Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: May 15, 2026 2:07 PM EDT
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Tampa Bay Rays
home
Odds
3.03
Prob
53.1%
EV/u
0.572
Stake
1.07u
Won
+2.17u
First 5 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
54.4%
EV/u
0.385
Stake
0.73u
Lost
-0.73u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Houston Astros
home
Odds
1.84
Prob
60.0%
EV/u
0.055
Stake
0.38u
Won
+0.32u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
New York Yankees
home
Odds
2.35
Prob
60.9%
EV/u
0.332
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Oakland Athletics
home
Odds
1.75
Prob
66.8%
EV/u
0.111
Stake
0.68u
Won
+0.51u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
2.46
Prob
50.7%
EV/u
0.175
Stake
0.68u
Lost
-0.68u
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Oakland Athletics
home
Odds
1.74
Prob
64.3%
EV/u
0.067
Stake
0.48u
Won
+0.36u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
New York Yankees
home
Odds
2.34
Prob
52.8%
EV/u
0.166
Stake
0.70u
Lost
-0.70u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
3.06
Prob
43.6%
EV/u
0.090
Stake
0.26u
Lost
-0.26u
First 5 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
2.44
Prob
41.7%
EV/u
0.022
Stake
0.18u
Lost
-0.18u
First 5 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
2.89
Prob
41.4%
EV/u
0.173
Stake
0.51u
Lost
-0.51u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cleveland Indians
Pittsburgh Pirates
home
Odds
2.30
Prob
49.3%
EV/u
0.079
Stake
0.41u
Lost
-0.41u
First 5 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Milwaukee Brewers
home
Odds
2.25
Prob
49.7%
EV/u
0.066
Stake
0.38u
Lost
-0.38u
First 5 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
New York Mets
away
Odds
3.52
Prob
46.0%
EV/u
0.271
Stake
0.39u
Lost
-0.39u
First 5 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
2.48
Prob
50.6%
EV/u
0.182
Stake
0.50u
Lost
-0.50u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Los Angeles Angels
home
Odds
2.34
Prob
47.5%
EV/u
0.061
Stake
0.13u
Won
+0.17u
First 5 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
3.04
Prob
46.8%
EV/u
0.099
Stake
0.20u
Lost
-0.20u
First 5 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Colorado Rockies
home
Odds
2.52
Prob
47.9%
EV/u
0.185
Stake
0.49u
Won
+0.74u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
San Francisco Giants
home
Odds
2.10
Prob
57.8%
EV/u
0.148
Stake
0.48u
Won
+0.53u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Oakland Athletics
home
Odds
2.42
Prob
46.6%
EV/u
0.074
Stake
0.36u
Won
+0.51u
First 5 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
New York Mets
away
Odds
3.14
Prob
51.2%
EV/u
0.057
Stake
0.17u
Won
+0.36u
First 5 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Texas Rangers
home
Odds
3.30
Prob
47.5%
EV/u
0.527
Stake
0.63u
Lost
-0.63u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Chicago Cubs
away
Odds
3.84
Prob
54.3%
EV/u
0.192
Stake
0.12u
Lost
-0.12u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Colorado Rockies
home
Odds
2.85
Prob
52.2%
EV/u
0.451
Stake
0.68u
Won
+1.26u
First 5 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Houston Astros
home
Odds
2.96
Prob
43.5%
EV/u
0.262
Stake
0.31u
Won
+0.61u
First 5 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
New York Yankees
home
Odds
2.43
Prob
46.4%
EV/u
0.074
Stake
0.06u
Won
+0.09u
First 5 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Texas Rangers
home
Odds
2.20
Prob
53.4%
EV/u
0.114
Stake
0.11u
Won
+0.13u
First 5 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Miami Marlins
home
Odds
2.74
Prob
53.4%
EV/u
0.428
Stake
0.44u
Won
+0.77u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
home
Odds
2.71
Prob
53.4%
EV/u
0.414
Stake
0.43u
Won
+0.74u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cleveland Indians
Chicago White Sox
home
Odds
3.33
Prob
53.8%
EV/u
0.739
Stake
0.49u
Won
+1.14u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Chicago Cubs
home
Odds
2.22
Prob
53.6%
EV/u
0.128
Stake
0.13u
Won
+0.16u
First 5 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
Philadelphia Phillies
home
Odds
2.40
Prob
52.7%
EV/u
0.191
Stake
0.20u
Won
+0.28u
First 5 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Miami Marlins
home
Odds
2.64
Prob
54.9%
EV/u
0.416
Stake
0.67u
Won
+1.10u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Tampa Bay Rays
home
Odds
