Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Jul 15, 2026 10:17 PM EDT
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
home
Odds
2.17
Prob
50.2%
EV/u
0.041
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.35u
First 5 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
2.82
Prob
39.8%
EV/u
0.144
Stake
0.41u
Lost
-0.41u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
2.54
Prob
39.2%
EV/u
0.031
Stake
0.07u
Lost
-0.07u
First 5 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
San Diego Padres
away
Odds
2.74
Prob
40.1%
EV/u
0.104
Stake
0.27u
Lost
-0.27u
First 5 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
3.01
Prob
38.4%
EV/u
0.138
Stake
0.36u
Lost
-0.36u
First 5 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
3.23
Prob
40.4%
EV/u
0.287
Stake
0.69u
Won
+1.54u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Baltimore Orioles
home
Odds
2.86
Prob
40.3%
EV/u
0.134
Stake
0.41u
Lost
-0.41u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
2.65
Prob
39.9%
EV/u
0.073
Stake
0.27u
Lost
-0.27u
First 5 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
San Diego Padres
away
Odds
2.63
Prob
40.7%
EV/u
0.042
Stake
0.17u
Lost
-0.17u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
39.9%
EV/u
0.125
Stake
0.40u
Lost
-0.40u
First 5 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
2.83
Prob
41.7%
EV/u
0.107
Stake
0.34u
Lost
-0.34u
First 5 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
3.74
Prob
39.8%
EV/u
0.479
Stake
0.51u
Lost
-0.51u
First 5 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
3.06
Prob
40.1%
EV/u
0.235
Stake
0.51u
Lost
-0.51u
First 5 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
2.62
Prob
39.1%
EV/u
0.078
Stake
0.17u
Won
+0.28u
First 5 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Oakland Athletics
home
Odds
2.52
Prob
41.6%
EV/u
0.034
Stake
0.07u
Lost
-0.07u
First 5 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Miami Marlins
away
Odds
2.64
Prob
40.9%
EV/u
0.054
Stake
0.11u
Won
+0.18u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Chicago Cubs
away
Odds
2.94
Prob
40.4%
EV/u
0.184
Stake
0.43u
Won
+0.83u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
New York Yankees
away
Odds
2.62
Prob
39.3%
EV/u
0.054
Stake
0.09u
Won
+0.15u
First 5 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
2.66
Prob
39.8%
EV/u
0.070
Stake
0.13u
Lost
-0.13u
First 5 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Miami Marlins
home
Odds
3.35
Prob
39.6%
EV/u
0.300
Stake
0.52u
Won
+1.22u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
San Diego Padres
away
Odds
2.88
Prob
40.3%
EV/u
0.148
Stake
0.32u
Won
+0.60u
First 5 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
3.26
Prob
40.9%
EV/u
0.274
Stake
0.50u
Won
+1.13u
First 5 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
2.78
Prob
40.3%
EV/u
0.119
Stake
0.24u
Won
+0.43u
First 5 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
2.54
Prob
40.2%
EV/u
0.033
Stake
0.15u
Won
+0.23u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
2.61
Prob
39.4%
EV/u
0.056
Stake
0.22u
Won
+0.35u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
New York Yankees
home
Odds
2.55
Prob
41.0%
EV/u
0.032
Stake
0.15u
Won
+0.23u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
San Diego Padres
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
40.7%
EV/u
0.045
Stake
0.18u
Lost
-0.18u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Colorado Rockies
home
Odds
2.63
Prob
39.9%
EV/u
0.036
Stake
0.15u
Lost
-0.15u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
2.64
Prob
40.4%
EV/u
0.059
Stake
0.22u
Won
+0.36u
First 5 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Oakland Athletics
away
Odds
3.25
Prob
40.2%
EV/u
0.286
Stake
0.70u
Lost
-0.70u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Tampa Bay Rays
home
Odds
2.75
Prob
40.3%
EV/u
0.091
Stake
0.31u
Lost
-0.31u
First 5 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
40.9%
EV/u
0.043
Stake
0.18u
Won
+0.29u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Cincinnati Reds
home
Odds
2.99
Prob
39.6%
EV/u
0.164
Stake
0.46u
Lost
