Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: May 15, 2026 2:07 PM EDT
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Chicago Cubs
home
Odds
4.30
Prob
40.6%
EV/u
0.744
Stake
0.28u
Won
+0.92u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Francisco Giants
away
Odds
4.60
Prob
44.9%
EV/u
0.873
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Arizona Diamondbacks
home
Odds
2.70
Prob
44.7%
EV/u
0.185
Stake
0.13u
Lost
-0.13u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
3.70
Prob
45.9%
EV/u
0.515
Stake
0.36u
Lost
-0.36u
First 5 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Washington Nationals
away
Odds
3.70
Prob
45.4%
EV/u
0.671
Stake
0.42u
Won
+1.13u
First 5 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Cleveland Indians
away
Odds
4.20
Prob
44.6%
EV/u
0.801
Stake
0.31u
Won
+0.99u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Los Angeles Angels
away
Odds
2.65
Prob
40.2%
EV/u
0.236
Stake
0.32u
Won
+0.53u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Chicago Cubs
away
Odds
2.85
Prob
42.3%
EV/u
0.232
Stake
0.29u
Won
+0.54u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
2.85
Prob
44.6%
EV/u
0.224
Stake
0.27u
Lost
-0.27u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
4.30
Prob
47.5%
EV/u
0.761
Stake
0.27u
Won
+0.89u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
St. Louis Cardinals
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
50.9%
EV/u
0.296
Stake
0.47u
Lost
-0.47u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Texas Rangers
away
Odds
4.20
Prob
53.9%
EV/u
0.480
Stake
0.18u
Won
+0.58u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Chicago Cubs
away
Odds
3.40
Prob
45.7%
EV/u
0.386
Stake
0.47u
Lost
-0.47u
First 5 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
New York Yankees
home
Odds
2.40
Prob
47.2%
EV/u
0.080
Stake
0.14u
Won
+0.20u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
41.0%
EV/u
0.348
Stake
0.48u
Lost
-0.48u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Texas Rangers
away
Odds
3.30
Prob
44.1%
EV/u
0.396
Stake
0.50u
Lost
-0.50u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
2.40
Prob
40.1%
EV/u
0.085
Stake
0.14u
Won
+0.20u
First 5 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
2.30
Prob
41.6%
EV/u
0.042
Stake
0.07u
Lost
-0.07u
First 5 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
3.20
Prob
46.8%
EV/u
0.316
Stake
0.48u
Lost
-0.48u
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
3.70
Prob
43.4%
EV/u
0.571
Stake
0.47u
Won
+1.27u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
3.60
Prob
46.1%
EV/u
0.483
Stake
0.41u
Won
+1.07u
First 5 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Washington Nationals
away
Odds
2.50
Prob
44.1%
EV/u
0.205
Stake
0.40u
Lost
-0.40u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cleveland Indians
Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
3.30
Prob
45.9%
EV/u
0.229
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
4.00
Prob
43.1%
EV/u
0.714
Stake
0.32u
Lost
-0.32u
First 5 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
New York Mets
away
Odds
2.05
Prob
34.4%
EV/u
0.093
Stake
0.14u
Won
+0.15u
First 5 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
San Francisco Giants
away
Odds
4.40
Prob
42.6%
EV/u
1.011
Stake
0.34u
Lost
-0.34u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Miami Marlins
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
46.4%
EV/u
0.212
Stake
0.36u
Won
+0.61u
First 5 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Los Angeles Angels
away
Odds
4.20
Prob
43.7%
EV/u
0.964
Stake
0.34u
Lost
-0.34u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cleveland Indians
Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
4.40
Prob
42.6%
EV/u
0.990
Stake
0.36u
Lost
-0.36u
First 5 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
away
Odds
5.00
Prob
41.5%
EV/u
1.239
Stake
0.36u
Lost
-0.36u
First 5 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
San Francisco Giants
away
Odds
4.10
Prob
41.4%
EV/u
0.799
Stake
0.36u
Lost
-0.36u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
3.30
Prob
45.3%
EV/u
0.184
Stake
0.21u
Won
+0.48u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Miami Marlins
away
