Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: May 15, 2026 2:07 PM EDT
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Oakland Athletics
home
Odds
2.04
Prob
55.0%
EV/u
0.069
Stake
0.12u
Lost
-0.12u
First 5 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Washington Nationals
home
Odds
2.53
Prob
52.0%
EV/u
0.289
Stake
1.01u
Lost
-1.01u
First 5 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
2.43
Prob
54.4%
EV/u
0.239
Stake
0.79u
Lost
-0.79u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Seattle Mariners
home
Odds
2.04
Prob
54.5%
EV/u
0.061
Stake
0.12u
Lost
-0.12u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Tampa Bay Rays
home
Odds
2.17
Prob
53.1%
EV/u
0.096
Stake
0.19u
Lost
-0.19u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Washington Nationals
home
Odds
2.51
Prob
55.7%
EV/u
0.366
Stake
0.72u
Lost
-0.72u
First 5 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
2.66
Prob
55.2%
EV/u
0.433
Stake
0.77u
Lost
-0.77u
First 5 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Miami Marlins
home
Odds
2.18
Prob
52.0%
EV/u
0.080
Stake
0.19u
Lost
-0.19u
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Oakland Athletics
home
Odds
2.18
Prob
54.6%
EV/u
0.128
Stake
0.36u
Won
+0.42u
First 5 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
San Diego Padres
home
Odds
3.05
Prob
53.9%
EV/u
0.601
Stake
0.84u
Won
+1.72u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Tampa Bay Rays
home
Odds
2.18
Prob
53.3%
EV/u
0.103
Stake
0.27u
Won
+0.32u
First 5 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
2.08
Prob
53.4%
EV/u
0.060
Stake
0.14u
Lost
-0.14u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Tampa Bay Rays
home
Odds
2.14
Prob
51.7%
EV/u
0.056
Stake
0.31u
Lost
-0.31u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Texas Rangers
home
Odds
2.04
Prob
53.5%
EV/u
0.043
Stake
0.23u
Lost
-0.23u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Cincinnati Reds
home
Odds
2.12
Prob
55.7%
EV/u
0.120
Stake
0.65u
Lost
-0.65u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Seattle Mariners
home
Odds
2.18
Prob
54.1%
EV/u
0.119
Stake
0.61u
Won
+0.72u
First 5 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Kansas City Royals
home
Odds
2.91
Prob
54.5%
EV/u
0.545
Stake
1.50u
Lost
-1.50u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cleveland Indians
Toronto Blue Jays
home
Odds
2.01
Prob
53.0%
EV/u
0.021
Stake
0.26u
Won
+0.26u
First 5 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
1.99
Prob
55.5%
EV/u
0.055
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.30u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Detroit Tigers
home
Odds
2.18
Prob
53.6%
EV/u
0.109
Stake
0.19u
Lost
-0.19u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Houston Astros
home
Odds
2.18
Prob
52.1%
EV/u
0.080
Stake
0.13u
Won
+0.15u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Francisco Giants
home
Odds
2.23
Prob
51.7%
EV/u
0.096
Stake
0.16u
Lost
-0.16u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
home
Odds
2.88
Prob
54.3%
EV/u
0.524
Stake
0.66u
Lost
-0.66u
First 5 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Chicago Cubs
home
Odds
2.85
Prob
54.5%
EV/u
0.515
Stake
0.66u
Won
+1.22u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Detroit Tigers
home
Odds
2.32
Prob
53.8%
EV/u
0.176
Stake
0.34u
Won
+0.45u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Houston Astros
home
Odds
2.99
Prob
54.5%
EV/u
0.587
Stake
0.76u
Won
+1.51u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
New York Mets
home
Odds
2.37
Prob
52.1%
EV/u
0.167
Stake
0.31u
Lost
-0.31u
First 5 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Los Angeles Angels
home
Odds
2.42
Prob
52.1%
EV/u
0.186
Stake
0.36u
Lost
-0.36u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Minnesota Twins
home
Odds
2.01
Prob
53.9%
EV/u
0.037
Stake
0.05u
Lost
-0.05u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Detroit Tigers
home
Odds
2.23
Prob
53.3%
EV/u
0.129
Stake
0.34u
Won
+0.42u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Houston Astros
home
Odds
2.35
Prob
53.5%
EV/u
0.186
Stake
0.52u
Lost
-0.52u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Francisco Giants
home
Odds
2.14
Prob
53.0%
EV/u
0.078
Stake
0.20u
Won
+0.23u
First 5 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
2.56
Prob
52.3%
EV/u
