Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: May 15, 2026 2:07 PM EDT
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Diego Padres
away
Odds
2.59
Prob
44.8%
EV/u
0.065
Stake
0.09u
Won
+0.14u
First 5 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
New York Mets
away
Odds
3.62
Prob
43.4%
EV/u
0.557
Stake
0.44u
Won
+1.15u
First 5 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
San Francisco Giants
home
Odds
2.76
Prob
46.0%
EV/u
0.245
Stake
0.45u
Won
+0.79u
First 5 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Colorado Rockies
home
Odds
2.42
Prob
44.9%
EV/u
0.041
Stake
0.05u
Won
+0.07u
First 5 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
2.84
Prob
44.8%
EV/u
0.132
Stake
0.41u
Lost
-0.41u
First 5 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
3.44
Prob
45.9%
EV/u
0.371
Stake
0.83u
Lost
-0.83u
First 5 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
2.99
Prob
40.6%
EV/u
0.265
Stake
0.44u
Won
+0.88u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Tampa Bay Rays
home
Odds
2.51
Prob
43.4%
EV/u
0.073
Stake
0.10u
Lost
-0.10u
First 5 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
42.2%
EV/u
0.198
Stake
0.35u
Lost
-0.35u
First 5 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
New York Mets
away
Odds
4.53
Prob
45.9%
EV/u
0.859
Stake
0.35u
Lost
-0.35u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
2.59
Prob
43.0%
EV/u
0.101
Stake
0.14u
Lost
-0.14u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
San Francisco Giants
away
Odds
3.56
Prob
45.0%
EV/u
0.491
Stake
0.42u
Lost
-0.42u
First 5 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
4.14
Prob
45.9%
EV/u
0.706
Stake
0.26u
Won
+0.82u
First 5 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
New York Mets
away
Odds
3.02
Prob
41.9%
EV/u
0.323
Stake
0.36u
Won
+0.73u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
Washington Nationals
away
Odds
2.99
Prob
40.8%
EV/u
0.313
Stake
0.36u
Won
+0.72u
First 5 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Minnesota Twins
home
Odds
4.88
Prob
45.2%
EV/u
1.204
Stake
0.29u
Lost
-0.29u
First 5 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Los Angeles Angels
away
Odds
3.86
Prob
48.4%
EV/u
0.506
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Tampa Bay Rays
home
Odds
2.81
Prob
44.5%
EV/u
0.226
Stake
0.23u
Lost
-0.23u
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
2.48
Prob
42.3%
EV/u
0.043
Stake
0.24u
Lost
-0.24u
First 5 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
New York Mets
away
Odds
3.07
Prob
45.7%
EV/u
0.242
Stake
0.64u
Lost
-0.64u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
2.57
Prob
44.0%
EV/u
0.069
Stake
0.27u
Won
+0.42u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
2.69
Prob
45.1%
EV/u
0.085
Stake
0.29u
Lost
-0.29u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cleveland Indians
Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
2.94
Prob
46.3%
EV/u
0.191
Stake
0.55u
Won
+1.07u
First 5 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Washington Nationals
away
Odds
2.83
Prob
43.2%
EV/u
0.193
Stake
0.59u
Won
+1.08u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
2.62
Prob
44.0%
EV/u
0.044
Stake
0.13u
Won
+0.21u
First 5 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
2.72
Prob
42.9%
EV/u
0.072
Stake
0.23u
Lost
-0.23u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
3.04
Prob
45.5%
EV/u
0.220
Stake
0.26u
Lost
-0.26u
First 5 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
New York Mets
away
Odds
3.23
Prob
42.9%
EV/u
0.384
Stake
0.47u
Lost
-0.47u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
41.1%
EV/u
0.131
Stake
0.14u
Lost
-0.14u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
3.15
Prob
43.0%
EV/u
0.308
Stake
0.39u
Lost
-0.39u
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
3.36
Prob
47.1%
EV/u
0.298
Stake
0.35u
Lost
-0.35u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Texas Rangers
away
Odds
2.90
Prob
44.2%
EV/u
0.174
Stake
0.19u
Lost
-0.19u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
3.51
Prob
44.0%
EV/u
0.503
Stake
0.64u
Won
+1.61u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
2.63
Prob
45.9%
EV/u
0.071
Stake
0.15u
Lost
-0.15u
