Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: May 15, 2026 2:07 PM EDT
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Francisco Giants
away
Odds
3.69
Prob
44.5%
EV/u
0.584
Stake
0.78u
Won
+2.10u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
2.69
Prob
44.6%
EV/u
0.136
Stake
0.46u
Won
+0.78u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
away
Odds
2.51
Prob
44.5%
EV/u
0.066
Stake
0.22u
Lost
-0.22u
First 5 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Toronto Blue Jays
home
Odds
2.57
Prob
44.4%
EV/u
0.123
Stake
0.34u
Won
+0.53u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
2.69
Prob
44.6%
EV/u
0.133
Stake
0.37u
Lost
-0.37u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
away
Odds
2.57
Prob
44.6%
EV/u
0.087
Stake
0.22u
Won
+0.35u
First 5 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
3.39
Prob
44.6%
EV/u
0.419
Stake
0.87u
Won
+2.08u
First 5 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Houston Astros
home
Odds
2.53
Prob
44.6%
EV/u
0.111
Stake
0.42u
Lost
-0.42u
First 5 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
2.51
Prob
44.6%
EV/u
0.062
Stake
0.24u
Lost
-0.24u
First 5 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
away
Odds
2.51
Prob
44.6%
EV/u
0.060
Stake
0.24u
Lost
-0.24u
First 5 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Texas Rangers
home
Odds
2.47
Prob
44.6%
EV/u
0.051
Stake
0.20u
Won
+0.29u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Minnesota Twins
home
Odds
2.81
Prob
44.6%
EV/u
0.229
Stake
0.70u
Lost
-0.70u
First 5 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Toronto Blue Jays
home
Odds
2.73
Prob
44.7%
EV/u
0.199
Stake
0.58u
Lost
-0.58u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cleveland Indians
Cincinnati Reds
home
Odds
2.52
Prob
44.4%
EV/u
0.103
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.46u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
2.51
Prob
44.6%
EV/u
0.063
Stake
0.17u
Won
+0.26u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Boston Red Sox
away
Odds
2.50
Prob
44.6%
EV/u
0.055
Stake
0.14u
Won
+0.21u
First 5 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
New York Mets
away
Odds
2.93
Prob
44.6%
EV/u
0.234
Stake
0.61u
Won
+1.18u
First 5 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Toronto Blue Jays
home
Odds
2.44
Prob
44.1%
EV/u
0.031
Stake
0.06u
Won
+0.09u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
2.61
Prob
44.6%
EV/u
0.101
Stake
0.24u
Lost
-0.24u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Cleveland Indians
away
Odds
2.87
Prob
44.5%
EV/u
0.211
Stake
0.48u
Lost
-0.48u
First 5 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
2.77
Prob
44.6%
EV/u
0.165
Stake
0.40u
Lost
-0.40u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
2.64
Prob
44.6%
EV/u
0.157
Stake
0.41u
Won
+0.67u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Boston Red Sox
away
Odds
2.59
Prob
44.7%
EV/u
0.092
Stake
0.21u
Lost
-0.21u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Cleveland Indians
away
Odds
2.81
Prob
44.4%
EV/u
0.180
Stake
0.50u
Won
+0.91u
First 5 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
3.42
Prob
44.7%
EV/u
0.431
Stake
0.96u
Won
+2.32u
First 5 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Oakland Athletics
home
Odds
2.58
Prob
44.6%
EV/u
0.131
Stake
0.34u
Lost
-0.34u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
2.88
Prob
44.3%
EV/u
0.215
Stake
0.42u
Lost
-0.42u
First 5 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
San Diego Padres
home
Odds
2.77
Prob
44.6%
EV/u
0.212
Stake
0.45u
Won
+0.80u
First 5 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Cincinnati Reds
home
Odds
2.47
Prob
44.2%
EV/u
0.043
Stake
0.07u
Lost
-0.07u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Houston Astros
away
Odds
2.61
Prob
44.4%
EV/u
0.104
Stake
0.20u
Lost
-0.20u
First 5 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Cleveland Indians
home
Odds
2.65
Prob
44.4%
EV/u
0.157
Stake
0.35u
Won
+0.58u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
44.6%
EV/u
0.139
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
First 5 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
New York Mets
away
Odds
2.68
Prob
44.4%
EV/u
0.134
Stake
0.46u