2.42
Prob
53.1%
EV/u
0.209
Stake
0.40u
Lost
-0.40u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Chicago Cubs
home
Odds
2.29
Prob
55.1%
EV/u
0.189
Stake
0.37u
Lost
-0.37u
First 5 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Houston Astros
home
Odds
2.31
Prob
52.4%
EV/u
0.143
Stake
0.25u
Lost
-0.25u
First 5 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
Philadelphia Phillies
home
Odds
2.12
Prob
52.9%
EV/u
0.069
Stake
0.10u
Won
+0.11u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Minnesota Twins
home
Odds
2.70
Prob
52.6%
EV/u
0.387
Stake
0.34u
Lost
-0.34u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Chicago White Sox
home
Odds
2.68
Prob
54.3%
EV/u
0.422
Stake
0.39u
Won
+0.66u
First 5 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
3.32
Prob
51.4%
EV/u
0.661
Stake
0.43u
Won
+1.00u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Texas Rangers
home
Odds
2.34
Prob
54.1%
EV/u
0.191
Stake
0.13u
Lost
-0.13u
First 5 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
Toronto Blue Jays
home
Odds
2.69
Prob
52.9%
EV/u
0.389
Stake
0.34u
Lost
-0.34u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
Washington Nationals
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
53.4%
EV/u
0.229
Stake
0.16u
Lost
-0.16u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Minnesota Twins
home
Odds
2.70
Prob
52.5%
EV/u
0.385
Stake
0.35u
Lost
-0.35u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Chicago White Sox
home
Odds
2.61
Prob
53.3%
EV/u
0.361
Stake
0.32u
Lost
-0.32u
First 5 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Cleveland Indians
home
Odds
2.67
Prob
52.7%
EV/u
0.376
Stake
0.34u
Lost
-0.34u
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Arizona Diamondbacks
home
Odds
2.46
Prob
53.9%
EV/u
0.243
Stake
0.18u
Lost
-0.18u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Texas Rangers
home
Odds
2.44
Prob
53.2%
EV/u
0.219
Stake
0.16u
Lost
-0.16u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
Washington Nationals
home
Odds
3.32
Prob
53.9%
EV/u
0.740
Stake
0.44u
Won
+1.02u
First 5 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
3.00
Prob
52.7%
EV/u
0.541
Stake
0.38u
Lost
-0.38u
First 5 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Cleveland Indians
home
Odds
2.75
Prob
51.8%
EV/u
0.392
Stake
0.26u
Lost
-0.26u
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Arizona Diamondbacks
home
Odds
2.90
Prob
53.3%
EV/u
0.507
Stake
0.37u
Lost
-0.37u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Mets
Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
2.49
Prob
53.8%
EV/u
0.254
Stake
0.15u
Lost
-0.15u
First 5 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
San Francisco Giants
home
Odds
2.68
Prob
52.5%
EV/u
0.374
Stake
0.25u
Won
+0.42u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
St. Louis Cardinals
home
Odds
2.85
Prob
54.8%
EV/u
0.523
Stake
0.39u
Lost
-0.39u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
2.16
Prob
53.5%
EV/u
0.097
Stake
0.08u
Lost
-0.08u
First 5 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Cleveland Indians
home
Odds
2.51
Prob
53.5%
EV/u
0.314
Stake
0.38u
Lost
-0.38u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Arizona Diamondbacks
home
Odds
2.62
Prob
53.2%
EV/u
0.363
Stake
0.41u
Won
+0.66u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Toronto Blue Jays
home
Odds
2.40
Prob
52.7%
EV/u
0.192
Stake
0.19u
Won
+0.27u
First 5 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
New York Mets
home
Odds
2.43
Prob
53.7%
EV/u
0.224
Stake
0.24u
Won
+0.34u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
St. Louis Cardinals
home
Odds
3.35
Prob
53.1%
EV/u
0.729
Stake
0.50u
Won
+1.18u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
2.56
Prob
54.7%
EV/u
0.368
Stake
0.73u
Won
+1.14u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Cleveland Indians
home
Odds
2.63
Prob
53.2%
EV/u
0.368
Stake
0.70u
Lost
-0.70u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Arizona Diamondbacks
home
Odds
2.30
Prob
51.8%
EV/u
0.128
Stake
0.28u
Lost
-0.28u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
St. Louis Cardinals
home
Odds
2.00
Prob
53.9%
EV/u
0.031
Stake
0.06u
Lost
-0.06u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Pittsburgh Pirates
home
Odds
2.18
Prob
54.1%
EV/u
0.118
Stake
0.37u
Won
+0.44u
First 5 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Oakland Athletics
