Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Jul 15, 2026 9:17 PM EDT
Home cover
mlb
Cleveland Indians
New York Yankees
home
Odds
2.52
Prob
61.6%
EV/u
0.643
Stake
1.15u
Won
+1.75u
Home cover
mlb
Houston Astros
Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
2.69
Prob
43.5%
EV/u
0.371
Stake
0.85u
Won
+1.44u
Home cover
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Colorado Rockies
home
Odds
2.44
Prob
58.9%
EV/u
0.506
Stake
1.50u
Won
+2.16u
Home cover
mlb
Miami Marlins
Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
2.23
Prob
66.8%
EV/u
0.516
Stake
0.33u
Lost
-0.33u
Home cover
mlb
San Francisco Giants
San Diego Padres
home
Odds
2.48
Prob
63.2%
EV/u
0.684
Stake
0.33u
Won
+0.49u
Home cover
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Milwaukee Brewers
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
58.2%
EV/u
0.601
Stake
0.33u
Lost
-0.33u
Home cover
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Cincinnati Reds
home
Odds
2.14
Prob
64.5%
EV/u
0.459
Stake
0.33u
Lost
-0.33u
Home cover
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
New York Mets
home
Odds
2.48
Prob
68.1%
EV/u
0.779
Stake
0.33u
Won
+0.49u
Home cover
mlb
Texas Rangers
Oakland Athletics
home
Odds
2.37
Prob
60.5%
EV/u
0.592
Stake
0.33u
Lost
-0.33u
Home draw
seriea
Chievo Verona
Fiorentina
away
Odds
2.50
Prob
49.5%
EV/u
0.250
Stake
0.83u
Lost
-0.83u
Home draw
seriea
Udinese
Sampdoria
away
Odds
2.85
Prob
49.9%
EV/u
0.406
Stake
0.46u
Lost
-0.46u
Home draw
seriea
Genoa
Bologna
away
Odds
3.40
Prob
49.9%
EV/u
0.668
Stake
1.04u
Won
+2.50u
Home cover
mlb
Miami Marlins
Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
2.68
Prob
59.1%
EV/u
0.662
Stake
0.35u
Won
+0.59u
Home cover
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
New York Mets
home
Odds
2.66
Prob
59.6%
EV/u
0.365
Stake
0.26u
Lost
-0.26u
Home cover
mlb
Texas Rangers
Oakland Athletics
home
Odds
2.48
Prob
59.0%
EV/u
0.603
Stake
0.35u
Won
+0.52u
Home cover
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Milwaukee Brewers
home
Odds
2.53
Prob
64.3%
EV/u
0.776
Stake
0.35u
Won
+0.54u
Home cover
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Seattle Mariners
home
Odds
2.62
Prob
65.0%
EV/u
0.652
Stake
0.35u
Lost
-0.35u
Home cover
mlb
New York Yankees
Toronto Blue Jays
home
Odds
2.31
Prob
59.5%
EV/u
0.415
Stake
0.35u
Won
+0.46u
Home cover
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Seattle Mariners
home
Odds
2.49
Prob
63.3%
EV/u
0.586
Stake
0.33u
Won
+0.49u
Home cover
mlb
Texas Rangers
Oakland Athletics
home
Odds
2.46
Prob
62.3%
EV/u
0.537
Stake
0.33u
Won
+0.48u
Home cover
mlb
San Francisco Giants
San Diego Padres
home
Odds
2.59
Prob
60.9%
EV/u
0.742
Stake
0.33u
Won
+0.52u
Home cover
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
New York Mets
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
57.8%
EV/u
0.457
Stake
0.33u
Won
+0.50u
Home cover
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Baltimore Orioles
home
Odds
2.56
Prob
65.0%
EV/u
0.518
Stake
0.33u
Won
+0.51u
Home cover
mlb
Miami Marlins
Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
2.59
Prob
62.6%
EV/u
0.596
Stake
0.33u
Won
+0.52u
Home cover
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Cincinnati Reds
home
Odds
2.21
Prob
71.4%
EV/u
0.558
Stake
0.51u
Won
+0.62u
Home cover
mlb
Washington Nationals
Pittsburgh Pirates
home
Odds
2.68
Prob
53.7%
EV/u
0.475
Stake
0.48u
Won
+0.81u
Home cover
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
home
Odds
2.48
Prob
56.1%
EV/u
0.420
Stake
0.49u
Won
+0.73u
Home cover
mlb
Miami Marlins
Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
2.56
Prob
55.9%
EV/u
0.576
Stake
0.51u
Won
+0.80u
Home cover
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Baltimore Orioles
home
Odds
2.47
Prob
64.7%
EV/u
0.639
Stake
0.35u
Won
+0.51u
Home cover
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Toronto Blue Jays
home
Odds
2.48
Prob
57.5%
EV/u
0.343
Stake
0.27u
Won
+0.40u
Home cover
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Cincinnati Reds
home
Odds
2.41
Prob
62.5%
EV/u
0.593
Stake
0.35u
Lost
-0.35u
Home cover
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
home
Odds
2.75
Prob
54.2%
EV/u
0.670
Stake
0.35u
Lost
-0.35u
Home cover
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Francisco Giants
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
59.5%
EV/u
0.636
