Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: May 15, 2026 2:07 PM EDT
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
3.70
Prob
41.0%
EV/u
0.832
Stake
0.45u
Lost
-0.45u
First 5 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Miami Marlins
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
49.7%
EV/u
0.219
Stake
0.39u
Won
+0.59u
First 5 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
2.90
Prob
50.5%
EV/u
0.121
Stake
0.14u
Lost
-0.14u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Los Angeles Angels
away
Odds
4.70
Prob
41.1%
EV/u
1.538
Stake
0.34u
Won
+1.26u
First 5 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
3.20
Prob
49.1%
EV/u
0.155
Stake
0.40u
Lost
-0.40u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
2.65
Prob
47.6%
EV/u
0.124
Stake
0.43u
Lost
-0.43u
First 5 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Baltimore Orioles
home
Odds
2.75
Prob
46.9%
EV/u
0.266
Stake
0.21u
Lost
-0.21u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Cleveland Indians
home
Odds
4.60
Prob
45.9%
EV/u
1.112
Stake
0.25u
Lost
-0.25u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
3.90
Prob
52.5%
EV/u
0.478
Stake
0.25u
Won
+0.73u
First 5 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Francisco Giants
home
Odds
3.20
Prob
46.2%
EV/u
0.444
Stake
0.42u
Won
+0.92u
First 5 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
4.50
Prob
56.0%
EV/u
0.621
Stake
0.18u
Won
+0.63u
First 5 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Houston Astros
home
Odds
3.20
Prob
47.7%
EV/u
0.492
Stake
0.49u
Lost
-0.49u
First 5 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
3.20
Prob
49.2%
EV/u
0.140
Stake
0.13u
Lost
-0.13u
First 5 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
Milwaukee Brewers
home
Odds
3.70
Prob
40.3%
EV/u
0.490
Stake
0.35u
Lost
-0.35u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Minnesota Twins
home
Odds
4.20
Prob
48.3%
EV/u
1.030
Stake
0.32u
Lost
-0.32u
First 5 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Francisco Giants
away
Odds
3.60
Prob
54.6%
EV/u
0.325
Stake
0.24u
Won
+0.62u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Chicago Cubs
home
Odds
2.75
Prob
52.5%
EV/u
0.411
Stake
0.68u
Lost
-0.68u
First 5 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Houston Astros
away
Odds
2.05
Prob
39.1%
EV/u
0.061
Stake
0.08u
Lost
-0.08u
First 5 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
44.6%
EV/u
0.150
Stake
0.20u
Lost
-0.20u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
4.00
Prob
50.8%
EV/u
0.547
Stake
0.21u
Won
+0.63u
First 5 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
3.30
Prob
49.8%
EV/u
0.262
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
New York Mets
home
Odds
2.15
Prob
55.2%
EV/u
0.127
Stake
0.19u
Won
+0.22u
First 5 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
San Diego Padres
away
Odds
3.40
Prob
45.5%
EV/u
0.548
Stake
0.59u
Lost
-0.59u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
St. Louis Cardinals
home
Odds
2.65
Prob
46.1%
EV/u
0.198
Stake
0.31u
Lost
-0.31u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
2.95
Prob
38.0%
EV/u
0.235
Stake
0.66u
Won
+1.29u
First 5 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Francisco Giants
home
Odds
2.70
Prob
46.0%
EV/u
0.220
Stake
0.71u
Lost
-0.71u
First 5 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
3.00
Prob
46.8%
EV/u
0.333
Stake
0.51u
Lost
-0.51u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Minnesota Twins
home
Odds
3.00
Prob
38.0%
EV/u
0.123
Stake
0.16u
Lost
-0.16u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Oakland Athletics
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
44.4%
EV/u
0.134
Stake
0.22u
Won
+0.35u
First 5 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Seattle Mariners
home
Odds
2.70
Prob
45.3%
EV/u
0.201
Stake
0.37u
Won
+0.63u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
4.80
Prob
48.7%
EV/u
1.071
Stake
0.34u
Lost
-0.34u
First 5 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Texas Rangers
away
Odds
2.35
Prob
40.4%
EV/u
0.127
Stake
0.20u
Won
+0.27u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
48.4%
EV/u
0.088
Stake
0.09u
Lost
-0.09u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Houston Astros
