Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: May 15, 2026 2:07 PM EDT
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Houston Astros
away
Odds
2.93
Prob
48.0%
EV/u
0.078
Stake
0.24u
Won
+0.46u
First 5 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
New York Mets
home
Odds
2.34
Prob
46.5%
EV/u
0.040
Stake
0.26u
Lost
-0.26u
First 5 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
4.34
Prob
46.1%
EV/u
0.667
Stake
0.48u
Won
+1.60u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
46.3%
EV/u
0.079
Stake
0.37u
Lost
-0.37u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Chicago Cubs
home
Odds
2.09
Prob
52.3%
EV/u
0.043
Stake
0.22u
Won
+0.24u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Houston Astros
home
Odds
2.40
Prob
46.9%
EV/u
0.072
Stake
0.36u
Lost
-0.36u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
St. Louis Cardinals
home
Odds
2.31
Prob
48.7%
EV/u
0.072
Stake
0.37u
Lost
-0.37u
First 5 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Chicago Cubs
home
Odds
2.80
Prob
47.1%
EV/u
0.292
Stake
0.89u
Lost
-0.89u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Oakland Athletics
home
Odds
2.59
Prob
47.8%
EV/u
0.215
Stake
0.75u
Lost
-0.75u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
49.1%
EV/u
0.024
Stake
0.10u
Lost
-0.10u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
3.32
Prob
42.8%
EV/u
0.319
Stake
0.75u
Won
+1.74u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Oakland Athletics
home
Odds
2.34
Prob
45.8%
EV/u
0.027
Stake
0.21u
Won
+0.28u
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Seattle Mariners
home
Odds
2.29
Prob
51.3%
EV/u
0.115
Stake
0.55u
Lost
-0.55u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Los Angeles Angels
away
Odds
3.11
Prob
45.1%
EV/u
0.176
Stake
0.47u
Lost
-0.47u
First 5 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Chicago Cubs
home
Odds
2.54
Prob
45.6%
EV/u
0.139
Stake
0.51u
Won
+0.79u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Colorado Rockies
home
Odds
2.38
Prob
44.7%
EV/u
0.021
Stake
0.19u
Won
+0.26u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Kansas City Royals
away
Odds
2.73
Prob
45.5%
EV/u
0.041
Stake
0.16u
Lost
-0.16u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
away
Odds
3.26
Prob
49.1%
EV/u
0.142
Stake
0.36u
Won
+0.81u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Los Angeles Angels
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
46.0%
EV/u
0.048
Stake
0.17u
Won
+0.31u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Miami Marlins
home
Odds
2.46
Prob
50.7%
EV/u
0.175
Stake
0.68u
Lost
-0.68u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Oakland Athletics
home
Odds
2.42
Prob
44.0%
EV/u
0.021
Stake
0.18u
Lost
-0.18u
First 5 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Philadelphia Phillies
home
Odds
2.10
Prob
52.2%
EV/u
0.046
Stake
0.35u
Won
+0.39u
First 5 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Cincinnati Reds
home
Odds
2.55
Prob
42.9%
EV/u
0.077
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.47u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Oakland Athletics
away
Odds
2.84
Prob
46.6%
EV/u
0.079
Stake
0.26u
Won
+0.48u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Miami Marlins
home
Odds
2.40
Prob
47.6%
EV/u
0.086
Stake
0.41u
Won
+0.57u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Washington Nationals
away
Odds
3.41
Prob
46.6%
EV/u
0.292
Stake
0.66u
Lost
-0.66u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Milwaukee Brewers
home
Odds
2.61
Prob
41.0%
EV/u
0.055
Stake
0.22u
Lost
-0.22u
First 5 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
San Francisco Giants
away
Odds
2.62
Prob
41.4%
EV/u
0.078
Stake
0.29u
Lost
-0.29u
First 5 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
2.89
Prob
47.1%
EV/u
0.034
Stake
0.13u
Lost
-0.13u
First 5 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
St. Louis Cardinals
home
Odds
2.81
Prob
40.1%
EV/u
0.108
Stake
0.35u
Lost
-0.35u
First 5 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Houston Astros
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
47.8%
EV/u
0.035
Stake
0.14u
Lost
-0.14u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Pittsburgh Pirates
home
Odds
2.41
Prob
47.3%
EV/u
0.084
Stake
