Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Jul 14, 2026 7:37 PM EDT
Home win
nfl
Cleveland Browns
Baltimore Ravens
home
Odds
4.80
Prob
67.6%
EV/u
2.243
Stake
0.19u
Lost
-0.19u
Home win
nfl
Jacksonville Jaguars
Los Angeles Chargers
home
Odds
2.10
Prob
73.8%
EV/u
0.462
Stake
0.48u
Won
+0.53u
Home cover
nfl
Miami Dolphins
Buffalo Bills
away
Odds
2.00
Prob
44.0%
EV/u
0.096
Stake
0.46u
Lost
-0.46u
Home cover
nfl
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
New England Patriots
away
Odds
2.10
Prob
44.0%
EV/u
0.144
Stake
0.62u
Won
+0.68u
Home cover
nfl
Chicago Bears
New York Giants
away
Odds
2.00
Prob
44.0%
EV/u
0.096
Stake
0.46u
Lost
-0.46u
Home cover
nfl
San Francisco 49ers
Los Angeles Rams
away
Odds
2.00
Prob
44.0%
EV/u
0.096
Stake
0.46u
Won
+0.46u
Home win
nfl
Minnesota Vikings
Baltimore Ravens
home
Odds
2.70
Prob
60.7%
EV/u
0.604
Stake
0.62u
Lost
-0.62u
Home win
nfl
Carolina Panthers
New Orleans Saints
away
Odds
3.00
Prob
47.7%
EV/u
0.538
Stake
0.56u
Won
+1.12u
Home win
nfl
Washington Commanders
Detroit Lions
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
55.9%
EV/u
0.375
Stake
0.51u
Lost
-0.51u
Home win
nfl
San Francisco 49ers
Los Angeles Rams
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
51.6%
EV/u
0.219
Stake
0.31u
Lost
-0.31u
Home cover
nfl
Pittsburgh Steelers
Indianapolis Colts
away
Odds
2.10
Prob
44.0%
EV/u
0.144
Stake
0.65u
Lost
-0.65u
Home cover
nfl
Washington Commanders
Seattle Seahawks
away
Odds
1.84
Prob
0.0%
EV/u
0.709
Stake
1.20u
Won
+1.01u
Home win
nfl
Cincinnati Bengals
Chicago Bears
home
Odds
2.10
Prob
60.5%
EV/u
0.225
Stake
0.51u
Lost
-0.51u
Home win
nfl
Las Vegas Raiders
Jacksonville Jaguars
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
69.6%
EV/u
0.595
Stake
0.75u
Lost
-0.75u
Home win
nfl
Washington Commanders
Seattle Seahawks
home
Odds
2.35
Prob
65.0%
EV/u
0.444
Stake
0.75u
Lost
-0.75u
Home cover
nfl
Kansas City Chiefs
Washington Commanders
home
Odds
2.05
Prob
53.2%
EV/u
0.071
Stake
0.34u
Won
+0.36u
Home cover
nfl
Houston Texans
San Francisco 49ers
home
Odds
2.10
Prob
54.0%
EV/u
0.109
Stake
0.49u
Won
+0.54u
Home win
nfl
Houston Texans
San Francisco 49ers
home
Odds
1.80
Prob
84.7%
EV/u
0.440
Stake
0.81u
Won
+0.65u
Home win
nfl
Carolina Panthers
Buffalo Bills
home
Odds
4.00
Prob
55.1%
EV/u
1.203
Stake
0.41u
Lost
-0.41u
Home win
nfl
Pittsburgh Steelers
Green Bay Packers
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
53.5%
EV/u
0.370
Stake
0.78u
Lost
-0.78u
Home cover
nfl
New York Jets
Carolina Panthers
home
Odds
2.05
Prob
54.0%
EV/u
0.086
Stake
0.41u
Lost
-0.41u
Home win
nfl
Dallas Cowboys
Washington Commanders
home
Odds
2.20
Prob
65.5%
EV/u
0.370
Stake
0.70u
Won
+0.84u
Home win
nfl
New York Jets
Carolina Panthers
away
Odds
2.00
Prob
33.7%
EV/u
0.271
Stake
0.64u
Won
+0.64u
Home win
nfl
Denver Broncos
New York Giants
away
Odds
4.00
Prob
47.1%
EV/u
1.117
Stake
0.28u
Lost
-0.28u
Home win
nfl
Arizona Cardinals
