Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: May 15, 2026 2:07 PM EDT
First 5 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Texas Rangers
away
Odds
4.80
Prob
39.6%
EV/u
1.196
Stake
0.32u
Lost
-0.32u
First 5 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
49.5%
EV/u
0.148
Stake
0.41u
Lost
-0.41u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Chicago Cubs
away
Odds
3.50
Prob
52.8%
EV/u
0.116
Stake
0.12u
Won
+0.30u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
New York Yankees
home
Odds
2.10
Prob
54.5%
EV/u
0.089
Stake
0.25u
Lost
-0.25u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
4.50
Prob
41.1%
EV/u
0.777
Stake
0.37u
Lost
-0.37u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Milwaukee Brewers
home
Odds
4.90
Prob
51.4%
EV/u
1.517
Stake
0.41u
Won
+1.60u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Cleveland Indians
home
Odds
2.25
Prob
51.1%
EV/u
0.094
Stake
0.24u
Lost
-0.24u
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels
away
Odds
2.65
Prob
37.9%
EV/u
0.189
Stake
0.39u
Won
+0.64u
First 5 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
42.8%
EV/u
0.066
Stake
0.10u
Lost
-0.10u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
3.60
Prob
43.6%
EV/u
0.481
Stake
0.44u
Lost
-0.44u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Milwaukee Brewers
home
Odds
4.40
Prob
45.6%
EV/u
1.006
Stake
0.39u
Lost
-0.39u
First 5 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Texas Rangers
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
42.2%
EV/u
0.264
Stake
0.45u
Lost
-0.45u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Los Angeles Angels
away
Odds
3.90
Prob
53.7%
EV/u
0.232
Stake
0.18u
Lost
-0.18u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Cleveland Indians
home
Odds
2.15
Prob
54.5%
EV/u
0.111
Stake
0.33u
Won
+0.38u
First 5 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
Miami Marlins
home
Odds
2.05
Prob
53.0%
EV/u
0.038
Stake
0.09u
Won
+0.09u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
New York Yankees
away
Odds
3.00
Prob
38.4%
EV/u
0.378
Stake
0.62u
Won
+1.24u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Diego Padres
home
Odds
2.20
Prob
51.8%
EV/u
0.086
Stake
0.22u
Won
+0.26u
First 5 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
St. Louis Cardinals
home
Odds
2.30
Prob
51.6%
EV/u
0.126
Stake
0.35u
Won
+0.46u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Arizona Diamondbacks
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
53.2%
EV/u
0.353
Stake
0.39u
Won
+0.62u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Cleveland Indians
home
Odds
3.20
Prob
46.0%
EV/u
0.437
Stake
0.39u
Lost
-0.39u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Detroit Tigers
home
Odds
2.75
Prob
44.6%
EV/u
0.203
Stake
0.16u
Lost
-0.16u
First 5 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
Miami Marlins
home
Odds
2.80
Prob
45.7%
EV/u
0.255
Stake
0.22u
Lost
-0.22u
First 5 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Minnesota Twins
home
Odds
3.20
Prob
49.2%
EV/u
0.537
Stake
0.48u
Won
+1.06u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
4.00
Prob
43.2%
EV/u
0.536
Stake
0.16u
Lost
-0.16u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Cleveland Indians
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
49.5%
EV/u
0.216
Stake
0.64u
Lost
-0.64u
First 5 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
Miami Marlins
home
Odds
4.60
Prob
49.2%
EV/u
1.265
Stake
0.49u
Won
+1.76u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
San Francisco Giants
home
Odds
2.20
Prob
49.3%
EV/u
0.041
Stake
0.10u
Lost
-0.10u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
49.4%
EV/u
0.058
Stake
0.13u
Lost
-0.13u
First 5 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Philadelphia Phillies
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
49.2%
EV/u
0.141
Stake
0.44u
Lost
-0.44u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
2.90
Prob
49.0%
EV/u
0.134
Stake
0.40u
Lost
-0.40u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
49.0%
EV/u
0.203
Stake
0.27u
Won
+0.41u
First 5 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
49.3%
EV/u
0.067
Stake
0.05u
Won
+0.09u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Minnesota Twins
home
Odds
2.80
Prob
49.2%
EV/u
0.349
Stake
0.56u
Won
