Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: May 15, 2026 2:07 PM EDT
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Cleveland Indians
home
Odds
2.17
Prob
49.4%
EV/u
0.028
Stake
0.13u
Won
+0.15u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Miami Marlins
home
Odds
1.97
Prob
56.3%
EV/u
0.059
Stake
0.34u
Lost
-0.34u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
New York Mets
away
Odds
3.18
Prob
54.1%
EV/u
0.181
Stake
0.46u
Won
+1.00u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Seattle Mariners
home
Odds
2.16
Prob
51.6%
EV/u
0.063
Stake
0.35u
Lost
-0.35u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
2.74
Prob
49.9%
EV/u
0.084
Stake
0.29u
Lost
-0.29u
First 5 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Houston Astros
home
Odds
2.13
Prob
50.0%
EV/u
0.020
Stake
0.08u
Won
+0.09u
First 5 innings
mlb
Atlanta Braves
Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
2.13
Prob
54.2%
EV/u
0.096
Stake
0.44u
Won
+0.50u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
Tampa Bay Rays
home
Odds
2.09
Prob
54.1%
EV/u
0.077
Stake
0.37u
Lost
-0.37u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Arizona Diamondbacks
home
Odds
2.30
Prob
54.2%
EV/u
0.175
Stake
0.62u
Won
+0.81u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Detroit Tigers
home
Odds
2.00
Prob
55.6%
EV/u
0.060
Stake
0.29u
Lost
-0.29u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
2.23
Prob
54.7%
EV/u
0.153
Stake
0.72u
Lost
-0.72u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Chicago Cubs
home
Odds
2.13
Prob
53.4%
EV/u
0.082
Stake
0.49u
Won
+0.55u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Miami Marlins
home
Odds
2.20
Prob
48.5%
EV/u
0.023
Stake
0.23u
Won
+0.28u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
New York Mets
home
Odds
1.98
Prob
55.1%
EV/u
0.044
Stake
0.28u
Won
+0.27u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
2.74
Prob
50.3%
EV/u
0.090
Stake
0.31u
Lost
-0.31u
First 5 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Miami Marlins
home
Odds
2.37
Prob
50.9%
EV/u
0.142
Stake
0.60u
Lost
-0.60u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Minnesota Twins
away
Odds
3.02
Prob
54.5%
EV/u
0.057
Stake
0.18u
Lost
-0.18u
First 5 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Oakland Athletics
home
Odds
1.97
Prob
59.0%
EV/u
0.104
Stake
0.50u
Lost
-0.50u
First 5 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Texas Rangers
home
Odds
2.12
Prob
52.7%
EV/u
0.066
Stake
0.42u
Won
+0.47u
First 5 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Miami Marlins
home
Odds
2.47
Prob
43.7%
EV/u
0.033
Stake
0.22u
Won
+0.32u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cleveland Indians
Chicago White Sox
away
Odds
3.49
Prob
43.5%
EV/u
0.302
Stake
0.66u
Lost
-0.66u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Philadelphia Phillies
home
Odds
2.52
Prob
43.4%
EV/u
0.079
Stake
0.31u
Won
+0.47u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Philadelphia Phillies
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
43.5%
EV/u
0.073
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.45u
First 5 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
2.84
Prob
43.5%
EV/u
0.070
Stake
0.23u
Lost
-0.23u
First 5 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Texas Rangers
home
Odds
2.53
Prob
43.7%
EV/u
0.089
Stake
0.35u
Won
+0.54u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago Cubs
Cincinnati Reds
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
43.5%
EV/u
0.053
Stake
0.19u
Lost
-0.19u
First 5 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Los Angeles Angels
home
Odds
3.41
Prob
43.6%
EV/u
0.451
Stake
1.01u
Lost
-1.01u
First 5 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Miami Marlins
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
43.3%
EV/u
0.066
Stake
0.27u
Won
+0.41u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Francisco Giants
away
Odds
2.81
Prob
43.6%
EV/u
0.060
Stake
0.21u
Lost
-0.21u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
Chicago Cubs
home
Odds
2.44
Prob
43.6%
EV/u
0.021
Stake
0.18u
Lost
-0.18u
First 5 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Cleveland Indians
away
Odds
2.86
Prob
43.7%
EV/u
0.074
Stake
0.24u
Won
+0.45u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
San Diego Padres
away
Odds
2.73
Prob
43.8%
EV/u
0.025
Stake
0.11u
Lost
-0.11u