Lost
-0.46u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Tampa Bay Rays
home
Odds
2.94
Prob
44.6%
EV/u
0.284
Stake
0.80u
Won
+1.55u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Boston Red Sox
away
Odds
2.64
Prob
44.6%
EV/u
0.113
Stake
0.40u
Lost
-0.40u
First 5 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
2.78
Prob
44.6%
EV/u
0.171
Stake
0.36u
Won
+0.64u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
44.5%
EV/u
0.099
Stake
0.18u
Lost
-0.18u
First 5 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
San Diego Padres
home
Odds
2.70
Prob
44.4%
EV/u
0.179
Stake
0.40u
Won
+0.68u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Chicago White Sox
home
Odds
2.54
Prob
44.8%
EV/u
0.120
Stake
0.24u
Lost
-0.24u
First 5 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Cleveland Indians
home
Odds
2.59
Prob
44.3%
EV/u
0.128
Stake
0.26u
Won
+0.41u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
2.66
Prob
44.5%
EV/u
0.164
Stake
0.36u
Won
+0.60u
First 5 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
44.3%
EV/u
0.102
Stake
0.37u
Lost
-0.37u
First 5 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Cleveland Indians
home
Odds
3.10
Prob
44.7%
EV/u
0.354
Stake
0.92u
Lost
-0.92u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
2.49
Prob
44.9%
EV/u
0.066
Stake
0.32u
Lost
-0.32u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cleveland Indians
Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
2.74
Prob
44.5%
EV/u
0.153
Stake
0.26u
Lost
-0.26u
First 5 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Colorado Rockies
home
Odds
3.98
Prob
44.6%
EV/u
0.773
Stake
0.51u
Lost
-0.51u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
3.24
Prob
44.4%
EV/u
0.363
Stake
0.56u
Won
+1.25u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
San Diego Padres
home
Odds
2.65
Prob
44.4%
EV/u
0.156
Stake
0.28u
Lost
-0.28u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
home
Odds
2.54
Prob
44.6%
EV/u
0.115
Stake
0.19u
Lost
-0.19u
First 5 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
Toronto Blue Jays
home
Odds
2.57
Prob
43.8%
EV/u
0.109
Stake
0.40u
Lost
-0.40u
First 5 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Kansas City Royals
home
Odds
2.33
Prob
52.1%
EV/u
0.147
Stake
0.64u
Won
+0.85u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
San Diego Padres
away
Odds
2.59
Prob
38.3%
EV/u
0.146
Stake
0.52u
Won
+0.83u
First 5 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
New York Mets
home
Odds
2.54
Prob
43.8%
EV/u
0.094
Stake
0.36u
Lost
-0.36u
First 5 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Los Angeles Angels
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
44.4%
EV/u
0.174
Stake
0.46u
Lost
-0.46u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
43.7%
EV/u
0.036
Stake
0.08u
Won
+0.14u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
2.71
Prob
44.0%
EV/u
0.035
Stake
0.07u
Lost
-0.07u
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
2.96
Prob
43.8%
EV/u
0.120
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
3.63
Prob
43.9%
EV/u
0.404
Stake
0.51u
Won
+1.34u
First 5 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Los Angeles Angels
away
Odds
3.41
Prob
44.1%
EV/u
0.297
Stake
0.63u
Lost
-0.63u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
2.84
Prob
43.7%
EV/u
0.086
Stake
0.21u
Lost
-0.21u
First 5 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Pittsburgh Pirates
home
Odds
2.40
Prob
47.3%
EV/u
0.081
Stake
0.27u
Lost
-0.27u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cleveland Indians
Kansas City Royals
home
Odds
2.89
Prob
43.7%
EV/u
0.239
Stake
0.36u
Lost
-0.36u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Francisco Giants
away
Odds
2.78
Prob
43.7%
EV/u
0.053
Stake
0.05u
Won
+0.09u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
3.22
Prob
44.0%
EV/u
0.224
Stake
0.29u
Lost
-0.29u
First 5 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
3.37
Prob
44.2%
EV/u
0.262
Stake
0.36u
Lost
-0.36u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
4.34
Prob
44.1%
EV/u
0.678
Stake
0.30u
Won
+1.00u
First 5 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
New York Yankees
away
Odds
3.49
Prob
43.5%
EV/u
0.327
Stake
0.44u