Green Bay Packers
home
Odds
3.70
Prob
83.0%
EV/u
2.072
Stake
0.38u
Lost
-0.38u
Home win
nfl
Cincinnati Bengals
Pittsburgh Steelers
home
Odds
3.10
Prob
100.0%
EV/u
1.993
Stake
1.50u
Won
+3.15u
Home win
nfl
Washington Commanders
Chicago Bears
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
44.0%
EV/u
0.538
Stake
1.00u
Won
+1.80u
Home win
nfl
Atlanta Falcons
Buffalo Bills
home
Odds
2.80
Prob
66.7%
EV/u
0.821
Stake
1.00u
Won
+1.80u
Home cover
nfl
Kansas City Chiefs
Detroit Lions
away
Odds
2.00
Prob
45.8%
EV/u
0.064
Stake
0.32u
Lost
-0.32u
Home cover
nfl
Baltimore Ravens
Los Angeles Rams
away
Odds
2.00
Prob
45.8%
EV/u
0.064
Stake
0.32u
Won
+0.32u
Home cover
nfl
Jacksonville Jaguars
Seattle Seahawks
away
Odds
2.00
Prob
45.8%
EV/u
0.064
Stake
0.32u
Won
+0.32u
Home cover
nfl
Las Vegas Raiders
Tennessee Titans
home
Odds
2.00
Prob
60.0%
EV/u
0.164
Stake
0.82u
Won
+0.82u
Home win
nfl
Indianapolis Colts
Arizona Cardinals
away
Odds
3.00
Prob
44.0%
EV/u
0.644
Stake
0.55u
Lost
-0.55u
Home win
nfl
Las Vegas Raiders
Tennessee Titans
away
Odds
3.20
Prob
44.0%
EV/u
0.750
Stake
0.55u
Lost
-0.55u
Home win
nfl
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
San Francisco 49ers
away
Odds
2.30
Prob
44.0%
EV/u
0.240
Stake
0.34u
Lost
-0.34u
Home win
nfl
Pittsburgh Steelers
Cleveland Browns
away
Odds
2.95
Prob
44.0%
EV/u
0.618
Stake
0.55u
Lost
-0.55u
Home cover
nfl
New York Giants
Philadelphia Eagles
away
Odds
2.00
Prob
45.8%
EV/u
0.064
Stake
0.32u
Lost
-0.32u
Home win
nfl
Buffalo Bills
New England Patriots
away
Odds
4.20
Prob
44.0%
EV/u
1.352
Stake
0.28u
Won
+0.90u
Home win
nfl
Cincinnati Bengals
Detroit Lions
home
Odds
4.40
Prob
66.7%
EV/u
1.933
Stake
0.28u
Lost
-0.28u
Home win
nfl
Indianapolis Colts
Las Vegas Raiders
away
Odds
3.60
Prob
44.0%
EV/u
1.016
Stake
0.37u
Lost
-0.37u
Home win
nfl
Arizona Cardinals
Tennessee Titans
away
Odds
3.90
Prob
44.0%
EV/u
1.184
Stake
0.37u
Won
+1.07u
Home win
nfl
Philadelphia Eagles
Denver Broncos
away
Odds
2.95
Prob
44.0%
EV/u
0.618
Stake
0.70u
Won
+1.37u
Home cover
nfl
Denver Broncos
Cincinnati Bengals
home
Odds
2.00
Prob
67.9%
EV/u
0.297
Stake
1.49u
Won
+1.49u
Home cover
nfl
Los Angeles Rams
Indianapolis Colts
home
Odds
2.00
Prob
69.8%
EV/u
0.329
Stake
0.42u
Won
+0.42u
Home cover
nfl
San Francisco 49ers
Jacksonville Jaguars
home
Odds
2.12
Prob
68.6%
EV/u
0.380
Stake
0.42u
Lost
-0.42u
Home cover
nfl
Detroit Lions
Cleveland Browns
home
Odds
2.05
Prob
65.8%
EV/u
0.290
Stake
0.39u
Won
+0.41u
Home cover
nfl
Las Vegas Raiders
Chicago Bears
home
Odds
1.83
Prob
79.4%
EV/u
0.381
Stake
0.34u
Won
+0.28u
Home cover
nfl
Houston Texans
Tennessee Titans
home
Odds
2.00
Prob
70.4%
EV/u
0.340
Stake
0.42u
Won
+0.42u
Home win
nfl
Dallas Cowboys
Green Bay Packers
home
Odds
3.50
Prob
50.6%
EV/u
0.770
Stake
0.25u
Lost
-0.25u
Home win
nfl
Las Vegas Raiders
Chicago Bears
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
80.9%
EV/u
0.456
Stake
0.37u
Lost
-0.37u
Home win
nfl
