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Case Archive

Historical Audit

Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.

Last synced: May 15, 2026 2:07 PM EDT

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First 5 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
40.4%
EV/u
0.100
Stake
0.20u
Lost -0.20u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
New York Mets New York Mets
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
44.0%
EV/u
0.122
Stake
0.33u
Won +0.59u
First 5 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
62.6%
EV/u
0.131
Stake
0.53u
Won +0.48u
First 5 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
3.60
Prob
54.1%
EV/u
0.038
Stake
0.05u
Lost -0.05u
First 5 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
home
Odds
2.15
Prob
59.5%
EV/u
0.204
Stake
0.88u
Won +1.01u
First 5 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
44.8%
EV/u
0.048
Stake
0.11u
Lost -0.11u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
3.80
Prob
48.8%
EV/u
0.444
Stake
0.52u
Won +1.46u
First 5 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
50.0%
EV/u
0.226
Stake
0.75u
Won +1.13u
First 5 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
3.20
Prob
55.3%
EV/u
0.118
Stake
0.27u
Lost -0.27u
First 5 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
55.8%
EV/u
0.079
Stake
0.15u
Lost -0.15u
First 5 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
1.95
Prob
57.0%
EV/u
0.062
Stake
0.36u
Won +0.34u
First 5 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
New York Yankees New York Yankees
home
Odds
2.40
Prob
45.9%
EV/u
0.053
Stake
0.29u
Lost -0.29u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
home
Odds
2.70
Prob
41.8%
EV/u
0.111
Stake
0.38u
Won +0.65u
First 5 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
2.65
Prob
45.8%
EV/u
0.177
Stake
0.45u
Lost -0.45u
First 5 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
home
Odds
2.75
Prob
41.3%
EV/u
0.117
Stake
0.25u
Lost -0.25u
First 5 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
2.35
Prob
41.9%
EV/u
0.138
Stake
0.36u
Lost -0.36u
First 5 innings mlb
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
home
Odds
2.35
Prob
56.0%
EV/u
0.234
Stake
0.74u
Won +1.00u
First 5 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
2.35
Prob
35.7%
EV/u
0.030
Stake
0.05u
Lost -0.05u
First 5 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
2.15
Prob
61.6%
EV/u
0.241
Stake
0.93u
Lost -0.93u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
home
Odds
2.80
Prob
46.4%
EV/u
0.273
Stake
0.68u
Lost -0.68u
First 5 innings mlb
Cleveland Indians Cleveland Indians
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
51.8%
EV/u
0.070
Stake
0.14u
Won +0.24u
First 5 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
away
Odds
2.65
Prob
36.9%
EV/u
0.265
Stake
0.48u
Won +0.79u
First 5 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
home
Odds
3.10
Prob
46.1%
EV/u
0.397
Stake
0.57u
Lost -0.57u
First 5 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
4.20
Prob
40.3%
EV/u
0.914
Stake
0.34u
Lost -0.34u
First 5 innings mlb
Cleveland Indians Cleveland Indians
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
home
Odds
2.70
Prob
44.7%
EV/u
0.187
Stake
0.26u
Lost -0.26u
First 5 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
home
Odds
2.30
Prob
48.1%
EV/u
0.059
Stake
0.07u
Lost -0.07u
First 5 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees New York Yankees
away
Odds
4.10
Prob
53.3%
EV/u
0.178
Stake
0.08u
Won +0.25u
First 5 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
2.45
Prob
42.9%
EV/u
0.026
Stake
0.19u
Lost -0.19u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
home
Odds
3.30
Prob
42.4%
EV/u
0.369
Stake
0.87u
Won +2.00u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
4.00
Prob
42.6%
EV/u
0.736
Stake
0.59u
Lost -0.59u
First 5 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
43.8%
EV/u
0.122
Stake
0.29u
Lost -0.29u
First 5 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
2.95
Prob
44.3%
EV/u
0.280
Stake
0.71u
Lost -0.71u
First 5 innings mlb
Houston Astros Houston Astros
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
43.0%
EV/u
0.304
Stake
0.71u
Lost -0.71u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
2.50
Prob
43.7%
EV/u
0.052
Stake
0.09u
Won +0.14u
First 5 innings mlb
Cleveland Indians Cleveland Indians
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