First 5 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Washington Nationals
away
Odds
2.66
Prob
45.0%
EV/u
0.095
Stake
0.23u
Lost
-0.23u
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
2.83
Prob
45.2%
EV/u
0.097
Stake
0.22u
Lost
-0.22u
First 5 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Miami Marlins
away
Odds
2.66
Prob
39.9%
EV/u
0.187
Stake
0.56u
Lost
-0.56u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Oakland Athletics
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
43.0%
EV/u
0.079
Stake
0.20u
Lost
-0.20u
First 5 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
4.66
Prob
45.4%
EV/u
0.792
Stake
0.51u
Lost
-0.51u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
home
Odds
3.35
Prob
44.2%
EV/u
0.446
Stake
1.01u
Won
+2.37u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
away
Odds
2.58
Prob
45.3%
EV/u
0.040
Stake
0.08u
Lost
-0.08u
First 5 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
2.88
Prob
47.3%
EV/u
0.101
Stake
0.08u
Lost
-0.08u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
4.53
Prob
45.7%
EV/u
0.816
Stake
0.26u
Lost
-0.26u
First 5 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
New York Yankees
home
Odds
3.36
Prob
44.5%
EV/u
0.458
Stake
0.49u
Lost
-0.49u
First 5 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Pittsburgh Pirates
home
Odds
2.82
Prob
43.7%
EV/u
0.210
Stake
0.23u
Lost
-0.23u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Cleveland Indians
home
Odds
2.74
Prob
47.2%
EV/u
0.268
Stake
0.33u
Won
+0.57u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
home
Odds
2.87
Prob
46.8%
EV/u
0.315
Stake
0.41u
Won
+0.77u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Oakland Athletics
away
Odds
2.90
Prob
42.6%
EV/u
0.134
Stake
0.16u
Won
+0.30u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Texas Rangers
home
Odds
3.54
Prob
43.8%
EV/u
0.551
Stake
0.41u
Won
+1.04u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Chicago White Sox
home
Odds
3.83
Prob
46.2%
EV/u
0.768
Stake
0.42u
Won
+1.19u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Milwaukee Brewers
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
46.6%
EV/u
0.089
Stake
0.11u
Won
+0.16u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
home
Odds
2.66
Prob
45.6%
EV/u
0.192
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
First 5 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Washington Nationals
home
Odds
2.59
Prob
48.3%
EV/u
0.228
Stake
0.40u
Won
+0.64u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Texas Rangers
home
Odds
2.72
Prob
44.6%
EV/u
0.191
Stake
0.43u
Lost
-0.43u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Chicago White Sox
home
Odds
2.82
Prob
45.0%
EV/u
0.245
Stake
0.61u
Lost
-0.61u
First 5 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
New York Yankees
home
Odds
3.91
Prob
43.1%
EV/u
0.684
Stake
0.67u
Lost
-0.67u
First 5 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Arizona Diamondbacks
home
Odds
2.58
Prob
41.6%
EV/u
0.059
Stake
0.09u
Won
+0.14u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Los Angeles Angels
home
Odds
2.49
Prob
49.0%
EV/u
0.156
Stake
0.59u
Lost
-0.59u
First 5 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Texas Rangers
away
Odds
3.02
Prob
45.6%
EV/u
0.096
Stake
0.28u
Lost
-0.28u
First 5 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Cleveland Indians
home
Odds
2.28
Prob
47.7%
EV/u
0.041
Stake
0.25u
Won
+0.32u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
2.79
Prob
42.2%
EV/u
0.106
Stake
0.34u
Lost
-0.34u
First 5 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
3.26
Prob
46.9%
EV/u
0.135
Stake
0.34u
Lost
-0.34u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Los Angeles Angels
away
Odds
3.14
Prob
45.5%
EV/u
0.150
Stake
0.40u
Won
+0.86u
First 5 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
St. Louis Cardinals
home
Odds
2.48
Prob
44.2%
EV/u
0.051
Stake
0.26u
Won
+0.38u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
3.44
Prob
45.3%
EV/u
0.241
Stake
0.54u
Lost
-0.54u
First 5 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
2.47
Prob
46.1%
EV/u
0.085
Stake
0.38u
Lost
-0.38u
First 5 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
St. Louis Cardinals
home