home
Odds
2.80
Prob
47.5%
EV/u
0.303
Stake
0.47u
Won
+0.85u
First 5 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Seattle Mariners
home
Odds
2.20
Prob
54.0%
EV/u
0.127
Stake
0.19u
Won
+0.23u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
3.20
Prob
48.6%
EV/u
0.260
Stake
0.33u
Won
+0.73u
First 5 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Arizona Diamondbacks
home
Odds
3.50
Prob
47.9%
EV/u
0.676
Stake
0.41u
Lost
-0.41u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Houston Astros
home
Odds
4.70
Prob
47.9%
EV/u
1.251
Stake
0.31u
Lost
-0.31u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Colorado Rockies
home
Odds
2.75
Prob
52.0%
EV/u
0.399
Stake
0.39u
Won
+0.68u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Texas Rangers
home
Odds
3.90
Prob
50.4%
EV/u
0.965
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Washington Nationals
away
Odds
2.90
Prob
49.2%
EV/u
0.100
Stake
0.05u
Lost
-0.05u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
2.90
Prob
48.3%
EV/u
0.372
Stake
0.34u
Lost
-0.34u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Chicago Cubs
home
Odds
4.30
Prob
48.0%
EV/u
1.064
Stake
0.23u
Won
+0.76u
First 5 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Cleveland Indians
home
Odds
2.90
Prob
51.4%
EV/u
0.455
Stake
0.49u
Lost
-0.49u
First 5 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Cleveland Indians
away
Odds
3.80
Prob
49.2%
EV/u
0.504
Stake
0.27u
Lost
-0.27u
First 5 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
New York Yankees
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
51.6%
EV/u
0.312
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.48u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Philadelphia Phillies
home
Odds
4.90
Prob
49.2%
EV/u
1.410
Stake
0.25u
Won
+0.98u
First 5 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
3.90
Prob
48.5%
EV/u
0.608
Stake
0.31u
Lost
-0.31u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Washington Nationals
home
Odds
2.80
Prob
51.5%
EV/u
0.409
Stake
0.43u
Lost
-0.43u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Houston Astros
away
Odds
3.70
Prob
48.8%
EV/u
0.443
Stake
0.24u
Won
+0.65u
First 5 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Kansas City Royals
home
Odds
2.55
Prob
51.6%
EV/u
0.289
Stake
0.33u
Won
+0.51u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Washington Nationals
home
Odds
4.60
Prob
48.8%
EV/u
1.244
Stake
0.24u
Lost
-0.24u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Houston Astros
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
52.3%
EV/u
0.332
Stake
0.41u
Lost
-0.41u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Chicago Cubs
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
52.8%
EV/u
0.344
Stake
0.42u
Won
+0.67u
First 5 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Cleveland Indians
home
Odds
4.50
Prob
49.2%
EV/u
1.215
Stake
0.24u
Lost
-0.24u
First 5 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
4.10
Prob
52.3%
EV/u
0.516
Stake
0.16u
Lost
-0.16u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
51.2%
EV/u
0.052
Stake
0.06u
Lost
-0.06u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Philadelphia Phillies
home
Odds
2.40
Prob
50.3%
EV/u
0.144
Stake
0.28u
Won
+0.39u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Chicago Cubs
home
Odds
2.75
Prob
49.8%
EV/u
0.342
Stake
0.74u
Lost
-0.74u
First 5 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Cleveland Indians
home
Odds
2.70
Prob
49.9%
EV/u
0.319
Stake
0.72u
Lost
-0.72u
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
3.30
Prob
52.2%
EV/u
0.230
Stake
0.23u
Lost
-0.23u
First 5 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Kansas City Royals
home
Odds
2.40
Prob
47.4%
EV/u
0.085
Stake
0.08u
Won
+0.11u
First 5 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
3.30
Prob
47.5%
EV/u
0.376
Stake
0.40u
Lost
-0.40u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cleveland Indians
Texas Rangers
home
Odds
2.70
Prob
53.8%
EV/u
0.420
Stake
0.60u
Lost
-0.60u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Washington Nationals
away
Odds
3.20
Prob
52.0%
EV/u
0.196
Stake
0.20u
Won
+0.44u
First 5 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