First 5 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Francisco Giants
away
Odds
2.81
Prob
43.6%
EV/u
0.056
Stake
0.20u
Lost
-0.20u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
43.2%
EV/u
0.029
Stake
0.12u
Won
+0.21u
First 5 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Seattle Mariners
away
Odds
2.83
Prob
43.6%
EV/u
0.067
Stake
0.22u
Won
+0.40u
First 5 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Francisco Giants
away
Odds
3.09
Prob
43.5%
EV/u
0.155
Stake
0.42u
Won
+0.88u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
2.74
Prob
43.5%
EV/u
0.032
Stake
0.13u
Won
+0.23u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
3.31
Prob
43.7%
EV/u
0.237
Stake
0.57u
Won
+1.32u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Oakland Athletics
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
43.6%
EV/u
0.051
Stake
0.18u
Won
+0.32u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
2.78
Prob
43.6%
EV/u
0.047
Stake
0.17u
Lost
-0.17u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Oakland Athletics
away
Odds
2.78
Prob
43.6%
EV/u
0.047
Stake
0.17u
Won
+0.30u
First 5 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Tampa Bay Rays
home
Odds
2.56
Prob
43.6%
EV/u
0.100
Stake
0.37u
Lost
-0.37u
First 5 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Arizona Diamondbacks
away
Odds
2.71
Prob
43.7%
EV/u
0.020
Stake
0.10u
Lost
-0.10u
First 5 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
Baltimore Orioles
away
Odds
2.72
Prob
43.6%
EV/u
0.023
Stake
0.11u
Lost
-0.11u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Oakland Athletics
away
Odds
2.93
Prob
43.5%
EV/u
0.102
Stake
0.31u
Lost
-0.31u
First 5 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Boston Red Sox
away
Odds
2.74
Prob
43.6%
EV/u
0.029
Stake
0.12u
Lost
-0.12u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
New York Yankees
away
Odds
2.82
Prob
43.7%
EV/u
0.055
Stake
0.19u
Lost
-0.19u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Arizona Diamondbacks
home
Odds
2.51
Prob
43.6%
EV/u
0.078
Stake
0.17u
Lost
-0.17u
First 5 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
2.72
Prob
43.6%
EV/u
0.165
Stake
0.42u
Lost
-0.42u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Milwaukee Brewers
away
Odds
3.39
Prob
43.5%
EV/u
0.269
Stake
0.54u
Lost
-0.54u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
New York Yankees
away
Odds
3.56
Prob
43.7%
EV/u
0.349
Stake
0.43u
Lost
-0.43u
First 5 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Pittsburgh Pirates
away
Odds
2.98
Prob
43.6%
EV/u
0.117
Stake
0.24u
Lost
-0.24u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Dodgers
Arizona Diamondbacks
home
Odds
2.30
Prob
50.4%
EV/u
0.102
Stake
0.39u
Won
+0.51u
First 5 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Chicago White Sox
home
Odds
2.30
Prob
51.2%
EV/u
0.117
Stake
0.47u
Lost
-0.47u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Diego Padres
Colorado Rockies
home
Odds
2.53
Prob
45.7%
EV/u
0.137
Stake
0.47u
Lost
-0.47u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
New York Yankees
home
Odds
2.40
Prob
45.3%
EV/u
0.039
Stake
0.12u
Lost
-0.12u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Tampa Bay Rays
away
Odds
3.23
Prob
44.2%
EV/u
0.148
Stake
0.35u
Won
+0.78u
First 5 innings
mlb
Texas Rangers
New York Yankees
home
Odds
3.28
Prob
50.2%
EV/u
0.602
Stake
1.42u
Won
+3.24u
First 5 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
Cincinnati Reds
home
Odds
2.77
Prob
47.7%
EV/u
0.295
Stake
0.85u
Won
+1.50u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
home
Odds
2.44
Prob
50.2%
EV/u
0.157
Stake
0.47u
Won
+0.68u
First 5 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Oakland Athletics
home
Odds
2.53
Prob
46.7%
EV/u
0.161
Stake
0.48u
Lost
-0.48u
First 5 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Los Angeles Angels
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
44.8%
EV/u
0.101
Stake
0.40u
Won
+0.60u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Kansas City Royals
home
Odds
2.41
Prob
48.6%
EV/u
0.111
Stake
0.48u
Lost
-0.48u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
away
Odds
3.38
Prob
46.3%
EV/u
0.159
Stake
0.38u
Won
+0.90u
First 5 innings
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
New York Mets
home
Odds
2.24
Prob
50.0%
EV/u
0.067
Stake
0.39u
Won
+0.48u
First 5 innings
mlb
Milwaukee Brewers
Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
47.7%
EV/u
0.172
Stake
0.55u
Lost
-0.55u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
home
Odds
2.25
Prob
48.1%
EV/u
0.035
Stake
0.08u
Won
+0.10u
First 5 innings
mlb
Minnesota Twins
Oakland Athletics
home
Odds
2.61
Prob
45.9%
EV/u
0.177
Stake
0.55u
Lost
-0.55u
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Texas Rangers
home
Odds
2.68
Prob
45.6%
EV/u
0.199
Stake
0.61u
Won
+1.02u
First 5 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Oakland Athletics
home
Odds
2.29
Prob
49.7%
EV/u
0.083
Stake
0.43u
Won
+0.55u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
San Francisco Giants
home
Odds
2.07
Prob
51.4%
EV/u
0.021
Stake
0.24u
Lost
-0.24u
First 5 innings
mlb
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels
home
Odds
2.68
Prob
47.1%
EV/u
0.238
Stake
0.72u
Won
+1.21u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cleveland Indians
Chicago Cubs
home
Odds
2.41
Prob
47.5%
EV/u
0.089
Stake
0.37u
Lost
-0.37u
First 5 innings
mlb
Arizona Diamondbacks
Miami Marlins
home
Odds
2.42
Prob
47.5%
EV/u
0.094
Stake
0.39u
Lost
-0.39u
First 5 innings
mlb
Boston Red Sox
Oakland Athletics
home
Odds
2.18
Prob
50.1%
EV/u
0.044
Stake
0.17u
Lost
-0.17u
First 5 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
San Diego Padres
home
Odds
2.38
Prob
45.8%
EV/u
0.043
Stake
0.15u
Won
+0.21u
First 5 innings
mlb
Washington Nationals
Philadelphia Phillies
home
Odds
2.43
Prob
48.2%
EV/u
0.110
Stake
0.48u
Lost
-0.48u
First 5 innings
mlb
San Francisco Giants
Texas Rangers
home
Odds
2.40
Prob
46.7%
EV/u
0.069
Stake
0.35u
Lost
-0.35u
First 5 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Colorado Rockies
away
Odds
3.51
Prob
45.6%
EV/u
0.238
Stake
0.34u
Lost
-0.34u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
2.62
Prob
46.6%
EV/u
0.198
Stake
0.68u
Won
+1.10u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Los Angeles Dodgers
home
Odds
2.31
Prob
47.2%
EV/u
0.043
Stake
0.28u
Lost
-0.28u
First 5 innings
mlb
Miami Marlins
Milwaukee Brewers
home
Odds
2.63
Prob
44.6%
EV/u
0.153
Stake
0.53u
Lost
-0.53u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Washington Nationals
home
Odds
2.47
Prob
51.4%
EV/u
0.195
Stake
0.73u
Lost
-0.73u
First 5 innings
mlb
Baltimore Orioles
Boston Red Sox
home
Odds
2.26
Prob
49.5%
EV/u
0.066
Stake
0.37u
Lost
-0.37u
First 5 innings
mlb
Kansas City Royals
Chicago White Sox
home
Odds
2.47
Prob
46.0%
EV/u
0.081
Stake
0.37u
Lost
-0.37u
First 5 innings
mlb
St. Louis Cardinals
Colorado Rockies
home
Odds
2.36
Prob
45.6%
EV/u
0.030
Stake
0.22u
Won
+0.30u
First 5 innings
mlb
Detroit Tigers
Minnesota Twins
home
Odds
2.30
Prob
49.2%
EV/u
0.077
Stake
0.40u
Lost
-0.40u
First 5 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Toronto Blue Jays
home
Odds
2.20
Prob
49.9%
EV/u
0.048
Stake
0.32u
Lost
-0.32u
First 5 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
home
Odds
2.48
Prob
48.4%
EV/u
0.136
Stake
0.54u
Won
+0.80u
First 5 innings
mlb
Los Angeles Angels
Tampa Bay Rays
home
Odds
2.43
Prob
44.4%
EV/u
0.032
Stake
0.22u
Won
+0.31u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Houston Astros
home
Odds
2.52
Prob
44.7%
EV/u
0.109
Stake
0.42u
Lost
-0.42u
First 5 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Toronto Blue Jays
away
Odds
3.16
Prob
46.2%
EV/u
0.172
Stake
0.45u
Lost
-0.45u
First 5 innings
mlb
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
home
Odds
3.03
Prob
44.6%
EV/u
0.321
Stake
0.86u
Lost
-0.86u
First 5 innings
mlb
Seattle Mariners
Baltimore Orioles
home
Odds
2.33
Prob
50.3%
EV/u
0.113
Stake
0.52u
Won
+0.69u
First 5 innings
mlb
Toronto Blue Jays
Atlanta Braves
home
Odds
2.68
Prob
45.2%
EV/u
0.190
Stake
0.63u
Won
+1.06u
First 5 innings
mlb
Oakland Athletics
Baltimore Orioles
home
Odds
2.38
Prob
44.9%
EV/u
0.024
Stake
0.19u
Lost
-0.19u
First 5 innings
mlb
Chicago White Sox
Cleveland Indians
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
46.6%
EV/u
0.151
Stake
0.41u
Won
+0.86u
First 5 innings
mlb
New York Yankees
Detroit Tigers
away
Odds
2.77
Prob
48.9%
EV/u
0.024
Stake
0.11u
Lost
-0.11u
First 5 innings
mlb
Pittsburgh Pirates
St. Louis Cardinals
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
44.3%
EV/u
0.147
Stake
0.46u
Won
+0.83u
First 5 innings
mlb
Cincinnati Reds
Chicago Cubs
home
Odds
2.57
Prob
45.1%
EV/u
0.139
Stake
0.50u
Lost
-0.50u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.