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Case Archive

Historical Audit

Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.

Last synced: Jul 15, 2026 10:17 PM EDT

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First 5 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
2.34
Prob
34.3%
EV/u
0.081
Stake
0.13u
Won +0.17u
First 5 innings mlb
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
away
Odds
2.34
Prob
33.6%
EV/u
0.090
Stake
0.21u
Won +0.28u
First 5 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
New York Mets New York Mets
away
Odds
2.34
Prob
35.8%
EV/u
0.048
Stake
0.10u
Won +0.13u
First 5 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
away
Odds
3.13
Prob
37.3%
EV/u
0.428
Stake
0.67u
Lost -0.67u
First 5 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
3.19
Prob
35.9%
EV/u
0.453
Stake
0.69u
Lost -0.69u
First 5 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
2.38
Prob
36.0%
EV/u
0.061
Stake
0.13u
Lost -0.13u
First 5 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
2.31
Prob
36.6%
EV/u
0.048
Stake
0.10u
Won +0.13u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
2.90
Prob
37.0%
EV/u
0.316
Stake
0.62u
Lost -0.62u
First 5 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
3.20
Prob
37.5%
EV/u
0.434
Stake
0.73u
Won +1.61u
First 5 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
2.42
Prob
37.2%
EV/u
0.059
Stake
0.09u
Won +0.13u
First 5 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
36.1%
EV/u
0.176
Stake
0.36u
Lost -0.36u
First 5 innings mlb
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
away
Odds
2.32
Prob
36.7%
EV/u
0.048
Stake
0.07u
Lost -0.07u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
Cleveland Indians Cleveland Indians
away
Odds
2.66
Prob
35.8%
EV/u
0.233
Stake
0.56u
Lost -0.56u
First 5 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
3.14
Prob
36.6%
EV/u
0.420
Stake
0.77u
Won +1.65u
First 5 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
2.56
Prob
37.4%
EV/u
0.158
Stake
0.35u
Won +0.55u
First 5 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
2.24
Prob
33.0%
EV/u
0.061
Stake
0.12u
Lost -0.12u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
Cleveland Indians Cleveland Indians
away
Odds
2.44
Prob
34.2%
EV/u
0.126
Stake
0.40u
Won +0.58u
First 5 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
2.97
Prob
37.8%
EV/u
0.336
Stake
0.82u
Lost -0.82u
First 5 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
2.22
Prob
34.7%
EV/u
0.028
Stake
0.07u
Lost -0.07u
First 5 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
36.8%
EV/u
0.160
Stake
0.51u
Won +0.79u
First 5 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Cleveland Indians Cleveland Indians
away
Odds
2.69
Prob
33.5%
EV/u
0.284
Stake
0.92u
Lost -0.92u
First 5 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
home
Odds
2.89
Prob
36.8%
EV/u
0.050
Stake
0.17u
Lost -0.17u
First 5 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
away
Odds
2.32
Prob
34.3%
EV/u
0.066
Stake
0.35u
Won +0.46u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
2.79
Prob
33.7%
EV/u
0.320
Stake
0.98u
Lost -0.98u
First 5 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
2.30
Prob
34.8%
EV/u
0.052
Stake
0.31u
Lost -0.31u
First 5 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
away
Odds
2.46
Prob
34.0%
EV/u
0.128
Stake
0.52u
Lost -0.52u
First 5 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
home
Odds
2.84
Prob
36.9%
EV/u
0.034
Stake
0.13u
Lost -0.13u
First 5 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
2.22
Prob
33.2%
EV/u
0.031
Stake
0.25u
Lost -0.25u
First 5 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Cleveland Indians Cleveland Indians
away
Odds
3.57
Prob
37.1%
EV/u
0.639
Stake
0.80u
Lost -0.80u
First 5 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
home
Odds
2.86
Prob
37.9%
EV/u
0.068
Stake
0.23u
Lost -0.23u
First 5 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
2.28
Prob
35.3%
EV/u
0.034
Stake
0.25u
Lost -0.25u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Houston Astros Houston Astros
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
46.8%
EV/u
0.046
