Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 2, 2026 2:00 AM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2017 | mlb |
Red Sox
Orioles
|
First5 result | away | 2.75 | 48.1% | 0.131 | 0.38u | Won | +0.67u |
| Aug 26, 2017 | mlb |
Phillies
Cubs
|
First5 result | draw | 4.60 | 40.7% | 0.183 | 0.36u | Lost | -0.36u |
| Aug 26, 2017 | mlb |
Braves
Rockies
|
First5 result | home | 2.70 | 44.4% | 0.200 | 0.69u | Lost | -0.69u |
| Aug 26, 2017 | mlb |
Indians
Royals
|
First5 result | away | 2.70 | 48.6% | 0.130 | 0.37u | Lost | -0.37u |
| Aug 25, 2017 | mlb |
Braves
Rockies
|
First5 result | away | 2.60 | 48.5% | 0.139 | 0.17u | Lost | -0.17u |
| Aug 25, 2017 | mlb |
Athletics
Rangers
|
First5 result | away | 3.20 | 45.4% | 0.335 | 0.54u | Lost | -0.54u |
| Aug 25, 2017 | mlb |
Indians
Royals
|
First5 result | away | 2.55 | 47.8% | 0.075 | 0.08u | Lost | -0.08u |
| Aug 25, 2017 | mlb |
Dodgers
Brewers
|
First5 result | home | 2.55 | 45.1% | 0.150 | 0.19u | Won | +0.29u |
| Aug 25, 2017 | mlb |
Nationals
Mets
|
First5 result | away | 2.70 | 49.7% | 0.251 | 0.40u | Won | +0.68u |
| Aug 25, 2017 | mlb |
Marlins
Padres
|
First5 result | home | 2.95 | 43.0% | 0.269 | 0.41u | Won | +0.80u |
| Aug 24, 2017 | mlb |
Rays
Blue Jays
|
First5 result | home | 2.25 | 49.8% | 0.120 | 0.22u | Won | +0.28u |
| Aug 24, 2017 | mlb |
Astros
Nationals
|
First5 result | home | 2.65 | 50.5% | 0.338 | 0.86u | Lost | -0.86u |
| Aug 24, 2017 | mlb |
Royals
Rockies
|
First5 result | home | 2.55 | 43.8% | 0.117 | 0.18u | Won | +0.28u |
| Aug 24, 2017 | mlb |
Tigers
Yankees
|
First5 result | home | 2.45 | 44.9% | 0.101 | 0.15u | Won | +0.22u |
| Aug 24, 2017 | mlb |
White Sox
Twins
|
First5 result | away | 3.00 | 44.7% | 0.220 | 0.39u | Lost | -0.39u |
| Aug 23, 2017 | mlb |
Indians
Red Sox
|
First5 result | home | 3.30 | 44.0% | 0.451 | 0.89u | Lost | -0.89u |
| Aug 23, 2017 | mlb |
Cardinals
Padres
|
First5 result | home | 2.55 | 47.3% | 0.207 | 0.33u | Won | +0.51u |
| Aug 23, 2017 | mlb |
Phillies
Marlins
|
First5 result | home | 2.65 | 47.9% | 0.271 | 0.47u | Won | +0.78u |
| Aug 23, 2017 | mlb |
Angels
Rangers
|
First5 result | away | 2.60 | 45.6% | 0.099 | 0.11u | Won | +0.18u |
| Aug 22, 2017 | mlb |
Reds
Cubs
|
First5 result | draw | 4.60 | 40.5% | 0.238 | 0.41u | Lost | -0.41u |
| Aug 22, 2017 | mlb |
Braves
Mariners
|
First5 result | home | 2.43 | 45.3% | 0.102 | 0.22u | Won | +0.31u |
| Aug 22, 2017 | mlb |
Royals
Rockies
|
First5 result | home | 2.51 | 45.4% | 0.141 | 0.34u | Won | +0.51u |
| Aug 22, 2017 | mlb |
Tigers
Yankees
|
First5 result | home | 2.32 | 48.2% | 0.118 | 0.29u | Lost | -0.29u |
| Aug 22, 2017 | mlb |
Orioles
Athletics
|
First5 result | away | 2.81 | 45.1% | 0.141 | 0.30u | Won | +0.54u |
| Aug 22, 2017 | mlb |
White Sox
Twins
|
First5 result | away | 2.80 | 46.6% | 0.121 | 0.24u | Won | +0.43u |
| Aug 21, 2017 | mlb |