-0.46u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Houston Astros
away
Odds
2.69
Prob
40.4%
EV/u
0.069
Stake
0.25u
Lost
-0.25u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Colorado Rockies
home
Odds
2.62
Prob
40.1%
EV/u
0.036
Stake
0.15u
Won
+0.24u
First 5 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Milwaukee Brewers
home
Odds
3.31
Prob
40.3%
EV/u
0.306
Stake
0.72u
Lost
-0.72u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
3.31
Prob
39.9%
EV/u
0.329
Stake
0.44u
Lost
-0.44u
First 5 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
3.33
Prob
40.9%
EV/u
0.309
Stake
0.40u
Lost
-0.40u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Oakland Athletics
away
Odds
3.60
Prob
40.6%
EV/u
0.457
Stake
0.37u
Lost
-0.37u
First 5 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
2.93
Prob
40.1%
EV/u
0.154
Stake
0.16u
Lost
-0.16u
First 5 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
New York Mets
away
Odds
3.63
Prob
40.3%
EV/u
0.485
Stake
0.39u
Lost
-0.39u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cleveland Indians
Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
2.62
Prob
40.5%
EV/u
0.052
Stake
0.07u
Lost
-0.07u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Oakland Athletics
away
Odds
2.67
Prob
39.6%
EV/u
0.085
Stake
0.14u
Lost
-0.14u
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Texas Rangers
home
Odds
3.47
Prob
39.8%
EV/u
0.351
Stake
0.52u
Won
+1.28u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
39.3%
EV/u
0.110
Stake
0.19u
Lost
-0.19u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
3.02
Prob
40.2%
EV/u
0.203
Stake
0.38u
Lost
-0.38u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
3.28
Prob
40.6%
EV/u
0.308
Stake
0.50u
Won
+1.14u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
3.14
Prob
39.9%
EV/u
0.231
Stake
0.43u
Lost
-0.43u
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Texas Rangers
away
Odds
3.11
Prob
40.7%
EV/u
0.236
Stake
0.44u
Lost
-0.44u
First 5 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
New York Mets
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
39.8%
EV/u
0.092
Stake
0.16u
Lost
-0.16u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
3.32
Prob
41.1%
EV/u
0.294
Stake
0.49u
Won
+1.14u
First 5 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Milwaukee Brewers
home
Odds
2.64
Prob
40.7%
EV/u
0.060
Stake
0.09u
Won
+0.15u
First 5 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Washington Nationals
home
Odds
2.77
Prob
40.6%
EV/u
0.107
Stake
0.19u
Lost
-0.19u
First 5 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Washington Nationals
away
Odds
2.64
Prob
40.7%
EV/u
0.058
Stake
0.22u
Lost
-0.22u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Cleveland Indians
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
40.7%
EV/u
0.032
Stake
0.14u
Won
+0.22u
First 5 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Houston Astros
home
Odds
2.64
Prob
40.0%
EV/u
0.043
Stake
0.17u
Lost
-0.17u
First 5 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
San Francisco Giants
away
Odds
3.16
Prob
40.1%
EV/u
0.273
Stake
0.69u
Lost
-0.69u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
2.50
Prob
42.9%
EV/u
0.071
Stake
0.17u
Won
+0.26u
First 5 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Houston Astros
away
Odds
2.57
Prob
35.3%
EV/u
0.214
Stake
0.62u
Won
+0.97u
First 5 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
2.69
Prob
44.3%
EV/u
0.144
Stake
0.40u
Won
+0.68u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Miami Marlins
home
Odds
2.37
Prob
46.1%
EV/u
0.045
Stake
0.10u
Lost
-0.10u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
2.58
Prob
37.4%
EV/u
0.173
Stake
0.51u
Won
+0.81u
First 5 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Houston Astros
away
Odds
2.99
Prob
36.4%
EV/u
0.428
Stake
1.16u
Won
+2.31u
First 5 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
2.00
Prob
28.1%
EV/u
0.058
Stake
0.43u
Won
+0.43u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
2.86
Prob
40.8%
EV/u
0.212
Stake
0.48u
Lost
-0.48u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
2.54
Prob
39.4%