Stake
0.19u
Lost -0.19u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
away
Odds
2.68
Prob
47.6%
EV/u
0.057
Stake
0.21u
Lost -0.21u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
away
Odds
2.67
Prob
47.3%
EV/u
0.070
Stake
0.26u
Won +0.43u
First 5 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
Houston Astros Houston Astros
home
Odds
1.89
Prob
57.8%
EV/u
0.043
Stake
0.31u
Won +0.27u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
home
Odds
1.96
Prob
61.1%
EV/u
0.134
Stake
0.62u
Lost -0.62u
First 5 innings mlb
Cleveland Indians Cleveland Indians
New York Yankees New York Yankees
away
Odds
2.85
Prob
48.6%
EV/u
0.049
Stake
0.17u
Won +0.31u
First 5 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
away
Odds
3.32
Prob
52.1%
EV/u
0.139
Stake
0.34u
Lost -0.34u
First 5 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
2.37
Prob
40.8%
EV/u
0.033
Stake
0.23u
Lost -0.23u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
home
Odds
2.54
Prob
67.9%
EV/u
0.678
Stake
0.68u
Lost -0.68u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
home
Odds
2.13
Prob
60.0%
EV/u
0.202
Stake
0.44u
Lost -0.44u
First 5 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
New York Mets New York Mets
home
Odds
1.79
Prob
62.7%
EV/u
0.069
Stake
0.12u
Won +0.09u
First 5 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
2.18
Prob
52.8%
EV/u
0.095
Stake
0.15u
Lost -0.15u
First 5 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
2.12
Prob
59.8%
EV/u
0.194
Stake
0.41u
Won +0.46u
First 5 innings mlb
Cleveland Indians Cleveland Indians
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
3.34
Prob
51.8%
EV/u
0.194
Stake
0.25u
Lost -0.25u
First 5 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
home
Odds
1.83
Prob
66.7%
EV/u
0.151
Stake
0.35u
Won +0.29u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
home
Odds
2.91
Prob
52.7%
EV/u
0.495
Stake
0.75u
Won +1.43u
First 5 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
home
Odds
1.78
Prob
64.1%
EV/u
0.086
Stake
0.17u
Won +0.13u
First 5 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
4.13
Prob
48.6%
EV/u
0.670
Stake
0.28u
Lost -0.28u
First 5 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
Houston Astros Houston Astros
away
Odds
3.11
Prob
43.0%
EV/u
0.332
Stake
0.67u
Won +1.41u
First 5 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
home
Odds
2.38
Prob
57.2%
EV/u
0.273
Stake
0.63u
Won +0.87u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
3.56
Prob
47.3%
EV/u
0.448
Stake
0.50u
Won +1.28u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
2.17
Prob
34.7%
EV/u
0.125
Stake
0.64u
Won +0.75u
First 5 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
home
Odds
2.12
Prob
52.0%
EV/u
0.053
Stake
0.37u
Lost -0.37u
First 5 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
2.04
Prob
57.5%
EV/u
0.113
Stake
0.66u
Won +0.69u
First 5 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
home
Odds
2.89
Prob
52.1%
EV/u
0.468
Stake
0.59u
Won +1.12u
First 5 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
home
Odds
2.37
Prob
60.2%
EV/u
0.329
Stake
0.48u
Lost -0.48u
First 5 innings mlb
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
home
Odds
1.69
Prob
66.0%
EV/u
0.064
Stake
0.07u
Won +0.05u
First 5 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
home
Odds
2.96
Prob
60.3%
EV/u
0.735
Stake
0.66u
Won +1.29u
First 5 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
3.05
Prob
45.7%
EV/u
0.209
Stake
0.37u
Won +0.76u
First 5 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
home
Odds
2.69
Prob
45.6%
EV/u
0.205
Stake
0.41u
Won +0.69u
First 5 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
home
Odds
2.59
Prob
45.0%
EV/u
0.146
Stake
0.26u
Won +0.41u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
away
Odds
3.11
Prob
46.3%
EV/u
0.220
Stake
0.38u
Lost -0.38u
First 5 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
2.90
Prob
45.3%
EV/u
0.170
Stake
0.29u
Lost -0.29u
First 5 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
away
Odds
2.64
Prob
45.4%
EV/u
0.063
Stake
0.09u
Lost -0.09u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
home
Odds
2.95
Prob
46.0%
EV/u
0.327
