Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: May 15, 2026 2:07 PM EDT
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
home
Odds
2.30
Prob
46.6%
EV/u
0.025
Stake
0.06u
Won
+0.08u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
St. Louis Cardinals
home
Odds
2.75
Prob
44.8%
EV/u
0.207
Stake
0.54u
Lost
-0.54u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
3.08
Prob
48.6%
EV/u
0.053
Stake
0.11u
Lost
-0.11u
First 5 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
3.40
Prob
45.8%
EV/u
0.250
Stake
0.46u
Lost
-0.46u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Arizona Diamondbacks
home
Odds
2.44
Prob
48.0%
EV/u
0.108
Stake
0.33u
Lost
-0.33u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Miami Marlins
home
Odds
2.75
Prob
41.1%
EV/u
0.112
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
home
Odds
2.90
Prob
45.0%
EV/u
0.279
Stake
0.59u
Lost
-0.59u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Chicago White Sox
home
Odds
2.83
Prob
38.2%
EV/u
0.064
Stake
0.12u
Lost
-0.12u
First 5 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
San Diego Padres
home
Odds
2.03
Prob
58.1%
EV/u
0.116
Stake
0.36u
Won
+0.37u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Miami Marlins
away
Odds
3.28
Prob
46.0%
EV/u
0.158
Stake
0.28u
Won
+0.64u
First 5 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
away
Odds
3.35
Prob
47.5%
EV/u
0.266
Stake
0.45u
Lost
-0.45u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cleveland Indians
Milwaukee Brewers
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
47.7%
EV/u
0.170
Stake
0.62u
Lost
-0.62u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Houston Astros
away
Odds
2.52
Prob
44.4%
EV/u
0.028
Stake
0.10u
Lost
-0.10u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Arizona Diamondbacks
home
Odds
2.26
Prob
47.9%
EV/u
0.032
Stake
0.13u
Lost
-0.13u
First 5 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Washington Nationals
home
Odds
1.96
Prob
62.0%
EV/u
0.148
Stake
0.65u
Won
+0.63u
First 5 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Minnesota Twins
home
Odds
2.36
Prob
47.6%
EV/u
0.068
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.41u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
San Diego Padres
away
Odds
3.49
Prob
44.9%
EV/u
0.255
Stake
0.56u
Lost
-0.56u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Arizona Diamondbacks
home
Odds
2.33
Prob
51.7%
EV/u
0.139
Stake
0.61u
Lost
-0.61u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
2.49
Prob
42.4%
EV/u
0.034
Stake
0.22u
Won
+0.33u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Detroit Tigers
home
Odds
2.46
Prob
48.2%
EV/u
0.125
Stake
0.51u
Lost
-0.51u
First 5 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
home
Odds
2.43
Prob
47.6%
EV/u
0.097
Stake
0.43u
Lost
-0.43u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Arizona Diamondbacks
home
Odds
2.61
Prob
55.2%
EV/u
0.407
Stake
1.37u
Won
+2.21u
First 5 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
2.88
Prob
56.1%
EV/u
0.572
Stake
1.50u
Lost
-1.50u
First 5 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Washington Nationals
home
Odds
1.97
Prob
55.5%
EV/u
0.045
Stake
0.10u
Won
+0.10u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
2.27
Prob
31.2%
EV/u
0.187
Stake
0.60u
Won
+0.76u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
2.79
Prob
45.6%
EV/u
0.247
Stake
0.60u
Lost
-0.60u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Mets
New York Yankees
away
Odds
2.59
Prob
38.7%
EV/u
0.180
Stake
0.50u
Won
+0.80u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Chicago Cubs
home
Odds
2.25
Prob
49.4%
EV/u
0.057
Stake
0.35u
Lost
-0.35u
First 5 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
San Diego Padres
home
Odds
2.31
Prob
50.5%
EV/u
0.106
Stake
0.51u
Won
+0.67u
First 5 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
2.58
Prob
43.0%
EV/u
0.087
Stake
0.33u
Lost
-0.33u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
2.76
Prob
44.1%
EV/u
0.056
Stake
0.20u
Lost
-0.20u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Chicago Cubs
away
Odds
2.85
Prob
49.0%
EV/u
0.092
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
New York Mets
away
Odds
2.66