Pirates
Dodgers
|
First5 result | away | 2.67 | 49.0% | 0.177 | 0.85u | Lost | -0.85u |
| Aug 21, 2017 | mlb |
Indians
Red Sox
|
First5 result | home | 2.14 | 51.2% | 0.095 | 0.67u | Lost | -0.67u |
| Aug 20, 2017 | mlb |
Rays
Mariners
|
First5 result | away | 2.78 | 48.1% | 0.234 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Aug 20, 2017 | mlb |
Pirates
Cardinals
|
First5 result | home | 2.55 | 42.4% | 0.080 | 0.07u | Won | +0.11u |
| Aug 20, 2017 | mlb |
Braves
Reds
|
First5 result | away | 3.20 | 46.6% | 0.342 | 0.49u | Lost | -0.49u |
| Aug 20, 2017 | mlb |
Rangers
White Sox
|
First5 result | draw | 4.60 | 39.4% | 0.316 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Aug 20, 2017 | mlb |
Red Sox
Yankees
|
First5 result | away | 2.64 | 48.9% | 0.140 | 0.15u | Lost | -0.15u |
| Aug 20, 2017 | mlb |
Royals
Indians
|
First5 result | away | 3.15 | 47.9% | 0.338 | 0.49u | Lost | -0.49u |
| Aug 19, 2017 | mlb |
Rays
Mariners
|
First5 result | draw | 4.60 | 39.5% | 0.315 | 0.38u | Lost | -0.38u |
| Aug 19, 2017 | mlb |
Rockies
Brewers
|
First5 result | home | 2.35 | 48.1% | 0.130 | 0.20u | Lost | -0.20u |
| Aug 19, 2017 | mlb |
Padres
Nationals
|
First5 result | away | 2.95 | 44.3% | 0.127 | 0.15u | Lost | -0.15u |
| Aug 19, 2017 | mlb |
Cubs
Blue Jays
|
First5 result | away | 3.15 | 53.2% | 0.239 | 0.36u | Lost | -0.36u |
| Aug 19, 2017 | mlb |
Twins
Diamondbacks
|
First5 result | away | 3.45 | 42.7% | 0.228 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Aug 19, 2017 | mlb |
Royals
Indians
|
First5 result | draw | 4.60 | 38.9% | 0.328 | 0.41u | Lost | -0.41u |
| Aug 18, 2017 | mlb |
Orioles
Angels
|
First5 result | draw | 4.60 | 38.9% | 0.336 | 0.37u | Lost | -0.37u |
| Aug 18, 2017 | mlb |
Red Sox
Yankees
|
First5 result | away | 3.20 | 42.9% | 0.083 | 0.07u | Lost | -0.07u |
| Aug 18, 2017 | mlb |
Twins
Diamondbacks
|
First5 result | home | 2.95 | 45.1% | 0.332 | 0.56u | Lost | -0.56u |
| Aug 18, 2017 | mlb |
Rangers
White Sox
|
First5 result | home | 2.85 | 44.8% | 0.277 | 0.43u | Won | +0.80u |
| Aug 18, 2017 | mlb |
Giants
Phillies
|
First5 result | away | 2.88 | 47.1% | 0.175 | 0.21u | Lost | -0.21u |
| Aug 18, 2017 | mlb |
Astros
Athletics
|
First5 result | away | 2.66 | 48.7% | 0.140 | 0.16u | Lost | -0.16u |
| Aug 17, 2017 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Rays
|
First5 result | home | 2.85 | 46.0% | 0.312 | 0.51u | Won | +0.94u |
| Aug 17, 2017 | mlb |
Cubs
Reds
|
First5 result | away | 2.67 | 47.4% | 0.127 | 0.14u | Lost | -0.14u |
| Aug 17, 2017 | mlb |
Astros
Diamondbacks
|
First5 result | away | 2.65 | 47.2% | 0.122 | 0.13u | Won | +0.21u |
| Aug 17, 2017 | mlb |
Pirates
Cardinals
|
First5 result | home | 2.60 | 48.8% | 0.268 | 0.44u | Won | +0.70u |
| Aug 17, 2017 | mlb |
Giants
Phillies
|
First5 result | home | 2.60 | 49.3% | 0.281 | 0.47u | Won | +0.75u |
| Aug 17, 2017 | mlb |
Rockies