home
Odds
2.80
Prob
43.5%
EV/u
0.196
Stake
0.34u
Won +0.61u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
43.3%
EV/u
0.299
Stake
0.46u
Won +0.97u
First 5 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
home
Odds
2.55
Prob
43.3%
EV/u
0.088
Stake
0.12u
Lost -0.12u
First 5 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
home
Odds
2.80
Prob
44.5%
EV/u
0.222
Stake
0.40u
Lost -0.40u
First 5 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
New York Mets New York Mets
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
43.2%
EV/u
0.162
Stake
0.26u
Lost -0.26u
First 5 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
43.3%
EV/u
0.136
Stake
0.21u
Lost -0.21u
First 5 innings mlb
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
43.6%
EV/u
0.074
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
First 5 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
44.7%
EV/u
0.122
Stake
0.41u
Lost -0.41u
First 5 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
43.3%
EV/u
0.102
Stake
0.37u
Lost -0.37u
First 5 innings mlb
Cleveland Indians Cleveland Indians
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
home
Odds
2.75
Prob
42.6%
EV/u
0.152
Stake
0.40u
Lost -0.40u
First 5 innings mlb
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
away
Odds
2.50
Prob
43.5%
EV/u
0.056
Stake
0.15u
Won +0.23u
First 5 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
Houston Astros Houston Astros
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
43.4%
EV/u
0.082
Stake
0.23u
Lost -0.23u
First 5 innings mlb
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
home
Odds
3.00
Prob
43.4%
EV/u
0.274
Stake
0.61u
Won +1.22u
First 5 innings mlb
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
New York Mets New York Mets
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
43.5%
EV/u
0.099
Stake
0.28u
Lost -0.28u
First 5 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
44.9%
EV/u
0.052
Stake
0.13u
Lost -0.13u
First 5 innings mlb
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
43.4%
EV/u
0.080
Stake
0.31u
Won +0.48u
First 5 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
4.50
Prob
43.2%
EV/u
0.936
Stake
0.50u
Lost -0.50u
First 5 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
3.30
Prob
43.2%
EV/u
0.387
Stake
0.76u
Lost -0.76u
First 5 innings mlb
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
home
Odds
2.95
Prob
43.2%
EV/u
0.250
Stake
0.50u
Lost -0.50u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Cleveland Indians Cleveland Indians
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
43.3%
EV/u
0.299
Stake
0.56u
Won +1.18u
First 5 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
home
Odds
2.65
Prob
43.2%
EV/u
0.127
Stake
0.22u
Won +0.36u
First 5 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Houston Astros Houston Astros
home
Odds
2.80
Prob
43.7%
EV/u
0.201
Stake
0.42u
Lost -0.42u
First 5 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
home
Odds
2.95
Prob
43.5%
EV/u
0.257
Stake
0.53u
Lost -0.53u
First 5 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
45.0%
EV/u
0.050
Stake
0.07u
Won +0.11u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
Cleveland Indians Cleveland Indians
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
43.2%
EV/u
0.101
Stake
0.37u
Lost -0.37u
First 5 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
home
Odds
3.00
Prob
43.5%
EV/u
0.279
Stake
0.76u
Won +1.52u
First 5 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
43.4%
EV/u
0.020
Stake
0.17u
Lost -0.17u
First 5 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
New York Yankees New York Yankees
away
Odds
2.85
Prob
42.9%
EV/u
0.195
Stake
0.59u
Won +1.09u
First 5 innings mlb
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
2.65
Prob
42.9%
EV/u
0.105
Stake
0.37u
Won +0.61u
First 5 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
43.5%
EV/u
0.097
Stake
0.36u
Lost -0.36u
First 5 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
away
Odds
2.50
Prob
43.0%
EV/u
0.070
Stake
0.29u
Lost -0.29u
First 5 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
2.50
Prob
42.3%
EV/u
0.075
Stake
0.15u
Won +0.23u
First 5 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
43.0%
EV/u
0.112
Stake
0.24u
Won +0.38u
First 5 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
New York Yankees New York Yankees
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
42.9%
EV/u
0.148