Atlanta Falcons
Washington Commanders
home
Odds
2.35
Prob
67.0%
EV/u
0.483
Stake
0.46u
Won
+0.62u
Home win
nfl
New York Giants
Los Angeles Chargers
home
Odds
3.15
Prob
72.7%
EV/u
1.222
Stake
0.46u
Won
+0.99u
Home win
nfl
Pittsburgh Steelers
Minnesota Vikings
home
Odds
2.10
Prob
79.5%
EV/u
0.563
Stake
0.46u
Won
+0.51u
Home win
nfl
Arizona Cardinals
Seattle Seahawks
home
Odds
1.80
Prob
64.1%
EV/u
0.125
Stake
0.63u
Lost
-0.63u
Home cover
nfl
Cleveland Browns
Green Bay Packers
home
Odds
1.83
Prob
73.5%
EV/u
0.289
Stake
0.36u
Won
+0.30u
Home cover
nfl
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
New York Jets
home
Odds
2.00
Prob
72.9%
EV/u
0.382
Stake
0.45u
Lost
-0.45u
Home cover
nfl
New York Giants
Kansas City Chiefs
home
Odds
2.00
Prob
80.7%
EV/u
0.515
Stake
0.45u
Lost
-0.45u
Home cover
nfl
Tennessee Titans
Indianapolis Colts
home
Odds
1.95
Prob
70.7%
EV/u
0.316
Stake
0.36u
Lost
-0.36u
Home cover
nfl
Minnesota Vikings
Cincinnati Bengals
home
Odds
1.95
Prob
68.9%
EV/u
0.287
Stake
0.36u
Won
+0.34u
Home win
nfl
Cleveland Browns
Green Bay Packers
home
Odds
4.00
Prob
67.2%
EV/u
1.689
Stake
0.19u
Won
+0.57u
Home win
nfl
New York Giants
Kansas City Chiefs
home
Odds
3.40
Prob
77.6%
EV/u
1.553
Stake
0.48u
Lost
-0.48u
Home win
nfl
Carolina Panthers
Atlanta Falcons
home
Odds
2.65
Prob
84.6%
EV/u
1.179
Stake
0.48u
Won
+0.79u
Home win
nfl
Jacksonville Jaguars
Houston Texans
home
Odds
1.80
Prob
79.9%
EV/u
0.367
Stake
0.38u
Won
+0.30u
Home win
nfl
Tennessee Titans
Indianapolis Colts
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
63.1%
EV/u
0.458
Stake
0.48u
Lost
-0.48u
Home cover
nfl
Las Vegas Raiders
Los Angeles Chargers
away
Odds
2.00
Prob
42.9%
EV/u
0.115
Stake
0.57u
Won
+0.57u
Home cover
nfl
Houston Texans
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
away
Odds
2.05
Prob
45.4%
EV/u
0.095
Stake
0.45u
Won
+0.47u
Home win
nfl
Las Vegas Raiders
Los Angeles Chargers
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
50.8%
EV/u
0.202
Stake
0.70u
Lost
-0.70u
Home cover
nfl
Arizona Cardinals
Carolina Panthers
away
Odds
2.05
Prob
41.5%
EV/u
0.164
Stake
0.78u
Won
+0.82u
Home win
nfl
Minnesota Vikings
Atlanta Falcons
away
Odds
2.50
Prob
45.1%
EV/u
0.352
Stake
0.49u
Won
+0.74u
Home win
nfl
Detroit Lions
Chicago Bears
away
Odds
2.90
Prob
47.4%
EV/u
0.499
Stake
0.55u
Lost
-0.55u
Home win
nfl
New Orleans Saints
San Francisco 49ers
home
Odds
3.50
Prob
51.3%
EV/u
0.794
Stake
0.33u
Lost
-0.33u
Home win
nfl
Tennessee Titans
Los Angeles Rams
home
Odds
2.90
Prob
56.1%
EV/u
0.593
Stake
0.63u
Lost
-0.63u
Home win
nfl
New York Jets
Buffalo Bills
home
Odds
3.70
Prob
50.0%
EV/u
0.850
Stake
0.59u
Lost
-0.59u
Home cover
nfl
New England Patriots
Las Vegas Raiders
away
Odds
2.05
Prob
42.9%
EV/u
0.140
Stake
0.66u
Won
+0.69u
Home cover
nfl
Washington Commanders
New York Giants
away
Odds
2.00
Prob
42.0%
EV/u
0.130
Stake
0.65u
Lost
-0.65u
Home cover
nfl
New York Jets
Pittsburgh Steelers
home
Odds
2.10