Prob
45.2%
EV/u
0.037
Stake
0.15u
Lost
-0.15u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Seattle Mariners
home
Odds
2.96
Prob
45.2%
EV/u
0.309
Stake
0.86u
Lost
-0.86u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
2.41
Prob
44.9%
EV/u
0.033
Stake
0.23u
Lost
-0.23u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
3.16
Prob
46.2%
EV/u
0.226
Stake
0.58u
Lost
-0.58u
First 5 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Chicago Cubs
home
Odds
2.19
Prob
53.8%
EV/u
0.115
Stake
0.60u
Lost
-0.60u
First 5 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
45.7%
EV/u
0.030
Stake
0.07u
Lost
-0.07u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cleveland Indians
Minnesota Twins
home
Odds
2.75
Prob
41.4%
EV/u
0.120
Stake
0.36u
Lost
-0.36u
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels
away
Odds
3.01
Prob
49.2%
EV/u
0.065
Stake
0.16u
Lost
-0.16u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
away
Odds
2.24
Prob
37.9%
EV/u
0.087
Stake
0.31u
Won
+0.38u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
2.66
Prob
42.6%
EV/u
0.276
Stake
0.81u
Won
+1.34u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
New York Mets
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
47.2%
EV/u
0.038
Stake
0.09u
Lost
-0.09u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cleveland Indians
Minnesota Twins
home
Odds
2.23
Prob
54.3%
EV/u
0.142
Stake
0.49u
Lost
-0.49u
First 5 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Chicago Cubs
home
Odds
2.04
Prob
54.7%
EV/u
0.062
Stake
0.21u
Lost
-0.21u
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels
away
Odds
2.32
Prob
37.3%
EV/u
0.058
Stake
0.16u
Lost
-0.16u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
2.45
Prob
39.2%
EV/u
0.227
Stake
0.62u
Lost
-0.62u
First 5 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
Miami Marlins
away
Odds
2.76
Prob
43.0%
EV/u
0.134
Stake
0.32u
Won
+0.56u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
3.01
Prob
40.5%
EV/u
0.411
Stake
0.80u
Won
+1.61u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Arizona Diamondbacks
home
Odds
2.20
Prob
49.9%
EV/u
0.047
Stake
0.09u
Won
+0.11u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
3.06
Prob
36.2%
EV/u
0.456
Stake
0.87u
Lost
-0.87u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
2.46
Prob
44.3%
EV/u
0.042
Stake
0.14u
Lost
-0.14u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Colorado Rockies
home
Odds
2.27
Prob
51.0%
EV/u
0.097
Stake
0.47u
Won
+0.60u
First 5 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Los Angeles Angels
away
Odds
2.44
Prob
37.0%
EV/u
0.094
Stake
0.42u
Won
+0.60u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
3.06
Prob
47.0%
EV/u
0.202
Stake
0.54u
Lost
-0.54u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Houston Astros
home
Odds
2.39
Prob
46.4%
EV/u
0.056
Stake
0.23u
Won
+0.32u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
2.63
Prob
48.4%
EV/u
0.043
Stake
0.18u
Won
+0.29u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Milwaukee Brewers
home
Odds
2.10
Prob
51.7%
EV/u
0.039
Stake
0.31u
Won
+0.34u
First 5 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
Miami Marlins
away
Odds
3.08
Prob
49.1%
EV/u
0.131
Stake
0.36u
Won
+0.75u
First 5 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Houston Astros
home
Odds
3.12
Prob
54.8%
EV/u
0.662
Stake
0.96u
Lost
-0.96u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Cleveland Indians
home
Odds
3.44
Prob
32.2%
EV/u
0.089
Stake
0.08u
Lost
-0.08u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Texas Rangers
home
Odds
2.98
Prob
46.3%
EV/u
0.354
Stake
0.59u
Won
+1.17u
First 5 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
2.63
Prob
42.8%
EV/u
0.126
Stake
0.17u
Won
+0.28u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Toronto Blue Jays
home
Odds
2.00
Prob
54.3%
EV/u
0.052
Stake
0.18u
Won
+0.18u
First 5 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Philadelphia Phillies
home
Odds
2.78
Prob
46.4%
EV/u
0.264
Stake
0.70u
Won
+1.25u
First 5 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Houston Astros
home
Odds
3.07
Prob
33.9%
EV/u
0.028
Stake
0.08u
Lost
-0.08u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Cincinnati Reds