0.310
Stake
0.74u
Won
+1.15u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Baltimore Orioles
home
Odds
2.27
Prob
53.9%
EV/u
0.157
Stake
0.49u
Lost
-0.49u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Chicago White Sox
home
Odds
2.18
Prob
54.6%
EV/u
0.127
Stake
0.38u
Lost
-0.38u
First 5 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
New York Mets
home
Odds
2.01
Prob
54.8%
EV/u
0.052
Stake
0.14u
Won
+0.14u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
3.72
Prob
52.4%
EV/u
0.231
Stake
0.21u
Lost
-0.21u
First 5 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
2.44
Prob
53.4%
EV/u
0.225
Stake
0.58u
Won
+0.84u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
4.28
Prob
52.6%
EV/u
0.400
Stake
0.20u
Lost
-0.20u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Chicago White Sox
home
Odds
2.43
Prob
54.7%
EV/u
0.246
Stake
0.63u
Won
+0.90u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Chicago Cubs
home
Odds
2.07
Prob
52.4%
EV/u
0.039
Stake
0.09u
Lost
-0.09u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
St. Louis Cardinals
home
Odds
2.17
Prob
54.9%
EV/u
0.129
Stake
0.38u
Won
+0.44u
First 5 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Los Angeles Angels
home
Odds
2.35
Prob
53.0%
EV/u
0.173
Stake
0.50u
Won
+0.68u
First 5 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Cleveland Indians
home
Odds
2.05
Prob
52.7%
EV/u
0.035
Stake
0.08u
Lost
-0.08u
First 5 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Detroit Tigers
home
Odds
2.89
Prob
51.5%
EV/u
0.455
Stake
1.17u
Won
+2.21u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Houston Astros
home
Odds
2.26
Prob
51.8%
EV/u
0.111
Stake
0.43u
Won
+0.54u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
San Francisco Giants
home
Odds
2.16
Prob
51.3%
EV/u
0.056
Stake
0.20u
Won
+0.23u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Chicago White Sox
home
Odds
2.22
Prob
52.5%
EV/u
0.106
Stake
0.37u
Won
+0.45u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Houston Astros
away
Odds
4.15
Prob
53.1%
EV/u
0.339
Stake
0.18u
Won
+0.57u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
San Francisco Giants
home
Odds
2.88
Prob
54.3%
EV/u
0.523
Stake
1.04u
Won
+1.96u
First 5 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
2.15
Prob
49.8%
EV/u
0.026
Stake
0.07u
Won
+0.08u
First 5 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
2.02
Prob
54.0%
EV/u
0.043
Stake
0.14u
Won
+0.14u
First 5 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Seattle Mariners
home
Odds
2.06
Prob
52.8%
EV/u
0.041
Stake
0.33u
Lost
-0.33u
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Boston Red Sox
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.8%
EV/u
0.046
Stake
0.06u
Lost
-0.06u
First 5 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
New York Yankees
home
Odds
3.14
Prob
51.6%
EV/u
0.577
Stake
0.58u
Won
+1.24u
First 5 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Chicago White Sox
home
Odds
2.33
Prob
51.6%
EV/u
0.138
Stake
0.14u
Won
+0.19u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
St. Louis Cardinals
home
Odds
2.83
Prob
50.9%
EV/u
0.408
Stake
0.49u
Won
+0.90u
First 5 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Washington Nationals
home
Odds
3.08
Prob
51.4%
EV/u
0.544
Stake
0.56u
Won
+1.16u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Oakland Athletics
home
Odds
3.08
Prob
51.2%
EV/u
0.537
Stake
0.55u
Lost
-0.55u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Detroit Tigers
home
Odds
2.21
Prob
51.3%
EV/u
0.079
Stake
0.07u
Won
+0.08u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Pittsburgh Pirates
home
Odds
3.42
Prob
51.2%
EV/u
0.702
Stake
0.60u
Won
+1.45u
First 5 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
2.17
Prob
51.1%
EV/u
0.058
Stake
0.05u
Lost
-0.05u
First 5 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Washington Nationals
home
Odds
3.07
Prob
50.6%
EV/u
0.514
Stake
0.53u
Lost
-0.53u
First 5 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Texas Rangers
home
Odds
2.19
Prob
50.9%
EV/u
0.063
Stake
0.11u
Won
+0.13u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
St. Louis Cardinals
home
Odds
2.41
Prob
51.3%
EV/u
0.164
Stake
0.33u
Won
+0.47u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Pittsburgh Pirates
home
Odds
2.29
Prob
51.0%
EV/u
0.109
Stake
0.22u
Lost