Lost
-0.44u
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Seattle Mariners
home
Odds
2.08
Prob
55.1%
EV/u
0.090
Stake
0.21u
Won
+0.23u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Francisco Giants
away
Odds
2.74
Prob
44.0%
EV/u
0.043
Stake
0.09u
Lost
-0.09u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
2.95
Prob
44.3%
EV/u
0.116
Stake
0.28u
Lost
-0.28u
First 5 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Los Angeles Angels
away
Odds
3.49
Prob
44.0%
EV/u
0.308
Stake
0.66u
Lost
-0.66u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
2.86
Prob
44.2%
EV/u
0.087
Stake
0.20u
Won
+0.37u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
3.75
Prob
44.2%
EV/u
0.447
Stake
0.57u
Lost
-0.57u
First 5 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
40.3%
EV/u
0.050
Stake
0.21u
Lost
-0.21u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Francisco Giants
away
Odds
3.32
Prob
44.2%
EV/u
0.247
Stake
0.59u
Lost
-0.59u
First 5 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
New York Yankees
home
Odds
2.49
Prob
43.6%
EV/u
0.039
Stake
0.23u
Lost
-0.23u
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Washington Nationals
away
Odds
3.11
Prob
46.0%
EV/u
0.208
Stake
0.54u
Won
+1.14u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Houston Astros
home
Odds
2.84
Prob
46.5%
EV/u
0.295
Stake
0.87u
Lost
-0.87u
First 5 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Washington Nationals
home
Odds
2.40
Prob
46.0%
EV/u
0.056
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
First 5 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
2.87
Prob
47.3%
EV/u
0.101
Stake
0.31u
Won
+0.58u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Houston Astros
home
Odds
2.84
Prob
50.5%
EV/u
0.402
Stake
1.18u
Won
+2.17u
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
3.30
Prob
42.6%
EV/u
0.410
Stake
0.96u
Lost
-0.96u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
3.55
Prob
55.4%
EV/u
0.104
Stake
0.15u
Lost
-0.15u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Washington Nationals
away
Odds
3.38
Prob
47.0%
EV/u
0.344
Stake
0.78u
Won
+1.86u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Washington Nationals
away
Odds
3.22
Prob
50.9%
EV/u
0.173
Stake
0.43u
Lost
-0.43u
First 5 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
2.38
Prob
42.9%
EV/u
0.040
Stake
0.24u
Won
+0.33u
First 5 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Baltimore Orioles
home
Odds
2.15
Prob
59.5%
EV/u
0.206
Stake
0.34u
Lost
-0.34u
First 5 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
away
Odds
3.50
Prob
45.9%
EV/u
0.483
Stake
0.33u
Lost
-0.33u
First 5 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
Cleveland Indians
home
Odds
4.30
Prob
38.2%
EV/u
0.643
Stake
0.22u
Won
+0.73u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Houston Astros
home
Odds
2.85
Prob
47.1%
EV/u
0.315
Stake
0.44u
Lost
-0.44u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
3.90
Prob
43.5%
EV/u
0.618
Stake
0.37u
Won
+1.07u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Cincinnati Reds
home
Odds
2.70
Prob
41.3%
EV/u
0.100
Stake
0.10u
Lost
-0.10u
First 5 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
away
Odds
3.80
Prob
53.1%
EV/u
0.379
Stake
0.21u
Won
+0.59u
First 5 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
Cleveland Indians
home
Odds
3.40
Prob
43.4%
EV/u
0.443
Stake
0.38u
Won
+0.91u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Detroit Tigers
home
Odds
3.60
Prob
42.1%
EV/u
0.514
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.78u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
New York Yankees
home
Odds
3.50
Prob
46.2%
EV/u
0.615
Stake
0.33u
Won
+0.83u
First 5 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
3.30
Prob
46.3%
EV/u
0.301
Stake
0.22u
Lost
-0.22u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Cincinnati Reds
home
Odds
3.00
Prob
47.5%
EV/u
0.395
Stake
0.36u
Lost
-0.36u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
3.80
Prob
45.5%
EV/u
0.730
Stake
0.51u
Won
+1.43u
First 5 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Baltimore Orioles
home
Odds
3.10
Prob
40.1%
EV/u
0.219
Stake
0.29u
Lost
-0.29u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.