Stake
0.35u
Won
+0.53u
Home cover
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Seattle Mariners
home
Odds
2.75
Prob
58.0%
EV/u
0.623
Stake
0.35u
Won
+0.61u
Home cover
mlb
Texas Rangers
Houston Astros
away
Odds
2.08
Prob
53.2%
EV/u
0.141
Stake
0.26u
Won
+0.28u
Home cover
mlb
Cleveland Indians
Minnesota Twins
home
Odds
2.05
Prob
51.3%
EV/u
0.147
Stake
0.28u
Lost
-0.28u
Home cover
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Cincinnati Reds
home
Odds
2.19
Prob
54.2%
EV/u
0.199
Stake
0.33u
Won
+0.39u
Home cover
mlb
New York Yankees
Tampa Bay Rays
home
Odds
2.17
Prob
49.3%
EV/u
0.135
Stake
0.23u
Won
+0.27u
Home cover
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
2.29
Prob
48.8%
EV/u
0.415
Stake
0.59u
Won
+0.76u
Home cover
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
2.44
Prob
58.5%
EV/u
0.233
Stake
0.32u
Lost
-0.32u
Home cover
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
2.43
Prob
54.1%
EV/u
0.221
Stake
0.24u
Won
+0.34u
Home cover
mlb
Texas Rangers
Houston Astros
away
Odds
2.14
Prob
54.0%
EV/u
0.200
Stake
0.27u
Won
+0.31u
Home cover
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Washington Nationals
home
Odds
2.01
Prob
57.3%
EV/u
0.237
Stake
0.36u
Lost
-0.36u
Home cover
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
home
Odds
2.49
Prob
53.9%
EV/u
0.383
Stake
0.40u
Lost
-0.40u
Home cover
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Francisco Giants
home
Odds
2.71
Prob
53.7%
EV/u
0.428
Stake
0.39u
Lost
-0.39u
Home cover
mlb
New York Mets
Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
2.61
Prob
52.0%
EV/u
0.347
Stake
0.34u
Won
+0.55u
Home cover
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Chicago Cubs
away
Odds
2.25
Prob
49.6%
EV/u
0.309
Stake
0.35u
Won
+0.44u
Home cover
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
New York Yankees
home
Odds
2.65
Prob
57.8%
EV/u
0.595
Stake
0.43u
Won
+0.71u
Home cover
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Philadelphia Phillies
home
Odds
2.61
Prob
51.5%
EV/u
0.324
Stake
0.29u
Lost
-0.29u
Home cover
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Boston Red Sox
away
Odds
2.39
Prob
49.0%
EV/u
0.330
Stake
0.34u
Won
+0.47u
Home cover
mlb
New York Mets
Washington Nationals
away
Odds
2.33
Prob
52.5%
EV/u
0.400
Stake
0.43u
Won
+0.57u
Home cover
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
2.07
Prob
53.2%
EV/u
0.122
Stake
0.16u
Lost
-0.16u
Home draw
seriea
Cagliari
Chievo Verona
away
Odds
3.30
Prob
38.1%
EV/u
0.991
Stake
1.50u
Won
+3.45u
Home cover
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Miami Marlins
home
Odds
2.23
Prob
53.8%
EV/u
0.324
Stake
0.35u
Lost
-0.35u
Home cover
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Francisco Giants
home
Odds
2.63
Prob
51.2%
EV/u
0.367
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.49u
Home cover
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Texas Rangers
home
Odds
2.91
Prob
53.8%
EV/u
0.619
Stake
0.40u
Won
+0.76u
Home cover
mlb
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels
home
Odds
2.59
Prob
49.4%
EV/u
0.347
Stake
0.29u
Won
+0.46u
Home cover
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
2.66
Prob
54.8%
EV/u
0.350
Stake
0.28u
Lost
-0.28u
Home cover
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Tampa Bay Rays
home
Odds
2.81
Prob
55.0%
EV/u
0.624
Stake
0.40u
Lost
-0.40u
Home cover
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
2.02
Prob
45.9%
EV/u
0.355
Stake
0.37u
Won
+0.38u
Home cover
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
2.18
Prob
55.0%
EV/u
0.350
Stake
0.37u
Won
+0.44u
Home cover
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Texas Rangers
home
Odds
2.46
Prob
54.5%
EV/u
0.329
Stake
0.28u
Won
+0.41u
Home cover
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Cleveland Indians
away
Odds
2.17
Prob
51.1%
EV/u
0.309
Stake
0.33u
Lost
-0.33u
Home cover
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Philadelphia Phillies
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
54.3%
EV/u
0.371
Stake
0.31u
Won
+0.47u
Home cover
mlb
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
57.4%
EV/u
0.420
Stake
0.35u
Won
+0.53u
Home cover
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Tampa Bay Rays
home
Odds
2.94
Prob
48.7%
EV/u
0.544
Stake
0.40u
Won
+0.78u
Home cover
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
2.24
Prob