49.4%
EV/u
0.214
Stake
0.29u
Lost
-0.29u
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
3.40
Prob
50.8%
EV/u
0.267
Stake
0.28u
Lost
-0.28u
First 5 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Kansas City Royals
home
Odds
4.20
Prob
49.0%
EV/u
1.057
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
away
Odds
3.20
Prob
52.6%
EV/u
0.131
Stake
0.10u
Lost
-0.10u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
4.30
Prob
51.9%
EV/u
0.610
Stake
0.22u
Won
+0.73u
First 5 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
San Diego Padres
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
48.9%
EV/u
0.201
Stake
0.25u
Lost
-0.25u
First 5 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Chicago White Sox
home
Odds
2.55
Prob
55.2%
EV/u
0.377
Stake
0.65u
Lost
-0.65u
First 5 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
3.00
Prob
48.1%
EV/u
0.210
Stake
0.15u
Won
+0.30u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Oakland Athletics
away
Odds
3.80
Prob
54.5%
EV/u
0.340
Stake
0.18u
Won
+0.50u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
3.70
Prob
51.0%
EV/u
0.393
Stake
0.22u
Won
+0.59u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Milwaukee Brewers
home
Odds
3.10
Prob
52.4%
EV/u
0.585
Stake
0.63u
Lost
-0.63u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Los Angeles Angels
home
Odds
4.00
Prob
50.5%
EV/u
1.020
Stake
0.25u
Won
+0.75u
First 5 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
2.65
Prob
51.8%
EV/u
0.344
Stake
0.37u
Won
+0.61u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
3.20
Prob
50.9%
EV/u
0.228
Stake
0.37u
Lost
-0.37u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
4.80
Prob
51.5%
EV/u
0.842
Stake
0.34u
Lost
-0.34u
First 5 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
3.00
Prob
50.0%
EV/u
0.168
Stake
0.26u
Won
+0.52u
First 5 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
4.80
Prob
52.0%
EV/u
0.802
Stake
0.33u
Lost
-0.33u
First 5 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
home
Odds
2.20
Prob
51.2%
EV/u
0.075
Stake
0.12u
Won
+0.14u
First 5 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
4.70
Prob
49.3%
EV/u
0.914
Stake
0.38u
Lost
-0.38u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cleveland Indians
Los Angeles Angels
away
Odds
2.90
Prob
52.0%
EV/u
0.089
Stake
0.09u
Lost
-0.09u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Boston Red Sox
away
Odds
3.20
Prob
49.2%
EV/u
0.243
Stake
0.34u
Lost
-0.34u
First 5 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
4.30
Prob
50.3%
EV/u
0.622
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Diego Padres
away
Odds
3.90
Prob
50.6%
EV/u
0.304
Stake
0.25u
Lost
-0.25u
First 5 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
4.80
Prob
51.1%
EV/u
0.874
Stake
0.37u
Lost
-0.37u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
3.40
Prob
49.2%
EV/u
0.317
Stake
0.45u
Lost
-0.45u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cleveland Indians
Los Angeles Angels
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
49.4%
EV/u
0.261
Stake
0.53u
Won
+0.85u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Boston Red Sox
away
Odds
5.00
Prob
47.8%
EV/u
1.077
Stake
0.36u
Lost
-0.36u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
2.90
Prob
47.9%
EV/u
0.176
Stake
0.27u
Lost
-0.27u
First 5 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
2.90
Prob
50.7%
EV/u
0.100
Stake
0.11u
Won
+0.21u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
4.80
Prob
49.0%
EV/u
0.936
Stake
0.36u
Won
+1.37u
First 5 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
away
Odds
2.85
Prob
49.5%
EV/u
0.126
Stake
0.16u
Won
+0.30u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cleveland Indians
Houston Astros
home
Odds
2.20
Prob
51.6%
EV/u
0.083
Stake
0.10u
Lost
-0.10u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
New York Mets
away
Odds
3.90
Prob
50.0%
EV/u
0.548
Stake
0.31u
Won
+0.90u
First 5 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Tampa Bay Rays
home
Odds
4.10
Prob
49.1%
EV/u
1.013
Stake
0.27u
Lost
-0.27u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
4.10
Prob
48.3%
EV/u
0.726
Stake
0.26u
Won
+0.81u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.