Odds
3.50
Prob
45.5%
EV/u
0.287
Stake
0.25u
Lost
-0.25u
First 5 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Los Angeles Angels
away
Odds
2.65
Prob
45.2%
EV/u
0.193
Stake
0.26u
Lost
-0.26u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cleveland Indians
Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
3.50
Prob
42.0%
EV/u
0.701
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Houston Astros
away
Odds
3.90
Prob
44.3%
EV/u
0.572
Stake
0.26u
Lost
-0.26u
First 5 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
away
Odds
4.40
Prob
50.3%
EV/u
0.627
Stake
0.16u
Lost
-0.16u
First 5 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
San Francisco Giants
home
Odds
3.20
Prob
56.6%
EV/u
0.760
Stake
0.55u
Won
+1.21u
First 5 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
3.30
Prob
41.7%
EV/u
0.570
Stake
0.33u
Lost
-0.33u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
3.50
Prob
41.7%
EV/u
0.446
Stake
0.20u
Won
+0.50u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Baltimore Orioles
home
Odds
4.60
Prob
48.8%
EV/u
1.246
Stake
0.46u
Lost
-0.46u
First 5 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
3.60
Prob
48.4%
EV/u
0.378
Stake
0.40u
Won
+1.04u
First 5 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
43.4%
EV/u
0.092
Stake
0.15u
Lost
-0.15u
First 5 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
4.30
Prob
47.3%
EV/u
0.526
Stake
0.29u
Won
+0.96u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
37.3%
EV/u
0.236
Stake
0.50u
Won
+0.85u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
2.15
Prob
50.8%
EV/u
0.046
Stake
0.11u
Lost
-0.11u
First 5 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
4.10
Prob
43.5%
EV/u
0.832
Stake
0.47u
Lost
-0.47u
First 5 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
4.70
Prob
51.5%
EV/u
0.729
Stake
0.37u
Lost
-0.37u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
40.5%
EV/u
0.174
Stake
0.45u
Lost
-0.45u
First 5 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
New York Mets
home
Odds
2.40
Prob
50.3%
EV/u
0.143
Stake
0.40u
Lost
-0.40u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
2.90
Prob
50.3%
EV/u
0.067
Stake
0.06u
Won
+0.11u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Cleveland Indians
away
Odds
3.40
Prob
41.2%
EV/u
0.433
Stake
0.76u
Lost
-0.76u
First 5 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
4.00
Prob
43.2%
EV/u
0.727
Stake
0.46u
Lost
-0.46u
First 5 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Chicago White Sox
home
Odds
3.40
Prob
40.3%
EV/u
0.341
Stake
0.52u
Won
+1.25u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Chicago Cubs
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
50.3%
EV/u
0.022
Stake
0.05u
Lost
-0.05u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Minnesota Twins
home
Odds
5.00
Prob
38.2%
EV/u
0.910
Stake
0.55u
Lost
-0.55u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Oakland Athletics
home
Odds
3.00
Prob
40.2%
EV/u
0.184
Stake
0.51u
Lost
-0.51u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
42.8%
EV/u
0.092
Stake
0.29u
Lost
-0.29u
First 5 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Pittsburgh Pirates
home
Odds
3.60
Prob
35.8%
EV/u
0.287
Stake
0.40u
Lost
-0.40u
First 5 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
4.50
Prob
50.2%
EV/u
0.769
Stake
0.28u
Lost
-0.28u
First 5 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Cleveland Indians
home
Odds
4.90
Prob
42.9%
EV/u
1.103
Stake
0.32u
Lost
-0.32u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Oakland Athletics
away
Odds
4.30
Prob
45.0%
EV/u
0.768
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.99u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
St. Louis Cardinals
home
Odds
4.80
Prob
38.6%
EV/u
0.853
Stake
0.29u
Won
+1.10u
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Tampa Bay Rays
home
Odds
5.00
Prob
41.8%
EV/u
1.091
Stake
0.32u
Lost
-0.32u
First 5 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
3.40
Prob
42.6%
EV/u
0.418
Stake
0.29u
Lost
-0.29u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Arizona Diamondbacks
home
Odds
2.80
Prob
42.1%
EV/u
0.159
Stake
0.12u
Lost
-0.12u
First 5 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
4.40
Prob