EV/u
0.136
Stake
0.38u
Lost
-0.38u
First 5 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Los Angeles Angels
home
Odds
2.58
Prob
41.7%
EV/u
0.062
Stake
0.13u
Lost
-0.13u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Colorado Rockies
home
Odds
3.11
Prob
37.2%
EV/u
0.137
Stake
0.28u
Lost
-0.28u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
2.84
Prob
33.0%
EV/u
0.139
Stake
0.33u
Lost
-0.33u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
2.15
Prob
30.8%
EV/u
0.073
Stake
0.20u
Won
+0.23u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Minnesota Twins
home
Odds
3.04
Prob
44.3%
EV/u
0.319
Stake
0.74u
Lost
-0.74u
First 5 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Los Angeles Angels
away
Odds
2.13
Prob
33.1%
EV/u
0.075
Stake
0.29u
Won
+0.33u
First 5 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
away
Odds
2.40
Prob
36.1%
EV/u
0.136
Stake
0.49u
Lost
-0.49u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
2.17
Prob
35.6%
EV/u
0.076
Stake
0.28u
Lost
-0.28u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
2.57
Prob
40.1%
EV/u
0.109
Stake
0.40u
Lost
-0.40u
First 5 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
San Francisco Giants
away
Odds
2.79
Prob
39.4%
EV/u
0.260
Stake
0.80u
Won
+1.43u
First 5 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
2.39
Prob
37.1%
EV/u
0.062
Stake
0.32u
Lost
-0.32u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
2.32
Prob
29.1%
EV/u
0.162
Stake
0.70u
Lost
-0.70u
First 5 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Oakland Athletics
away
Odds
2.65
Prob
43.1%
EV/u
0.119
Stake
0.11u
Lost
-0.11u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
2.61
Prob
33.0%
EV/u
0.201
Stake
0.23u
Won
+0.37u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
3.27
Prob
31.5%
EV/u
0.650
Stake
0.64u
Won
+1.45u
First 5 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
3.58
Prob
37.4%
EV/u
0.692
Stake
0.34u
Lost
-0.34u
First 5 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
2.89
Prob
40.2%
EV/u
0.251
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
40.3%
EV/u
0.176
Stake
0.18u
Won
+0.32u
First 5 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
3.69
Prob
43.9%
EV/u
0.505
Stake
0.32u
Lost
-0.32u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
2.47
Prob
37.2%
EV/u
0.089
Stake
0.09u
Won
+0.13u
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
New York Yankees
away
Odds
3.06
Prob
43.1%
EV/u
0.281
Stake
0.36u
Lost
-0.36u
First 5 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
44.8%
EV/u
0.149
Stake
0.18u
Lost
-0.18u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
3.19
Prob
30.6%
EV/u
0.640
Stake
0.72u
Won
+1.58u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
San Diego Padres
away
Odds
2.68
Prob
34.4%
EV/u
0.114
Stake
0.13u
Won
+0.22u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cleveland Indians
Texas Rangers
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
46.8%
EV/u
0.147
Stake
0.31u
Lost
-0.31u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
2.52
Prob
36.7%
EV/u
0.158
Stake
0.42u
Lost
-0.42u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
2.51
Prob
43.2%
EV/u
0.110
Stake
0.25u
Lost
-0.25u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
San Diego Padres
away
Odds
2.63
Prob
41.3%
EV/u
0.164
Stake
0.42u
Lost
-0.42u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
2.69
Prob
41.6%
EV/u
0.160
Stake
0.40u
Lost
-0.40u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cleveland Indians
Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
2.84
Prob
33.5%
EV/u
0.255
Stake
0.48u
Won
+0.88u
First 5 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
2.33
Prob
39.6%
EV/u
0.034
Stake
0.05u
Won
+0.07u
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Oakland Athletics
away
Odds
2.41
Prob
37.8%
EV/u
0.113
Stake
0.23u
Lost
-0.23u
First 5 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
2.84
Prob
39.8%
EV/u
0.146
Stake
0.28u
Lost
-0.28u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
3.09
Prob
49.3%
EV/u
0.149
Stake
0.25u
Lost
-0.25u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.