Odds
2.84
Prob
46.5%
EV/u
0.294
Stake
0.66u
Lost
-0.66u
First 5 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
3.66
Prob
43.0%
EV/u
0.443
Stake
0.45u
Lost
-0.45u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
San Diego Padres
away
Odds
3.35
Prob
46.3%
EV/u
0.224
Stake
0.40u
Lost
-0.40u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Miami Marlins
home
Odds
2.63
Prob
44.1%
EV/u
0.140
Stake
0.25u
Won
+0.41u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
San Diego Padres
home
Odds
3.45
Prob
46.5%
EV/u
0.564
Stake
1.23u
Lost
-1.23u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Chicago Cubs
away
Odds
3.06
Prob
45.4%
EV/u
0.117
Stake
0.33u
Won
+0.68u
First 5 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
2.38
Prob
45.4%
EV/u
0.035
Stake
0.10u
Won
+0.14u
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
3.04
Prob
44.1%
EV/u
0.170
Stake
0.47u
Lost
-0.47u
First 5 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
St. Louis Cardinals
home
Odds
2.63
Prob
43.4%
EV/u
0.123
Stake
0.41u
Lost
-0.41u
First 5 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
away
Odds
3.80
Prob
44.9%
EV/u
0.379
Stake
0.49u
Lost
-0.49u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Chicago Cubs
away
Odds
2.83
Prob
44.3%
EV/u
0.058
Stake
0.11u
Lost
-0.11u
First 5 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
3.05
Prob
44.6%
EV/u
0.131
Stake
0.32u
Won
+0.66u
First 5 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
away
Odds
3.58
Prob
47.0%
EV/u
0.159
Stake
0.22u
Lost
-0.22u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
Philadelphia Phillies
home
Odds
2.51
Prob
47.7%
EV/u
0.176
Stake
0.56u
Lost
-0.56u
First 5 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
away
Odds
3.07
Prob
42.1%
EV/u
0.226
Stake
0.59u
Lost
-0.59u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Chicago Cubs
away
Odds
3.13
Prob
40.5%
EV/u
0.284
Stake
0.73u
Lost
-0.73u
First 5 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
New York Yankees
away
Odds
2.98
Prob
46.8%
EV/u
0.039
Stake
0.13u
Lost
-0.13u
First 5 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
3.01
Prob
43.9%
EV/u
0.125
Stake
0.36u
Lost
-0.36u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
New York Mets
home
Odds
2.32
Prob
46.0%
EV/u
0.024
Stake
0.21u
Lost
-0.21u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cleveland Indians
Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
2.84
Prob
44.3%
EV/u
0.028
Stake
0.05u
Won
+0.09u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
3.33
Prob
43.3%
EV/u
0.283
Stake
0.61u
Lost
-0.61u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Colorado Rockies
home
Odds
2.31
Prob
51.0%
EV/u
0.118
Stake
0.35u
Won
+0.46u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
Toronto Blue Jays
home
Odds
2.71
Prob
47.8%
EV/u
0.268
Stake
0.79u
Lost
-0.79u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
3.97
Prob
43.1%
EV/u
0.710
Stake
0.80u
Lost
-0.80u
First 5 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Seattle Mariners
home
Odds
2.33
Prob
45.6%
EV/u
0.020
Stake
0.18u
Lost
-0.18u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Minnesota Twins
home
Odds
2.21
Prob
49.6%
EV/u
0.048
Stake
0.32u
Won
+0.39u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
4.00
Prob
39.4%
EV/u
0.628
Stake
0.50u
Lost
-0.50u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Boston Red Sox
away
Odds
4.31
Prob
46.2%
EV/u
0.538
Stake
0.39u
Lost
-0.39u
First 5 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
2.71
Prob
40.0%
EV/u
0.160
Stake
0.53u
Won
+0.91u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
New York Mets
home
Odds
2.49
Prob
45.9%
EV/u
0.088
Stake
0.38u
Lost
-0.38u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Boston Red Sox
away
Odds
4.65
Prob
44.3%
EV/u
0.746
Stake
0.49u
Lost
-0.49u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
2.84
Prob
44.8%
EV/u
0.028
Stake
0.11u
Lost
-0.11u
First 5 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Seattle Mariners
home
Odds
2.88
Prob
43.9%
EV/u
0.241
Stake
0.71u
Lost
-0.71u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
3.24
Prob
45.3%
EV/u
0.086
Stake
0.23u
Lost
-0.23u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.