Braves
|
First5 result | away | 3.20 | 40.8% | 0.123 | 0.11u | Won | +0.24u |
| Aug 16, 2017 | mlb |
Athletics
Royals
|
First5 result | away | 2.75 | 51.4% | 0.165 | 0.28u | Won | +0.49u |
| Aug 16, 2017 | mlb |
Astros
Diamondbacks
|
First5 result | away | 3.05 | 44.5% | 0.118 | 0.16u | Lost | -0.16u |
| Aug 16, 2017 | mlb |
Dodgers
White Sox
|
First5 result | away | 3.75 | 45.3% | 0.376 | 0.75u | Lost | -0.75u |
| Aug 16, 2017 | mlb |
Mets
Yankees
|
First5 result | away | 2.66 | 46.3% | 0.078 | 0.09u | Lost | -0.09u |
| Aug 16, 2017 | mlb |
Marlins
Giants
|
First5 result | away | 2.67 | 44.7% | 0.107 | 0.16u | Lost | -0.16u |
| Aug 16, 2017 | mlb |
Brewers
Pirates
|
First5 result | home | 2.43 | 48.5% | 0.179 | 0.36u | Lost | -0.36u |
| Aug 15, 2017 | mlb |
Mariners
Orioles
|
First5 result | away | 2.73 | 46.9% | 0.342 | 0.27u | Lost | -0.27u |
| Aug 15, 2017 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Rays
|
First5 result | away | 2.46 | 44.0% | 0.147 | 0.08u | Won | +0.12u |
| Aug 15, 2017 | mlb |
Rockies
Braves
|
First5 result | away | 2.56 | 45.8% | 0.208 | 0.13u | Lost | -0.13u |
| Aug 15, 2017 | mlb |
Dodgers
White Sox
|
First5 result | away | 4.30 | 48.2% | 1.111 | 1.20u | Won | +3.96u |
| Aug 15, 2017 | mlb |
Cubs
Reds
|
First5 result | away | 2.37 | 46.7% | 0.123 | 0.07u | Lost | -0.07u |
| Aug 14, 2017 | mlb |
Marlins
Giants
|
First5 result | away | 2.51 | 40.9% | 0.087 | 0.18u | Lost | -0.18u |
| Aug 14, 2017 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Rays
|
First5 result | draw | 4.60 | 34.1% | 0.321 | 0.68u | Lost | -0.68u |
| Aug 14, 2017 | mlb |
Rangers
Tigers
|
First5 result | away | 2.44 | 41.9% | 0.102 | 0.23u | Lost | -0.23u |
| Aug 14, 2017 | mlb |
Athletics
Royals
|
First5 result | away | 2.65 | 44.2% | 0.236 | 0.71u | Won | +1.17u |
| Aug 13, 2017 | mlb |
Nationals
Giants
|
First5 result | away | 2.78 | 38.4% | 0.138 | 0.08u | Lost | -0.08u |
| Aug 13, 2017 | mlb |
Marlins
Rockies
|
First5 result | away | 2.46 | 43.4% | 0.129 | 0.08u | Lost | -0.08u |
| Aug 13, 2017 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Pirates
|
First5 result | away | 3.45 | 43.1% | 0.554 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 13, 2017 | mlb |
Yankees
Red Sox
|
First5 result | away | 3.60 | 47.2% | 0.753 | 1.00u | Lost | -1.00u |
| Aug 12, 2017 | mlb |
Tigers
Twins
|
First5 result | home | 2.40 | 45.7% | 0.096 | 0.09u | Lost | -0.09u |
| Aug 12, 2017 | mlb |
Brewers
Reds
|
First5 result | away | 2.34 | 42.8% | 0.059 | 0.05u | Won | +0.07u |
| Aug 12, 2017 | mlb |
Rangers
Astros
|
First5 result | away | 3.10 | 42.6% | 0.400 | 0.63u | Lost | -0.63u |
| Aug 12, 2017 | mlb |
Rays
Indians
|
First5 result | away | 2.45 | 42.8% | 0.057 | 0.05u | Won | +0.07u |
| Aug 12, 2017 | mlb |
Nationals
Giants
|
First5 result | away | 2.38 | 44.7% | 0.103 | 0.10u | Lost | -0.10u |
| Aug 12, 2017 | mlb |
Mariners