home
Odds
2.11
Prob
53.5%
EV/u
0.075
Stake
0.22u
Won
+0.24u
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Texas Rangers
home
Odds
2.52
Prob
52.6%
EV/u
0.298
Stake
0.68u
Lost
-0.68u
First 5 innings
mlb
Philadelphia Phillies
New York Mets
home
Odds
2.17
Prob
54.0%
EV/u
0.111
Stake
0.35u
Won
+0.41u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Washington Nationals
home
Odds
2.11
Prob
52.9%
EV/u
0.065
Stake
0.18u
Won
+0.20u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Minnesota Twins
home
Odds
2.41
Prob
53.6%
EV/u
0.215
Stake
0.37u
Lost
-0.37u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Pittsburgh Pirates
home
Odds
2.48
Prob
53.1%
EV/u
0.234
Stake
0.40u
Won
+0.59u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
St. Louis Cardinals
home
Odds
2.51
Prob
53.6%
EV/u
0.318
Stake
0.54u
Lost
-0.54u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
2.26
Prob
54.1%
EV/u
0.155
Stake
0.24u
Lost
-0.24u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
St. Louis Cardinals
home
Odds
2.25
Prob
54.3%
EV/u
0.155
Stake
0.25u
Won
+0.31u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Baltimore Orioles
home
Odds
2.29
Prob
52.8%
EV/u
0.144
Stake
0.43u
Lost
-0.43u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
2.42
Prob
56.5%
EV/u
0.279
Stake
0.87u
Lost
-0.87u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Oakland Athletics
home
Odds
2.31
Prob
53.2%
EV/u
0.161
Stake
0.50u
Lost
-0.50u
First 5 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Los Angeles Angels
home
Odds
2.78
Prob
52.9%
EV/u
0.436
Stake
0.51u
Won
+0.91u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Pittsburgh Pirates
home
Odds
2.52
Prob
53.0%
EV/u
0.308
Stake
0.43u
Won
+0.65u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Houston Astros
home
Odds
2.04
Prob
53.8%
EV/u
0.049
Stake
0.06u
Won
+0.06u
First 5 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Cleveland Indians
home
Odds
2.31
Prob
54.0%
EV/u
0.175
Stake
0.27u
Won
+0.35u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
2.71
Prob
52.9%
EV/u
0.400
Stake
0.49u
Won
+0.84u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
Philadelphia Phillies
home
Odds
2.87
Prob
53.8%
EV/u
0.505
Stake
0.61u
Lost
-0.61u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Chicago Cubs
home
Odds
2.42
Prob
53.2%
EV/u
0.209
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
First 5 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Cleveland Indians
away
Odds
3.30
Prob
52.7%
EV/u
0.066
Stake
0.05u
Lost
-0.05u
First 5 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Cincinnati Reds
home
Odds
2.59
Prob
53.2%
EV/u
0.347
Stake
0.49u
Lost
-0.49u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Oakland Athletics
home
Odds
2.39
Prob
54.1%
EV/u
0.215
Stake
0.31u
Lost
-0.31u
First 5 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
2.37
Prob
54.3%
EV/u
0.210
Stake
0.41u
Lost
-0.41u
First 5 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Houston Astros
home
Odds
2.10
Prob
52.8%
EV/u
0.059
Stake
0.09u
Lost
-0.09u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Los Angeles Angels
home
Odds
2.46
Prob
53.6%
EV/u
0.237
Stake
0.48u
Lost
-0.48u
First 5 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Detroit Tigers
home
Odds
3.03
Prob
52.8%
EV/u
0.559
Stake
0.82u
Won
+1.66u
First 5 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Miami Marlins
home
Odds
2.28
Prob
52.0%
EV/u
0.120
Stake
0.31u
Won
+0.40u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Cincinnati Reds
home
Odds
2.30
Prob
54.6%
EV/u
0.181
Stake
0.54u
Lost
-0.54u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cleveland Indians
Kansas City Royals
home
Odds
2.23
Prob
54.2%
EV/u
0.140
Stake
0.39u
Lost
-0.39u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Colorado Rockies
home
Odds
3.55
Prob
53.1%
EV/u
0.886
Stake
0.56u
Won
+1.43u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
3.05
Prob
36.9%
EV/u
0.429
Stake
1.13u
Lost
-1.13u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
2.51
Prob
37.7%
EV/u
0.068
Stake
0.16u
Lost
-0.16u
First 5 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
New York Yankees
home
Odds
3.09
Prob
39.3%
EV/u
0.192
Stake
0.51u
Won
+1.07u
First 5 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Miami Marlins
away
Odds
2.74
Prob
43.6%
EV/u
0.117
Stake
0.39u
Won
+0.68u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.