38.5%
EV/u
0.696
Stake
0.23u
Won
+0.78u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Chicago Cubs
home
Odds
3.90
Prob
46.2%
EV/u
0.803
Stake
0.38u
Lost
-0.38u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
4.20
Prob
48.9%
EV/u
1.053
Stake
0.28u
Lost
-0.28u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Oakland Athletics
away
Odds
3.20
Prob
48.9%
EV/u
0.236
Stake
0.19u
Won
+0.42u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
St. Louis Cardinals
home
Odds
3.40
Prob
47.2%
EV/u
0.565
Stake
0.60u
Lost
-0.60u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Arizona Diamondbacks
home
Odds
3.20
Prob
44.6%
EV/u
0.395
Stake
0.57u
Lost
-0.57u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
Cincinnati Reds
home
Odds
2.55
Prob
45.7%
EV/u
0.145
Stake
0.20u
Lost
-0.20u
First 5 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
New York Yankees
home
Odds
2.70
Prob
46.5%
EV/u
0.233
Stake
0.35u
Lost
-0.35u
First 5 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
2.85
Prob
50.1%
EV/u
0.397
Stake
0.68u
Lost
-0.68u
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels
home
Odds
3.30
Prob
37.0%
EV/u
0.199
Stake
0.27u
Won
+0.62u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Boston Red Sox
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
38.3%
EV/u
0.358
Stake
0.74u
Lost
-0.74u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cleveland Indians
Kansas City Royals
home
Odds
2.30
Prob
48.6%
EV/u
0.068
Stake
0.09u
Lost
-0.09u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
3.80
Prob
54.8%
EV/u
0.453
Stake
0.35u
Lost
-0.35u
First 5 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
San Francisco Giants
away
Odds
3.20
Prob
54.4%
EV/u
0.221
Stake
0.33u
Lost
-0.33u
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels
home
Odds
2.40
Prob
45.2%
EV/u
0.040
Stake
0.24u
Won
+0.34u
First 5 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
50.6%
EV/u
0.164
Stake
0.52u
Lost
-0.52u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
3.70
Prob
54.2%
EV/u
0.329
Stake
0.24u
Lost
-0.24u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Boston Red Sox
away
Odds
3.50
Prob
48.8%
EV/u
0.475
Stake
0.37u
Won
+0.93u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Texas Rangers
away
Odds
3.90
Prob
55.2%
EV/u
0.438
Stake
0.29u
Lost
-0.29u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Washington Nationals
home
Odds
3.50
Prob
47.2%
EV/u
0.654
Stake
0.43u
Lost
-0.43u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Tampa Bay Rays
home
Odds
3.00
Prob
44.7%
EV/u
0.313
Stake
0.29u
Lost
-0.29u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
3.60
Prob
56.1%
EV/u
0.274
Stake
0.18u
Lost
-0.18u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Cleveland Indians
home
Odds
2.70
Prob
46.1%
EV/u
0.222
Stake
0.39u
Won
+0.66u
First 5 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
4.40
Prob
44.9%
EV/u
1.057
Stake
0.45u
Won
+1.53u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Toronto Blue Jays
home
Odds
3.20
Prob
41.2%
EV/u
0.291
Stake
0.49u
Lost
-0.49u
First 5 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Miami Marlins
away
Odds
3.60
Prob
47.1%
EV/u
0.456
Stake
0.47u
Lost
-0.47u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Los Angeles Angels
away
Odds
3.60
Prob
52.9%
EV/u
0.354
Stake
0.29u
Lost
-0.29u
First 5 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
4.20
Prob
49.4%
EV/u
0.692
Stake
0.31u
Won
+0.99u
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Detroit Tigers
home
Odds
2.55
Prob
50.5%
EV/u
0.262
Stake
0.35u
Lost
-0.35u
First 5 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
4.20
Prob
49.5%
EV/u
0.611
Stake
0.27u
Won
+0.86u
First 5 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
4.30
Prob
45.8%
EV/u
1.016
Stake
0.36u
Won
+1.19u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
San Francisco Giants
away
Odds
4.30
Prob
40.8%
EV/u
0.524
Stake
0.22u
Lost
-0.22u
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Detroit Tigers
home
Odds
3.10
Prob
37.1%
EV/u
0.133
Stake
0.14u
Won
+0.29u
First 5 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
5.00
Prob
29.1%
EV/u
2.167
Stake
0.34u
Won
+1.36u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.