Angels
|
First5 result | away | 3.20 | 44.3% | 0.495 | 0.87u | Lost | -0.87u |
| Aug 11, 2017 | mlb |
Rays
Indians
|
First5 result | away | 3.50 | 39.6% | 0.534 | 1.09u | Won | +2.73u |
| Aug 11, 2017 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Cubs
|
First5 result | away | 2.48 | 42.1% | 0.143 | 0.19u | Won | +0.28u |
| Aug 11, 2017 | mlb |
Cardinals
Braves
|
First5 result | away | 2.20 | 46.5% | 0.079 | 0.09u | Lost | -0.09u |
| Aug 11, 2017 | mlb |
Brewers
Reds
|
First5 result | away | 2.75 | 46.0% | 0.267 | 0.43u | Won | +0.75u |
| Aug 10, 2017 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Yankees
|
First5 result | home | 2.54 | 45.5% | 0.156 | 0.41u | Won | +0.63u |
| Aug 10, 2017 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Dodgers
|
First5 result | away | 2.28 | 44.9% | 0.059 | 0.12u | Won | +0.15u |
| Aug 10, 2017 | mlb |
Mariners
Angels
|
First5 result | away | 2.40 | 42.8% | 0.108 | 0.26u | Won | +0.36u |
| Aug 10, 2017 | mlb |
Brewers
Twins
|
First5 result | away | 2.43 | 42.0% | 0.070 | 0.15u | Won | +0.21u |
| Aug 10, 2017 | mlb |
Athletics
Orioles
|
First5 result | away | 2.75 | 43.3% | 0.267 | 0.86u | Won | +1.51u |
| Aug 9, 2017 | mlb |
Indians
Rockies
|
First5 result | away | 2.30 | 45.2% | 0.119 | 0.17u | Lost | -0.17u |
| Aug 9, 2017 | mlb |
Giants
Cubs
|
First5 result | away | 2.70 | 40.0% | 0.127 | 0.16u | Lost | -0.16u |
| Aug 9, 2017 | mlb |
Braves
Phillies
|
First5 result | away | 2.38 | 44.0% | 0.089 | 0.11u | Won | +0.15u |
| Aug 9, 2017 | mlb |
Tigers
Pirates
|
First5 result | away | 2.55 | 43.8% | 0.190 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Aug 9, 2017 | mlb |
White Sox
Astros
|
First5 result | home | 2.75 | 45.5% | 0.252 | 0.43u | Won | +0.75u |
| Aug 9, 2017 | mlb |
Angels
Orioles
|
First5 result | home | 2.95 | 45.0% | 0.328 | 0.62u | Won | +1.21u |
| Aug 8, 2017 | mlb |
Reds
Padres
|
First5 result | home | 2.90 | 42.7% | 0.239 | 0.24u | Lost | -0.24u |
| Aug 8, 2017 | mlb |
Twins
Brewers
|
First5 result | away | 2.60 | 45.6% | 0.268 | 0.31u | Lost | -0.31u |
| Aug 8, 2017 | mlb |
Indians
Rockies
|
First5 result | home | 2.85 | 42.7% | 0.216 | 0.20u | Lost | -0.20u |
| Aug 8, 2017 | mlb |
Royals
Cardinals
|
First5 result | away | 3.40 | 35.9% | 0.332 | 0.34u | Won | +0.82u |
| Aug 8, 2017 | mlb |
Angels
Orioles
|
First5 result | home | 3.30 | 42.6% | 0.407 | 0.49u | Lost | -0.49u |
| Aug 8, 2017 | mlb |
White Sox
Astros
|
First5 result | away | 2.57 | 46.2% | 0.213 | 0.22u | Lost | -0.22u |
| Aug 7, 2017 | mlb |
Nationals
Marlins
|
First5 result | away | 2.25 | 45.0% | 0.084 | 0.12u | Lost | -0.12u |
| Aug 7, 2017 | mlb |
Giants
Cubs
|
First5 result | away | 2.55 | 41.3% | 0.115 | 0.16u | Won | +0.25u |
| Aug 7, 2017 | mlb |
Pirates
Tigers
|
First5 result | home | 2.70 | 44.3% | 0.195 | 0.32u | Won | +0.54u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.