0.39u
Lost
-0.39u
First 5 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
3.08
Prob
46.4%
EV/u
0.115
Stake
0.32u
Lost
-0.32u
First 5 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Chicago White Sox
home
Odds
2.58
Prob
42.5%
EV/u
0.081
Stake
0.31u
Lost
-0.31u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Cleveland Indians
home
Odds
3.29
Prob
44.5%
EV/u
0.430
Stake
0.93u
Lost
-0.93u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Toronto Blue Jays
home
Odds
3.44
Prob
42.5%
EV/u
0.429
Stake
0.87u
Lost
-0.87u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
2.68
Prob
43.5%
EV/u
0.091
Stake
0.32u
Won
+0.54u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
San Francisco Giants
away
Odds
2.84
Prob
43.5%
EV/u
0.120
Stake
0.38u
Lost
-0.38u
First 5 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Boston Red Sox
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
34.9%
EV/u
0.225
Stake
0.74u
Lost
-0.74u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Cleveland Indians
away
Odds
2.56
Prob
44.6%
EV/u
0.066
Stake
0.20u
Lost
-0.20u
First 5 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
2.63
Prob
39.3%
EV/u
0.023
Stake
0.06u
Lost
-0.06u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
3.36
Prob
44.0%
EV/u
0.292
Stake
0.65u
Lost
-0.65u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
2.47
Prob
37.5%
EV/u
0.052
Stake
0.15u
Won
+0.22u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Los Angeles Angels
away
Odds
2.71
Prob
41.9%
EV/u
0.119
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Chicago Cubs
away
Odds
3.11
Prob
37.0%
EV/u
0.412
Stake
0.92u
Lost
-0.92u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Cleveland Indians
away
Odds
3.16
Prob
49.7%
EV/u
0.110
Stake
0.23u
Lost
-0.23u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
San Diego Padres
home
Odds
2.79
Prob
40.2%
EV/u
0.105
Stake
0.25u
Won
+0.45u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Texas Rangers
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
43.8%
EV/u
0.049
Stake
0.10u
Won
+0.16u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Cleveland Indians
home
Odds
2.20
Prob
49.8%
EV/u
0.047
Stake
0.24u
Lost
-0.24u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Colorado Rockies
home
Odds
3.09
Prob
45.4%
EV/u
0.372
Stake
0.97u
Won
+2.03u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
3.73
Prob
43.6%
EV/u
0.449
Stake
0.59u
Lost
-0.59u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Cleveland Indians
home
Odds
2.69
Prob
44.0%
EV/u
0.162
Stake
0.54u
Won
+0.91u
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
3.12
Prob
47.6%
EV/u
0.149
Stake
0.40u
Won
+0.85u
First 5 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Oakland Athletics
home
Odds
2.85
Prob
43.6%
EV/u
0.220
Stake
0.66u
Lost
-0.66u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Colorado Rockies
home
Odds
2.27
Prob
46.9%
EV/u
0.021
Stake
0.20u
Won
+0.25u
First 5 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Philadelphia Phillies
away
Odds
2.64
Prob
43.9%
EV/u
0.051
Stake
0.20u
Lost
-0.20u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
San Diego Padres
away
Odds
2.52
Prob
36.8%
EV/u
0.137
Stake
0.51u
Won
+0.78u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Boston Red Sox
away
Odds
3.32
Prob
46.6%
EV/u
0.226
Stake
0.54u
Lost
-0.54u
First 5 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
2.63
Prob
44.5%
EV/u
0.035
Stake
0.15u
Lost
-0.15u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Colorado Rockies
home
Odds
2.67
Prob
42.9%
EV/u
0.126
Stake
0.43u
Lost
-0.43u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
New York Yankees
away
Odds
2.67
Prob
45.5%
EV/u
0.061
Stake
0.23u
Lost
-0.23u
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Oakland Athletics
away
Odds
3.41
Prob
40.3%
EV/u
0.291
Stake
0.66u
Lost
-0.66u
First 5 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Los Angeles Angels
home
Odds
2.38
Prob
47.2%
EV/u
0.072
Stake
0.36u
Lost
-0.36u
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Oakland Athletics
away
Odds
2.76
Prob
43.5%
EV/u
0.086
Stake
0.29u
Lost
-0.29u
First 5 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
2.53
Prob
40.0%
EV/u
0.042
Stake
0.18u
Lost
-0.18u
First 5 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