Prob
54.9%
EV/u
0.124
Stake
0.56u
Won
+0.62u
Home cover
nfl
Los Angeles Rams
Houston Texans
home
Odds
2.00
Prob
55.3%
EV/u
0.083
Stake
0.42u
Won
+0.42u
Home win
nfl
Cleveland Browns
Cincinnati Bengals
home
Odds
3.25
Prob
52.6%
EV/u
0.671
Stake
1.29u
Lost
-1.29u
Home win
nfl
Atlanta Falcons
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
home
Odds
2.15
Prob
57.1%
EV/u
0.188
Stake
0.71u
Lost
-0.71u
Home win
nfl
New Orleans Saints
Arizona Cardinals
home
Odds
3.20
Prob
51.9%
EV/u
0.624
Stake
0.66u
Lost
-0.66u
Home win
nfl
Green Bay Packers
Detroit Lions
away
Odds
2.05
Prob
33.3%
EV/u
0.305
Stake
0.67u
Lost
-0.67u
Home win
nfl
Indianapolis Colts
Miami Dolphins
away
Odds
2.05
Prob
42.9%
EV/u
0.140
Stake
0.34u
Lost
-0.34u
Home cover
nfl
Los Angeles Chargers
Kansas City Chiefs
away
Odds
2.05
Prob
45.5%
EV/u
0.094
Stake
0.45u
Lost
-0.45u
Home win
nfl
Los Angeles Chargers
Kansas City Chiefs
home
Odds
2.55
Prob
54.9%
EV/u
0.378
Stake
1.22u
Won
+1.89u
Home win
nfl
Philadelphia Eagles
Kansas City Chiefs
home
Odds
2.00
Prob
63.6%
EV/u
0.224
Stake
1.12u
Won
+1.12u
Home cover
nfl
Kansas City Chiefs
Buffalo Bills
home
Odds
2.05
Prob
56.6%
EV/u
0.128
Stake
0.61u
Won
+0.64u
Home cover
nfl
Philadelphia Eagles
Washington Commanders
home
Odds
2.00
Prob
57.2%
EV/u
0.116
Stake
0.58u
Won
+0.58u
Home win
nfl
Philadelphia Eagles
Washington Commanders
away
Odds
3.20
Prob
44.1%
EV/u
0.747
Stake
1.50u
Lost
-1.50u
Home win
nfl
Buffalo Bills
Baltimore Ravens
home
Odds
1.80
Prob
65.0%
EV/u
0.138
Stake
0.69u
Won
+0.55u
Home win
nfl
Kansas City Chiefs
Houston Texans
away
Odds
3.70
Prob
43.7%
EV/u
1.083
Stake
0.80u
Lost
-0.80u
Home win
nfl
Los Angeles Rams
Minnesota Vikings
home
Odds
2.25
Prob
54.7%
EV/u
0.192
Stake
0.77u
Won
+0.96u
Home cover
nfl
Buffalo Bills
Denver Broncos
home
Odds
2.00
Prob
55.5%
EV/u
0.086
Stake
0.43u
Won
+0.43u
Home cover
nfl
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Washington Commanders
home
Odds
2.05
Prob
53.9%
EV/u
0.081
Stake
0.39u
Lost
-0.39u
Home win
nfl
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Washington Commanders
away
Odds
2.25
Prob
39.7%
EV/u
0.297
Stake
1.19u
Won
+1.49u
Home cover
nfl
Baltimore Ravens
Pittsburgh Steelers
home
Odds
2.00
Prob
58.6%
EV/u
0.139
Stake
0.70u
Won
+0.70u
Home cover
nfl
Houston Texans
Los Angeles Chargers
home
Odds
2.05
Prob
52.9%
EV/u
0.064
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.32u
Home win
nfl
Houston Texans
Los Angeles Chargers
home
Odds
2.30
Prob
58.7%
EV/u
0.293
Stake
1.13u
Won
+1.47u
Home cover
nfl
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
New Orleans Saints
home
Odds
2.00
Prob
70.4%
EV/u
0.341
Stake
1.36u
Lost
-1.36u
Home cover
nfl
Las Vegas Raiders
Los Angeles Chargers
home
Odds
2.00
Prob
58.7%
EV/u
0.141
Stake
0.64u
Lost
-0.64u
Home win
nfl
New England Patriots
Buffalo Bills
home
Odds
2.10
Prob
75.0%
EV/u
0.483
Stake
0.53u
Won
+0.58u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.