mlb |
Orioles
Yankees
|
First5 result | away | 3.05 | 45.6% | 0.142 | 0.08u | Won | +0.16u |
| Sep 3, 2017 | mlb |
Mariners
Athletics
|
First5 result | away | 2.79 | 47.8% | 0.283 | 0.31u | Lost | -0.31u |
| Sep 3, 2017 | mlb |
Padres
Dodgers
|
First5 result | away | 3.36 | 44.5% | 0.452 | 0.55u | Lost | -0.55u |
| Sep 3, 2017 | mlb |
Pirates
Reds
|
First5 result | away | 3.25 | 44.9% | 0.147 | 0.10u | Lost | -0.10u |
| Sep 3, 2017 | mlb |
Cubs
Braves
|
First5 result | home | 2.88 | 46.5% | 0.341 | 0.40u | Lost | -0.40u |
| Sep 3, 2017 | mlb |
Tigers
Indians
|
First5 result | home | 2.80 | 45.5% | 0.275 | 0.29u | Lost | -0.29u |
| Sep 3, 2017 | mlb |
Marlins
Phillies
|
First5 result | away | 2.68 | 44.3% | 0.172 | 0.15u | Lost | -0.15u |
| Sep 2, 2017 | mlb |
Orioles
Blue Jays
|
First5 result | home | 3.73 | 42.3% | 0.579 | 0.47u | Lost | -0.47u |
| Sep 2, 2017 | mlb |
White Sox
Rays
|
First5 result | home | 2.79 | 43.7% | 0.220 | 0.13u | Won | +0.23u |
| Sep 2, 2017 | mlb |
Cubs
Braves
|
First5 result | home | 3.68 | 43.9% | 0.616 | 0.54u | Won | +1.45u |
| Sep 2, 2017 | mlb |
Rangers
Angels
|
First5 result | away | 3.33 | 47.9% | 0.355 | 0.23u | Lost | -0.23u |
| Sep 2, 2017 | mlb |
Padres
Dodgers
|
First5 result | home | 2.75 | 46.3% | 0.274 | 0.18u | Lost | -0.18u |
| Sep 2, 2017 | mlb |
Astros
Mets
|
First5 result | away | 3.33 | 47.3% | 0.367 | 0.25u | Lost | -0.25u |
| Sep 1, 2017 | mlb |
Tigers
Indians
|
First5 result | draw | 4.60 | 38.1% | 0.528 | 0.31u | Won | +1.12u |
| Sep 1, 2017 | mlb |
Marlins
Phillies
|
First5 result | home | 2.74 | 53.1% | 0.454 | 0.41u | Won | +0.71u |
| Sep 1, 2017 | mlb |
Giants
Cardinals
|
First5 result | away | 2.77 | 45.8% | 0.161 | 0.08u | Lost | -0.08u |
| Sep 1, 2017 | mlb |
Rangers
Angels
|
First5 result | away | 2.87 | 44.8% | 0.132 | 0.06u | Lost | -0.06u |
| Sep 1, 2017 | mlb |
Mariners
Athletics
|
First5 result | home | 3.47 | 46.7% | 0.621 | 0.56u | Won | +1.38u |
| Sep 1, 2017 | mlb |
White Sox
Rays
|
First5 result | home | 3.11 | 47.2% | 0.467 | 0.38u | Lost | -0.38u |
| Aug 31, 2017 | mlb |
Cubs
Braves
|
First5 result | away | 2.73 | 45.7% | 0.132 | 0.59u | Lost | -0.59u |
| Aug 31, 2017 | mlb |
Twins
White Sox
|
First5 result | home | 2.50 | 42.2% | 0.055 | 0.21u | Lost | -0.21u |
| Aug 31, 2017 | mlb |
Orioles
Blue Jays
|
First5 result | away | 3.07 | 45.1% | 0.119 | 0.45u | Won | +0.93u |
| Aug 31, 2017 | mlb |
Brewers
Nationals
|
First5 result | draw | 4.60 | 41.6% | 0.246 | 0.55u | Lost | -0.55u |
| Aug 30, 2017 | mlb |
Yankees
Indians
|
First5 result | away | 3.30 | 49.0% | 0.148 | 0.51u | Won | +1.17u |
| Aug 30, 2017 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Dodgers
|
First5 result | away | 2.76 | 51.5% | 0.057 | 0.26u | Lost | -0.26u |
| Aug 30, 2017 | mlb |
Padres
Giants
|
First5 result | away | 3.04 | 48.3% | 0.098 | 0.38u | Lost | -0.38u |
| Aug 30, 2017 | mlb |
Brewers
Cardinals
|
First5 result | away | 2.95 | 47.9% | 0.114 | 0.47u | Lost | -0.47u |
| Aug 29, 2017 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Dodgers
|
First5 result | away | 3.03 | 46.5% | 0.190 | 0.23u | Lost | -0.23u |
| Aug 29, 2017 | mlb |
Angels
Athletics
|
First5 result | draw | 4.60 | 40.8% | 0.251 | 0.23u | Lost | -0.23u |
| Aug 29, 2017 | mlb |
Orioles
Mariners
|
First5 result | away | 3.09 | 48.6% | 0.226 | 0.29u | Lost | -0.29u |
| Aug 29, 2017 | mlb |
Cubs
Pirates
|
First5 result | home | 3.11 | 48.1% | 0.497 | 1.05u | Lost | -1.05u |
| Aug 28, 2017 | mlb |
Nationals
Marlins
|
First5 result | draw | 4.60 | 39.5% | 0.390 | 0.85u | Lost | -0.85u |
| Aug 28, 2017 | mlb |
Yankees
Indians
|
First5 result | away | 3.00 | 46.6% | 0.322 | 0.95u | Lost | -0.95u |
| Aug 27, 2017 | mlb |
Phillies
Cubs
|
First5 result | away | 3.01 | 44.1% | 0.177 | 0.34u | Lost | -0.34u |
| Aug 27, 2017 | mlb |
Nationals
Mets
|
First5 result | home | 2.45 | 45.2% | 0.107 | 0.21u | Lost | -0.21u |
| Aug 27, 2017 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Giants
|
First5 result | draw | 4.60 | 40.7% | 0.271 | 0.44u | Lost | -0.44u |
| Aug 27, 2017 | mlb |
Athletics
Rangers
|
First5 result | home | 2.25 | 51.5% | 0.159 | 0.41u | Won | +0.51u |
| Aug 27, 2017 | mlb |
Red Sox
Orioles
|
First5 result | away | 2.60 | 47.9% | 0.131 | 0.26u | Won | +0.42u |
| Aug 27, 2017 | mlb |
Cardinals
Rays
|
First5 result | away | 2.80 | 46.7% | 0.081 | 0.13u | Won | +0.23u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.