2.66
Prob
44.4%
EV/u
0.160
Stake
0.38u
Lost
-0.38u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Pittsburgh Pirates
home
Odds
2.61
Prob
46.6%
EV/u
0.194
Stake
0.50u
Won
+0.81u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
San Francisco Giants
home
Odds
2.52
Prob
45.9%
EV/u
0.138
Stake
0.32u
Lost
-0.32u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
2.88
Prob
44.0%
EV/u
0.201
Stake
0.44u
Lost
-0.44u
First 5 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
2.69
Prob
44.6%
EV/u
0.071
Stake
0.13u
Lost
-0.13u
First 5 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
2.41
Prob
37.9%
EV/u
0.140
Stake
0.28u
Lost
-0.28u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
3.52
Prob
37.4%
EV/u
0.742
Stake
0.66u
Won
+1.66u
First 5 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
2.62
Prob
36.1%
EV/u
0.316
Stake
0.86u
Won
+1.39u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
San Francisco Giants
away
Odds
2.94
Prob
37.9%
EV/u
0.434
Stake
1.07u
Won
+2.08u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
2.35
Prob
37.2%
EV/u
0.110
Stake
0.34u
Won
+0.46u
First 5 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
2.33
Prob
36.9%
EV/u
0.120
Stake
0.39u
Lost
-0.39u
First 5 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
New York Mets
home
Odds
2.74
Prob
38.5%
EV/u
0.041
Stake
0.16u
Lost
-0.16u
First 5 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
2.63
Prob
37.8%
EV/u
0.292
Stake
0.37u
Lost
-0.37u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
2.45
Prob
35.8%
EV/u
0.172
Stake
0.18u
Lost
-0.18u
First 5 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Houston Astros
away
Odds
2.63
Prob
36.5%
EV/u
0.329
Stake
0.45u
Won
+0.73u
First 5 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Los Angeles Dodgers
away
Odds
2.79
Prob
37.3%
EV/u
0.365
Stake
0.45u
Won
+0.81u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
2.49
Prob
32.8%
EV/u
0.255
Stake
0.32u
Lost
-0.32u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Arizona Diamondbacks
home
Odds
2.86
Prob
40.2%
EV/u
0.129
Stake
0.21u
Lost
-0.21u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
37.1%
EV/u
0.372
Stake
0.60u
Lost
-0.60u
First 5 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Atlanta Braves
away
Odds
2.48
Prob
37.8%
EV/u
0.152
Stake
0.27u
Lost
-0.27u
First 5 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
2.45
Prob
38.4%
EV/u
0.144
Stake
0.25u
Won
+0.36u
First 5 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Cleveland Indians
home
Odds
2.93
Prob
36.9%
EV/u
0.064
Stake
0.08u
Won
+0.15u
First 5 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
San Francisco Giants
away
Odds
2.49
Prob
37.4%
EV/u
0.168
Stake
0.32u
Lost
-0.32u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
2.46
Prob
38.2%
EV/u
0.153
Stake
0.28u
Lost
-0.28u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Chicago White Sox
home
Odds
3.15
Prob
35.5%
EV/u
0.101
Stake
0.15u
Lost
-0.15u
First 5 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Houston Astros
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
37.0%
EV/u
0.244
Stake
0.66u
Won
+1.02u
First 5 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
2.85
Prob
37.5%
EV/u
0.386
Stake
0.99u
Lost
-0.99u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
2.66
Prob
39.0%
EV/u
0.281
Stake
0.42u
Won
+0.70u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
3.06
Prob
34.7%
EV/u
0.503
Stake
0.60u
Won
+1.24u
First 5 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Houston Astros
away
Odds
2.87
Prob
39.2%
EV/u
0.373
Stake
0.49u
Won
+0.92u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
2.39
Prob
37.4%
EV/u
0.142
Stake
0.20u
Won
+0.28u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Texas Rangers
home
Odds
2.88
Prob
37.7%
EV/u
0.070
Stake
0.07u
Won
+0.13u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Houston Astros
home
Odds
1.86
Prob
59.2%
EV/u
0.048
Stake
0.34u
Won
+0.29u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Houston Astros
home
Odds
2.66
Prob
49.3%
EV/u
0.283
Stake
0.93u
Lost
-0.93u
First 5 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
2.84
Prob
60.3%
EV/u
0.666
Stake
1.50u
Lost
-1.50u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.