home
Odds
2.70
Prob
41.1%
EV/u
0.091
Stake
0.27u
Lost
-0.27u
First 5 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Milwaukee Brewers
home
Odds
2.48
Prob
43.0%
EV/u
0.024
Stake
0.08u
Lost
-0.08u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Cleveland Indians
home
Odds
2.51
Prob
46.5%
EV/u
0.147
Stake
0.48u
Lost
-0.48u
First 5 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
2.97
Prob
45.1%
EV/u
0.287
Stake
0.80u
Lost
-0.80u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
San Francisco Giants
home
Odds
2.10
Prob
51.0%
EV/u
0.026
Stake
0.26u
Lost
-0.26u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
2.92
Prob
50.7%
EV/u
0.101
Stake
0.31u
Won
+0.60u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
San Francisco Giants
away
Odds
2.37
Prob
40.9%
EV/u
0.021
Stake
0.20u
Lost
-0.20u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
3.54
Prob
48.2%
EV/u
0.508
Stake
0.72u
Won
+1.83u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Washington Nationals
home
Odds
2.20
Prob
51.9%
EV/u
0.085
Stake
0.31u
Won
+0.37u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Milwaukee Brewers
home
Odds
2.53
Prob
42.9%
EV/u
0.068
Stake
0.21u
Lost
-0.21u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
2.31
Prob
46.1%
EV/u
0.020
Stake
0.05u
Lost
-0.05u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
2.68
Prob
45.9%
EV/u
0.205
Stake
0.56u
Won
+0.94u
First 5 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
New York Mets
home
Odds
2.42
Prob
53.3%
EV/u
0.210
Stake
0.67u
Won
+0.95u
First 5 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
away
Odds
3.45
Prob
53.5%
EV/u
0.097
Stake
0.12u
Lost
-0.12u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Milwaukee Brewers
home
Odds
2.14
Prob
52.7%
EV/u
0.075
Stake
0.14u
Won
+0.16u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
3.05
Prob
45.2%
EV/u
0.242
Stake
0.38u
Won
+0.78u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
2.76
Prob
49.8%
EV/u
0.344
Stake
0.62u
Won
+1.09u
First 5 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
New York Mets
home
Odds
2.44
Prob
51.1%
EV/u
0.175
Stake
0.37u
Won
+0.53u
First 5 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Tampa Bay Rays
home
Odds
2.67
Prob
42.0%
EV/u
0.104
Stake
0.17u
Lost
-0.17u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
49.9%
EV/u
0.124
Stake
0.40u
Lost
-0.40u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Diego Padres
away
Odds
2.50
Prob
46.8%
EV/u
0.042
Stake
0.19u
Lost
-0.19u
First 5 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Baltimore Orioles
home
Odds
2.14
Prob
50.5%
EV/u
0.035
Stake
0.29u
Lost
-0.29u
First 5 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
2.62
Prob
44.5%
EV/u
0.110
Stake
0.39u
Lost
-0.39u
First 5 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Chicago White Sox
home
Odds
2.40
Prob
44.6%
EV/u
0.026
Stake
0.20u
Lost
-0.20u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Diego Padres
away
Odds
2.68
Prob
44.1%
EV/u
0.128
Stake
0.44u
Won
+0.74u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Washington Nationals
away
Odds
2.51
Prob
44.6%
EV/u
0.059
Stake
0.25u
Won
+0.38u
First 5 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
2.71
Prob
44.6%
EV/u
0.144
Stake
0.48u
Lost
-0.48u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Oakland Athletics
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
44.7%
EV/u
0.178
Stake
0.55u
Won
+0.99u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
2.62
Prob
44.4%
EV/u
0.104
Stake
0.38u
Won
+0.62u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
away
Odds
3.19
Prob
44.6%
EV/u
0.336
Stake
0.62u
Lost
-0.62u
First 5 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
2.65
Prob
44.6%
EV/u
0.117
Stake
0.17u
Won
+0.28u
First 5 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
2.98
Prob
44.2%
EV/u
0.240
Stake
0.43u
Lost
-0.43u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Los Angeles Angels
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
44.7%
EV/u
0.299
Stake
0.58u
Lost
-0.58u
First 5 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
2.62
Prob
44.3%
EV/u
0.099
Stake
0.34u
Lost
-0.34u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.