+1.01u
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Seattle Mariners
home
Odds
4.20
Prob
49.2%
EV/u
1.067
Stake
0.32u
Won
+1.02u
First 5 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Washington Nationals
home
Odds
4.10
Prob
49.3%
EV/u
1.022
Stake
0.32u
Lost
-0.32u
First 5 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
4.50
Prob
49.2%
EV/u
0.774
Stake
0.28u
Lost
-0.28u
First 5 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
4.70
Prob
49.2%
EV/u
0.852
Stake
0.22u
Lost
-0.22u
First 5 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
New York Yankees
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
49.0%
EV/u
0.203
Stake
0.22u
Lost
-0.22u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Pittsburgh Pirates
home
Odds
3.10
Prob
49.2%
EV/u
0.489
Stake
0.51u
Won
+1.07u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Cleveland Indians
home
Odds
2.55
Prob
49.2%
EV/u
0.232
Stake
0.26u
Won
+0.40u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Chicago Cubs
away
Odds
3.60
Prob
49.4%
EV/u
0.413
Stake
0.23u
Won
+0.60u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
Philadelphia Phillies
home
Odds
2.70
Prob
49.1%
EV/u
0.299
Stake
0.36u
Lost
-0.36u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
49.3%
EV/u
0.258
Stake
0.47u
Lost
-0.47u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
2.95
Prob
48.9%
EV/u
0.154
Stake
0.23u
Lost
-0.23u
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Seattle Mariners
home
Odds
3.10
Prob
49.0%
EV/u
0.483
Stake
0.66u
Lost
-0.66u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Texas Rangers
home
Odds
2.35
Prob
49.3%
EV/u
0.103
Stake
0.18u
Lost
-0.18u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Chicago Cubs
home
Odds
2.40
Prob
49.3%
EV/u
0.125
Stake
0.23u
Won
+0.32u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Oakland Athletics
home
Odds
2.70
Prob
49.4%
EV/u
0.305
Stake
0.77u
Won
+1.31u
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
49.2%
EV/u
0.058
Stake
0.09u
Won
+0.15u
First 5 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Texas Rangers
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
49.0%
EV/u
0.139
Stake
0.31u
Lost
-0.31u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Arizona Diamondbacks
home
Odds
3.50
Prob
49.2%
EV/u
0.721
Stake
0.63u
Lost
-0.63u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Cincinnati Reds
home
Odds
3.00
Prob
49.1%
EV/u
0.440
Stake
0.63u
Lost
-0.63u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cleveland Indians
Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
49.2%
EV/u
0.070
Stake
0.07u
Lost
-0.07u
First 5 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Oakland Athletics
home
Odds
2.30
Prob
49.2%
EV/u
0.080
Stake
0.11u
Lost
-0.11u
First 5 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Texas Rangers
away
Odds
3.00
Prob
49.2%
EV/u
0.164
Stake
0.22u
Won
+0.44u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
San Diego Padres
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
49.2%
EV/u
0.256
Stake
0.47u
Lost
-0.47u
First 5 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
4.70
Prob
48.9%
EV/u
0.859
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
First 5 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Chicago White Sox
home
Odds
3.30
Prob
49.0%
EV/u
0.578
Stake
0.59u
Won
+1.36u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
4.60
Prob
49.1%
EV/u
0.817
Stake
0.26u
Lost
-0.26u
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
4.00
Prob
49.4%
EV/u
0.573
Stake
0.22u
Lost
-0.22u
First 5 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
New York Mets
home
Odds
4.30
Prob
49.2%
EV/u
1.114
Stake
0.29u
Lost
-0.29u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
Washington Nationals
away
Odds
3.20
Prob
49.0%
EV/u
0.239
Stake
0.15u
Won
+0.33u
First 5 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
3.60
Prob
49.1%
EV/u
0.434
Stake
0.29u
Lost
-0.29u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
2.25
Prob
49.1%
EV/u
0.057
Stake
0.34u
Won
+0.43u
First 5 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Los Angeles Angels
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
49.2%
EV/u
0.142
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
First 5 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