-0.22u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
home
Odds
3.13
Prob
51.3%
EV/u
0.565
Stake
0.70u
Lost
-0.70u
First 5 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
2.24
Prob
51.4%
EV/u
0.093
Stake
0.19u
Lost
-0.19u
First 5 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Washington Nationals
home
Odds
2.27
Prob
51.9%
EV/u
0.118
Stake
0.25u
Won
+0.32u
First 5 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Texas Rangers
home
Odds
2.25
Prob
51.1%
EV/u
0.094
Stake
0.48u
Lost
-0.48u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
New York Yankees
home
Odds
2.40
Prob
50.7%
EV/u
0.150
Stake
0.62u
Lost
-0.62u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Texas Rangers
away
Odds
3.89
Prob
49.9%
EV/u
0.207
Stake
0.20u
Lost
-0.20u
First 5 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Houston Astros
home
Odds
2.58
Prob
51.1%
EV/u
0.291
Stake
0.65u
Won
+1.03u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
3.92
Prob
49.9%
EV/u
0.216
Stake
0.21u
Won
+0.61u
First 5 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Philadelphia Phillies
home
Odds
2.66
Prob
50.7%
EV/u
0.320
Stake
0.74u
Won
+1.23u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Texas Rangers
away
Odds
2.59
Prob
44.7%
EV/u
0.091
Stake
0.12u
Won
+0.19u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Cleveland Indians
home
Odds
2.68
Prob
44.4%
EV/u
0.168
Stake
0.26u
Lost
-0.26u
First 5 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Houston Astros
away
Odds
4.22
Prob
47.9%
EV/u
0.632
Stake
0.28u
Won
+0.90u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Pittsburgh Pirates
home
Odds
2.77
Prob
47.3%
EV/u
0.284
Stake
0.52u
Lost
-0.52u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
2.83
Prob
42.4%
EV/u
0.178
Stake
0.27u
Won
+0.49u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
San Diego Padres
home
Odds
2.88
Prob
42.8%
EV/u
0.209
Stake
0.35u
Lost
-0.35u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Texas Rangers
home
Odds
2.66
Prob
44.1%
EV/u
0.153
Stake
0.25u
Won
+0.42u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Cleveland Indians
away
Odds
3.29
Prob
43.0%
EV/u
0.423
Stake
0.59u
Lost
-0.59u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Pittsburgh Pirates
home
Odds
2.94
Prob
44.5%
EV/u
0.282
Stake
0.46u
Lost
-0.46u
First 5 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
3.16
Prob
43.5%
EV/u
0.273
Stake
0.40u
Lost
-0.40u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
San Diego Padres
away
Odds
2.68
Prob
47.3%
EV/u
0.053
Stake
0.06u
Won
+0.10u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Chicago Cubs
away
Odds
3.59
Prob
43.8%
EV/u
0.525
Stake
0.41u
Won
+1.06u
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels
away
Odds
2.79
Prob
44.1%
EV/u
0.121
Stake
0.16u
Lost
-0.16u
First 5 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
New York Mets
home
Odds
2.71
Prob
43.5%
EV/u
0.159
Stake
0.23u
Lost
-0.23u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
3.07
Prob
44.9%
EV/u
0.243
Stake
0.36u
Won
+0.75u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
2.88
Prob
45.2%
EV/u
0.197
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
First 5 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Colorado Rockies
home
Odds
2.59
Prob
47.3%
EV/u
0.203
Stake
0.34u
Lost
-0.34u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cleveland Indians
Boston Red Sox
away
Odds
3.39
Prob
39.7%
EV/u
0.376
Stake
0.46u
Lost
-0.46u
First 5 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
3.12
Prob
45.5%
EV/u
0.184
Stake
0.21u
Lost
-0.21u
First 5 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Minnesota Twins
home
Odds
2.79
Prob
43.1%
EV/u
0.182
Stake
0.23u
Won
+0.41u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Diego Padres
away
Odds
2.57
Prob
44.1%
EV/u
0.079
Stake
0.08u
Lost
-0.08u
First 5 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
New York Mets
away
Odds
3.73
Prob
41.8%
EV/u
0.657
Stake
0.43u
Lost
-0.43u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
3.65
Prob
42.6%
EV/u
0.520
Stake
0.38u
Lost
-0.38u
First 5 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
2.83
Prob
46.5%
EV/u
0.098
Stake
0.13u
Won
+0.24u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
3.32
Prob
41.0%
EV/u
0.479
Stake
0.64u
Lost
-0.64u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.