Stake
0.35u
Lost -0.35u
First 5 innings mlb
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
3.50
Prob
43.2%
EV/u
0.505
Stake
0.57u
Lost -0.57u
First 5 innings mlb
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
Cleveland Indians Cleveland Indians
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
42.3%
EV/u
0.199
Stake
0.49u
Lost -0.49u
First 5 innings mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
2.85
Prob
43.7%
EV/u
0.199
Stake
0.33u
Won +0.61u
First 5 innings mlb
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
home
Odds
2.65
Prob
43.3%
EV/u
0.129
Stake
0.19u
Lost -0.19u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Mets New York Mets
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
away
Odds
2.90
Prob
44.2%
EV/u
0.195
Stake
0.31u
Lost -0.31u
First 5 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
43.3%
EV/u
0.107
Stake
0.15u
Won +0.24u
First 5 innings mlb
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
3.40
Prob
43.4%
EV/u
0.390
Stake
0.51u
Lost -0.51u
First 5 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
43.3%
EV/u
0.184
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
First 5 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
home
Odds
2.55
Prob
44.8%
EV/u
0.124
Stake
0.27u
Lost -0.27u
First 5 innings mlb
Cleveland Indians Cleveland Indians
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
2.50
Prob
43.3%
EV/u
0.045
Stake
0.07u
Lost -0.07u
First 5 innings mlb
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins
away
Odds
2.85
Prob
44.4%
EV/u
0.179
Stake
0.38u
Lost -0.38u
First 5 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
43.6%
EV/u
0.295
Stake
0.54u
Lost -0.54u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
2.65
Prob
41.7%
EV/u
0.163
Stake
0.37u
Lost -0.37u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
43.0%
EV/u
0.087
Stake
0.17u
Won +0.26u
First 5 innings mlb
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
43.2%
EV/u
0.159
Stake
0.19u
Lost -0.19u
First 5 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
New York Mets New York Mets
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
43.1%
EV/u
0.164
Stake
0.20u
Lost -0.20u
First 5 innings mlb
New York Yankees New York Yankees
Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
2.90
Prob
43.3%
EV/u
0.224
Stake
0.30u
Won +0.57u
First 5 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
away
Odds
3.00
Prob
43.4%
EV/u
0.263
Stake
0.37u
Lost -0.37u
First 5 innings mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers
home
Odds
4.20
Prob
43.4%
EV/u
0.823
Stake
0.31u
Won +0.99u
First 5 innings mlb
Oakland Athletics Oakland Athletics
Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
3.00
Prob
41.6%
EV/u
0.294
Stake
0.42u
Lost -0.42u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
3.20
Prob
48.2%
EV/u
0.129
Stake
0.18u
Lost -0.18u
First 5 innings mlb
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
53.0%
EV/u
0.350
Stake
0.72u
Lost -0.72u
First 5 innings mlb
St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
47.4%
EV/u
0.089
Stake
0.12u
Won +0.25u
First 5 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
home
Odds
3.70
Prob
48.7%
EV/u
0.803
Stake
0.49u
Lost -0.49u
First 5 innings mlb
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
home
Odds
2.05
Prob
57.8%
EV/u
0.124
Stake
0.29u
Lost -0.29u
First 5 innings mlb
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
3.20
Prob
46.6%
EV/u
0.192
Stake
0.33u
Lost -0.33u
First 5 innings mlb
San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
New York Mets New York Mets
away
Odds
3.50
Prob
50.4%
EV/u
0.142
Stake
0.18u
Lost -0.18u
First 5 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
away
Odds
2.85
Prob
44.1%
EV/u
0.109
Stake
0.17u
Lost -0.17u
First 5 innings mlb
Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
55.9%
EV/u
0.366
Stake
1.12u
Won +1.68u
First 5 innings mlb
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
Houston Astros Houston Astros
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
46.2%
EV/u
0.042
Stake
0.12u
Won +0.19u
First 5 innings mlb
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
New York Mets New York Mets
home
Odds
2.00
Prob
53.3%
EV/u
0.021
Stake
0.07u
Won +0.07u
First 5 innings mlb
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals
home
Odds
2.35
Prob
55.5%
EV/u
0.225
Stake
0.79u
Won +1.07u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.