3.40
Prob
48.9%
EV/u
0.318
Stake
0.47u
Won
+1.13u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
49.1%
EV/u
0.200
Stake
0.34u
Lost
-0.34u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
4.00
Prob
49.4%
EV/u
0.568
Stake
0.29u
Lost
-0.29u
First 5 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Francisco Giants
away
Odds
2.95
Prob
49.2%
EV/u
0.142
Stake
0.25u
Lost
-0.25u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
San Diego Padres
home
Odds
2.30
Prob
49.1%
EV/u
0.077
Stake
0.15u
Won
+0.20u
First 5 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
2.95
Prob
49.3%
EV/u
0.142
Stake
0.26u
Lost
-0.26u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
3.00
Prob
49.2%
EV/u
0.157
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
San Diego Padres
home
Odds
2.55
Prob
49.2%
EV/u
0.230
Stake
0.62u
Won
+0.96u
First 5 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
4.00
Prob
49.2%
EV/u
0.574
Stake
0.35u
Lost
-0.35u
First 5 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
2.90
Prob
49.3%
EV/u
0.129
Stake
0.23u
Won
+0.44u
First 5 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
49.2%
EV/u
0.069
Stake
0.18u
Lost
-0.18u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
3.30
Prob
49.0%
EV/u
0.276
Stake
0.61u
Lost
-0.61u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Houston Astros
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
49.4%
EV/u
0.042
Stake
0.10u
Lost
-0.10u
First 5 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
2.65
Prob
49.3%
EV/u
0.027
Stake
0.06u
Won
+0.10u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
San Diego Padres
home
Odds
2.40
Prob
49.2%
EV/u
0.121
Stake
0.43u
Lost
-0.43u
First 5 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
3.00
Prob
49.2%
EV/u
0.157
Stake
0.41u
Won
+0.82u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Cincinnati Reds
home
Odds
2.20
Prob
49.1%
EV/u
0.035
Stake
0.27u
Lost
-0.27u
First 5 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
49.0%
EV/u
0.070
Stake
0.24u
Won
+0.42u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
New York Mets
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
49.2%
EV/u
0.050
Stake
0.19u
Lost
-0.19u
First 5 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Tampa Bay Rays
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
49.4%
EV/u
0.261
Stake
0.89u
Won
+1.42u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Cleveland Indians
away
Odds
4.00
Prob
49.3%
EV/u
0.574
Stake
0.25u
Won
+0.75u
First 5 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Miami Marlins
away
Odds
4.60
Prob
49.0%
EV/u
0.814
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Houston Astros
home
Odds
4.10
Prob
49.4%
EV/u
1.027
Stake
0.33u
Won
+1.02u
First 5 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
4.20
Prob
49.3%
EV/u
0.650
Stake
0.27u
Lost
-0.27u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
3.00
Prob
49.3%
EV/u
0.163
Stake
0.14u
Won
+0.28u
First 5 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
2.85
Prob
49.2%
EV/u
0.371
Stake
0.51u
Lost
-0.51u
First 5 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Los Angeles Angels
away
Odds
3.90
Prob
49.6%
EV/u
0.428
Stake
0.32u
Won
+0.93u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Cleveland Indians
away
Odds
3.00
Prob
50.3%
EV/u
0.110
Stake
0.12u
Won
+0.24u
First 5 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
3.60
Prob
45.4%
EV/u
0.506
Stake
0.42u
Won
+1.09u
First 5 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Miami Marlins
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
43.7%
EV/u
0.274
Stake
0.43u
Won
+0.90u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Houston Astros
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
45.7%
EV/u
0.124
Stake
0.19u
Won
+0.29u
First 5 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
New York Mets
away
Odds
2.90
Prob
45.7%
EV/u
0.199
Stake
0.32u
Won
+0.61u
First 5 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Los Angeles Angels
away
Odds
3.20
Prob
46.7%
EV/u
0.277
Stake
0.67u
Won
+1.47u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
47.6%
EV/u
0.080
Stake
0.16u
Lost
-0.16u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
4.00
Prob
42.4%
EV/u
0.707
Stake
0.56u
Lost
-0.56u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.