Stake
0.66u
Won +1.29u
First 5 innings mlb
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
46.4%
EV/u
0.106
Stake
0.18u
Won +0.32u
First 5 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
away
Odds
3.38
Prob
46.6%
EV/u
0.350
Stake
0.58u
Won +1.38u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
2.71
Prob
45.9%
EV/u
0.096
Stake
0.16u
Lost -0.16u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
2.84
Prob
46.4%
EV/u
0.123
Stake
0.22u
Won +0.40u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
2.77
Prob
46.2%
EV/u
0.115
Stake
0.14u
Lost -0.14u
First 5 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
home
Odds
2.74
Prob
46.5%
EV/u
0.249
Stake
0.44u
Lost -0.44u
First 5 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
away
Odds
3.94
Prob
46.3%
EV/u
0.626
Stake
0.45u
Won +1.32u
First 5 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
New York Yankees New York Yankees
home
Odds
2.80
Prob
45.0%
EV/u
0.237
Stake
0.40u
Won +0.72u
First 5 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
home
Odds
2.68
Prob
46.2%
EV/u
0.216
Stake
0.35u
Lost -0.35u
First 5 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
home
Odds
2.64
Prob
46.0%
EV/u
0.193
Stake
0.59u
Lost -0.59u
First 5 innings mlb
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
home
Odds
2.74
Prob
46.8%
EV/u
0.257
Stake
0.73u
Won +1.27u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
home
Odds
2.46
Prob
45.8%
EV/u
0.073
Stake
0.20u
Lost -0.20u
First 5 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
home
Odds
2.46
Prob
46.7%
EV/u
0.094
Stake
0.28u
Won +0.41u
First 5 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
home
Odds
2.39
Prob
46.8%
EV/u
0.068
Stake
0.20u
Lost -0.20u
First 5 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
home
Odds
2.61
Prob
46.0%
EV/u
0.179
Stake
0.53u
Lost -0.53u
First 5 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
2.39
Prob
45.5%
EV/u
0.041
Stake
0.11u
Lost -0.11u
First 5 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
away
Odds
2.97
Prob
46.3%
EV/u
0.195
Stake
0.47u
Lost -0.47u
First 5 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
away
Odds
3.05
Prob
45.8%
EV/u
0.210
Stake
0.49u
Won +1.00u
First 5 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
home
Odds
2.90
Prob
46.9%
EV/u
0.330
Stake
0.73u
Won +1.39u
First 5 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
home
Odds
2.71
Prob
46.0%
EV/u
0.222
Stake
0.48u
Lost -0.48u
First 5 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
3.70
Prob
45.1%
EV/u
0.542
Stake
0.56u
Won +1.51u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
home
Odds
3.10
Prob
46.3%
EV/u
0.402
Stake
0.46u
Won +0.97u
First 5 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
45.6%
EV/u
0.122
Stake
0.10u
Lost -0.10u
First 5 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
home
Odds
2.71
Prob
45.2%
EV/u
0.202
Stake
0.19u
Won +0.32u
First 5 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
3.69
Prob
45.9%
EV/u
0.486
Stake
0.29u
Lost -0.29u
First 5 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
home
Odds
3.30
Prob
46.9%
EV/u
0.508
Stake
0.53u
Won +1.22u
First 5 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
New York Mets New York Mets
away
Odds
4.02
Prob
45.6%
EV/u
0.646
Stake
0.23u
Lost -0.23u
First 5 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
2.53
Prob
45.3%
EV/u
0.128
Stake
0.31u
Lost -0.31u
First 5 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
home
Odds
2.85
Prob
46.1%
EV/u
0.286
Stake
0.63u
Won +1.17u
First 5 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
2.48
Prob
46.5%
EV/u
0.096
Stake
0.21u
Lost -0.21u
First 5 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
2.57
Prob
46.0%
EV/u
0.032
Stake
0.05u
Lost -0.05u
First 5 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
away
Odds
3.31
Prob
46.4%
EV/u
0.338
Stake
0.59u
Won +1.36u
First 5 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
home
Odds
3.92
Prob
46.4%
EV/u
0.818
Stake
0.80u
Lost -0.80u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
home
Odds
2.36
Prob
46.2%
EV/u
0.044
Stake
0.07u
Lost -0.07u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.