52.1%
EV/u
0.236
Stake
0.27u
Won
+0.33u
Home cover
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Chicago Cubs
away
Odds
2.23
Prob
54.8%
EV/u
0.243
Stake
0.29u
Won
+0.36u
Home cover
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Texas Rangers
home
Odds
2.24
Prob
54.2%
EV/u
0.328
Stake
0.38u
Lost
-0.38u
Home cover
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Kansas City Royals
home
Odds
2.36
Prob
48.8%
EV/u
0.280
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.41u
Home cover
mlb
San Diego Padres
Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
2.38
Prob
55.0%
EV/u
0.344
Stake
0.36u
Lost
-0.36u
Home cover
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Texas Rangers
home
Odds
2.39
Prob
51.7%
EV/u
0.252
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Home cover
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
2.44
Prob
46.6%
EV/u
0.223
Stake
0.25u
Lost
-0.25u
Home cover
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Kansas City Royals
home
Odds
2.61
Prob
50.4%
EV/u
0.328
Stake
0.34u
Lost
-0.34u
Home cover
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
2.32
Prob
50.4%
EV/u
0.344
Stake
0.43u
Lost
-0.43u
Home cover
mlb
Miami Marlins
New York Mets
home
Odds
2.15
Prob
58.2%
EV/u
0.168
Stake
0.24u
Won
+0.28u
Home cover
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Chicago Cubs
away
Odds
2.42
Prob
54.9%
EV/u
0.383
Stake
0.44u
Lost
-0.44u
Home draw
seriea
Udinese
Torino
away
Odds
2.20
Prob
27.3%
EV/u
0.510
Stake
1.50u
Won
+1.80u
Home cover
mlb
Miami Marlins
New York Mets
home
Odds
2.53
Prob
58.5%
EV/u
0.355
Stake
0.32u
Won
+0.49u
Home cover
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
2.77
Prob
58.3%
EV/u
0.462
Stake
0.36u
Won
+0.64u
Home cover
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Cleveland Indians
home
Odds
2.35
Prob
54.9%
EV/u
0.279
Stake
0.29u
Lost
-0.29u
Home cover
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
2.42
Prob
50.8%
EV/u
0.382
Stake
0.37u
Won
+0.53u
Home cover
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
55.4%
EV/u
0.314
Stake
0.28u
Won
+0.43u
Home cover
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Chicago Cubs
home
Odds
2.46
Prob
50.2%
EV/u
0.401
Stake
0.38u
Won
+0.55u
Home cover
mlb
San Diego Padres
Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
2.19
Prob
49.3%
EV/u
0.305
Stake
0.42u
Lost
-0.42u
Home cover
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Oakland Athletics
away
Odds
2.40
Prob
54.1%
EV/u
0.282
Stake
0.33u
Won
+0.46u
Home cover
mlb
New York Yankees
Minnesota Twins
home
Odds
2.27
Prob
55.5%
EV/u
0.203
Stake
0.26u
Won
+0.33u
Home cover
mlb
Miami Marlins
New York Mets
home
Odds
2.30
Prob
56.7%
EV/u
0.457
Stake
0.49u
Won
+0.64u
Home cover
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
50.1%
EV/u
0.503
Stake
0.49u
Lost
-0.49u
Home cover
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Chicago White Sox
home
Odds
2.47
Prob
51.2%
EV/u
0.255
Stake
0.27u
Won
+0.40u
Home cover
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Toronto Blue Jays
home
Odds
2.43
Prob
58.6%
EV/u
0.523
Stake
0.47u
Won
+0.67u
Home cover
mlb
Atlanta Braves
New York Mets
home
Odds
2.18
Prob
51.0%
EV/u
0.216
Stake
0.28u
Lost
-0.28u
Home cover
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
2.45
Prob
54.9%
EV/u
0.326
Stake
0.35u
Lost
-0.35u
Home cover
mlb
Washington Nationals
Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
2.21
Prob
54.8%
EV/u
0.266
Stake
0.34u
Won
+0.41u
Home cover
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Oakland Athletics
away
Odds
2.33
Prob
54.6%
EV/u
0.251
Stake
0.29u
Won
+0.39u
Home cover
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Oakland Athletics
home
Odds
2.87
Prob
54.3%
EV/u
0.539
Stake
0.36u
Won
+0.67u
Home cover
mlb
Washington Nationals
Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
2.21
Prob
42.2%
EV/u
0.286
Stake
0.29u
Won
+0.35u
Home cover
mlb
Atlanta Braves
New York Mets
away
Odds
2.40
Prob
54.7%
EV/u
0.308
Stake
0.27u
Won
+0.38u
Home cover
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Chicago White Sox
home
Odds
2.80
Prob
49.3%
EV/u
0.549
Stake
0.37u
Lost
-0.37u
Home cover
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Toronto Blue Jays
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
52.7%
EV/u
0.463
Stake
0.36u
Lost
-0.36u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.